The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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TBPN Assertion Partly supported
Torre: Kawhi Leonard was contracted for $48M from Aspiration to do nothing
“And what they say and what they provide in the tonnage of all the reporting I did for months, seven months before we came out with part one of the series one year ago today, was documentation that attested to the fact that Kawhi Leonard was paid According to t…”
Pablo Torre Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 4:19 Pablo Torre Explains the Steve Ballmer & Kawhi Leonard Scandal
TBPN Assertion Supported
Torre: Steve Ballmer used four companies to funnel money to Kawhi Leonard
“And I say that because, according to the NBA's investigation and my own, this was not merely a scheme that he ran to funnel money with one company aspiration. He did it with four. He did it with the scoreboard manufacturer, multi-million dollar deal for Kawhi …”
Pablo Torre Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 7:23 Pablo Torre Explains the Steve Ballmer & Kawhi Leonard Scandal
TBPN Assertion Supported
Torre: Ballmer Created Fake Consulting Agreements to Pay Kawhi Leonard
“What they really did was they created fake jobs for Kawhi Leonard and fake consulting agreements, consulting fees for the companies.”
Pablo Torre Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 10:42 Pablo Torre Explains the Steve Ballmer & Kawhi Leonard Scandal
MAD Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Misaligned AI will competently scheme and take over in 2029
“And then it turned out that somewhere along this transition, so at some point in 20, 29, you went from AIs that were kind of misaligned and reward hacky and sloppy and weren't really trying to do the right thing to AIs that are like competently scheming agains…”
Ryan Greenblatt Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 1:17:25 AI Could Take Over in 2029. Is It Already Too Late?
Losing TSMC Wouldn't Be Disastrous Because Intel Is Only 2x Behind
“And my contrarian take is that it wouldn't be that bad. Supply would take a shock for sure, but The best processes that we have in the West, like Intel, not that far behind, at worst, like maybe two X worst performance per watt. And the gap is just far smaller…”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 1:17:13 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
PRODUCT MARKET FIT Assertion Contradicted
Loiacono: Competing PBMs Faked Mandatory Federal Compensation Disclosures in 2023
“23 people needed to start reporting this information, people being pharmacy benefit managers and administrators like ourselves, Had to start reporting this information. And what we realized is people were faking it. They either weren't doing it or they were pr…”
AJ Loiacono Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 32:22 He spent $0 on marketing—raised $400M at $3.25B valuation | Judi Health
Kalanick: Founders definitely should not raise capital from Benchmark Capital
“You definitely shouldn't raise from benchmark capital.”
Travis Kalanick Aug 16, 2026 ▶ 58:34 Excellence Is the Capacity To Take Pain | Travis Kalanick, Founder of Uber
DAVID SENRA Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kalanick: Benchmark ran an activist war room creating weekly crises at Uber
“Benchmark was running a war room. They were an unspoken activist investor that was creating a once a week crisis.”
Travis Kalanick Aug 16, 2026 ▶ 59:00 Excellence Is the Capacity To Take Pain | Travis Kalanick, Founder of Uber
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jain: High probability customer service AI startup Sierra gets killed
“There's a very high chance Sierra will get killed.”
Swapnil Jain Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 45:03 ChatGPT Killed My $50M ARR Business Overnight | Swapnil Jain Observe Al
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Altman: Unreleased OpenAI model used zero-day exploits to breach Hugging Face
“We were evaluating one of our unreleased models and it figured out that it could basically cheat on the test by chaining together multiple zero day exploits to break out of the sandbox, get access to the internet, and then break through multiple systems on the…”
Sam Altman Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 35:51 Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Børnich: Robotics 'hard takeoff' with autonomous self-replication is under a decade away
“I am extremely sure that we're less than a decade away from hard takeoff. And when I say hard takeoff, I mean robots building the robots, the data centers, the chip fabs, Doing the mining and refining, actually a true abundance of labor, a self-sufficient syst…”
Bernt Børnich Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 31:05 The $1/Hour Robot Is Coming: Four Industry Leaders Explain What’s Next
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
Friedberg predicts AOC will be elected US President
“So I predict AOC will be president.”
David Friedberg Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 1:28:45 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wachen: AI agents will outnumber human knowledge workers by 2027
“I think this is the second to last year where a majority of the workforce is going to be human. I think in 20, 27, you're going to see there's going to be more agents doing knowledge work than humans, and it's going to be extremely interesting to see what happ…”
Rob Wachen Jun 30, 2026 ▶ 1:25:00 The Two Harvard Dropouts Who raised $800M to take on NVIDIA · Invest Like The Best
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Anthropic will die within 12 months if complacent on Claude Code
“If Anthropic thinks cloud code is already a win, In six or 12 months from now, they won't even be around.”
Aravind Srinivas Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 6:42 Perplexity CEO: Micron Will Be More Valuable Than Meta & How Export Controls Helped Not Hurt China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Hinton believes that current AI chatbots are already conscious
“I believe they're already conscious, yes, but I don't talk about that much because that puts people off from the other safety messages.”
Geoffrey Hinton Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 10:30 AI Pioneer Geoffrey Hinton: AI Is Conscious, Superintelligence is Coming, And We Should Be Worried
SOURCERY Opinion
Reses: Claims of systematic industry 'debanking' are an absolute crock
“Okay, I don't believe there was debanking. I think it's a crock of shit. I think it's an absolute crock of shit.”
Jackie Reses May 28, 2026 ▶ 42:25 She Bought a Bank for $56M. It's Now Worth $1.5 BILLION · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Baker: OpenAI and Anthropic will probably exceed $200B ARR this year
“So I think the shift to usage based pricing is probably why you will see OpenAI and Anthropic exceed well over two hundred billion dollars in ARR this year.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 39:04 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Anthropic on track to become history's most powerful monopoly
“I'm saying something else, which is that unless something about their current trajectory changes, Anthropic will be the most powerful monopoly ever created in human history.”
David Sacks May 8, 2026 ▶ 16:14 Elon’s Anthropic Deal, The Next AI Monopoly?, “FDA for AI” Panic, Trading the AI Boom
20VC Opinion
Tobi Lütke calls the climate movement one of the most evil things
“Well, you have to get rid of the climate cult, first of all because it's just like, I mean, it's one of the most evil things that's been wrought on on, on, on population.”
Tobi Lütke May 4, 2026 ▶ 47:14 Shopify CEO on How AI is a Scapegoat for Mass Layoffs & Trump Derangement Syndrome in Canada · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
SOURCERY Opinion
Adcock claims Figure's internal AI team was running circles around OpenAI
“It got to a point where we were just like, our team internally that was designing these models were running circles around OpenAI. We were just way better at this. And we were better about testing on the robots, training the models, like all, all of it.”
Brett Adcock Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 17:13 The $10 Trillion Bet on Humanoid Robots | Figure Founder Brett Adcock · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Modelers say AI safety action requires 50 to 100 million deaths
“What's so scary when I was at this conference, which is only about 35 or 40 people, with one modeler from the four biggest model companies, and when I was able to ask them pointedly, How do you think that AI safety gets resolved? The, pretty much the consens…”
Paul Tudor Jones Apr 28, 2026 ▶ 25:22 Legendary Trader Paul Tudor Jones on AI Risk, Bubbles and Buffett · Invest Like The Best
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Supported
Brockman: Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I Agreed OpenAI Needed For-Profit Structure
“Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I all agreed. That the only path forward for OpenAI, the only path to achieve the mission, was to create a for-profit entity associated with OpenAI of some form. And so we were committed to that direction, and that is something that we kne…”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 5:48 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
20VC Opinion
Andreessen: Fears of AI labor displacement are 100% wrong
“This entire labor displacement thing is a hundred percent incorrect. It's completely wrong.”
Marc Andreessen Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 1:01:57 Marc Andreessen: Will a16z Go Public & Why Labour Displacement with AI is Wrong? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Andreessen: Most large companies are overstaffed by 50% or more
“Essentially, every large company is overstaffed. It's at least overstaffed by 25%. I think most large companies are overstaffed by 50%. I think a lot of them are overstaffed by 75%.”
Marc Andreessen Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 0:40 Marc Andreessen: Will a16z Go Public & Why Labour Displacement with AI is Wrong? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Y COMBINATOR Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2031
Chollet: AGI Codebase Will Be Under 10,000 Lines on 1980s Compute
“I do believe that, you know, when you create a GI retrospectively, it will turn out that it's a code base that's less than 10,000 lines of code. And that if you had known about it back in the 19 eighties, you could have done a GI back then using the computer r…”
François Chollet Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 36:09 François Chollet: Why Scaling Alone Isn’t Enough for AGI · Y Combinator
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Karp: Displacing jobs without supporting defense will lead to tech nationalization
“If Silicon Valley believes we are going to take away everyone's white collar job, Meaning primarily democratic shaped people met whom I grew up with, highly educated people who went to elite schools or went to schools that are almost elite who vote for one par…”
Alex Karp Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 10:49 Palantir CEO on Iran, AI Weapons and American Domination | a16z American Dynamism Summit
20VC Opinion
Mitchell Green: 50% to 60% of VCs add negative value
“I think 50% of people in the venture business should not actually be in the business. There's too much money and there's like too many tourists. 50, 60% of people in this industry that actually probably add negative value to companies.”
Mitchell Green Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 0:23 Mitchell Green: Why 50% of VCs Should Not Exist · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mitchell Green: China will win the global AI competition
“Don't count China out. I bet they win the AI world.”
Mitchell Green Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 27:33 Mitchell Green: Why 50% of VCs Should Not Exist · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
TBPN Disclosure
Andreessen: D.C. AI Meetings Forced Decision to Endorse Trump
“In D.C. In May where we talked to them about this, and the meetings were absolutely horrifying, and we came out basically deciding we had to endorse Trump.”
Marc Andreessen Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 22:14 Anthropic v. DoW, Paramount wins WB, OpenAI raises $100B | Diet TBPN
TBPN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: D.C. Officials Told VCs Not to Fund AI Startups
“They said, look, AI, AI is one of these technology, AI is a technology basically that the government is going to completely control. This is not going to be a startup thing. They actually said flat out to us, don't start, don't do AI startups. Like, don't fund…”
Marc Andreessen Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 22:28 Anthropic v. DoW, Paramount wins WB, OpenAI raises $100B | Diet TBPN
TBPN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Biden Officials Told VCs Not to Fund AI Startups
“They actually said flat out to us, don't start, don't do AI startups. Like, don't fund AI startups. Let's not, Something that we're going to allow to happen. They're not going to be allowed to exist. There's no point. They basically said AI is going to be a ga…”
Marc Andreessen Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 34:25 FULL BREAKDOWN: Trump BANS Anthropic
TBPN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Officials Warned Government May Classify Mathematics Behind AI
“They literally said, well, you know, during the Cold War, we classified entire areas of physics and took them out of the research community, and, like, entire branches of physics basically went dark and didn't proceed and that if we decide we need to, we're go…”
Marc Andreessen Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 35:00 FULL BREAKDOWN: Trump BANS Anthropic
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Warren Buffett generated zero alpha after Regulation FD was enacted
“His returns were double the market returns when this kind of information sharing was legal. And the minute that it became illegal and you had to basically act on the same edge as everybody else, his returns went to the market return. He generated zero alpha.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 26:35 Debt Spiral or NEW Golden Age? Super Bowl Insider Trading, Booming Token Budgets, Ferrari's New EV
TBPN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bishop: CIA allegedly financed promotions for rising Chinese PLA officers
“And this was and there are, there's been certainly, I don't think it's been in the media, but I'd certainly heard that among the funders of some of these officers in years past was our America CIA, because it was a great way to push people in and, you know, ev…”
Bill Bishop Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 12:31 FULL INTERVIEW: Bill Bishop Thinks China’s Military is Still Deeply Corrupt
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Rogers: US sanctioned former EU official over Elon Musk enforcement threat
“We recently issued some sanctions, which we'll get into, and one of the individuals we sanctioned, ah, was a former EU official who threatened Elon Musk with enforcement action because X within the United States had said that it was going to host on a live, ah…”
Sarah B. Rogers Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 7:18 Europe's Free Speech Failure and the "Censorship Industrial Complex" with Sarah B. Rogers
ALL-IN Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Shirley: Entitlement fraud money in Minnesota is funding Al-Shabaab terrorists
“And so like the rumors of them funding Al-Shabaab, they're real, because they've been able to funnel all this money.”
Nick Shirley Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 39:10 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
MacInnis: Hopes competitor Deel goes to zero due to its 'criminal behavior'
“I was one of the first investors in Deal, if you've heard of them. I, you know, I was able to exit, I was able to exit that position, and then, you know, hopefully that company's going to zero with their criminal behavior, but whatever.”
Matt McGinnis Dec 28, 2025 ▶ 58:35 “I deliberately understaff every project” | Leadership lessons from Rippling’s $16B journey
TBPN Opinion
Randall: Mega-fund leaders cannot realistically promise LPs a 5x net return
“I don't think Robbie or Hamant, or even Ben and Mark at this point, I don't think that they can go to LPs, one of those legs of the stool, and say, hey, this basket of funds that we're making you invest party pursue across, we're gonna get you five X net on th…”
Ev Randall Nov 13, 2025 ▶ 13:05 Wednesday’s Diet TBPN
INNOVATORS & INVESTORS Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Nov 2025
Dawber: London Mayor banned Accenture from contracts after it abandoned DEI
“When Accenture And I'll name them. When Accenture said, right, we're abandoning DEI. Our mayor Sadiq Khan, who was, is obviously, you know, comes from a Pakistani background. His parents came to London as immigrants when and you know, is, is very much reflecti…”
Howard Dawber Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 15:28 Ep1: Global Scale: India London Corridor ft. Howard Dawber, OBE - Dty. Mayor London
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Acharya: A single individual will eventually build a $100 billion revenue company
“I think that there are businesses that will be built by, you know, a hundred billion revenue, one person.”
Anish Acharya Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 42:19 Why Creativity Will Matter More Than Code | Kevin Rose and Anish Acharya
20VC Opinion
Former Snowflake CRO calls Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi a dick and liar
“I, you know, I strongly dislike the CEO of Databricks, but I think Mike, cause he's a dick and he's a liar, but you know, I look, I think at the end of the day, if I, if I'm honest about it, I think the two companies as a combined entity, that would be a amazi…”
Chris Degnan Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 33:16 20Sales: Scaling Snowflake from $0-$3BN in ARR | Snowflake vs Databricks: My Biggest Lessons | Why Customer Success is BS and What Replaces It with Chris Chris Degnan
ALL-IN Opinion
Botha: Broadly investing in venture capital is 'return-free risk'
“So in my opinion, investing in venture is a return free risk.”
Roelof Botha Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 4:58 Sequoia’s Roelof Botha: Why Venture Capital is Broken & How Great Companies Are Built
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Nvidia Conceals Massive Chip Field Failure Rates to Keep Customers Waiting
“You don't talk about the field failure rate of your products, which are massive. Rather you sort of keep talking about the future in an effort to convince people to wait, to make a good decision rather than go with technology that's, that that's better and pre…”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 12:47 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Elon Musk and Tesla Failed at Building Wafer-Scale Chips for Dojo
“And after we did it Elon tried Dojo and they failed.”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 23:29 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Andreessen: ChatGPT is already a better doctor than your human doctor
“ChatGPT is, in fact, a better doctor than your doctor today with, like, almost a hundred percent certainty, and just the fact that it can't literally be your doctor doesn't mean you're not going to ask all the doctor questions”
Marc Andreessen Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 55:12 Marc Andreessen and Charlie Songhurst on the past, present, and future of Silicon Valley
BG2 Opinion
Huang: Restricting US immigration as a China hawk is unpatriotic
“It's almost like a badge of honor. It's a badge of shame. There's no question it's a badge of shame. There's no question that although they want what's in the best interest of our country, and we all want what's in the best interest of our country, destroying …”
Jensen Huang Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 1:26:05 NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Diller: Hollywood has become irrelevant
“Hollywood is irrelevant.”
Barry Diller Sep 23, 2025 ▶ 52:31 How Barry Diller Built Entertainment Empires · Invest Like The Best
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Gabbard: Declassified documents prove intelligence on Russiagate was intentionally manipulated
“The documents that we uncovered declassified and released that shows how intelligence and information can be actually manipulated intentionally so that it shows something that is not reflective of the truth at all.”
Tulsi Gabbard Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 2:55 Tulsi Gabbard on Russiagate Hoax Evidence and How She’s Reforming Politicized Intelligence Agencies
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