Venture capital, startups and investing, on tape.

Every prediction, opinion and bold claim from Cheeky Pint: extracted from the transcript, verified against the tape, checked against cited public sources, playable at the exact moment it was said.

357 assertions210 insights157 disclosures126 predictions111 opinions6 what-ifs

Recently on the ledger full ledger →

Opinion
Andreessen: ChatGPT is already a better doctor than your human doctor
“ChatGPT is, in fact, a better doctor than your doctor today with, like, almost a hundred percent certainty, and just the fact that it can't literally be your doctor doesn't mean you're not going to ask all the doctor questions”
Marc Andreessen Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 55:12 Marc Andreessen and Charlie Songhurst on the past, present, and future of Silicon Valley
Opinion
Lütke: Prime Minister Trudeau's push toward socialism inevitably leads to poverty
“It's very much veered into socialism under, under Trudeau. He pushed that very, very hard I am very much hoping that, ah, Mark is helping all of Canada to figure out that that's a successful discovery of something that doesn't work, because obviously that kind…”
Tobi Lütke Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 1:32:21 Tobi Lütke is still captivated by internet commerce, 20 years later
Opinion
AI software generation overcomes the Apple App Store lock-in moat
“So I think you know, I think the entire engineering paradigm, the way that software is built now enables you know, a totally different way of thinking about specs and about our platform. And frankly, overcomes the biggest hurdle that we were facing, which was …”
Evan Spiegel Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 19:50 What comes after smartphones, with Evan Spiegel of Snap
Assertion Supported
Independent studies show Snapchat boosts well-being, unlike TikTok or Instagram
“And I think what's so fascinating, I think now there's been maybe three or more of them, one out of Australia, I think one out of the Netherlands or something, one in the U.S., that show that Snapchat actually has a positive impact on people's well-being and r…”
Evan Spiegel Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 44:46 What comes after smartphones, with Evan Spiegel of Snap
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pichai: AI models will break security across all regular software
“These models are definitely, like, really gonna break pretty much all software out there. Maybe already we don't know if we sit here and speak.”
Sundar Pichai Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 34:29 The history and future of AI at Google, with Sundar Pichai
Opinion
Dolgov: Pure pixels-in end-to-end models cannot easily achieve scale and safety
“If you think about this entire ecosystem of the driver, the simulator, the critic, if that's all you do, pixels in, trajectories out, it becomes very difficult to do all of those three and achieve the high level of safety and performance that we require, and i…”
Dmitri Dolgov Mar 24, 2026 ▶ 13:33 The 20-year journey to fully autonomous cars with Dmitri Dolgov of Waymo

How the calls resolved the full record →

Assertion Supported
DeWahl: No nuclear micro-reactors are commercially available today
“Well, the market for micro-reactors is one of these ones where it's like, well, there are no micro-reactors today on the market to just like buy and use.”
Julia DeWahl Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 9:53 Julia DeWahl of Antares on building nuclear reactors for the US military
Assertion Contradicted
Xu: DoorDash's Dot robot uniquely navigates roads, sidewalks, and bike lanes
“And the sidewalk and the bike lane. And so it's the only vehicle in the world that does that.”
Tony Xu Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 1:16:23 The economics and trends of the restaurant industry, with Tony Xu of DoorDash
Assertion Supported
DeWahl: The US launched a nuclear reactor into space in the 1960s
“We actually put one reactor into space in the 19 sixties to test that out.”
Julia DeWahl Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 13:15 Julia DeWahl of Antares on building nuclear reactors for the US military
Assertion Contradicted
Collison: Mainstream AI chat interfaces still lack persistent memory in 2026
“Still in twenty-twenty-six, if you open a new Gemini chat, or if you open a new ChatGPG chat, it's basically a blank slate. There's no memory.”
John Collison Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 1:25 Bret Taylor of Sierra on AI agents, outcome-based pricing, and the OpenAI board

Open predictions the full timeline →

572days Pichai: 40 million Americans will soon have Wing drone delivery access Sundar Pichai · prediction date: 2028-04-07 1079days Wu: Developers will stop using code as primary interface in 2-4 years Scott Wu · prediction date: 2029-08-27 1205days Staniszewski: Advanced voice AI will reach cars via cloud in 2026 Mati Staniszewski · prediction date: 2029-12-31 1205days Ben Thompson: The tech industry faces a massive chip shortage around 2029 Ben Thompson · prediction date: 2029-12-31

Track records all people →

Ordered by full support rate, then by supported count. Minimum three resolved. Partly supported claims count as resolved but not as fully supported, same as everywhere on the ledger.

PersonEpsStatementsSupportedPartly supportedContradictedFull support rate
Dmitri Dolgov 1 21 6 0 0 100%
Sundar Pichai 1 29 5 0 0 100%
Tarek Mansour 1 15 4 0 0 100%
Christina Cacioppo 1 22 3 0 0 100%
Julia DeWahl 1 33 17 0 1 94%
Luana Lopes Lara 1 24 5 1 0 83%
Evan Spiegel 1 30 3 0 1 75%
Alex Depledge 1 6 3 0 1 75%

From the Wisdom Wall all quotes →

“Rough math, you know, for every dollar of food that if you and I bought inside of a restaurant, you know, from the cost structure, you're gonna have 30% of that in the food and the packaging. You're…”

“It just turns out it's extraordinarily difficult, however, unless you're a large brand, or, you know, um, you know, a, a house of brands, someone like DoorDash, to be able to attract enough customers…”

“I think the second part is market sizing is bullshit. Um, you know, you can, like, be as academic or whatever, strategery-ish, um, as you want about it, and, like, the market size today is only a…”

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