Prediction Open AI assessment confidence: 90% certainty 3/5 debate potential 5/5

Chollet: AGI Codebase Will Be Under 10,000 Lines on 1980s Compute

François Chollet · François Chollet: Why Scaling Alone Isn’t Enough for AGI · Y Combinator · Mar 27, 2026 · at 36:09

AI researcher and ARC Prize creator François Chollet discusses the architectural requirements for artificial general intelligence with Garry Tan.

0:00 / 0:18exact quote · 18.6s
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“I do believe that, you know, when you create a GI retrospectively, it will turn out that it's a code base that's less than 10,000 lines of code. And that if you had known about it back in the 19 eighties, you could have done a GI back then using the computer resources available.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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Prediction Not checkable as stated
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Assertion Not checkable as stated
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