artificial general intelligence
also referred to as: agi
37 statements across 21 episodes · 22 bullish · 5 bearish · 19 people on the record · first statement Jun 28, 2017 by Murray Shanahan · across every show →
Everything said about artificial general intelligence, oldest first
Jun 28, 2017 negative
Apr 25, 2018 positive
Brundage: AGI accountability may be easier than thought if corrigibility stabilizes feedback
“Corrigibility, what he calls corrigibility, and what others have called corrigibility, might actually be, like, a stable basin of attraction, in the sense that if a system, you know is designed in such a way that it's able to, like, take critical feedback, and…”
Nov 8, 2018 positive
Nov 8, 2018 bullish
Feb 28, 2023 bearish
Habib: Software engineers will be among the first jobs automated by AGI
“When we do get towards things that look like AGI, I suspect that developers will actually be one of the first jobs to see large fractions of their job be automated, which I think is very counterintuitive but also predicting the future is hard, so.”
Nov 1, 2024 bullish
Tan: AGI is effectively already here for most knowledge worker tasks
“Like you could make a strong case that AGI is basically already here. The majority of the tasks that, you know, 98% of knowledge workers do day-to-day it is now possible for a software engineer probably sitting in front of cursor, to write something that gets …”
Nov 8, 2024 positive
Nov 8, 2024 bullish
Altman: OpenAI now knows the path to building AGI
“This is the first time ever where I felt like we actually know what to do. Like, I think from here to Building an AGI will still take a huge amount of work. There are some known unknowns, but I think we basically know what to go do, and it'll take a while.”
Nov 8, 2024 bullish
Altman: AI will reach Level 3 autonomous agents faster than expected
“Three is agents ability to go off and do these longer-term tasks You know, maybe like multiple interactions with an environment, asking people for help when they need it, working together, all of that. And I think we're gonna get there faster than people expec…”
Nov 14, 2024 positive
Friedman: Altman founded OpenAI believing AGI would accelerate all scientific progress
“I remember back when he was starting open AI, one of the things that really motivated him to do it was he believed that when we actually had AGI basically be better at doing science than humans were, and therefore would accelerate the rate of all scientific pr…”
Nov 14, 2024
Jan 31, 2025 bullish
McGrew: LLMs have entered a pure scaling regime toward AGI
“And now that that has been cracked at this point, I think we actually have a very clear path to just focus on scaling. You know, we were, you know, talking about that you know, the zero to one part, that's not about scaling. I think there's a really strong cas…”
Feb 21, 2025
Ilya Sutskever defined AGI as unsupervised learning containing reinforcement learning
“And then he told me the only thing that matters is he drew two circles. One big circle, called it unsupervised learning, and then inside he said, reinforcement learning, another circle, and he said, this is AGI, every other research doesn't matter.”
Jul 1, 2025 positive
Jul 1, 2025 neutral
Fei-Fei Li: Modern AGI fundamentally mirrors the original 1950s AI goal
“The founding fathers of AI who came together in 1956 in Dartmouth, you know, the John McCarthy and Marvin Minsky of them, they wanted to solve the problem of machines that can think, and that's a problem that Turing, Alan Turing, also put forward a few years e…”
Jul 8, 2025
Taggar: The 'Last Window to Get Rich' Logic Is Flawed Under AGI
“If this is actually the last window to make money and get rich, then you're basically implying that, you know, that we're going to get some definition of AGI or ASI, or whatever you want to call it. That's like a necessary condition for that to be true. Like, …”
Jul 10, 2025 bearish
Jul 29, 2025 bullish
Sep 30, 2025 negative
Nick Joseph: Solving coding interview questions proved to be shockingly narrow, not AGI
“I used to think that if you had an AI that could solve coding interview questions, it would probably be AGI. I was like, that's what I did to get my job, I could probably do the job. And it turns out like, nope, nope, you solve those, it's shockingly narrow, a…”
Sep 30, 2025
Joseph: Technical AI steerability must precede debates over whose values to embed
“I think that's a really hard problem. I think it's, like, actually kind of downstream of being able to pick any. I think of it almost, I think one analogy I've heard that I like is, like, putting a steering wheel on a car. It's like, if you don't have a steeri…”
Sep 30, 2025
Joseph: Sci-fi underestimates AGI because AI software can be copied a billion times
“Sci-fi movies actually, like, underestimate the impact of it. Like, you always have this, like, one robot that's, like, a human. And I'm like, well, wouldn't you have, like, a billion of them? Like, you can just copy them everywhere. So you should picture, lik…”
Oct 7, 2025 bearish
Fisher: Post-AGI capital won't need labor buy-in, worsening wealth concentration
“But once AGI arrives, you don't need labor buy-in anymore. Right. Like you don't need folks like me to approve of the thing that you're building or of your morals or whatever. Right. Like capital begets capital in that world. And that can easily spiral out of …”
Oct 7, 2025 bullish
Oct 7, 2025 bullish
Feb 6, 2026 positive
Feb 17, 2026 bullish
Anthropic's path to safe AGI centers on coding and tool use
“You know, as Anthropic, I think for Ant, the bet has been coding
For a long time.
And the bet has been the path to save, to safe AGI is through coding.
And this is, this has kind of always been the idea.
And the way you get there is you teach the model how to …”
Feb 21, 2026 bullish
Feb 27, 2026 bullish
Fischer predicts Poetiq and base model S-curves will compound toward AGI
“Effectively you could say, like, each model or each set of models that we're working with will have their own S-curve. The poetic system, the poetic meta system itself, is also going to have its own S-curve. And so as the poetic meta system gets better, and as…”
Mar 27, 2026 neutral
Chollet: Human-Engineered Agent Harnesses Prove AI Is Far From AGI
“I mean, to me, the fact that you need humans to engineer these harnesses is also a sign that we're short of AGI today, because if we had AGI, you know, AGI would just make its own harness. It would not need to be told how to solve a problem.”
Mar 27, 2026 bullish
Chollet: AGI Codebase Will Be Under 10,000 Lines on 1980s Compute
“I do believe that, you know, when you create a GI retrospectively, it will turn out that it's a code base that's less than 10,000 lines of code. And that if you had known about it back in the 19 eighties, you could have done a GI back then using the computer r…”
Mar 27, 2026 bullish
Chollet: Artificial General Intelligence Will Likely Arrive Around ARC-6 or ARC-7
“My timeline to AGI, you know, if you just try to extrapolate from the current rate of progress and the amount of investment that's going into, not just the LLM stack, but also like side ideas, side bets that might work out, like, you know, India, for instance,…”
Mar 27, 2026
Apr 29, 2026 bullish
Hassabis: Current AI paradigms will be part of final AGI architecture
“The components that you just mentioned, I'm pretty sure will be part of the final architecture for AGI. So I think they've come such a long way now and we've proven out so many things about what they can do. I can't see a world in which we will sort of realize…”
Apr 29, 2026 bullish
Apr 29, 2026 neutral
Apr 29, 2026 positive
Apr 29, 2026 neutral