Venture capital, startups and investing, on tape.

Every prediction, opinion and bold claim from Sourcery: extracted from the transcript, verified against the tape, checked against cited public sources, playable at the exact moment it was said.

1,341 assertions734 insights632 disclosures516 opinions478 predictions12 what-ifs

Recently on the ledger full ledger →

Opinion
Reses: Claims of systematic industry 'debanking' are an absolute crock
“Okay, I don't believe there was debanking. I think it's a crock of shit. I think it's an absolute crock of shit.”
Jackie Reses May 28, 2026 ▶ 42:25 She Bought a Bank for $56M. It's Now Worth $1.5 BILLION · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Opinion
Adcock claims Figure's internal AI team was running circles around OpenAI
“It got to a point where we were just like, our team internally that was designing these models were running circles around OpenAI. We were just way better at this. And we were better about testing on the robots, training the models, like all, all of it.”
Brett Adcock Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 17:13 The $10 Trillion Bet on Humanoid Robots | Figure Founder Brett Adcock · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Opinion
Rabois: Opendoor should cut headcount from 1,400 to 200–300 max
“There's 1400 employees. There should be like more like 200 or 300 max”
Keith Rabois Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 4:27 Keith Rabois on Opendoor ($OPEN) Activist Turnaround · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
Sadeghi: Nucleus is the first company to optimize embryos for IQ
“This is the first time a company has partnered with a couple who have optimized their embryos on the basis of intelligence.”
Kian Sadeghi Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 1:41 Nucleus Launches First Genetically Optimized Embryo · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Opinion
Biden administration delayed Starliner rescue to deny Elon Musk a political win
“The Biden administration clearly turned that down because they didn't want to give SpaceX a political, an Elon, a political win against Boeing in the midst of the, you know, campaign was campaigning for Trump.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 11:12 Inside Varda’s Space Factory | Delian Asparouhov, Founders Fund & Varda · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not yet assessed · timeframe Sep 2031
Mavrookas: Saronic will test a hypersonic missile before a manned Navy vessel
“We're actually going to be able to launch a hypersonic missile off of the back of Marauder, which is an autonomous ship, Before the Navy completes their first test of a hypersonic missile off of a manned vessel.”
Dino Mavrookas Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 19:02 Dino Mavrookas: America Needs to Build Ships Again

How the calls resolved the full record →

Assertion Supported
Pre-2018 e-commerce and SaaS companies did not charge sales tax
“Before 2018, e-commerce and SaaS companies, they did not have to charge their customer sales tax.”
Rohit Badangay Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 17:18 Zamp's Series A: $14M in 15 Months · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
Noone: There has not been an engineering software IPO since 1986
“There hasn't been an engineering software IPO since 1986. It's been 40 years of the same major incumbents.”
Jordan Noone Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 28:37 Text-to-CAD: AI Revolutionizing Hardware Design with Jordan Noone of Zoo · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Goldstein: Archer Aviation is a 2028 Los Angeles Olympics sponsor
“Archer is the twenty-twenty-eight Los Angeles Summer Olympic sponsor.”
Adam Goldstein Jan 17, 2026 ▶ 45:01 I Tried Flying an Air Taxi With Archer’s CEO (Midnight Simulator) · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
No new nuclear reactor design has been fueled in 50 years
“There's no new nuclear design that has been fueled in the U S in the last 50 years.”
Doug Bernauer May 31, 2024 ▶ 20:49 Radiant CEO Doug Bernauer on Portable Nuclear Microreactors & the Future of Clean Energy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Open predictions the full timeline →

20days Chaddha: AI startups will capture 90% of VC funding within a year Navin Chaddha · prediction date: 2026-10-03 45days Maguire: Most United Airlines planes will have Starlink within nine months Shaun Maguire · prediction date: 2026-10-28 109days Maguire: SpaceX Starship will fly reliably and reusably in 2026 Shaun Maguire · prediction date: 2026-12-31 109days Cliffton: Zipline expects US delivery business to grow over 10x this year Keller Rinaudo Cliffton · prediction date: 2026-12-31

Track records all people →

Ordered by full support rate, then by supported count. Minimum three resolved. Partly supported claims count as resolved but not as fully supported, same as everywhere on the ledger.

PersonEpsStatementsSupportedPartly supportedContradictedFull support rate
Jordan Black 1 24 6 0 0 100%
Dara Khosrowshahi 1 16 4 0 0 100%
Paul Klein 1 33 4 0 0 100%
Jeff Morris Jr. 1 16 4 0 0 100%
Emil Michael 1 14 3 0 0 100%
Tony Kim 1 16 3 0 0 100%
Eric Allison 1 8 3 0 0 100%
Mitch Lee 1 7 3 0 0 100%

From the Wisdom Wall all quotes →

“And if you go back in history and you look at even just back to World War II, what has typically just determined naval power is who can build the most ships. It's not who can build the most exquisite,…”

“Yeah, Molly, my hottest take is I really do think that we're re-entering kind of the the world of the here and the now, and what I mean by that is I think being successful in real space, doing hard…”

“everything is a giant engineering compromise in the rocket world, and if you fill a room up with engineers, um, from every discipline, if one of those engineers from one of those disciplines is happy,…”

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