| 1K | “a thousand” | Mavrookas: China built over 1,000 commercial ships in 2024 versus five in the US | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “One percent” | Mavrookas: Only one percent of the defense budget went toward autonomy | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 57% | “57%” | Mavrookas: China controls 57% of global shipbuilding capacity | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 10, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Mavrookas: China built 1,000+ commercial ships in 2024 versus five US ships | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 8, 2026 | — |
| 1.5T | “1.5 trillion” | Mavrookas: Only 1% of US defense budget allocated to autonomy | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 8, 2026 | Supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Mavrookas: Only 1% of US defense budget allocated to autonomy | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Mavrookas: Only 1% of US defense budget allocated to autonomy | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 57% | “57%” | Mavrookas: China controls 57% of global shipbuilding capacity | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 8, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Mavrookas: Saronic announced multi-hundred million dollar Navy contract in December 2025 | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Mavrookas: Port Alpha will create 10,000 jobs and $160B economic impact | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 8, 2026 | Open |
| $1.2T | “1.2 trillion dollars” | Mavrookas: US Navy 30-year shipbuilding plan will cost $1.2 trillion | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 0.1% | “0.1%” | Mavrookas: China outbuilds the US 230-to-1 in shipbuilding | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 92M | “ninety two million” | Mavrookas: Saronic announced $392M Navy contract in December 2025 | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Mavrookas: Saronic's Mirage carries 3,500 pounds with a 2,500-nautical-mile range | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 15× | “15 times” | Mavrookas: Saronic's Mirage carries 3,500 pounds with a 2,500-nautical-mile range | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 7, 2026 | Supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Beck: Rocket Lab bought Virgin Orbit's $100M facility for $16M | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 28, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Beck: Spacecraft components are massive moats due to fractured supply chains | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 26, 2026 | — |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Beck: Rocket Lab reached orbit for under $100M with 80 people | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 26, 2026 | — |
| $1.2B | “1.2 billion dollars” | Beck: Branson poured $1.2B into Virgin Orbit before it went bankrupt | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 26, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 900M | “an eight hundred million” | Beck: Rocket Lab's $800M SDA deal grew past $1B supplying competing primes | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 24, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1B | “a billion” | Beck: Rocket Lab's $800M SDA deal grew past $1B supplying competing primes | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 24, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Beck: Rocket Lab Added Nearly $1B in Backlog in Record Quarter | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $8M | “eight million dollars” | Beck: Small Rockets Cannot Absorb $1.5M Launch Pad Fees | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Beck: Small Rockets Cannot Absorb $1.5M Launch Pad Fees | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 51M | “a fifty million” | Beck: Small Rockets Cannot Absorb $1.5M Launch Pad Fees | Sir Peter Beck | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Lamm: 20% of baby elephants die from EEHV | Ben Lamm | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1.5T | “half a trillion” | Lamm: Invasive species represent a half-trillion-dollar global problem | Ben Lamm | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lamm: Colossal achieved world-record multiplex gene editing in healthy woolly mice | Ben Lamm | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Lamm: ViaGen cloning efficiency reached 80% versus 2% industry norm | Ben Lamm | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Lamm: ViaGen cloning efficiency reached 80% versus 2% industry norm | Ben Lamm | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Lamm: Earth is forecasted to lose 50% of biodiversity within 25 years | Ben Lamm | Aug 20, 2026 | Didn’t hold up |
| 80% | “80%” | AI Handles Mainstream Tasks But Fails on Cybersecurity Edge Cases | Nikesh Arora | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “1%” | AI Handles Mainstream Tasks But Fails on Cybersecurity Edge Cases | Nikesh Arora | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | 10% to 20% of Enterprise Operating Spend May Shift to Tech | Nikesh Arora | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 8B | “a seven billion” | AppLovin generates over $7B EBITDA run rate with 75% cash conversion | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 75% | “75%” | AppLovin generates over $7B EBITDA run rate with 75% cash conversion | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Foroughi: AppLovin CEO avoids angel investing, conferences, and social media | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred-billion” | AppLovin dropped 92% post-IPO before rebounding to a $100B valuation | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 92% | “92%” | AppLovin dropped 92% post-IPO before rebounding to a $100B valuation | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Foroughi: Mobile gaming ad spend cannot support a $1T valuation | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Former AppLovin CTO Basil personally wrote roughly 60% of the company's code | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Neros CEO: Millennium One facility is sized for 1M drones annually | Soren Monroe-Anderson | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Monroe-Anderson says 90% of Russian Shahed drones are intercepted midair | Soren Monroe-Anderson | Aug 11, 2026 | Supported |
| 7M | “seven million” | Ukraine is projected to consume seven million FPV drones in 2026 | Soren Monroe-Anderson | Aug 11, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Monroe-Anderson: Neros sized its facility to eventually build 1M drones annually | Soren Monroe-Anderson | Aug 11, 2026 | — |
| 250M | “two hundred fifty million” | Monroe-Anderson: Neros raised a $250M Series C at a $2.5B valuation | Soren Monroe-Anderson | Aug 11, 2026 | — |
| 2.5B | “2.5 billion” | Monroe-Anderson: Neros raised a $250M Series C at a $2.5B valuation | Soren Monroe-Anderson | Aug 11, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Lopez: Base Power acts as a retail energy provider without requiring batteries | Justin Lopas | Aug 3, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Lopez: Base Power batteries offer 40 kWh capacity, triple traditional home units | Justin Lopas | Aug 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Fox: Coding Agents Have Expanded AssemblyAI's TAM by 100x | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Fox: AssemblyAI processes four times YouTube's daily audio volume on peak weeks | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Fox: AssemblyAI processes four times YouTube's daily audio volume on peak weeks | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four X” | Fox: AssemblyAI processes four times YouTube's daily audio volume on peak weeks | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Fox: AssemblyAI handles nearly 100 million daily API calls from developers | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Fox: AssemblyAI handles nearly 100 million daily API calls from developers | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Fox: Training data drives roughly 75 percent of AI model performance | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 800% | “800%” | Fox: AssemblyAI weekly conversation volume grew 800 percent over three years | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Hurlston: Hyperscalers request millions of optical units versus historical thousands | Michael Hurlston | Jul 29, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Wu: Cognition writes roughly 95% of its code using Devin | Scott Wu | Jul 27, 2026 | — |
| 7× | “seven X” | Wu: Cognition's shipped code increased roughly 7x in six months | Scott Wu | Jul 27, 2026 | — |
| 80M | “eighty million” | Cognition Had $70M–$80M ARR and 35–40 People When Buying Windsurf | Scott Wu | Jul 27, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Wu: Cognition Offered to Play Thiel's Firm in Poker for 1% Equity | Scott Wu | Jul 27, 2026 | — |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Tony Kim: AI compute requires $10 trillion in CapEx over five years | Tony Kim | Jul 24, 2026 | — |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Global tech market cap is $10T software, $20T Mag-7, $30T hardware | Tony Kim | Jul 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 20T | “20 trillion” | Global tech market cap is $10T software, $20T Mag-7, $30T hardware | Tony Kim | Jul 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 40B | “forty billion” | Friedberg: California is functionally bankrupt with a $30B–$40B budget deficit | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 6× | “six X” | Friedberg: Higher ed administrative staff grew 6x over 30 years while enrollment stayed flat | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 40% | “40%” | Friedberg: US private pensions dropped below 8%, while government pensions stayed at 90% | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Friedberg: US private pensions dropped below 8%, while government pensions stayed at 90% | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg: US private pensions dropped below 8%, while government pensions stayed at 90% | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Friedberg: Tax unrealized gains, raise capital gains to 40%, cut income taxes | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Friedberg: Tax unrealized gains, raise capital gains to 40%, cut income taxes | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 18% | “18%” | Friedberg: Tax unrealized gains, raise capital gains to 40%, cut income taxes | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Friedberg: Tax unrealized gains, raise capital gains to 40%, cut income taxes | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Friedberg: US Should Target Converting 2% of Workers to Capitalists Annually | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg: Ending federal student loans solves 90% of education cost inflation | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Friedberg: K-shaped economy is driven by wealth divergence, not job availability | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| $8T | “eight trillion dollars” | Friedberg: US billionaires hold $8T of $183T wealth while bottom 50% hold $4T | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 4T | “four trillion” | Friedberg: US billionaires hold $8T of $183T wealth while bottom 50% hold $4T | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 51M | “a fifty million” | Friedberg: US billionaires hold $8T of $183T wealth while bottom 50% hold $4T | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Friedberg: US billionaires hold $8T of $183T wealth while bottom 50% hold $4T | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Desai: ElevenLabs runs over 50 million agents on MongoDB | CJ Desai | Jul 20, 2026 | Open |
| 16B | “a fifteen billion” | Desai: ServiceNow nears $15B revenue after Luddy founded it bankrupt at 50 | CJ Desai | Jul 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Agrawal: Decagon routes roughly 90% of its production through open-source models | Apoorv Agrawal | Jul 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Cohen: Navan grew revenue 40% last quarter and turned profitable | Ariel Cohen | Jul 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Cohen: Navan grew revenue 40% last quarter and turned profitable | Ariel Cohen | Jul 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | Cohen: Navan reaches over $10 billion in annual bookings | Ariel Cohen | Jul 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 19% | “19%” | Cook: Enterprise open-source LLM spend dropped from 19% to 11% | Max Cook | Jul 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 11% | “11%” | Cook: Enterprise open-source LLM spend dropped from 19% to 11% | Max Cook | Jul 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Grinberg: 90% of AI tokens will use open models within 12 months | Matan Grinberg | Jul 19, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Grinberg: Enterprise open model token share surged past 10% by May | Matan Grinberg | Jul 19, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Grinberg: Enterprise open model token share surged past 10% by May | Matan Grinberg | Jul 19, 2026 | — |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Johnston: SpaceX will reach a $10 trillion valuation within years | Philip Johnston | Jul 19, 2026 | Open |
| 2B | “a one billion” | Liang: SambaNova announces $1B Series F at an $11B valuation | Rodrigo Liang | Jul 19, 2026 | — |
| 11B | “eleven billion” | Liang: SambaNova announces $1B Series F at an $11B valuation | Rodrigo Liang | Jul 19, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Rodrigo Liang: SambaNova closes $1B round at $11B valuation | Rodrigo Liang | Jul 17, 2026 | — |
| 12B | “an eleven billion” | Rodrigo Liang: SambaNova closes $1B round at $11B valuation | Rodrigo Liang | Jul 17, 2026 | — |
| 1.5T | “a half trillion” | Liang: SambaNova serves 1.5T parameter models on one rack versus 10-20 | Rodrigo Liang | Jul 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Liang: Frontier AI models are heading toward 10 trillion parameters | Rodrigo Liang | Jul 17, 2026 | — |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Liang: Frontier AI models are heading toward 10 trillion parameters | Rodrigo Liang | Jul 17, 2026 | — |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Liang: SambaNova has raised $2.5 billion in total capital | Rodrigo Liang | Jul 17, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Venner: Broadcom scaled from $400M to $8.6B across 52 acquisitions | Ken Venner | Jul 16, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Venner: Broadcom scaled from $400M to $8.6B across 52 acquisitions | Ken Venner | Jul 16, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 8.6B | “8.6 billion” | Venner: Broadcom scaled from $400M to $8.6B across 52 acquisitions | Ken Venner | Jul 16, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Venner: Adding process too early constrains companies and stunts growth | Ken Venner | Jul 16, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Venner: SpaceX scaled from 1 booster/year to 40 boosters/year | Ken Venner | Jul 16, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Venner: Operational models are not proven repeatable until built three times | Ken Venner | Jul 16, 2026 | — |
| $65M | “sixty-five million dollars” | Senra Systems Closes $65M Series B Led by Lowercarbon and Interlagos | Jordan Black | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Black: Wire harnessing can reach 25% of a vehicle's cost | Jordan Black | Jul 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Black: SpaceX outsourced 95% of Falcon and Dragon wire harnesses | Jordan Black | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Venner: Broadcom grew from $400M to $8.6B revenue across 52 acquisitions | Ken Venner | Jul 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Venner: Broadcom grew from $400M to $8.6B revenue across 52 acquisitions | Ken Venner | Jul 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 8.6B | “8.6 billion” | Venner: Broadcom grew from $400M to $8.6B revenue across 52 acquisitions | Ken Venner | Jul 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Venner: SpaceX scaled from 1 to 40 boosters annually with Warp Drive | Ken Venner | Jul 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Venner: An operational model is not proven replicable until built three times | Ken Venner | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | Feldman: Cerebras to provide OpenAI over $20B in hardware | Andrew Feldman | Jul 13, 2026 | — |
| 20× | “20 x” | Feldman: Cerebras AI inference is 20x faster than competitors | Andrew Feldman | Jul 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Feldman: Cerebras IPO created about 1,000 employee millionaires | Andrew Feldman | Jul 13, 2026 | — |
| 58× | “58 times” | Feldman: Cerebras chip is 58x larger but fits standard data center racks | Andrew Feldman | Jul 13, 2026 | Supported |
| $15B | “fifteen billion dollars” | Mathew: Accel bought Facebook secondary shares around a $20B valuation | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | Supported |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | Mathew: Accel bought Facebook secondary shares around a $20B valuation | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Mathew: Accel modeled Facebook secondary investment at 5X upside | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | Mathew: Accel modeled Facebook secondary investment at 5X upside | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| 8B | “A seven billion” | Clements: Accel has assembled a $7 billion portfolio of AI investments | Miles Clements | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| 80M | “eighty million” | Mathew: Accel now regularly invests $500M to over $1B per company | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| $500M | “five hundred million dollars” | Mathew: Accel now regularly invests $500M to over $1B per company | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Mathew: Accel now regularly invests $500M to over $1B per company | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Clements: The market will see $10 trillion companies in the next cycle | Miles Clements | Jul 6, 2026 | Open |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Clements: The market will see $10 trillion companies in the next cycle | Miles Clements | Jul 6, 2026 | Open |
| 30% | “30%” | Miller: Volozh correctly refused to sell his 30% ClickHouse stake to Accel | Matt Miller | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Clements: Accel's $150M PIPE investment in Nebius is up 13x in 16 months | Miles Clements | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| 13× | “13 x” | Clements: Accel's $150M PIPE investment in Nebius is up 13x in 16 months | Miles Clements | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| 350% | “350%” | Mathew: Supabase is growing 350% at hundreds of millions in scale | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Mathew: 60% of Y Combinator companies now choose Supabase | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 9M | “nine million” | Mathew: Supabase grew from under 1M to 9M developers in over a year | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Mathew: Supabase grew from under 1M to 9M developers in over a year | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 7× | “seven times” | Clements: 7x more CFOs are telling developers to increase AI token spending | Miles Clements | Jul 6, 2026 | Open |
| 30% | “30%” | Mathew: Elon Musk is reserving 30% of the SpaceX IPO for retail | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Field: Figma engineers multiply productivity tenfold using specialized AI agent swarms | Dylan Field | Jul 2, 2026 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Randle: AI startups can hit $1B revenue without proving unit economics | Ev Randle | Jun 29, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Randle: Gross margins are below 70% for 99% of AI app companies | Ev Randle | Jun 29, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Randle: Gross margins are below 70% for 99% of AI app companies | Ev Randle | Jun 29, 2026 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Randle: First Kleiner Perkins deal was SpaceX at $100B+ valuation | Ev Randle | Jun 29, 2026 | — |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Randle: Snowflake pre-IPO round turned $500M into $2.5B in four years | Ev Randle | Jun 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Randle: Snowflake pre-IPO round turned $500M into $2.5B in four years | Ev Randle | Jun 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $4B | “four billion dollars” | Randle: Multiple people I know hold $3B to $4B in Anthropic | Ev Randle | Jun 29, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Armstrong: 80% of Crypto Trading Volume Moved Offshore | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Armstrong: Four billion people worldwide are unbrokered without U.S. investment access | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 83% | “83%” | Armstrong: 83% of Americans say the financial system is not working for them | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Armstrong: Replace accredited investor wealth rules with financial literacy tests | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 2× | “two X” | Armstrong: Code shipped per developer at Coinbase is up 2x year-over-year | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Armstrong: I spend 80% of media time on new media | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Armstrong: I spend 80% of media time on new media | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Armstrong: Open-source AI models lag frontier models by 3–6 months at 99% lower cost | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Armstrong: 80% of Coinbase AI workloads will run on cheap models within 18 months | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Armstrong: 80% of Coinbase AI workloads will run on cheap models within 18 months | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Armstrong: 80% of Coinbase AI workloads will run on cheap models within 18 months | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 3.5% | “3.5%” | Armstrong: Coinbase launched direct deposit paying 3.5% yield on cash | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 11M | “a ten million” | Pincus: First Round Offered Repeat Founders $250k Notes Sight Unseen | Mark Pincus | Jun 23, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 5T | “five trillion” | Pincus: Multi-trillion tech companies will reach $10T to $20T valuations | Mark Pincus | Jun 23, 2026 | Open |
| 20T | “20 trillion” | Pincus: Multi-trillion tech companies will reach $10T to $20T valuations | Mark Pincus | Jun 23, 2026 | Open |
| 1% | “1%” | Slotowicz: Share of people flying private will more than double | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Slotowicz: Dedicated pilots for private aircraft cost $1M to $2M annually | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 5M | “five million” | Slotowicz: Pre-owned private jet prices range from $3M to $30M across categories | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | Open |
| $30M | “30 million dollars” | Slotowicz: Pre-owned private jet prices range from $3M to $30M across categories | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | Open |
| 4M | “four million” | Buying a private jet is cheap; operations cost $2M–$4M annually, says Slotowicz | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Slotowicz: 70% of private aircraft buyers pay entirely in cash | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Slotowicz: 70% of private aircraft buyers pay entirely in cash | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Slotowicz: 80% of Aircraft Parts Cause Immediate Grounding If Broken | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Slotowicz: 80% of Aircraft Parts Cause Immediate Grounding If Broken | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | — |
| 35% | “35%” | Slotowicz: Top 5 charter providers flew 35% of 2025 hours | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Slotowicz: 90% of Craft private charter missions prefer no flight attendant | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Pereyra: Vertical AI Does Not Need Trillion-Parameter Models for Narrow Tasks | Gabe Pereyra | Jun 18, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Pereyra: Competition among frontier and open-source models will check AI pricing | Gabe Pereyra | Jun 18, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Pereyra: Competition among frontier and open-source models will check AI pricing | Gabe Pereyra | Jun 18, 2026 | — |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Harvey reached roughly 960 employees, 2,000 customers, and $300M ARR | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “one trillion” | Harvey's monthly token usage grew from 1T in January to 13T | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 13T | “13 trillion” | Harvey's monthly token usage grew from 1T in January to 13T | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 36% | “36%” | Harvey's DAU/MAU ratio jumped from roughly 36% to 52% | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 52% | “52%” | Harvey's DAU/MAU ratio jumped from roughly 36% to 52% | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 42% | “42%” | In-house corporate legal teams make up 42% of Harvey's business | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Weinberg: Enterprise software product bar is astronomically higher in AI | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Weinberg: Harvey has an over 70% win rate in Europe | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 10M | “ten million” | Zhao: Zauey Talks reaches 350K followers and 10M monthly impressions | Claire Zhao | Jun 15, 2026 | — |
| 40B | “forty billion” | O'Shea: Over $240B in 2025 Venture Secondaries Represented 31% of Venture Volume | Molly O'Shea | Jun 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 31% | “31%” | O'Shea: Over $240B in 2025 Venture Secondaries Represented 31% of Venture Volume | Molly O'Shea | Jun 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 200× | “200 times” | SpaceX will launch close to 200 times this year, says Fishner-Wolfson | Justin Fishner Wolfson | Jun 14, 2026 | Partly held up |
| 20× | “20 times” | SpaceX will launch close to 200 times this year, says Fishner-Wolfson | Justin Fishner Wolfson | Jun 14, 2026 | Partly held up |
| 10% | “10%” | Peter Thiel won the early Facebook deal by accepting a 10% stake | Justin Fishner Wolfson | Jun 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three X” | Singerman claims a 12-year 3x venture fund loses to Vanguard | Brian Singerman | Jun 11, 2026 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Romo: 137 Ventures holds over 1% of SpaceX | Eric Romo | Jun 2, 2026 | — |
| $80M | “eighty million dollars” | Romo: Falcon Heavy costs $70M to $80M more than Falcon 9 | Eric Romo | Jun 2, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $71B | “seventy one billion dollars” | Romo: Space Force budget request has grown to $71 billion | Eric Romo | Jun 2, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Romo: MEO and GEO defense requires rapid spacecraft mobility, not proliferation | Eric Romo | Jun 2, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Feig: Merge Faced 1,000 Bot Signups Scanning Endpoints in One Hour | Gil Feig | Jun 1, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Reses: Yahoo and Alibaba stopped speaking despite Yahoo's 40% stake | Jackie Reses | May 28, 2026 | Supported |
| $80M | “eighty million dollars” | Lead Bank reached $280M in revenue and $31M in net income | Jackie Reses | May 28, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $31M | “thirty one million dollars” | Lead Bank reached $280M in revenue and $31M in net income | Jackie Reses | May 28, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 5% | “five percent” | Del Buono: Secondary SPVs frequently charge 1/10 or 2/20 fees at marked-up valuations | Michel Del Buono | May 22, 2026 | — |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Pre-IPO secondary SPVs take carry from the first dollar without hurdles | Michel Del Buono | May 22, 2026 | — |
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