| 9,000% | “9000%” | Del Buono: Young investors can hold up to 100% alternative assets | Michel Del Buono | May 22, 2026 | — |
| 2,400% | “2400%” | 'Owning Manhattan' launch broke website, boosting traffic by 2400% | Ryan Serhant | Nov 3, 2025 | — |
| 800% | “800%” | Fox: AssemblyAI weekly conversation volume grew 800 percent over three years | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 350% | “350%” | Mathew: Supabase is growing 350% at hundreds of millions in scale | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | — |
| 350% | “350%” | Abraham: Public's top AI-generated asset basket is defense stocks, up 350% | Leif Abraham | Apr 17, 2026 | — |
| 300% | “300%” | Suster: Series A/B capital grew 9x from 2010 to 2022 | Mark Suster | Jun 28, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 200% | “200%” | Carta data shows early-stage tech acquisitions are up 200% year-over-year | Art Levy | Jul 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 193% | “193%” | Miller: VCX Portfolio Grew 193% Last Year Versus 25% for QQQ | Ben Miller | Mar 30, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 150% | “150%” | Electric stove buyers under 150% AMI qualify for an $840 federal rebate | Sam D'Amico | Oct 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 130% | “130%” | Brex's enterprise business is growing over 100% with 130% net revenue retention | Art Levy | Jul 10, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 120% | “120%” | Hunter Walk: Homebrew's first two funds achieved over 120% capital recycling | Hunter Walk | Jun 14, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Immerman: a16z Growth portfolio companies average over 100% growth | Alex Immerman | Mar 13, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Immerman: Larry Page will be the world's second trillionaire | Alex Immerman | Mar 13, 2026 | Open |
| 100% | “100%” | Franceschi: Private fundraising valuations differ fundamentally from 100% full-liquidity acquisitions | Pedro Franceschi | Jan 30, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “100%” | Finance teams own all spend but make 5% of decisions | Pedro Franceschi | Jan 30, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Bhargava: General Catalyst targets 30% to 70% automation for AI roll-ups | Mark Bhargava | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Siddharth: Enterprise AI does not require 100% accuracy with human oversight | Jonathan Siddharth | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Barton: Coatue's Philippe Laffont actively cuts market exposure 50% during drawdowns | Michael Barton | Oct 23, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “100%” | Barton: Cloud provider revenues are 100% dependent on GPU chip supply | Michael Barton | Oct 23, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “100%” | Oetting: 8VC companies Resilience and Saronic will manufacture exclusively in US | Drew Oetting | Aug 22, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Maslin: Virtually 100% of Magnet-Making Equipment Comes from China | John Maslin | Aug 11, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Brex's enterprise business is growing over 100% with 130% net revenue retention | Art Levy | Jul 10, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Weinberg: Enterprise software product bar is astronomically higher in AI | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Taxable investors can immediately depreciate 100% of data center capital expenditures | Michel Del Buono | May 22, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | UK expat tax reform triggered flight by exposing full global balance sheets | Michel Del Buono | May 22, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Miller: Founders create 99% to 100% of business value, not VCs | Ben Miller | Mar 30, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Huffman: AI productivity gains will not decrease Reddit's engineering headcount | Steve Huffman | Mar 20, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Whop is 80% in-person in NYC with a goal of 100% | Jack Sharky | May 23, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | McCord: Sequoia spoke to 100% of Nominal's customers during Series B diligence | Cameron McCord | Jun 12, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Moore: Frontier tech companies are growing 100% at multi-billion-dollar run rates | Bucky Moore | May 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “100%” | Wander operates entirely remote with zero local property managers | John Andrew | May 28, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Guo: Passes Retains Nearly 100% of Creators Earning Over $5,000 Monthly | Lucy Guo | Dec 13, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Fiedler: Bearish on major cities due to high costs and questionable quality of life | Jason Fiedler | Nov 8, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Walk: Homebrew has made roughly 28 investments under its evergreen model | Hunter Walk | Jun 14, 2024 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Hecht: USV provides pro-rata bridge support 100% of the time | Jared Hecht | Apr 26, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Foroughi: AppLovin CEO avoids angel investing, conferences, and social media | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lamm: Colossal achieved world-record multiplex gene editing in healthy woolly mice | Ben Lamm | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 99.9% | “99.9%” | Blania: AI will soon drive 99.9% of all internet traffic | Alex Blania | Feb 16, 2026 | — |
| 99.6% | “99.6%” | Happi: Solar panel manufacturing costs dropped 99.6% over 50 years | Hannan Happi | Apr 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Siddharth: Enterprise AI does not require 100% accuracy with human oversight | Jonathan Siddharth | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Chaddha: Single-person billion-dollar startups will be extremely rare | Navin Chaddha | Oct 3, 2025 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Rabois: A company's CEO determines 99% of its success or failure | Keith Rabois | Sep 15, 2025 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Oetting: Drug developers ignore manufacturing efficiency due to 90%+ margins | Drew Oetting | Aug 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Randle: Gross margins are below 70% for 99% of AI app companies | Ev Randle | Jun 29, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Armstrong: Open-source AI models lag frontier models by 3–6 months at 99% lower cost | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Armstrong: 80% of Coinbase AI workloads will run on cheap models within 18 months | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Tandon: Healthcare LLMs will improve outcomes enough to lower malpractice premiums | Tanay Tandon | May 19, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Hecht: Founders romanticize startups, suppressing the 90% to 99% that is hardship | Jared Hecht | Apr 26, 2024 | — |
| 97% | “97%” | Walk: Homebrew had extreme LP concentration in its first two funds | Hunter Walk | Jun 14, 2024 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Finance teams own all spend but make 5% of decisions | Pedro Franceschi | Jan 30, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Katzenberg: 95% of the longevity industry is snake oil | Jeffrey Katzenberg | Dec 29, 2025 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Bhargava: Roughly 95% of Fortune 100 AI initiatives have failed to deliver | Mark Bhargava | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Wu: Cognition writes roughly 95% of its code using Devin | Scott Wu | Jul 27, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Black: SpaceX outsourced 95% of Falcon and Dragon wire harnesses | Jordan Black | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Chaddha: MIT report finds 95% of enterprise AI experiments fail | Navin Chaddha | Oct 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Maslin: Vulcan Elements booked over 95% of pilot facility capacity a year ago | John Maslin | Aug 11, 2025 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Entwistle predicts 95% of Wander operations will be AI-automated within 18 months | John Andrew | May 28, 2025 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Socher: 95% accurate agents fail half the time over 15 steps | Richard Socher | Oct 25, 2024 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Sam D'Amico: Gas stoves lose 60% of their energy to ambient air | Sam D'Amico | Oct 4, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Noone: The inability to edit outputs is generative AI's biggest bottleneck | Jordan Noone | Jul 26, 2024 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Kolicich: Crossover funds exerted a 20x leverage effect on venture cap tables | Alex Kolicich | Mar 3, 2024 | — |
| 94% | “94%” | Maslin: China Produces Up to 94% of Rare Earth Magnets, US Under 1% | John Maslin | Aug 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 94% | “94%” | China mines 60% of rare earths but manufactures 94% of magnets | John Maslin | Aug 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 94% | “94%” | Maslin: Virtually 100% of Magnet-Making Equipment Comes from China | John Maslin | Aug 11, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 92% | “92%” | AppLovin dropped 92% post-IPO before rebounding to a $100B valuation | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Immerman: a16z early-stage team met 90% of companies a16z Growth backs | Alex Immerman | Mar 13, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Immerman: Elon Musk has 90%+ odds of becoming world's first trillionaire | Alex Immerman | Mar 13, 2026 | Held up |
| 90% | “90%” | Das: At least 90% of AI startups are just modifying LLM prompts | Didi Das | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Siddharth: ASI means automating 90% of computer tasks for 90% of humans | Jonathan Siddharth | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Gil: 90% of perceived startup competitor conflicts never materialize | Elad Gil | Oct 17, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Gil: 90% of people in the AI wave are in doomed companies | Elad Gil | Oct 17, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg: US private pensions dropped below 8%, while government pensions stayed at 90% | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg: Ending federal student loans solves 90% of education cost inflation | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Agrawal: Decagon routes roughly 90% of its production through open-source models | Apoorv Agrawal | Jul 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Grinberg: 90% of AI tokens will use open models within 12 months | Matan Grinberg | Jul 19, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Chaddha: AI startups will capture 90% of VC funding within a year | Navin Chaddha | Oct 3, 2025 | Open |
| 90% | “90%” | Ehrenstein: Dirac automatically generates 80% to 90% of assembly instructions | Philip Ehrenstein | Oct 5, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Agrawal: Just 0.3% of Startups Generate 90% of Venture Gross Profits | Apoorv Agrawal | Aug 27, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Garrett: China controls 90% of refining and 70% of critical mineral mining | Christian Garrett | Jul 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Slotowicz: 90% of Craft private charter missions prefer no flight attendant | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Adcock: Figure reduced robot costs by 90% between Figure 2 and 3 | Brett Adcock | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Diamond: Saturn maintains over 50% DAU/MAU stickiness and 90% annual retention | Dylan Diamond | Feb 21, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Fiedler: Pet care retains 80-90% of spend, mirroring enterprise software | Jason Fiedler | Nov 8, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Hunter Walk: Only 5% of VCs are exceptional and 5% are horrible | Hunter Walk | Jun 14, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Walk: Homebrew had extreme LP concentration in its first two funds | Hunter Walk | Jun 14, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Housel: 90% of virality in content and business is driven by luck | Morgan Housel | Apr 7, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Power: 90% of Hadrian recruits have never worked in a factory | Chris Power | Mar 29, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Monroe-Anderson says 90% of Russian Shahed drones are intercepted midair | Soren Monroe-Anderson | Aug 11, 2026 | Supported |
| 89% | “89%” | Oetting: Drug developers ignore manufacturing efficiency due to 90%+ margins | Drew Oetting | Aug 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 86% | “86%” | Little: 86% of pre-Cold War defense spending went to dual-business companies | Greg Little | Jul 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 86% | “86%” | Josephs: 86% of Americans support banning congressional stock trading | Chris Josephs | Apr 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Barton: AI can already perform 85% of my hedge fund workload | Michael Barton | Oct 23, 2025 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Abraham: The top 25% will inherit 85% of the great wealth transfer | Leif Abraham | Apr 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Peters: Nearly 85% of US health system revenue comes from drugs and surgery | Jacob Peters | Apr 22, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 83% | “83%” | Armstrong: 83% of Americans say the financial system is not working for them | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 81% | “81%” | Agrawal: Switching to OpenAI's New Model Boosted XBOW's Cyber Detection to 81% | Apoorv Agrawal | Aug 27, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Bhargava: Pure software will beat roll-ups in verticals over 80% automatable | Mark Bhargava | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Lin: Airbnb went from 40% growth to losing 80% of revenue | Alfred Lin | Oct 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Serhant: SERHANT is profitable and growing revenue 80% year-over-year | Ryan Serhant | Nov 3, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Gil: There is an 80% chance humanoid robots walk on Mars first | Elad Gil | Oct 20, 2025 | Open |
| 80% | “80%” | Shadbolt: 80% of PsiQuantum's Supply Chain Is Based in the US | Pete Shadbolt | Sep 10, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Amoruso bootstrapped Nasty Gal to $28M revenue, retaining 80% ownership | Sophia Amoruso | Aug 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Cluely allocates roughly 80% of its venture capital toward marketing | Roy Lee | Jun 20, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Armstrong: 80% of Crypto Trading Volume Moved Offshore | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Armstrong: I spend 80% of media time on new media | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Armstrong: 80% of Coinbase AI workloads will run on cheap models within 18 months | Brian Armstrong | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Slotowicz: 80% of Aircraft Parts Cause Immediate Grounding If Broken | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Bry: Skydio drones arrive before police 70% to 80% of the time | Adam Bry | Apr 23, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Del Buono: Putting initial founder liquidity into friends' startups almost always fails | Michel Del Buono | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Whop is 80% in-person in NYC with a goal of 100% | Jack Sharky | May 23, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Tunguz: High toil and labor shortages make buyers accept 75-80% AI accuracy | Tomasz Tunguz | Jan 23, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Cloud giants must host foundation models even if they become low-margin commodities | Alex Kolicich | Oct 11, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Suster: Roughly six deals drive 80% of returns in a venture fund | Mark Suster | Jun 28, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Hecht: Consumer tech success is 60% to 80% luck | Jared Hecht | Apr 26, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | AI Handles Mainstream Tasks But Fails on Cybersecurity Edge Cases | Nikesh Arora | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Lamm: ViaGen cloning efficiency reached 80% versus 2% industry norm | Ben Lamm | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 75% | “75%” | O'Shea: AI Companies Accounted for 70-75% of 2025 Market Gains | Molly O'Shea | Jan 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Nolan: US produces under 0.1% of global enriched uranium today | Scott Nolan | Jul 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Btaiche: Fuse Manufactures 75% of Titan's 40,000 Components In-House | JC Btaiche | Aug 8, 2025 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Abraham: Bottom 75% can't compound wealth, forcing fintechs to monetize via speculation | Leif Abraham | Apr 17, 2026 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Ritter: $500B Stargate project is $100B equity, 75% chips, 25% infrastructure | Gordon Ritter | Jan 30, 2025 | Open |
| 75% | “75%” | AppLovin generates over $7B EBITDA run rate with 75% cash conversion | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Fox: Training data drives roughly 75 percent of AI model performance | Dylan Fox | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Wright: Hyperscale data centers leave 70% of the world without AI access | Dan Wright | Jan 26, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Chen Li: 60-70% of AI use cases do not need frontier models | Chen Li | Dec 29, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Bhargava: Crescendo automates 50-70% of call centers, raising EBITDA margins to 40% | Mark Bhargava | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Bhargava: General Catalyst targets 30% to 70% automation for AI roll-ups | Mark Bhargava | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Garrett: China controls 90% of refining and 70% of critical mineral mining | Christian Garrett | Jul 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Randle: Gross margins are below 70% for 99% of AI app companies | Ev Randle | Jun 29, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Slotowicz: 70% of private aircraft buyers pay entirely in cash | Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz | Jun 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Weinberg: Harvey has an over 70% win rate in Europe | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Del Buono: Portfolios with 50-70% alternatives incur 3-4% annual look-through fees | Michel Del Buono | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Diamond: Saturn maintains over 50% DAU/MAU stickiness and 90% annual retention | Dylan Diamond | Feb 21, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | The volume of venture-scale startup opportunities has declined 60% since 2021 | Alex Kolicich | Oct 11, 2024 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Sundblad: Many manufacturing plants face 70% factory floor turnover | Willem Sundblad | Apr 19, 2024 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Oltmann: Hadrian boasts 70% gross margins and top 3% SaaS growth | Xander Oltmann | Feb 1, 2024 | — |
| 68% | “68%” | Levy: Billion-dollar-plus tech M&A is up 68% year-to-date | Art Levy | Jul 10, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 67% | “67%” | Chaddha: NVCA data shows AI captured 67% of H1 VC funding | Navin Chaddha | Oct 3, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 65% | “65%” | Nolan: US supplied roughly 65% of global enriched uranium mid-century | Scott Nolan | Jul 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 65% | “65%” | Miller: Fundrise venture fund was up 65% over past 12 months | Ben Miller | Mar 30, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Mathew: 60% of Y Combinator companies now choose Supabase | Arun Mathew | Jul 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Agrawal: Switching to OpenAI's New Model Boosted XBOW's Cyber Detection to 81% | Apoorv Agrawal | Aug 27, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | China mines 60% of rare earths but manufactures 94% of magnets | John Maslin | Aug 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Vasavada: 60% chance of a recession in late 2025 or early 2026 | Samir Vasavada | Jul 25, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| 60% | “60%” | Sixty percent of Brex customers are non-digitally native businesses | Art Levy | Jul 10, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Mature Brex cohorts spend 60% more than they did on Amex | Art Levy | Jul 10, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Huffman: Reddit had over 60% revenue growth for five straight quarters | Steve Huffman | Mar 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Whop hired over 50% to 60% of its team directly from the internet | Jack Sharky | May 23, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Automated agents handle roughly 60% of Wander property management tasks | John Andrew | May 28, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Dylan Diamond: Saturn's first 50 schools grew from 7% to 60% weekly active users | Dylan Diamond | Feb 21, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Fiedler: Pet care retains 80-90% of spend, mirroring enterprise software | Jason Fiedler | Nov 8, 2024 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Sam D'Amico: Gas stoves lose 60% of their energy to ambient air | Sam D'Amico | Oct 4, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Sundblad: 60% of US plastics factories are small businesses | Willem Sundblad | Apr 19, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 60% | “60%” | Power: Hadrian has a 60% chance of failing within 18 months | Chris Power | Mar 29, 2024 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Former AppLovin CTO Basil personally wrote roughly 60% of the company's code | Adam Foroughi | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 57% | “57%” | Mavrookas: China controls 57% of global shipbuilding capacity | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 8, 2026 | — |
| 57% | “57%” | Mavrookas: China controls 57% of global shipbuilding capacity | Dino Mavrookas | Sep 10, 2026 | — |
| 55% | “55%” | McGee: Chinese Competitors, Not Apple Alone, Killed Nokia | Patrick McGee | Sep 1, 2025 | — |
| 54% | “54%” | Josephs: Autopilot's Nancy Pelosi tracker outperformed the S&P 500 by 30% | Chris Josephs | Apr 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 52% | “52%” | Harvey's DAU/MAU ratio jumped from roughly 36% to 52% | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 51% | “51%” | Cliffton: Zipline cuts maternal mortality by 51%+ in operating countries | Keller Rinaudo Cliffton | Jan 21, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Bouaziz: Exactly 50% of Deel's revenue comes from non-US companies | Alex Bouaziz | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Lin: Sequoia's Most Successful Fund Had a 50% Write-Off Rate | Alfred Lin | Mar 9, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Immerman: Roughly 50% of a16z Growth investments are early-stage portfolio follow-ons | Alex Immerman | Mar 13, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Immerman: Half of all murders in America remain unsolved | Alex Immerman | Mar 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Raanan: Cyberstarts portfolio is over 50% of global private cybersecurity market cap | Gilly Raanan | Mar 11, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Franceschi: Brex is growing 40% to 50% and borderline cash-flow positive | Pedro Franceschi | Jan 30, 2026 | Open |
| 50% | “50%” | Cliffton: Over 50% of households order via Zipline in some cities | Keller Rinaudo Cliffton | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Bhargava: AI will transform low-margin services industries into software-like margins | Mark Bhargava | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Clark: 50% of Wiz's users in 2022 were developers, not security staff | Philip Clark | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Clark: A new wave of hardware companies will tackle physical GDP | Philip Clark | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Barton: Melvin Capital fell 50% in two weeks during GameStop squeeze | Michael Barton | Oct 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Barton: Coatue's Philippe Laffont actively cuts market exposure 50% during drawdowns | Michael Barton | Oct 23, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Friedberg: K-shaped economy is driven by wealth divergence, not job availability | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Friedberg: US billionaires hold $8T of $183T wealth while bottom 50% hold $4T | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Cohen: Navan grew revenue 40% last quarter and turned profitable | Ariel Cohen | Jul 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Levy: Atmo Upgraded Philippines Weather Forecasting Accuracy by 50% | Alex Levy | Aug 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | O'Shea: 50% of LPs have stopped allocating to venture capital | Molly O'Shea | Jul 25, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Del Buono: Most tech-focused RIAs have at most one or two professional investors | Michel Del Buono | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Sadeghi: Study shows over 50% of people accept genetic optimization for IQ | Kian Sadeghi | Jun 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | O'Shea: Carta report shows 50% of LPs are exiting venture allocations | Molly O'Shea | May 5, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | McCormick: SpaceX suffered only ~50% dilution despite raising $10B in equity | Packy McCormick | Feb 14, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Diamond: Saturn maintains over 50% DAU/MAU stickiness and 90% annual retention | Dylan Diamond | Feb 21, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Josh Wolfe predicts 30% to 50% of VC firms will shut down | Jeff Morris Jr. | Oct 16, 2024 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Sadeghi: Genetics alone can never predict IQ due to 50% environmental factor | Kian Sadeghi | Aug 16, 2024 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Sundblad: Factory operator training takes three months with 50% completion rate | Willem Sundblad | Apr 19, 2024 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Lamm: Earth is forecasted to lose 50% of biodiversity within 25 years | Ben Lamm | Aug 20, 2026 | Didn’t hold up |
| 45% | “45%” | Levy: Texas wind power generates up to 45% of daily state output | Alex Levy | Aug 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 42% | “42%” | In-house corporate legal teams make up 42% of Harvey's business | Winston Weinberg | Jun 16, 2026 | — |
| 42% | “42%” | Bry: SF auto theft dropped 42% after launching Skydio drone program | Adam Bry | Apr 23, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 41% | “41%” | O'Shea: Carta data shows 41% of Series A startups are AI | Molly O'Shea | Nov 18, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 40% | “40%” | Immerman: Revolut has reached 40% ROE, surpassing Nubank | Alex Immerman | Mar 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Laffont: Broadcom grows at 40% while trading cheaper than SaaS companies | Thomas Laffont | Mar 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Tenev: Robinhood Gold reached 4M subscribers, including 40% of new signups | Vlad Tenev | Jan 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Bhargava: Crescendo automates 50-70% of call centers, raising EBITDA margins to 40% | Mark Bhargava | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Clark: US semiconductor manufacturing dropped from about 40% to 10% | Philip Clark | Nov 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Lin: Airbnb went from 40% growth to losing 80% of revenue | Alfred Lin | Oct 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Friedberg: US private pensions dropped below 8%, while government pensions stayed at 90% | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Friedberg: Tax unrealized gains, raise capital gains to 40%, cut income taxes | David Friedberg | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Cohen: Navan grew revenue 40% last quarter and turned profitable | Ariel Cohen | Jul 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
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