Venture capital, startups and investing, on tape.
Every prediction, opinion and bold claim from How I Built This: extracted from the transcript, verified against the tape, checked against cited public sources, playable at the exact moment it was said.
6,762 assertions2,384 insights2,289 disclosures775 opinions282 predictions176 what-ifs
every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. Of those 7,044 claims, 3,107 carry an assessment, 375 are not yet assessed, and 3,562 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to pin down. The rest (opinions, what ifs, insights) carry no assessment because the record can never settle them.
Powered by StarZero: transcripts that keep every stumble, speaker identity, and playback that starts at the exact word. An agentic research harness does the extraction, verification and grounded fact checking · how it works → · we audit our assessments →
Recently on the ledger full ledger →
How the calls resolved the full record →
Open predictions the full timeline →
Track records all people →
Ordered by full support rate, then by supported count. Minimum three resolved. Partly supported claims count as resolved but not as fully supported, same as everywhere on the ledger.
| Person | Eps | Statements | Supported | Partly supported | Contradicted | Full support rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Blumenthal | 4 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| John Mackey | 2 | 39 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Tony Hsieh | 3 | 43 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Jerry Greenfield | 2 | 24 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Perry Chen | 4 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Adam Grant | 2 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Niraj Shah | 3 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Miguel McKelvey | 5 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
From the Wisdom Wall all quotes →
“what I now realize in hindsight is whenever you take a strategic investment, whether or not you intend to sell them the business, you should expect that to be the outcome. And the earlier you can know…”
Nicole Bernard Dawes, Aug 31, 2026 · ▶ 34:52“I mean, the one thing that I know about building a brand is starting is not really the hard part, and even getting to a million dollars isn't really the hard part. It's really getting from, like, ten…”
Nicole Bernard Dawes, Aug 31, 2026 · ▶ 58:43“So by the way, when you go to retail. You do four times the amount of work for half of the, the reward, right? Because, uh, you know, you now have to deal with buyers. You had to become a vendor…”
Daymond John, Aug 27, 2026 · ▶ 12:44