startup

also referred to as: start-ups · startup's · startups

295 statements across 233 episodes · 62 bullish · 87 bearish · 195 people on the record · first statement Jan 13, 2015 by Guy Kawasaki · said 4 times in 3 episodes since 2015 · across every show →

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brought up most by Harry Stebbings (2), Ryan Hoover (1), Erin Glenn (1)

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every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about startup, oldest first

Jan 13, 2015
Insight
Kawasaki: A startup fundamentally requires only making and selling
“Well, it's kind of simple, you know, somebody's got to make it, and somebody's got to sell it. That's it in a nutshell. And so this is about the guy or gal who's selling it, and then we have to find, you know, something else for the guy who is making it. So th…”
Guy Kawasaki Jan 13, 2015 ▶ 10:54 20 VC 001: Guy Kawasaki of Apple, Motorola and AllTop.com
Jan 18, 2015 negative
Insight
Hornik: Starting a startup is unreasonable and extraordinarily unlikely to succeed
“Now, the reality is that, of course, it's completely unreasonable to start a startup. They're extraordinarily hard. It's extraordinarily unlikely they succeed.”
David Hornik Jan 18, 2015 ▶ 4:38 20 VC 004: David Hornik on the Magic of Stanford and Startups
Jan 22, 2015 positive
Insight
Ahmed: Startup experience is the ultimate preparation for venture capital
“And if you are not able to get into a venture business, a venture capital firm, the next best thing is to either join a startup, or do a startup. You may fail but that doesn't matter. That would be the ultimate best preparation to get into this business.”
Ifty Ahmed Jan 22, 2015 ▶ 14:10 20 VC 006: Google Glass & Founding Teams
Jan 28, 2015 positive
Insight
Davis: Venture capital is best for large market land grabs
“If you've got a big opportunity and you need a lot of capital to land grab, you have to take the capital and go for it. The key is to get alignment.”
Mark Peter Davis Jan 28, 2015 ▶ 23:51 20 VC 008: Startup 101 with Mark Peter Davis
May 14, 2015 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Von Perger: University students now prefer founding startups over banking
“I probably, you know, when I was a student, everybody would have said, I want to be a banker, and I want to be a consultant. And nowadays, a lot of them say, hey, I want to set up a business”
Stefan von Perger May 14, 2015 ▶ 2:11 20 VC 036: The Pitching Process: From Email to Term Sheet with Stephan von Perger @ Wellington Partners
May 25, 2015 negative
Opinion
Menashy: Startups execute in a week what takes corporations six months
“You can suggest something to them and they've implemented it a week later rather than, You know, you've got to go through some six month political process at a big company.”
Simon Menashy May 25, 2015 ▶ 2:07 How to Pitch a Top VC with Simon Menashy @ MMC Ventures
Jul 10, 2015
Insight
Founders should budget 18 months of runway plus a cost buffer
“You really have to do your best to build out how much money you think you're going to need for about 18 months, and that should provide you enough time to get, to hit the goals you need, or the milestones you need to raise the next round, and then assume every…”
Phil Jacobson Jul 10, 2015 ▶ 13:33 Founders Friday 003: 2m users, $2m Seed Round, 220,000 Instagram Followers with Phil Jacobson, Founder @ PumpUp
Aug 12, 2015 neutral
Insight
Pirzio-Biroli: Co-working spaces stop making economic sense beyond 15 employees
“It makes sense until, you know, you're about 15 people, roughly. And then it becomes kind of, you know, and then organically it starts making sense, economically, to move into a space of your own.”
Fede Pirzio-Biroli Aug 12, 2015 ▶ 17:39 20 VC 062: Shaking Up London's VC Scene with Fede Pirzio-Biroli, Founder @ Playfair Capital
Aug 14, 2015
Insight
Pierre Valade: Startup CEOs carry unique pressure as ultimate decision-makers
“When you're the CEO of the company, you're the guy who's making the last decision, right? Like, no one can just everyone can blame you for everything, and you can't blame anyone, right?”
Pierre Valade Aug 14, 2015 ▶ 18:25 FF 08: Pierre Valade, CEO @ Sunrise on Being Acquired By Microsoft for $100m and Building Beautiful Products
Aug 28, 2015 positive
Insight
Portfolio founder introductions are the most effective way to reach VCs
“Once you get those introductions, you actually get introductions from startups that these VCs have already invested in, and of course, for that reason, already trust and believe in. And I think it's one of the most relevant introductions you can get to our VC.”
Carl Waldekranz Aug 28, 2015 ▶ 17:05 FF 010: Becoming Europe's Hottest Startup with Carl Waldekranz, Co-Founder and CEO @ Tictail
Sep 16, 2015
Disclosure
Fabrice Grinda has personally invested $30 million into startups
“I mean, to date I firstly invested thirty million dollars which is a large portion of my net worth in startups, and so I don't have enough capital to just follow on and everything, and,”
Fabrice Grinda Sep 16, 2015 ▶ 17:20 20 VC 072: Super Angel, Fabrice Grinda: The Future of Startup Investing
Oct 21, 2015 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
High startup valuations are occurring earlier on the West Coast
“The time in a company's life when they're getting a higher valuation is moving earlier and earlier on the west coast. And that's sort of leading to this dynamic where both as founders and as investors, you're sort of picking the winner in a space earlier. And …”
Weston Gaddy Oct 21, 2015 ▶ 7:58 20 VC 081: From YC to VC with Weston Gaddy @ Bain Capital Ventures
Oct 21, 2015
Insight
Startups succeed by solving large problems with small initial solutions
“Really the magic of startups is finding big enough problems that can be solved with small enough solutions to start.”
Weston Gaddy Oct 21, 2015 ▶ 5:33 20 VC 081: From YC to VC with Weston Gaddy @ Bain Capital Ventures
Nov 11, 2015 bullish
Insight
Zink: Momentum is the most critical metric for evaluating startups
“It's so different from startup to startup, but for me, it's all about momentum. If I don't sense there's momentum, and momentum can be In product development, if I don't sense things are happening, then I always push, because I think momentum is, when you have…”
Jeppe Zink Nov 11, 2015 ▶ 15:47 20 VC 087: From The Investors Of Spotify, TrustPilot and Klarna with Jeppe Zink, General Partner @ Northzone
Nov 13, 2015 negative
Opinion
O'Hear: Press Outlets Like TechCrunch Do Not Make or Break Startups
“And I don't think TechCrunch or anyone like TechCrunch Makes or breaks a startup. I think that's a slight myth.”
Steve O'Hear Nov 13, 2015 ▶ 12:03 20 VC FF 021: From TechCrunch to Founder to TechCrunch with the legend, Steve O'Hear
Dec 14, 2015 neutral
Insight
Startups require operational detail while VC requires macro trend analysis
“Working in startups you only get to see a few ideas get to any stage. So you're very into detail, and you're really into, like, growing that one company versus suddenly, you know, I'm exposed to, you know, thousands of ideas, and trying to think about longer-t…”
Dharmesh Raithatha Dec 14, 2015 ▶ 5:19 20 VC 096: Developing The Idea Muscle and VCs Providing More Than Just Money with Dharmesh Raithatha, Partner @ Forward Partners
Jan 15, 2016
Disclosure
Lieber: Mystery Show leads Gimlet Media in downloads per episode
“If you look at, like, downloads per episode, Mystery Show is is the biggest, and, but Reply All and Startup are not far behind.”
Matt Lieber Jan 15, 2016 ▶ 19:56 20 VC FF 030: Gimlet Media's Matt Lieber on The Future of Podcasting and Life @ Gimlet
Jan 18, 2016
Insight
Destin: Startups cannot afford hiring mistakes in their first 8 to 10 key hires
“Your core eight to 10 first key hires, especially at the executive level, need to be great. You really just cannot afford to make too many hiring mistakes”
Fred Destin Jan 18, 2016 ▶ 6:08 20VC: Fred Destin @ Accel on Why Startups Fail & Founders Get Fired?
Jan 29, 2016
Insight
Seibert: Entrepreneurs shouldn't wait for a mind-blowing, perfect idea
“And I think that was the first big lesson I learned is not to sort of hold out for this perfect concept that's going to blow the world away. Very, very few businesses start out as this like mind blowing idea that no one's ever thought of.”
Jeff Seibert Jan 29, 2016 ▶ 4:29 20 VC FF 032: Jeff Seibert on Lessons From Being Acquired By Twitter & Box and Now Leading Twitter's Consumer Product
Mar 4, 2016 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hiten Shah predicts startup creation and competition will keep increasing
“There's going to be more and more companies in the future. There's going to be more and more competition, and the reason is, you know, it's easier than ever to start a company, and on top of that, Because it's easier than ever and it's cheaper than ever.”
Hiten Shah Mar 4, 2016 ▶ 10:18 20VC FF: Hiten Shah on VC Funded vs Bootstrapped Businesses and How He Decides Which Startups To Advise
Mar 4, 2016
Insight
Hiten Shah: Founders must track competitors as high market density impacts customers
“So number one, there's more companies out there than ever. Number two, competition is heavier than ever. They used to say, don't focus on your competition, focus on your customer. Now what I'm going to say is focus on your customer just like you used to, but d…”
Hiten Shah Mar 4, 2016 ▶ 18:44 20VC FF: Hiten Shah on VC Funded vs Bootstrapped Businesses and How He Decides Which Startups To Advise
Mar 4, 2016
Insight
Hiten Shah: Running a startup gets harder over time, not easier
“Over time it just gets harder, it doesn't get easier, so you have to be ready for that stress”
Hiten Shah Mar 4, 2016 ▶ 12:04 20VC FF: Hiten Shah on VC Funded vs Bootstrapped Businesses and How He Decides Which Startups To Advise
Apr 13, 2016 neutral
Insight
The best startup ideas are highly polarizing, not consensus-driven
“The best ideas are highly polarizing, and so we've set up a model to try to harness their polarizing effect to make the best decision, which is to say we want to say yes when there is one person on our team who is very excited about it.”
Roy Bahat Apr 13, 2016 ▶ 6:38 20VC: Why Machine Intelligence Will Eat The World Of Software with Roy Bahat, Head of Bloomberg Beta
Apr 13, 2016
Insight
Early-stage investing requires finding one reason a startup could be an outlier
“What we look for is, there are a bunch of things that are tick boxes. You know, do we trust the founders? Are the deal terms fair? You know, is it in scope for us? But then really what you're looking for is, one reason to believe the startup could potentially …”
Roy Bahat Apr 13, 2016 ▶ 29:14 20VC: Why Machine Intelligence Will Eat The World Of Software with Roy Bahat, Head of Bloomberg Beta
Apr 15, 2016
Insight
Abrams: Startups Lower Their Odds Of Success By Tackling Multiple Priorities
“If you're working on, on something at a startup, the likelihood of being successful is so low. And if you're working on three things instead of one, Then it's even worse.”
Jonathan Abrams Apr 15, 2016 ▶ 5:06 20VC: From Netscape To Friendster To Nuzzel: Jonathan Abrams on A Silicon Valley Adventure
Apr 27, 2016
Insight
John Frankel Says Good Startups Raise Capital in Any Market
“Generally good companies get funded in good or bad scenarios. Bad companies get funded in good funding markets, and sometimes bad companies pivot into being great companies.”
John Frankel Apr 27, 2016 ▶ 10:31 20VC: Why Every Successful Company Pivots and Good Companies Get Funded in Good & Bad Markets with John Frankel, Founding Partner @ ff Venture Capital
Jun 8, 2016
Insight
Hyatt: Overcapitalization Destroys Early-Stage Startup Agility
“I do worry sometimes about a company raising too much capital and the team getting way too big and ostensibly getting so large so early and That they don't have the nimbleness of a startup, even though they're, you know, two years old, and they still are figur…”
Nabeel Hyatt Jun 8, 2016 ▶ 15:51 20VC: Spark's Nabeel Hyatt on Investing in Oculus and Cruise & What It Takes To Invest Ahead Of The Curve
Jun 8, 2016
Insight
Hyatt: The Startup CEO Role Is a Discipline, Not a Status Symbol
“We can often think about the CEO job as the top of the ladder and the glamour job. But I think everyone just needs to understand it's a job like any other. It's very much akin to, you know, the engineer who's the best engineer on the team, but might not make t…”
Nabeel Hyatt Jun 8, 2016 ▶ 14:26 20VC: Spark's Nabeel Hyatt on Investing in Oculus and Cruise & What It Takes To Invest Ahead Of The Curve
Jun 8, 2016
Insight
Hyatt: Disruptive innovation rarely recurs in the exact same industry
“The nature of startups is That you're looking for disruptive innovation, and it is very, very rare that you're going to have disruptive innovation in exactly the same market, exactly the same industry over and over and over again.”
Nabeel Hyatt Jun 8, 2016 ▶ 8:21 20VC: Spark's Nabeel Hyatt on Investing in Oculus and Cruise & What It Takes To Invest Ahead Of The Curve
Jul 8, 2016
Insight
Mycroft: Regulated startups should target innovative regulators first
“I also think that the regulators are people too, and some of them are late adopters, but some of them are early adopters or even innovators, and what you have to do as a startup in any regulatory complex environment is find those regulators that are the innova…”
Frank Mycroft Jul 8, 2016 ▶ 15:49 20VC: When To Transition From Growth to Profitability & The KPI's of The On Demand Economy with Frank Mycroft @ Booster Fuels
Jul 22, 2016 positive
Insight
Helgason: Startup founders should strive for a monopoly every day
“You're striving for monopoly you know, and then afterwards you don't have one because, you know, there's rarely any, but, you know, along the way you, you've bumped up, bumped off a few competitors and you have some new ones and, you know, there's some theorie…”
David Helgason Jul 22, 2016 ▶ 20:32 20VC: Unity 3D's David Helgason on Building a $bn Business, Getting Funded By Sequoia and Powering The Pokemon Revolution
Jul 29, 2016
Insight
A startup's first 10 hires dictate culture for all future employees
“The first 10 hires you make for your company, their strengths will be what the next 10 hires emulate. And that just keeps on propagating. And similarly, their weakness, their weaknesses will then be the same weaknesses that are generally emulated by, or things…”
Amir Elguizy Jul 29, 2016 ▶ 10:15 20VC: Why People Should Never Be Surprised If Fired, Subscription E-Commerce Is Hot & People Never Give True and Direct Feedback with Amir Elaguizy, Co-Founder @ Cratejoy
Aug 29, 2016
Insight
Startup customer acquisition costs never scale linearly as customer bases expand
“Whereas everybody's assumption is, I've acquired this many customers for the X. People believe that's linear. That's never true. Never, ever, ever true.”
Peter Pham Aug 29, 2016 ▶ 21:36 20VC: Science Inc's Peter Pham on Why The Battle Between Entrepreneurs & VCs Is Unfair, How To Even The Playing Field & How To Tell When A VC Really Is Interested
Aug 29, 2016
Insight
Top-of-funnel marketing is wasted without first optimizing retention and conversion metrics
“Before you dump everything at the top end of the funnel, there's a multiplier effect by increasing the retention by 20% or increasing the time for someone to do something by 20%. Like, those little things make the, before you dump everything at the top, whethe…”
Peter Pham Aug 29, 2016 ▶ 22:20 20VC: Science Inc's Peter Pham on Why The Battle Between Entrepreneurs & VCs Is Unfair, How To Even The Playing Field & How To Tell When A VC Really Is Interested
Sep 7, 2016
Insight
DeMarrais: Startup Growth Parallels Fitness Gains, Requiring Exponential Effort Later
“The easiest gains are always at the beginning... The amount I could lift would increase rapidly up until a certain point. And then it was exponential effort to get, you know, a minuscule gain. And I think that's a lot like working at a startup.”
Brett DeMarrais Sep 7, 2016 ▶ 22:06 20VC: What Is Wrong With The VC Industry, Why VC Is A Customer Service Game and Why Car Ownership Will Be A Thing Of The Past with Brett DeMarrais, Partner @ Ludlow Ventures
Sep 14, 2016
Opinion
Sarver: Operators who fail in venture capital can always return to startups
“And I feel like, you know, if you're not being a great VC or if, you know, the team doesn't love me or, you know, whatever you can always go back to doing a startup.”
Ryan Sarver Sep 14, 2016 ▶ 6:19 20VC: Do VC's Really Hustle Enough? The Takeaways From Watching Twitter Scale From 30 to 2,500 & Why Chris Sacca Is Like Yoda with Ryan Sarver, Partner @ Redpoint
Nov 9, 2016 bullish
Insight
Startups create and win new categories, not legacy incumbents
“Again, I am a believer that it's startups or new entrants that create new categories rather than the legacy auto, you know, manufacturers that win.”
Rudina Seseri Nov 9, 2016 ▶ 19:28 20VC: Who Will Own The Data? Is There An Incumbency Advantage in AI? When Will Artificial Super Intelligence Come To The Forefront with Rudina Seseri, Founder and Managing Director @ Glasswing Ventures
Nov 9, 2016 positive
Opinion
Barriers to overcoming big tech data incumbencies are surprisingly low
“I do think that there are big data incumbencies, and I do think that they require, if you will, they're a challenge to overcome I do think that the barriers to overcome them are not so high. As previously mentioned, the incumbents oftentimes get in their own w…”
Rudina Seseri Nov 9, 2016 ▶ 10:13 20VC: Who Will Own The Data? Is There An Incumbency Advantage in AI? When Will Artificial Super Intelligence Come To The Forefront with Rudina Seseri, Founder and Managing Director @ Glasswing Ventures
Nov 14, 2016
Assertion Partly supported
Marini: 85% of startups fail
“Most, you know, 85% of startups fail, and you can't say yes every time, or you'll go bankrupt.”
Rick Marini Nov 14, 2016 ▶ 9:47 20VC: Rick Marini on Lessons Leant From Naval Ravikant, Why You Need To Make 30 Investments Before You Know What You Are Doing & Why You Have To Earn The Right To Good Dealflow
Nov 23, 2016
Insight
Paley says early-stage startups must triple their valuation every two years
“I think at the early stage, rough rule of thumb, there's no perfect definition here. You should at least be tripling every two years. Some people would argue you should be doubling every year, which would mean Forex in two years. But just to sort of put a more…”
Eric Paley Nov 23, 2016 ▶ 12:11 20VC: Venture Capital Is One Hell Of A Drug, What VCs Expect From Founders Once They Have Raised & Why Customers Validate Your Business Not Venture Capital with Eric Paley, Managing Partner @ Founder Collective
Nov 28, 2016
Insight
O'Driscoll: Successful Startups Dominate Niche Markets Before Expanding
“You start off with a relatively small market because you need to be able to win in a market that you can dominate. And then what you find is that market expands as you see in more and more use cases for your product. And then you have the best of both worlds i…”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 28, 2016 ▶ 10:54 20VC: Why Market Is More Important Than Team, The 4 Key Roles of A Board Member & Why Founders Get Market Sizing So Wrong with Rory O'Driscoll, Founding Partner @ Scale Venture Partners
Dec 2, 2016
Insight
High Valuations Eliminate Acquisition Exit Options for Non-Unicorn Startups
“If not, then you really don't want to raise like insane amounts of money at high valuations, right? Cause you cut off exit possibilities.”
Ryan Petersen Dec 2, 2016 ▶ 20:31 20VC: Flexport's Ryan Petersen on Why Investor Relations Are Overrated, Why Boards Have To Be Rethought & Why MBAs Do Not Make Bad Entrepreneurs
Dec 30, 2016 bullish
Insight
Banta: AI startups build competitive moats through proprietary datasets
“One of the areas where I feel like startups Can have a distinct advantage is creating unique data sets that do interesting things around on top of some of these machine learning algorithms.”
Nitesh Banta Dec 30, 2016 ▶ 14:55 20VC: How AI Can Enhance Not Replace Humans? What Will Differentiate Between The Winners & The Losers In AI? Why AGI Is Further Away Than We Think with Nitesh Banta, Founder & CEO @ B12
Jan 6, 2017
Insight
Startup cost of capital is high due to a lack of regulation
“One of the reasons that I think cost of capital for startups is so high is because there's lack of regulation.”
Henry Ward Jan 6, 2017 ▶ 16:18 20VC: eShares' Henry Ward on Why Portfolio Theory Is Wrong? Why Investors Will Never Take Market Risk & Why You have To Have A Line of Sight To A $Bn Outcome
Jan 11, 2017 negative
Insight
Judging all startups by outlier growth forces premature capital risk
“I think that some of the trajectory of some of these amazing companies, which are truly outliers, that have had this, you know, up and to the right success, has forced all companies to be, you know, judged by that same curve, and that's not the way that, that …”
Emily Melton Jan 11, 2017 ▶ 29:28 20VC: Why You Should Not Invest From Patterns, Why No Good Business Was Built As An Analogy Of Another & Why The Rise Of The 'Celebrity Investor' Is Concerning with Emily Melton, Partner @ DFJ
Jan 20, 2017 neutral
Insight
Taggar: Every Startup Faces Existential Threats Despite Positive External Optics
“And what I realized is that actually what happens is no matter how problematic or screwed your startup is, Everyone always presents externally that things are going fantastically. And so as a founder, you don't often realize this, that everyone starts up at pr…”
Harj Taggar Jan 20, 2017 ▶ 7:10 20VC: Biggest Takeaways From Working With Paul Graham and Jessica Livingston, Why You Should Put Off Hiring For As Long As Possible & Why Seed Stage Investing Is All About Optimising The Top Of The Funnel with Harj Taggar, Founder & CEO @ Triplebyte
Jan 20, 2017
Insight
Taggar: Internal Execution Mistakes Kill Startups Far More Often Than Competitors
“You are just far more likely to not succeed because you make a mistake internally, right? Like either you know, you build the wrong product, you don't pay enough attention to your users, you hire the wrong people, or all of these things are far more likely to …”
Harj Taggar Jan 20, 2017 ▶ 8:11 20VC: Biggest Takeaways From Working With Paul Graham and Jessica Livingston, Why You Should Put Off Hiring For As Long As Possible & Why Seed Stage Investing Is All About Optimising The Top Of The Funnel with Harj Taggar, Founder & CEO @ Triplebyte
Jan 25, 2017
Insight
Guo: Startup launch costs have dropped, but scaling costs have risen
“The cost to start one that really matters has come down dramatically in many areas, right? AWS increased seed capital, a cultural shift where it's okay to drop out of school and start a company, three D printing, a bigger sort of supportive ecosystem, you name…”
Sarah Guo Jan 25, 2017 ▶ 18:33 20VC: Preparing For The Next Big Trend, Why Conversational Will Be The Next Big Thing & How Entrepreneurs Should View Market Size with Sarah Guo @ Greylock Partners
Jan 25, 2017 negative
Insight
Guo: Startups Using Public Internet Data Face Incumbent Risk From Big Tech
“If your plan as a company is to take internet accessible data sets and do something interesting with them on the machine learning side and productize them, if it's an area that Google and Facebook care deeply about, you're on dangerous ground, right? They, tho…”
Sarah Guo Jan 25, 2017 ▶ 11:41 20VC: Preparing For The Next Big Trend, Why Conversational Will Be The Next Big Thing & How Entrepreneurs Should View Market Size with Sarah Guo @ Greylock Partners
Mar 31, 2017 negative
Insight
McCloskey: Leaking low runway to VCs severely damages fundraising terms
“When, I mean, the biggest challenge is when you are, let's say you're in the A stage of raising money, and you don't have a lot of runway, and as a startup, you need to try and keep as much of the power in that negotiation process as you can, while also, you k…”
Melody McCloskey Mar 31, 2017 ▶ 11:55 20VC: Why Every Founder Should Bootstrap Their Startup, How To Solve Information Asymmetry Between Founders and VCs & Living In A Cupboard For Two Years To Fund StyleSeat with Melody McCloskey, Founder & CEO @ StyleSeat
May 17, 2017 negative
Insight
Raney: Applying past VC market cycles to present startups is dangerous
“I think that's overplayed a bit. I think that the times have changed and evolved. The nature of startups have evolved quite a bit, and so I think it's very, very, it's dangerous to try to apply too many lessons in the past to the market of today.”
Scott Raney May 17, 2017 ▶ 3:36 20VC: Why It Is Good Company Funding Has Been Down 6 Quarters In A Row, Why Unanimity Does Not Work In VC Decision-Making & Why It Is Dangerous To Be A Spreadsheet Investor with Scott Raney, Partner @ Redpoint Ventures
May 17, 2017 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Raney: Starting a company costs far less today than ever before
“I think it costs far less to start a company and get it up and running today than it ever did before. And so, Some of the challenges associated with fundraising environments during downturns before are probably not quite as applicable as they once were.”
Scott Raney May 17, 2017 ▶ 3:49 20VC: Why It Is Good Company Funding Has Been Down 6 Quarters In A Row, Why Unanimity Does Not Work In VC Decision-Making & Why It Is Dangerous To Be A Spreadsheet Investor with Scott Raney, Partner @ Redpoint Ventures
May 31, 2017 bearish
Opinion
Ascher: Venture capital has become overly transactional and cap-table focused
“I'd like to see it be less transactional and more relationship oriented. I feel like it's become a bit of a, yeah, yeah, yeah, write me a check and join this long cap table list, but ultimately for me, again, it's about the long-term partnership relationship.”
Brian Ascher May 31, 2017 ▶ 20:51 20VC: How Both Founders & GPs Should Construct Their Pitch, Why VCs Are Eternal Optimists & What Makes The Best Post-Investment VC/Founder Relationship with Brian Ascher, Partner @ Venrock
Jul 21, 2017 negative
Insight
Jenna Brown: Non-operator VCs often give flawed tactical advice to startups
“What I think is not good is when you have someone who hasn't worked or run in a very small company, heavily giving you that practical advice, because there tends to be a lot of context that they miss. And so that advice can be wrong.”
Jenna Brown Jul 21, 2017 ▶ 11:35 20VC: The 2 Types of Sexism & How They Play Out In Tech, Why You Should Not Always Get Customers To Pay For Your Product Immediately & Why You Must Ask Operator VCs Different Questions To Non-Operator VCs with Jenna Brown, Founder & CEO, Shipamax
Aug 9, 2017 negative
Insight
Quintini: Ignoring regulation until big enough to lobby is a costly strategy
“The idea of I'm just gonna ignore it or be big enough until I have a voice and then I'll lobby. I think it's a very binary and costly strategy.”
Renata Quintini Aug 9, 2017 ▶ 24:04 20VC: The 7 Requirements For Startup Scaling, Why VCs Must Approach Every Conversation with A Yes Mentality & Why We Will See The Humanisation of Technology with Renata Quintini, Partner @ Lux Capital
Aug 16, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Beisel: Voice fragmentation creates opportunities for startups to build connective tissue
“A consumer in their bedroom or in their kitchen isn't going to want to talk to the different device differently, and so there's probably some area for startups to kind of be connective tissue around a cohesive experience.”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 13:50 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Sep 6, 2017
Disclosure
Callaghan: Every startup faces at least one existential crisis
“I have never been a part of a company that didn't have at least one or two kill the company moments. Literally every company I've been.”
Jon Callaghan Sep 6, 2017 ▶ 18:40 20VC: Why Investors Have The Biggest Problem with Bias, Why Our Job Is To Maximise Risk & Why It Is Essential To Get Good at Losing with True Ventures Founder, Jon Callaghan
Sep 8, 2017
Insight
Wayne Chang: Time is the primary enemy of founders and startups
“My favorite thing I believe in is the enemy Of founders and startups is time. And so what does that mean? That means every day that goes by, you're becoming old news. Every day that goes by, your burn rate just goes up. No matter what happens, if you accomplis…”
Wayne Chang Sep 8, 2017 ▶ 3:50 20VC: How To Run The Perfect Fundraising Process, Why Time Kills All Deals & Why You Have To Get VCs Out Of The Board Room with Wayne Chang, Serial Entrepreneur & Angel Investor
Sep 22, 2017
Insight
Schlosser: Startups tackling complex industries need older, experienced industry veterans
“I think that as startups go more and more into a more complex world, parts of the world, and out of, hey, I've got a cool viral app, which I think is a path we need to continue to walk down, it's very important that we are able to pull in, I don't know, people…”
Mario Schlosser Sep 22, 2017 ▶ 24:00 20VC: Raising Over $700m From The World's Best Investors, How To Innovate In Highly Regulated Markets & The 3 Superpowers of Insurance Companies with Mario Schlosser, Founder & CEO @ Oscar
Oct 2, 2017
Insight
Fundraising and M&A force startups to codify their company strategy
“There's two big forcing functions for codifying company strategy, and I think one of those is financings and raising money, and then the other is M&A”
Matt Switzer Oct 2, 2017 ▶ 5:08 20VC: 3 Things Acquirers Look For In Startup M&A's, How To Price A Startup Acquisition & The Biggest Risk of M&A with Matt Switzer, SVP of Corporate Development @ Hootsuite
Oct 18, 2017 positive
Insight
Arbesman: Combining disparate ideas creates a defensible moat for startups
“So I think if a startup can bring together disparate ideas and carve out a niche and unique way of thinking and provide something of value to the world, that's something that is both differentiable and also a defensible moat because it's hard to jump across di…”
Sam Arbesman Oct 18, 2017 ▶ 6:00 20VC: Lux Capital's Scientist-In-Residence on Why We Cannot Just Be Specialists Today, The Benefits of Interdisciplinary Thinking & Computational Creativity That Makes Man and Machine Partners with Sam Arbesman
Oct 23, 2017 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Startups will not see capital-fueled immense growth for three years
“And I think we've exited this period where companies are kind of on steroids with capital and growing at immense rates. That's just not going to happen in the next three years again.”
Semil Shah Oct 23, 2017 ▶ 19:13 20VC: Semil Shah on How To Raise An Institutional Venture Fund, Why LPs Mostly Have Reserve Allocation Theory Wrong & Why IPOs and Acquisitions Are Severely Constrained
Nov 13, 2017
Insight
Startups Must Get Distribution Before Incumbents Get Innovation
“The battle between every startup and incumbent comes down to whether the startup can get the distribution before the incumbent can build the innovation.”
Alex Rampell Nov 13, 2017 ▶ 7:55 20VC: a16z's Alex Rampell on The Struggle Between Innovation vs Distribution, When How To Determine Whether An Application is Optimised Through Centralised or Decentralised Networks & Why Most ICOs Today Are Ridiculous
Feb 2, 2018 neutral
Insight
Startup success demands extraordinary commitment compared to corporate jobs
“You're rarely going to get extraordinary outcomes from ordinary type work, and I think in a lot of the big companies, you can do relatively ordinary work in terms of your effort and in terms of your contribution and the leverage that your contribution has. In …”
Andy Pflaum Feb 2, 2018 ▶ 10:36 20VC: The Biggest Growth Opportunities for Young People in Tech Today, Why Distributed Workforces Are The Secret To Beating Incumbents & Why It Has Never Been Easier To Operate A Company Than Today with Andy Pflaum, Founder & CEO @ Astro
Feb 12, 2018
Insight
Costolo: Startup vision becomes dogma when teams cannot question it
“Sometimes one of the reasons that startups and companies don't learn quickly is because they have some vision that becomes dogma because you're not allowed to question it.”
Dick Costolo Feb 12, 2018 ▶ 7:38 20VC: Dick Costolo on The Balance of Vision and Realism in Startups, The Biggest Challenge in Scaling Twitter & How To Optimise Decision Making Internally
Mar 12, 2018
Insight
Taussig: Product-channel fit never lasts, requiring backup channels early
“Even if you find that product channel fit, it's not going to last forever. And it's often the first thing you get right. And then you have to get a lot of other things, right? So it's almost always the case that when you hit product channel fit and you're scal…”
Alex Taussig Mar 12, 2018 ▶ 18:01 20VC: Lightspeed's Alex Taussig on VC Risk Mentality, The Current State of Retail & The Mechanics of Cash Flow
Mar 12, 2018
Insight
Taussig: Early startups should maintain an 80/20 marketing budget split
“So yes, you need to really lean into what's working because you only have a certain amount of resources. But you always also need to be testing. So it's somewhere in the middle. It's maybe something like an eighty-twenty split early on.”
Alex Taussig Mar 12, 2018 ▶ 19:00 20VC: Lightspeed's Alex Taussig on VC Risk Mentality, The Current State of Retail & The Mechanics of Cash Flow
Mar 26, 2018 positive
Opinion
Loftus: CorpDev teams aim to advocate for startups internally
“CorpDev wants to be your advocate within the company, not just for an M&A deal. Like, we spend our days talking to VCs and talking to startups, and we've self-selected for this job because we love entrepreneurs”
James Loftus Mar 26, 2018 ▶ 24:08 20VC: How Great VCs Handle Themselves In An M&A Process, Why M&A Has Become The Primary Method of Exit & How The Best M&A Teams Operationalise Their Process with James Loftus, Corporate Development Lead @ Square
May 11, 2018 neutral
Insight
Dudum: Startups should scale marketing and distribution, never headcount
“I don't know if I believe there's ever a time to pour fuel on people. I believe there's time to pour fuel on marketing or business development or partnerships or different distribution channels, but I actually think that's very different from people. So I thin…”
Andrew Dudum May 11, 2018 ▶ 14:52 20VC: Hims' Andrew Dudum on The Scaling Playbook of The Fastest Growing Mens Wellness Brand, How To Be Truly Innovative In Today's World of Online Marketing & Raising at a $200m Valuation within Year 1
Jun 11, 2018
Insight
Startups Cannot Effectively Focus on More Than 10 Annual Objectives
“So beyond 10 objectives, we don't feel they can really be focusing on things that we think will change the outcome of the company.”
Peter Parker Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 18:30 20VC: Why Process is Everything In Good Venture Firms, Why GPs Should Have More Empathy For LPs and Lessons from 32 Years In VC, Chairing Over 25 Boards with Peter Parker, Managing Partner @ Bioinnovation Capital
Jun 11, 2018
Insight
Failing Top Three Annual Objectives Indicates Serious Startup Problems
“Yeah, if companies aren't hitting their top two or three objectives, and if they're reasonable objectives, yeah, something's wrong.”
Peter Parker Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 19:54 20VC: Why Process is Everything In Good Venture Firms, Why GPs Should Have More Empathy For LPs and Lessons from 32 Years In VC, Chairing Over 25 Boards with Peter Parker, Managing Partner @ Bioinnovation Capital
Jul 17, 2018 positive
Insight
Elad Gil: Startups with product-market fit are anti-fragile
“And in general, startups with product market fit tend to have enormous momentum and actually be anti-fragile.”
Elad Gil Jul 17, 2018 ▶ 16:22 20VC: Elad Gil's High Growth Handbook on The Commonalities of The Truly Great CEOs, How To Hire The Very Best Execs, Why Cash is A Defensible Moat Today & The Pros and Cons of M&A and IPOs
Sep 10, 2018
Insight
Rocket ship startups face continuous unsolicited investment offers
“Once you sort of hit this special rocket ship status, I would say there's always suitors waiting to come and invest in your company, which of course can be somewhat jarring sometimes for the founders, because many of them want nothing but to build their compan…”
Shabih "Shabby" Rizvi Sep 10, 2018 ▶ 13:17 20VC: The Biggest Lessons From Working Alongside John Doerr, How To Optimize The Speed of Investment Decision-Making & Why Saying No Graciously Is The Most Important Thing with Shabih Rizvi, Founding Partner @ Gradient Ventures
Oct 26, 2018 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Libin: Average Expected Return for Startup Founders Is Sharply Negative
“Because the average expected return for founders of making a startup is sharply negative.”
Phil Libin Oct 26, 2018 ▶ 15:44 20VC: Phil Libin on Why The Concept of A Silicon Valley Style Startup Is Made To Benefit VCs, Why The Very Structure of Companies Is Outdated and Inefficient & What It Means To Build The Netflix of Product
Dec 7, 2018 negative
Opinion
Sanwal: Modern startups are repeating Kozmo.com's flawed unit economics
“Our business model, if you were to boil it down, was essentially buying things for two dollars and selling them for one dollar and, you know, hoping somehow that that would work out in volumes. And, you know, I think interestingly enough, it's sort of a busine…”
Anand Sanwal Dec 7, 2018 ▶ 3:55 20VC: CB Insights' Anand Sanwal on The Most Dangerous Myth Some Investors Have Promoted, Why Most B2B Content Is Crap and How To Make It Successful & Why Predigree Is Overrated and The Right Way To Scale Teams
Jan 7, 2019
Insight
Belsky: Overcapitalization prevents startups from building operational resilience and resourcefulness
“And those companies oftentimes fail and they fail because they never build the muscle memory, the instincts around how to mine difficult moments, how to run postmortems, not because you want to, but because you need to, because you can't screw this up again or…”
Scott Belsky Jan 7, 2019 ▶ 25:41 20VC: Scott Belsky on Why We Must Challenge Our Faith In The Strength of Resources, Why We Must Rethink The Product Creation and Design Process & How To Determine Between The Good and The Truly Great When Assessing Individuals
Jan 7, 2019
Insight
Belsky: Startups should raise war chests only after finding product-market fit
“I mean, there are certainly stages of certain businesses where they should raise a war chest. Because of the nature of the competitive climate, they've already found product market fit. You know, now it's a race for globalization, or it's a race for acquiring …”
Scott Belsky Jan 7, 2019 ▶ 26:55 20VC: Scott Belsky on Why We Must Challenge Our Faith In The Strength of Resources, Why We Must Rethink The Product Creation and Design Process & How To Determine Between The Good and The Truly Great When Assessing Individuals
Feb 8, 2019
Insight
Midha: Startups turn risk into non-risk, requiring VC firm stability
“Startups are vehicles to turn risk into non-risk. The last thing you want is for your venture capital firm to be unstable. Actually, your venture firm should be a source of stability to the company.”
Anjney Midha Feb 8, 2019 ▶ 18:21 20VC: What Makes The Best Venture Firms Today So Special, The 3 Structural Impediments That Face Venture Today and Why The Debate on AR vs VR is BS with Anjney Midha, Founder & CEO @ Ubiquity6
Apr 1, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tan: Founders with prior Initialized relationships perform three times better
“We actually ran the numbers recently and people who we worked very closely with previously, their startups outcomes are actually looking about three times better. Then the folks that we didn't have sort of that multi-year background and sort of process with.”
Garry Tan Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 13:32 20VC: Initialized's Garry Tan on The Most Important Thing A Seed Investor Can Do For Founders, How Ownership Requirements Change With Evolution of Funds & Why There Is Not Too Much Capital Chasing Too Few Deals
Apr 5, 2019 positive
Insight
Russakow: Pour Capital Only into Proven Unit Economics
“You know, once you get to a point where you've got the recipe right, and the demand is quite large, and now it's simply a matter of injecting capital into a working, working model, and a hungry market, that's the time to really turn on the afterburners.”
Jeff Russakow Apr 5, 2019 ▶ 12:25 20VC: One Question Founders Must Ask Themselves When Approaching Investor Selection, Why Series B Is One Of The Most Challenging Phases & What Makes For A Successful CEO Transition with Jeff Russakow, CEO @ Boosted
Apr 22, 2019
Insight
Liew: Failing to Spot Channel Saturation Is Startups' Top Scaling Mistake
“Specifically around starting to scale, I think perhaps the most common mistake that people can make is not recognizing when the channel on which they're scaling is going to start to reach saturation.”
Jeremy Liew Apr 22, 2019 ▶ 17:24 20VC: Lightspeed's Jeremy Liew on Why It Is More Important To Be Right Than Contrarian, The Most Common Mistakes Made By Hyper-Growth Companies & 3 Characteristics That Make An Individual Incredible At Sourcing
Apr 29, 2019 positive
Insight
Smith: Startups should raise capital to pay higher salaries instead of equity
“Why wouldn't we instead go raise some additional capital from people who adequately value it or value it at least at a higher rate and instead convert that money that we get from investors into higher salaries to make us more competitive? And so I'm surprised …”
Sarah Smith Apr 29, 2019 ▶ 22:20 20VC: Why Lead Lime's Series D Funding Round, Why Engineers Are Underpaid & Why 74% of US Venture Firms Still Do Not Have Female GPs
May 27, 2019 negative
Insight
Ralston: Big corporate deals usually kill early-stage startups
“And more often than not, that big deal that you're going to do kills you. And you almost never want to do it. You should almost always walk away.”
Geoff Ralston May 27, 2019 ▶ 30:33 20VC: Y Combinator's New President, Geoff Ralston on The Single Most Important Perspective An Investor Can Provide A Founder, The Biggest Lessons From Working Alongside Paul Graham & Why You Will Lose As An Investor If You "Profile Invest"
Jun 7, 2019
Insight
Perret: Fast-growing startups require ruthlessly prioritizing which broken things to ignore
“Everything's always broken. It's just a question of how broken and how important as to if we're going to focus on it. And when you're moving really quickly as a startup, you have to be willing to let certain things go, understand that there might be a fire smo…”
Zach Perret Jun 7, 2019 ▶ 10:37 20VC: Plaid's Zach Perret on Why You Have To Hire For Spikes and What That Really Means, Fintech Predictions From Incumbent Entrants To The Rise of Europe & The 2 Big Questions That CEOs Should Ask Themselves
Jun 10, 2019 negative
Insight
Kupor: Distressed startups cannot sell themselves without pre-existing inbound interest
“At the end of the day, companies are bought, not sold, meaning that if you don't have that inherent interest already from other companies, it's very hard when you're facing a bridge situation to assume you're going to go out and market yourself to somebody els…”
Scott Kupor Jun 10, 2019 ▶ 19:47 20VC: a16z's Scott Kupor on The Biggest Learnings From Scaling a16z from $300m to $7Bn AUM, The Biggest Mistakes Entrepreneurs Make When Pitching VCs & Why VC Is Simply A Customer Service Business
Jun 21, 2019 negative
Insight
Kan: It is a myth that founders must suffer to build startups
“I think people feel like they have to suffer in order to do a startup, and I actually just disagree with that. I don't think you have to suffer. You're going to experience pain, definitely. Things aren't always going to go right, but you don't have to suffer.”
Justin Kan Jun 21, 2019 ▶ 26:44 20VC: Justin Kan on Why We Have To Normalize Vulnerability in Startups Today, Why Attaching Happiness To Future Outcomes Will Only Lead To Suffering & Why It Is Total BS That You Have To "Suffer" When Doing A Startup
Jun 21, 2019
Insight
Kan: Learning as a startup founder is an inherently painful process
“When you're the founder of a startup, you are forced to learn things. The thing I forgot about that process is that when you're learning is actually mostly a painful process. And what I mean by that is it's mostly involves failing at things until you finally g…”
Justin Kan Jun 21, 2019 ▶ 5:02 20VC: Justin Kan on Why We Have To Normalize Vulnerability in Startups Today, Why Attaching Happiness To Future Outcomes Will Only Lead To Suffering & Why It Is Total BS That You Have To "Suffer" When Doing A Startup
Aug 9, 2019
Insight
Shah: Top VCs invest when startups seem bound for success regardless
“Does it feel like this business is going to be successful without me? That's, I think, what is in the back of the heads of the best investors. And if so, I want in on it.”
Hiten Shah Aug 9, 2019 ▶ 18:06 20VC: Hiten Shah on The Right Way To Think About Depression, Control and Burnout, Why Nobody Really Knows What They Are Doing and How One Should Receive Advice As A Result & How To Gain Self-Awareness As A Leader
Aug 26, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vernal: Almost every startup underprices its product
“What I will say is I think almost every startup underprices its product.”
Mike Vernal Aug 26, 2019 ▶ 21:58 20VC: Sequoia's Mike Vernal on His Biggest Lessons From 8 Years of Hyper-Growth at Facebook, Why The Strength of Data Moats Is Over-Rated Today and The Challenge of "Overthinking Investments" In Venture
Sep 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Messerschmidt: Unprofitable startups must perpetually raise capital until profitable
“Unless you're running a profitable business, you're going to run out of money, typically one to two years after you raise. And so you're absolutely always going to have to raise more capital. So you're actually always raising until you're profitable.”
Jana Messerschmidt Sep 2, 2019 ▶ 15:52 20VC: How Founders Can Gain Leverage in Fundraising Negotiations, The Metrics You Need To Raise Your Series A in Consumer & What We Have To Change About Cap Table Construction with Jana Messerschmidt, Partner @ Lightspeed Venture Partners
Sep 6, 2019 positive
Insight
Wang: People overweight the downside risk of joining or founding startups
“I adopt a very risk-seeking perspective, because the reality is that there's not actually that much risk. When you start a company, the worst case, obviously, is that it fails, but even in that case, it's not that bad, especially if you're young, because if yo…”
Alex Wang Sep 6, 2019 ▶ 4:30 20VC: Scale Founder Alex Wang on How To Hire Incredible Talent Before You Are A Hot Company, Why Beating Competition Is Not As Clear Cut As Investors Believe & Why AI Is Under-Hyped Today In Terms of Total Impact
Nov 8, 2019
Insight
Denehy: A startup is not over until the last dollar is spent
“Until the last dollar is spent, it's not over.”
Ryan Denehy Nov 8, 2019 ▶ 14:14 20VC: Why Pre-Product Market Fit Is About Systems Design Not Engineering, The Right Way For Leaders To Approach Wartime Leadership Today & A Guide To Recruitment Forward Planning with Ryan Denehy, Founder & CEO @ Electric
Nov 8, 2019
Insight
Denehy: Startups must prioritize commercial activity over perpetual research
“At the end of the day, you have to build a business, not a university research project. So there's a point at which you need to get the show on the road and engage in meaningful commercial activity.”
Ryan Denehy Nov 8, 2019 ▶ 12:32 20VC: Why Pre-Product Market Fit Is About Systems Design Not Engineering, The Right Way For Leaders To Approach Wartime Leadership Today & A Guide To Recruitment Forward Planning with Ryan Denehy, Founder & CEO @ Electric
Dec 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
David Tisch: The era of startup romanticism has officially ended
“And I think we've gotten to the point where the romanticism of startups is gone.”
David Tisch Dec 2, 2019 ▶ 19:38 20VC: BoxGroup's David Tisch on Whether Concentrated Investing At Seed Works, Do Founders Really Want Direct Feedback and Is It Good For Them & Why Consumer Social Is Interesting Again
Dec 6, 2019 negative
Insight
Schalit: Warehousing cash without fast growth puts equity underwater
“If you're not growing at an incredible rate, if you are not guaranteed to be worth way more money without using that capital, then you must deploy it because otherwise you will have raised your exit bar. You will have a lot of money in the bank, but you will n…”
Emmanuel Schalit Dec 6, 2019 ▶ 20:14 20VC: Why Raising A Mega-Round Makes Your Life Harder Not Easier, Why Your Board Is Not Your Boss and Lessons on Successful Board Management & The Biggest Breakpoints in Company Scaling with Emmanuel Schalit, Founder & CEO @ Dashlane
Mar 6, 2020
Insight
Abuzeid: Unresolved startup hiring mistakes must be terminated within weeks
“Now, if after a certain period of time, and unfortunately in a startup, it cannot be very much time, because time is money here, and we got to move really fast. So within a matter of a few weeks, actually, if it's not resolved, then they likely need to leave t…”
Iman Abuzeid Mar 6, 2020 ▶ 28:44 20VC: Why Most Founders Do Not Structure Their Fundraise Correctly, The Pros Of Having An MBA As A Startup Founder & How To Manage The Psychology Of Being CEO and Overcome Self Doubt with Iman Abuzeid, Founder & CEO @ Incredible Health
May 11, 2020
Insight
Maples: Great startups rely on exponential technology improvement curves
“I generally believe that most great startups are born of these exponential improvement curves that are beneath them. They're like gathering waves in an ocean that you surf back to the beach. And I think it's really hard without a gathering wave to really be gr…”
Mike Maples May 11, 2020 ▶ 13:51 20VC: Floodgate's Mike Maples on 3 Key Breakthroughs Startups Experience in Success, The Rise of Angel and Operator Funds, Multi-Stage Funds Re-Entering Seed Investing and The Insight Development Framework
May 11, 2020
Insight
Maples: Startups begin when founders bring future insights to the present
“A startup starts when someone living in the future comes back to the present with a new idea, a breakthrough insight, and the market becomes a movement.”
Mike Maples May 11, 2020 ▶ 8:01 20VC: Floodgate's Mike Maples on 3 Key Breakthroughs Startups Experience in Success, The Rise of Angel and Operator Funds, Multi-Stage Funds Re-Entering Seed Investing and The Insight Development Framework
May 15, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kunst predicted in May 2020 that startup markets would normalize by 2022
“And then assuming that in two years for startups that we will be Relatively close to back to normal, 24 months from now.”
Sarah Kunst May 15, 2020 ▶ 22:36 20VC: Sarah Kunst on Why There Is Plenty Of Investor Money Still Available, The Megan Markle Effect and How It Impacts Hiring and Talent & Whether GP Commits Prevent Diversity and Inclusion
Jun 29, 2020 neutral
Insight
Zeev: Early startups must build strong technical DNA before sales and marketing
“I think that if you start with very strong technical people, then you have the best DNA from a technology standpoint, an engineering standpoint. And again, it's something that you cannot fix after the fact. And sales and marketing, you can build it three years…”
Oren Zeev Jun 29, 2020 ▶ 35:21 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Is Overrated, The Downside of Thematic Investing, Making Quality Decisions In Uncertain Conditions & Why He Has No Reserves Allocation
Jul 3, 2020 positive
Insight
DeWahl: Startup generalists provide most value in early-stage cross-disciplinary roles
“Generalists can be hugely valuable in those first few years, and they tend to thrive at the intersection of multiple disciplines, whether it's across quantitative and qualitative.”
Julia DeWahl Jul 3, 2020 ▶ 21:38 20VC: Biggest Lessons From Opendoor's Scaling Journey, How To Implement Systems for Growth & The Right Way To Structure Customer Discovery Processes with Julia DeWahl, Angel Investor
Jul 20, 2020 negative
Insight
Steve Blank: Incremental layoffs destroy employee morale and productivity
“The biggest mistake that I've seen time and again that people make is not making the cuts, but basically cutting a bit at a time, and while that seems well, we'll see how it's going, and we'll cut five percent, and then three weeks later, you realize, ah, we o…”
Steve Blank Jul 20, 2020 ▶ 21:57 20VC: Steve Blank on Why The Startup Ecosystem is Partially A Ponzi Scheme, 3 Things That Determine Startup Survival in a COVID World & Facebook: Platform vs Publisher and Where Does Their Responsibility Lie?
Jul 20, 2020 positive
Insight
Blank: Venture-backed startups should take government PPP funds to survive
“Your job is to have your company survive, and if taking that money will do that, then for gosh sake, take the money and have the other discussions later after you're a successful company.”
Steve Blank Jul 20, 2020 ▶ 23:33 20VC: Steve Blank on Why The Startup Ecosystem is Partially A Ponzi Scheme, 3 Things That Determine Startup Survival in a COVID World & Facebook: Platform vs Publisher and Where Does Their Responsibility Lie?
Aug 3, 2020 positive
Insight
Capital Scarcity Builds Healthier Startups by Forcing Customer Focus
“It's a healthier environment when capital is scarce and you iterate with customers, not chasing the next financing round.”
Steve Jurvetson Aug 3, 2020 ▶ 7:45 20VC: Steve Jurvetson on 20 Years of Friendship with Elon Musk, How To Analyse Market Timing, Why Venture Does Not Scale & Why He Has Never Sold A Share in Any Company He Holds
Aug 31, 2020 negative
Insight
Hartz: Staying private too long atrophies a startup's operational performance
“The muscles of really performing well can be atrophied in the darkness of the private markets.”
Kevin Hartz Aug 31, 2020 ▶ 10:34 20VC: SPACs. What Are They? Why Now? How Do They Change The Venture Landscape? Are They Better Than IPOs & Direct Listings? How Should Founders Think About Them? Kevin Hartz & Troy Steckenrider @ A*
Oct 16, 2020
Insight
Startups should ignore secondary problems because scaling unlocks resources
“The nature of startups is that if they start working, you unlock resources and talent, and so, so many problems that seem hard today get easier over time, and I think Opendoor was kind of ruthlessly focused on solving the most important problems at the time, k…”
Spike Lipkin Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 4:57 20VC: How To Determine The Risks To Take vs To Pass On, Should Founders Meet Investors When Not Raising & The Most Important Non-Obvious Role of the CEO with Spike Lipkin, Founder & CEO @ Newfront Insurance
Oct 19, 2020
Insight
Cyan Banister: Sole-investor seed rounds create dangerous follow-on signaling risk
“I think having one person in one fund can be detrimental because if they don't follow on, you're kind of dead in the water.”
Cyan Banister Oct 19, 2020 ▶ 22:16 20VC: Cyan Banister on Her Relationship To Money, Risk, Her Investment Decision-Making Process, Why We Will See A Reckoning in the Early Stage Market, Her Biggest Takeaways from HQ Trivia & The Future of Silicon Valley
Nov 2, 2020 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Eggers: Startups, not big corporations, will solve climate change
“I do think that climate change is going to be solved by technology, largely, and by people changing their daily routines, but technology is key, and I don't think it's going to be necessarily solved by the big companies. I think the solutions are going to come…”
Barry Eggers Nov 2, 2020 ▶ 7:08 20VC: The Implications of a Biden vs a Trump Administration on Venture and Startups, How The Rise of Rolling Funds, SPACs and Solo Capitalists Will Impact Venture & What We Can Do To Swing the Race Pendulum in VC with Barry Eggers, Founding Partner @ Ligh
Nov 9, 2020
Insight
Zanutto: Novel COVID-era startup services are significantly harder to underwrite
“But a whole host of other startups thriving now in the COVID economy where they're offering services that didn't really exist a whole lot pre-COVID. And in my mind, those are much more challenging to underwrite And assess as an investor today, because then you…”
Derek Zanutto Nov 9, 2020 ▶ 16:54 20VC: Lessons from Investing in Uber and Airbnb, How To Think Through Bundling vs Unbundling, Late Stage Funds Moving Earlier, Early Stage Funds Moving Later& The Mechanics of Venture That Founders Should Know with Derek Zanutto, General Partner @ Capital
Nov 30, 2020
Insight
Tenev: Successful startups must focus narrowly before bundling products
“So I think the most successful companies start by being very narrow and doing one thing very, very well, because it's just hard. You know, you have limited resources, few people, you can't spread yourself too thin and go in too many directions. So it will typi…”
Vlad Tenev Nov 30, 2020 ▶ 22:15 20VC: Robinhood Founder Vlad Tenev on The Single Most Important Thing Leadership is Responsible For, How To Manage Fear and Self-Doubt as a Leader & The Future of Fintech; Bundled or Unbundled
Dec 7, 2020 positive
Insight
Speed is one of a startup's few core strengths
“And by the way, in startups, you should not slow down. Startups are one of those things where speed is one of your very few strengths, and so you should be moving.”
Reid Hoffman Dec 7, 2020 ▶ 16:18 20VC: Reid Hoffman on Investing in Airbnb and Passing on Stripe, The Different Styles of Truly Great Leaders, How To Think Through Ownership and Price in Venture & How To Ensure Venture Partnerships Always Have Trust and a Learning Mindset
Dec 21, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
The tech ecosystem is entering the early innings of a startup explosion
“And I believe we're in the early innings of a much larger Cambrian explosion of startups.”
Avlok Kohli Dec 21, 2020 ▶ 20:10 20VC: Why the Theory of Pro-Rata is Often False, How Rolling Funds Impact Both Pricing and Competition & The Biggest Lessons from Working with Jack Dorsey with Avlok Kohli, CEO @ AngelList Venture
Dec 21, 2020 bullish
Prediction Held up
AngelList will expand its financial platform to directly serve startups
“Our stack includes the LPs, the fund managers, and all the services needed, and tomorrow we're actually going to add startups to that as well.”
Avlok Kohli Dec 21, 2020 ▶ 31:35 20VC: Why the Theory of Pro-Rata is Often False, How Rolling Funds Impact Both Pricing and Competition & The Biggest Lessons from Working with Jack Dorsey with Avlok Kohli, CEO @ AngelList Venture
Jan 25, 2021 negative
Insight
Libin: Early-stage VC incentives force startups to take damaging shortcuts
“The incentives are when you're investing, especially if you're doing early stage investing, just like me, you're not looking for things that are likely to succeed, right? You're looking for things that have a plausible chance of succeeding, even if it's not a …”
Phil Libin Jan 25, 2021 ▶ 8:14 20VC: Evernote & mmhmm Founder Phil Libin on Why We are Beginning a Multi-Trillion Dollar Restructuring of the World, Why Shortcuts are the Biggest Mistakes Startups Make & The Future of Video and The Unbundling of Zoom
Jan 25, 2021 negative
Insight
Libin: The biggest shortcut early-stage startups take is hiring personal friends
“One of the many things that are wrong with startups is startups are all about shortcuts. All of the incentives are to take as many shortcuts as you can. The biggest shortcut that you can take is just hiring your friends”
Phil Libin Jan 25, 2021 ▶ 6:00 20VC: Evernote & mmhmm Founder Phil Libin on Why We are Beginning a Multi-Trillion Dollar Restructuring of the World, Why Shortcuts are the Biggest Mistakes Startups Make & The Future of Video and The Unbundling of Zoom
Mar 11, 2021
Insight
Sandell: Startups must maintain reserves because capital vanishes during market busts
“Not only do valuations come down, but in the busts, usually there just isn't capital at any price. So you have to make sure you always have a reserve on your balance sheet, and I think you also have to have a business plan that allows you to make rapid adjustm…”
Scott Sandell Mar 11, 2021 ▶ 8:41 20VC: NEA's Scott Sandell on SPACS and Why Liquidity is One of the Challenges of our Time, Why We Are At An Inflection Point For Secondaries & Why There Is Nothing To Suggest The Boom Will Not Continue
Mar 24, 2021
Insight
Levine: Compounding 5-6% Monthly Growth Over 10 Years Creates Massive Startups
“It's not about growing really fast, really quickly. It's about building an engine that will compound over time and sustain. And so if you can grow at five or six percent a month, but for 10 years, you're going to be massive.”
Jeremy Levine Mar 24, 2021 ▶ 24:29 20VC: The Pinterest Memo: Bessemer's Jeremy Levine on The Secret To Success within User Generated Content Plays, Where Most Investors Make Mistakes When Analysing Consumer Social and How The Pinterest Deal Wouldn't Have Happened without a Diverse Partners
Apr 15, 2021 negative
Opinion
Foster: Many startups raise large venture war chests without accretive plans
“And I see a lot of companies go out and just, like, taking these war chests and, like, selling all those parts of the company only just to sit on the cash and never do anything with it. Or to go spend it in ways that aren't accretive to the business.”
Wade Foster Apr 15, 2021 ▶ 20:52 20VC: Scaling Zapier To $140M ARR and a $5Bn Valuation on $1.4M of Funding, What Founders Misunderstand About Fundraising & How Founders Should Think About Secondaries Today with Wade Foster, Founder & CEO @ Zapier
Aug 12, 2021
Insight
Miura-Ko: Startups Never Win Competing on an Incumbent's Terms
“When you're put on the field and someone has a game that they're really good at, if you then try to engage in that battle on their basis, you're never gonna win. If you see that happening, You change the rules.”
Ann Miura-Ko Aug 12, 2021 ▶ 19:45 20VC: The Lyft Memo: Floodgate's Ann Miura Ko on Why Successful Seed Investing Is Not Investing In a Company But The Development of a Set of Secrets, Whether Capital Is a Defensible Moat Today &How Startups Should Approach Competition
Sep 22, 2021
Insight
Casey Winters: Startups must build growth capabilities immediately after product-market fit
“As soon as possible after product market fit, that's when growth becomes the number one concern of most startups, and that's where you need to be building out that capability.”
Casey Winters Sep 22, 2021 ▶ 10:30 Welcome 20Growth: How To Hire a Head of Growth? What are Signs of World-Class Talent? How To Structure the Process? How To Onboard Growth Teams? The Relationship Between Head of Growth and CEO and more with Casey Winters, Chief Product Officer @ Eventbrit
Nov 4, 2021 bearish
Insight
Raising at nosebleed valuations eliminates startup exit optionality
“And if you raise a nosebleed valuations and you ingest boatloads of capital, all of your optionality goes out the window in terms of successful exit.”
Ryan Denehy Nov 4, 2021 ▶ 19:58 20VC Unscripted: Pricing is Crazy, Pre-Emptive Rounds are Normal, Pricing at 200x Revenue Multiple is Common, There is More Cash Than Ever. What Happens Next; Market Analysis with Ryan Denehy, Founder and CEO @ Electric
Nov 4, 2021 bearish
Prediction Held up
High valuations will trigger a major surge in total startup failures
“Yeah, so based on that, like, honestly, I think you're going to see a lot more zero.”
Ryan Denehy Nov 4, 2021 ▶ 20:31 20VC Unscripted: Pricing is Crazy, Pre-Emptive Rounds are Normal, Pricing at 200x Revenue Multiple is Common, There is More Cash Than Ever. What Happens Next; Market Analysis with Ryan Denehy, Founder and CEO @ Electric
Nov 29, 2021
Insight
Foroughi: Early-stage startup execution is formulaic and standardized
“No, a hundred percent. I'm a believer startups are formulaic. Like, at every I mean, this one's gotten a lot bigger, obviously, than my past ones. You enter into uncharted territory, so it's the land unknown, but prior to that, everything's a formula. How do y…”
Adam Foroughi Nov 29, 2021 ▶ 4:05 20VC: AppLovin's Co-Founder & CEO, Adam Foroughi on How AppLovin Might Be The Venture Capital Industry's Biggest Miss, How To Run a 1,000+ Organisation with Very Few Meetings & Balancing the Demands of Wall St with Long Term, Sustainable Growth
Dec 6, 2021 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Gurley: 2021 Startup Burn Rates and Capital Raised Are 10-20x 1999 Levels
“The scale is way larger, both in terms of the amount of money being raised by each company and the burn rate. And I would say that's by 10 to 20 X.”
Bill Gurley Dec 6, 2021 ▶ 4:07 20VC: Bill Gurley and Michael Eisenberg on The First Signs of an Impending Bust, What Happens with a Market Crash, How Do Public Markets Impact Private Valuations & The Biggest Lessons from 20 Years Investing in Venture
Jan 5, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Will Ahmed: 65% of Startup Failures Stem From Co-Founder Conflict
“I think it's something like 65% of startups fail because the co-founders get in some massive disagreement or Can't work together anymore.”
Will Ahmed Jan 5, 2022 ▶ 12:54 20VC: Whoop Founder, Will Ahmed on How CEOs Can Perform at their Highest Level, Why There is Value in Struggle Early On, Why Realism is Overrated in Startups and How To Create a Culture of Delegated Decision-Making
Jan 5, 2022 negative
Insight
Will Ahmed: Telling Startup Founders to Be Realistic Stifles Ambition
“Well, realistically, 90% of startups fail. So the 10% that are successful just In their own right, you know, have achieved something that's unrealistic. And I think too often feedback loops that are given to founders are to be realistic as sort of a criticism …”
Will Ahmed Jan 5, 2022 ▶ 8:52 20VC: Whoop Founder, Will Ahmed on How CEOs Can Perform at their Highest Level, Why There is Value in Struggle Early On, Why Realism is Overrated in Startups and How To Create a Culture of Delegated Decision-Making
Feb 9, 2022
Insight
Belsky: Startups lack funnel reach while incumbents lack modern tech stacks
“You know, startups have the opposite problem. They are working on the most novel news Stacks of technology. They're all building, you know, web apps or AI natively, et cetera. However, they don't have any top of funnel, whereas Adobe has this massive top of fu…”
Scott Belsky Feb 9, 2022 ▶ 36:36 20 Product: Scott Belsky on How to Hire Your Product Leader and Team, 3 Questions All Great Product Leaders Ask, How To Structure and Run Effective Product Reviews & Is Product More Art or Science?
Feb 11, 2022 negative
Insight
Levie: Hedging strategic bets lowers a startup's likelihood of success
“As a startup, you have very limited resources. So you have to be as focused as possible in the bets you're going to make. Those bets might be wrong, but if you split your resources in an attempt to sort of try and optimize for any possible outcome, then there'…”
Aaron Levie Feb 11, 2022 ▶ 11:03 20VC: Box's Aaron Levie on Why Founders Cannot Hedge Their Bets, The 2 Categories of Wrong Decision and How To Avoid Them & The Biggest Dangers of Being Over-Funded as a Startup
Mar 9, 2022
Insight
Grosser: Founders must diagnose root causes before replacing underperforming sales heads
“And then the sales team needs to run a diagnostic, you have to get to root cause analysis. I would think that in general, coming out of that, you're going to uncover places in your sales process that are not well tuned that you can fix. And the sales team is a…”
Jeanne DeWitt Grosser Mar 9, 2022 ▶ 30:21 20 Sales: The Stripe Sales Playbook; Who Should Create It, When Should it Be Done, Where Do Many Go Wrong | How To Identify 10x Sales Hires and How To Structure the Hiring Process in Sales with Jeanne DeWitt Grosser, Head of Americas Revenue & Growth @ St
Mar 20, 2022
Insight
Sid Sijbrandij: Boards expect CEOs to present diagnostic solutions when missing targets
“They know a startup is up and down, but they want you to completely understand the problem and have a plan on how to deal with it.”
Sid Sijbrandij Mar 20, 2022 ▶ 24:13 Sid Sijbrandij: How I Founded GitLab; Remote Work vs In-Person; CEO Coaches | 20VC · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 23, 2022
Insight
Startups Are a Long Process Without Singular Aha Moments
“I think, like, you know, many start-ups, It's a long process in there. I don't think there is an aha moment.”
Grant LaFontaine Mar 23, 2022 ▶ 3:52 20VC: Startups Fail Because They Do Not Take Enough Risk, Why A/B Testing is Inefficient and Slows You Down, Why It is Impossible To Hire Good PMs so Stop Trying & 3 Key Signals The Best Engineers Present with Grant LaFontaine, Founder & CEO @ Whatnot
Apr 6, 2022 negative
Insight
Startups must not build dedicated growth teams before finding product-market fit
“In the very, very early days, the first thing you need to know about having a growth team, I feel really strongly about this, you should not have a growth team set up the way Facebook does or conceptualize it that way until you have product market fit.”
Brian Hale Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 8:21 20 Growth: Why Retention Defines Product Market Fit, What is Good Retention Levels Today, The Most Counterintuitive Elements of Product and Growth & Why So Many Startups Mess Up Hiring For Growth Teams with Brian Hale, Head of Consumer Product & Growth @
Apr 15, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Dubugras: Startups with $5M in funding couldn't get corporate cards in 2017
“Startups had to raise a lot of money and couldn't get a corporate credit card. And that was the first problem that we saw was like, how come you have raised five million dollars and you can't get a card to pay for your SAS and AWS bills?”
Henrique Dubugras Apr 15, 2022 ▶ 3:51 20VC: Brex's Henrique Dubugras on Advice from Evan Spiegel and Eric Schmidt on CEOship, The Biggest Hiring Mistakes When Scaling, What Everyone Gets Wrong with Product Messaging and When is the Right Time to Launch Secondary Products
May 24, 2022 positive
Insight
Zeev: Founders should shut down failing startups before running completely dry
“If you decide to give up a month or two too late, the agony And the lack of dignity. And the pain is like 10 times, you know, when you decide to stop in time, you have enough time to do it in an organized fashion, to make sure that everyone is taken care of, t…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 16:18 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 8, 2022
Insight
Beykpour: Startups need a PM when teams become purely reactive to fixes
“Well, I think one signal is if the team is constantly reacting to what the product needs. Like if you're constantly underwater and the things you end up prioritizing are the things that you learn really late are broken. And you're not feeling like you can be p…”
Kayvon Beykpour Jun 8, 2022 ▶ 18:04 Kayvon Beykpour: How to Structure and Manage the Best Product Reviews | 20VC #894 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 13, 2022
Insight
Shah: Startups Face Three Core Risks: Product, Market, and Capitalization
“There are, like, three kinds of risk when you start a startup. Risk number one is the risk that you won't be able to build the product you envision. Like, you just can't create it, ok? That's risk number one. Risk number two is you're able to build it, but tha…”
Dharmesh Shah Jun 13, 2022 ▶ 29:37 HubSpot Founder Dharmesh Shah: The Ultimate Guide to Company Culture | E896 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 15, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Singlehurst: Uninformed investors will create hardship for startups in downturns
“I think the sad thing about that is the people that will suffer from that is, is the companies themselves, because they will have ended up with shareholders who don't fully understand what it is they've invested in. And that's kind of fine when everything's go…”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 24:44 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 21, 2022
Insight
Lieb: Startups should ship early to learn, while big companies need polished launches
“For most startups, the answer is you should probably ship something and learn something from someone. And then you can make it better. If you're a big company, you might need to make something like quite good before you want to launch it.”
David Lieb Sep 21, 2022 ▶ 20:39 David Lieb: How I Founded Google Photos & Bump; Why I Left Google | 20VC #927 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 23, 2022
Insight
Vasconcellos: Winning multiple markets simultaneously is a recipe for startup disaster
“What I would tell founders is that you have to pick one market, right? And probably one market and one customer, and you really have to nail it and you really have to win that market before you move on to the next one. I think trying to fight a multi front war…”
Julio Vasconcellos Sep 23, 2022 ▶ 11:39 Julio Vasconcellos: Scaling to $100M and 1,200 Employees and then Cratering | 20VC #928 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 28, 2022
Insight
Scale-stage companies need at most three predictable growth channels
“It startup that gets traction and really kicks off. They've got one predictable growth channel. It's often ads. Right. A startup that really scales and gets in like flirts with that 50, a hundred million dollar run rate. They have two predictable growth channe…”
Kipp Bodnar Sep 28, 2022 ▶ 11:37 Hubspot CMO Kipp Bodnar: Why the Best Marketers Think Like VCs | 20VC w/ Harry Stebbings #930 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 21, 2022
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Harrison: Only 200 to 300 startups in history have reached $1B revenue
“How many of them have scaled to over a billion dollars of revenue, like 203 hundred or something, right? Like it's a tiny fraction of companies that have truly gotten to that massive Scale.”
Kyle Harrison Oct 21, 2022 ▶ 48:27 Kyle Harrison: Why 75% of Active Investors Will Disappear in the Next Few Years | 20VC #940 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2022
Insight
Emil Michael: Hyper-growth startups must transition from tribes to governed civilizations
“Cause what I described companies when they're startups as tribes, And as your tribe gets bigger, you start to intersect with other tribes and you better become a civilization or the tribes are going to be at war. So you build these companies. They're actually …”
Emil Michael Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 1:12:01 Emil Michael: How I Negotiated the $4B Uber-China Deal, Why DoorDash Caught Up to Uber | 20VC #941 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 2, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Unprofitable startups ignoring cash flow will fail within 18 months
“Any company in any space that's not thinking about profitability right now and is not focused on profitability, there's a higher chance they're not that the, these companies will probably not exist in the next year or year and a half.”
Rafael Ilishayev Nov 2, 2022 ▶ 9:08 GoPuff CEO Rafael Ilishayev: The Plan to Make GoPuff Profitable by 2024 | 20VC #944 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 26, 2022
Insight
Jaswa: 98% of struggling startups should strip to core and take moonshots
“So basically I think this will be true for what I might, again, I'm just making this up at 98% of these companies. Strip the business down to the core. So you generate whatever, you know, whatever that means. Don't waste more time on it if it's not working. An…”
Sujay Jaswa Nov 26, 2022 ▶ 14:30 Jeffrey Katzenberg & Sujay Jaswa: Takeaways from Dreamworks; What happened with Quibi? | 20VC #952 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 6, 2022 negative
Opinion
Casado: Startups Not Replanning During Downturns Are Negligent
“I, listen, I think in this market, if there's a company that's not doing a replan, they're probably negligent, like, I mean, minimally.”
Martin Casado Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 32:13 a16z GP Martin Casado: How I Went from Engineer to VC; Lessons from Chris Dixon | 20VC #956 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 7, 2022
Insight
Startups need 50 to 100 attempts to reach product-market fit
“You will probably need to do between 50 and a hundred attempts before you get to product market fit.”
Marty Cagan Dec 7, 2022 ▶ 21:17 Marty Cagan: Product Lessons from Steve Jobs and Elon Musk; Why do we idolize engineers? | 20VC #957 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 7, 2022
Insight
Startup failure stems from inferior solutions, not a lack of demand
“The issue is rarely demand. The issue normally is the solution that you've come up with is not significantly better than the alternatives that are out there. And if it's not significantly better than the alternatives, people won't switch to your product.”
Marty Cagan Dec 7, 2022 ▶ 13:44 Marty Cagan: Product Lessons from Steve Jobs and Elon Musk; Why do we idolize engineers? | 20VC #957 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 16, 2022
Insight
Partovi: Startups conducting layoffs should cut deep and do it once
“I would definitely say that if you're cutting, cut deep and do it only once. Multiple rounds of cutting or like just dribbling it out destroys morale and it also destroys credibility.”
Hadi Partovi Dec 16, 2022 ▶ 22:29 Hadi Partovi: How I Became an Advisor to Mark Zuckerberg; Lessons from Steve Ballmer | 20VC #961 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 21, 2022
Insight
Stebbings: Startups should raise for 24 months of runway
“Rule of thumb, never raise less than 18 months. You also do not... You also do not need to raise more than 36 months. If we plan for a six-month fundraise, and the fact that execution 99% of the time always takes longer than you anticipate, I always choose 24 …”
Harry Stebbings Dec 21, 2022 ▶ 15:18 20VC Special: How To Fundraise Like a Pro: How to Size and Price a Round, How to Create FOMO and Urgency in a Fundraise, How to Structure Angel Allocations, The 7 Deadly Sins of Fundraising Decks, The 3 Signs a Potential Investor is Bad News
Jan 13, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Startups over-cutting today will face severe pipeline shortages by year-end
“We're cutting too much and it's going to hurt everybody, not this week or even this quarter, but it's going to hurt. Everyone's going to not going to have enough pipeline at the end of the year when I think things will be better. I think things will be better …”
Jason Lemkin Jan 13, 2023 ▶ 12:46 Jason Lemkin: WTF is Going On in VC? Are LPs Investing in New Funds? | 20VC #965 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 13, 2023 negative
Insight
Lemkin: Startups staying in a strategic retreat for a year never recover
“If you do a brief strategic retreat as a startup, it's fine. Take a quarter, get your house in order, right? Get rid of that terrible VP, cut your burn rate. But if you stay in strategic retreat for a year, you never pull out of it, right?”
Jason Lemkin Jan 13, 2023 ▶ 36:26 Jason Lemkin: WTF is Going On in VC? Are LPs Investing in New Funds? | 20VC #965 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 13, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Loverro: Startups will rush fundraising into July and August 2023
“I think a lot of firms or a lot of startups are going to be raising later this year. And that usually means like labor day and everybody wants to get in front of that. So my guess is July and August, we start seeing a lot more businesses come to market knowing…”
Tom Loverro Feb 13, 2023 ▶ 13:25 Tom Loverro: The Ultimate Startup Survival Guide for 2023 | 20VC #977 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 13, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Loverro: Late 2023 and 2024 startup fundraising wave will overwhelm VCs
“The way I back into the math says that there's a lot of companies that are going to be raising the end of this year and next year, and what's going to happen is there's only so many hours in a day for the investors who do, say, A, B, and C rounds that are goin…”
Tom Loverro Feb 13, 2023 ▶ 9:52 Tom Loverro: The Ultimate Startup Survival Guide for 2023 | 20VC #977 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2023 negative
Insight
Levin: Excessive cash reserves harmed more startups than they helped
“I do think it was dangerous for a lot of companies to be overstuffed with cash, and I think that that was a danger to more companies than it was a help to.”
Joey Levin Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 41:21 IAC CEO Joey Levin: Why Value Investing is BS; The Most Insane Element of SPACs | 20VC #982 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 27, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Tisch: Startup location is overrated and geography does not matter
“I don't think geography matters for startups. And I think you know, we're based in New York because we live here and we want to live here. And just cause we're based in New York doesn't mean that we invest only in New York and Greg, our partner lives in San Fr…”
David Tisch Feb 27, 2023 ▶ 1:09:14 David Tisch: The 3 Most Important Variables When Raising Your Seed Round | 20VC #983 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 7, 2023
Insight
Schultz: Big Strategic Tech Bets Cannot Be Decided by Data Alone
“In startup mode, you actually have to take a lot more bets without certain data. As a mature company, there are some massive bets you should make. Reels, virtual reality, where it turns out you're going to take a big risk to do that bet, but it's the right thi…”
Alex Schultz Mar 7, 2023 ▶ 15:28 Meta CMO Alex Schultz: Competing Against TikTok & Snap; Why Reels Failed at First | E985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 11, 2023 positive
Opinion
Amjad Masad: Startups still perform best in San Francisco
“There's something in the air. I don't know what it is, but, like, there's just, like, this, like, optimism, this, like, feeling. I don't know what it is, but it is intangible.”
Amjad Masad Mar 11, 2023 ▶ 51:48 Amjad Masad: How I Founded Replit; Zuck's Famous Saying; Will TikTok be banned? | E987 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 11, 2023
Insight
Masad: Startups operate like small conspiracies to change the world
“So I think startups tend to follow the same logic as these examples.”
Amjad Masad Mar 11, 2023 ▶ 10:20 Amjad Masad: How I Founded Replit; Zuck's Famous Saying; Will TikTok be banned? | E987 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 20, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ackman: Biden wealth tax will bankrupt every startup in America
“You know, the Biden wealth tax, which is like, 25% of the appreciation of things that you own privately, it's going to bankrupt every startup. No one will ever start a business in America anymore, right?”
Bill Ackman Mar 20, 2023 ▶ 1:02:23 Bill Ackman: SVB Collapse; Biden vs Trump; How I Lost $400M on Netflix; Bill's 10-Year Long | E991 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 5, 2023 negative
Insight
Salguero: Early-stage startups cannot outperform century-old incumbents in distribution
“I think it takes a special kind of entrepreneur to think that you can get into distribution and do it better than somebody who's been in business for a 110 years, like right out of the gate. That's not gonna happen, right?”
Mike Salguero Apr 5, 2023 ▶ 14:27 Mike Salguero: How I Grew ButcherBox to $600M/year in Revenue; Tips for Influencer Marketing | E998 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 21, 2023
Assertion Partly supported
Tunguz: Startup funding conversion is 60% Seed-to-Series A and 50% Series A-to-B
“The base rate for hiring, for raising a series A from seed is about 60%. Then they need to raise a series B. Base rate is 50%.”
Tomasz Tunguz Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 21:14 Tomasz Tunguz: How I Raised $230M; ChatGPT vs. Google; How LLMs Work; Trump vs DeSantis | E1004 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 25, 2023 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Kohli: Pay-to-play startup rounds will accelerate through late 2023
“And so our view is that these will start ticking up in Q two and then definitely Q three, Q four, because these startups, they have a brick wall, right?”
Avlok Kohli Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 18:52 AngelList CEO Avlok Kohli: The Funding Market Today; Last-Mile Delivery; Competing w/ Carta | E1005 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 25, 2023 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
AngelList data reveals a 33% drop in expected follow-on funding rounds
“And when you just take a look at that sample size of companies from today, sample size of companies in historical average, we're actually seeing a 33% drop in companies in terms of how many companies we expect would have raised by now, right?”
Avlok Kohli Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 16:36 AngelList CEO Avlok Kohli: The Funding Market Today; Last-Mile Delivery; Competing w/ Carta | E1005 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 3, 2023 negative
Insight
Hankes: Resource-Constrained Startups Shouldn't Build Open-Source AI Infrastructure
“And some companies will choose that path, but by and large for the vast majority of companies, particularly ones that have scarce resources, which are many of the ones I work with, you know, I don't want you spending time building infrastructure and scaling op…”
Vince Hankes May 3, 2023 ▶ 21:49 Vince Hankes: Why We Put $300M into OpenAI; Sam Altman's Pitch; Lessons from Josh Kushner | E1009 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 3, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: Incumbents Will Capture 90% of AI Value Creation
“And I more lean towards 90% of it being captured by incumbents, which isn't great for us as venture investors”
Harry Stebbings May 3, 2023 ▶ 27:32 Vince Hankes: Why We Put $300M into OpenAI; Sam Altman's Pitch; Lessons from Josh Kushner | E1009 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 3, 2023 bullish
Insight
Hankes: Bet on Startups Creating Novel User Experiences Over Incumbents
“Yes, if you're going toe to toe right now with an incumbent on their home turf and their shipping, I think it's a hard bet to take the opposite side of, you know, in our business. But if you're creating something that's totally a different user experience that…”
Vince Hankes May 3, 2023 ▶ 28:45 Vince Hankes: Why We Put $300M into OpenAI; Sam Altman's Pitch; Lessons from Josh Kushner | E1009 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2023 negative
Insight
Paik: Senior startup executive hiring succeeds at best 50% of time
“I feel like in startups, right, like senior hires at best, Is a coin toss of whether or not it works out and that's okay.”
Chris Paik May 9, 2023 ▶ 8:56 Chris Paik: How I Raised $400M; Substack's Broken Business Model; Music on TikTok vs IG | E1011 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2023 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Kohli: Distressed startup financings will surge in Q2 through Q4 2023
“And so what's happening is the cash out date was, has been pushed out for a lot of companies. And so our view is that these will start ticking up in Q two and then definitely Q three, Q four, because these startups, they have a brick wall, right?”
Avlok Kohli May 9, 2023 ▶ 11:34 How Dire is the Startup Funding Market Today? | AngelList CEO Avlok Kohli · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 2, 2023 bullish
Insight
Hanks: Startups creating entirely new user experiences will beat incumbents
“But if you're creating something that's totally a different user experience that no incumbent has today, I'd bet on a startup 10 times out of 10 in that case.”
Vince Hankes Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 9:33 20VC: Who Wins the AI Race; Startups or Incumbents & Does Having Proprietary Data Really Matter For Startups Today?
Jun 5, 2023
Insight
TJ Parker: Academic overachievers struggle to transition into startups
“I sort of have come to terms with the fact that I think it's very hard for like the classic overachiever that sat in the front row every, you know, in every class and always delivered papers on time and always got A's in every, every one of their classes. To g…”
TJ Parker Jun 5, 2023 ▶ 11:29 TJ Parker: Building PillPack, The First E-Commerce Pharmacy, to Amazon's $1B Acquisition | E1022 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 5, 2023 neutral
Insight
TJ Parker: You cannot be happy and successful at both startups and big tech
“The likelihood that you're both really successful and really happy in a huge company, and then also really successful and really happy in a startup is unlikely.”
TJ Parker Jun 5, 2023 ▶ 1:11:32 TJ Parker: Building PillPack, The First E-Commerce Pharmacy, to Amazon's $1B Acquisition | E1022 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 7, 2023 negative
Opinion
Liu: Startups should not base strategic decisions purely on cost control
“For most startups, you don't want to just make your investment decisions based off of, like, pure economic and cost control.”
Rich Liu Jun 7, 2023 ▶ 8:59 Rich Liu: Sales in 2023; How to Onboard, Manage and Scale Reps; PLG vs Enterprise Growth | E1023 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 21, 2023
Insight
Gotthilf: Startups should pitch least important press targets first to iterate
“Make a list of all of this PR sources that you might want to be featured on and start with the least important ones when you're pitching. Because as you pitch, you need to learn what's working and what's not working.”
Gina Gotthilf Jun 21, 2023 ▶ 31:41 Gina Gotthilf: Lessons Scaling Duolingo from 3-200M Users; How to Master PR and Comms | E1028 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2023
Insight
Early startups need room to diversify and pivot beyond one product
“So that judgment, it all comes down to basically judgment, right? That judgment of what are you focusing on? Are you focusing on the right thing? Or you need to have some breathing room To allow yourself to pivot. If the thing, you know, you talked about diver…”
Akin Babayigit Jun 26, 2023 ▶ 47:45 Akin Babayigit: How Tripledot Studios Became #1 Fastest-Growing Company in Europe | E1030 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 2, 2023
Insight
Jiménez: Sales candidates focused solely on cash OTE lack startup staying power
“And if it comes down to just a dollars on OT, I'm always a little bit like, that's a little, it's not a full red flag depending on, you know, where the conversation goes, but it's something that I concerns me because that will come back You know, in the future…”
Lori Jiménez Aug 2, 2023 ▶ 22:11 Lori Jiménez: How to Increase Sales; Hiring Tips from Google; Best Way to Grow Sales Teams | E1043 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 2, 2023
Insight
Jiménez: Inflated titles for early startup hires create future organizational problems
“It's a very individual conversation, but I also think it's important to keep in mind, and this is hard to do what you're setting up For will impact the future. So if you get too aggressive on title, then you're a couple of years down the road and your next per…”
Lori Jiménez Aug 2, 2023 ▶ 24:06 Lori Jiménez: How to Increase Sales; Hiring Tips from Google; Best Way to Grow Sales Teams | E1043 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2043
Lemkin: Wave of zero-traction startups with 10-year runway will not recur
“We'll never again see a massive wave of startups with 10 years of runway and no traction. This is gonna take another 20 years to happen, okay?”
Jason Lemkin Aug 9, 2023 ▶ 34:27 Jason Lemkin: Every VC has a FRAUD in their portfolio; The IPO market is about to EXPLODE | E1046 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023
Insight
Rotman: Doubling revenue at higher cost generates anti-proof for startups
“But if it was harder to get that doubling than you thought, or it costs you more to get that doubling than you thought, or your manufacturing costs went up, or the margins weren't there, you know, in that doubling, you're actually generating anti-proof of the …”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 35:24 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 bearish
Prediction Held up
Lessin: Exceptionally low startup mortality rates will inevitably rise
“We've looked at our portfolios recently and it's comical how low the mortality rates are. That's obviously shifting in real time, right? And will go up.”
Sam Lessin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 7:46 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 neutral
Insight
Grimshaw: Rapid market shifts can be dangerous for early-stage startups
“First of all, you don't need, as a startup, too much market or too much market changing hands really fast can be dangerous. As a startup, you could only take on so much.”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 1:14:10 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 positive
Insight
Grimshaw: AI Startups Win by Building Business Models Orthogonal to Incumbents
“There's so much wrapped up in, in, in the arc fundamental business As in company architectures and all the systems internally and all their operatings around that, that it's really hard to just change, right? That's why it ends up being asymmetric competition.…”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 1:11:34 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Grimshaw: AI startups building co-pilots won't create massive value
“And so I think the opportunity offered up to a startup being a co-pilot for something else, like probably won't be that amazing. And there might be pockets of it where it can really work, but the opportunity to disrupt is to be orthogonal to the incumbents.”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 1:09:58 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 27, 2023 negative
Insight
Christian Lanng: Key talent burnout causes massive startup value destruction
“And I think startups is 99% people. That is the primary asset. And if the wrong person goes down at the wrong time, that can be a very, very big destruction of value, right?”
Christian Lanng Sep 27, 2023 ▶ 42:31 Christian Lanng: "How Being a Founder Almost Killed Me" | E1065 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 27, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lanng: VCs own most equity after six years for 99% of startups
“The first thing is, for 99% of startups, you know, I mean, No offense, but VCs is gonna own most of your company by the time you have worked for six or seven years, and your salary will probably be less than if you had worked anywhere else combined.”
Christian Lanng Sep 27, 2023 ▶ 16:56 Christian Lanng: "How Being a Founder Almost Killed Me" | E1065 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 6, 2023 positive
Insight
Rauch: Software startups defeat incumbents by offering radically simpler products
“The entry players can win because they do a lot less and because it's so disruptive, then the incumbent has to say, holy crap, we have to delete everything. I feel so invested. I crafted every icon. I crafted every menu. I crafted every piece of documentation …”
Guillermo Rauch Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 54:38 Guillermo Rauch: Why Great Companies are Defined by How Many Things They Say No To | E1069 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 20, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Incumbents Capture Short-Term AI Value, Startups Win Over 5-10 Years
“In the short term, incumbents will accrue the most value, leveraging existing distribution, To provide co-pilot products. Over the longer term, startups providing tools for new product paradigms will be best placed to win over the next five to 10 years.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 23:48 20VC: NEW FORMAT: Harry Stebbings on Why Seed Pricing is as High as Ever, Why Series A is the Best Place to Invest Today, Why Growth Founders Need to Reshape Expectations, Why M&A Windows Remain Shut and When Will IPO Windows Crack Open
Oct 24, 2023
Insight
Prince: Modest growth without scale is the worst outcome for startups
“The worst outcome by far Is the slog. Where you have these companies that are growing just enough that it feels like success is just over the next hill. And they, and so they can't stop But there, nobody cares about them anymore, and their investors are tuned …”
Matthew Prince Oct 24, 2023 ▶ 3:58 Harry debates Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince: "Should startups target niche markets?" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 24, 2023 negative
Insight
Prince: Starting in a narrow niche creates local minimums that hinder growth
“Where it runs a risk is if you start, start to say, you know, we've got to do X. First of all, you'll attract people that think X is, even though you say the journey is much longer that they'll think that that's the end state. And then secondly, it might be th…”
Matthew Prince Oct 24, 2023 ▶ 14:24 Harry debates Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince: "Should startups target niche markets?" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2023 positive
Insight
Lerner: Fractional executives bridge the gap before startups justify full-time hires
“There tends to be a gap Period for most startups where they are not yet big enough. It doesn't yet make sense to hire a full head of growth, head of marketing, head of product, but it's getting big enough that it's taking too much of that founder's time, or it…”
Ely Lerner Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 15:12 Ely Lerner: Should Startups Hire Advisors & How much should they be paid? | E1075 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2023
Insight
Lerner: Match advisor hiring to playbook creation versus playbook scaling
“I think the things that matter most are one is like, did they develop the playbook or did they scale the playbook? I think you see a lot of split between somebody who scaled the playbook that was developed prior to them, or they developed the playbook from scr…”
Ely Lerner Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 24:02 Ely Lerner: Should Startups Hire Advisors & How much should they be paid? | E1075 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2023
Insight
Lemkin: Early-stage VCs must evaluate 10x more startups than five years ago
“If you want to see ever those one or two, I actually think it helps to see 10 times more startups than it did five or six years ago. 10 times.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 24:08 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 15, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Traynor: Incumbents will benefit more from AI than startups
“If you put a gun to my head, I'd say incumbents will probably do better out of AI than like startups thinking they can displace incumbents.”
Des Traynor Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 55:44 Des Traynor: How to Survive and Thrive in a World of OpenAI | E1082 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 22, 2023 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: Complete startup failures going to zero are rarer than believed
“Actually, I think this is a gross over exaggeration on the mortality rate of startups, which is like going to zero is actually rarer than people give credit for. It could be half your money back. It could be a one X, whatever it is, but it's actually rarer tha…”
Harry Stebbings Nov 22, 2023 ▶ 41:47 Jeff Seibert: Why OpenAI Will Become an Infrastructure Play | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 22, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Seibert: Cash-strapped startups will struggle to raise follow-on funding next year
“What'll be really interesting is the number of companies that raised and have sort of struggled through 20, 23, but now we're down to six months or so of cash. I think next year could be very tough because they're not all going to be able to raise follow on ro…”
Jeff Seibert Nov 22, 2023 ▶ 50:38 Jeff Seibert: Why OpenAI Will Become an Infrastructure Play | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2023
Insight
Rabois: Startups must reset to zero-and-zero after every success
“You know, one metaphor I like to use for this is like, imagine you're playing in a like football, let's say in America, you win the Superbowl. But your own, you have to go back preseason, start all over in training camp, and your record's zero and zero again, …”
Keith Rabois Nov 27, 2023 ▶ 33:55 Keith Rabois & Mike Shebat: Creating an Olympian Mindset to Work Ethic| E1087 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Rabois: There are currently very few great startups worth investing in
“Well, I'm optimistic. I just don't believe there's a lot of great startups to invest in as a VC. Those are two different things. Like generally you have to be a technology optimist is, you know, Mark adjacent pointed out to be a successful investor. You always…”
Keith Rabois Nov 27, 2023 ▶ 1:03:02 Keith Rabois & Mike Shebat: Creating an Olympian Mindset to Work Ethic| E1087 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shebat: Most Y Combinator startups fail because they get complacent post-graduation
“Why most Y Combinator startups that graduate Y Combinator end up not making it. And it's because they get complacent and they lose momentum.”
Mike Shebat Nov 27, 2023 ▶ 32:28 Keith Rabois & Mike Shebat: Creating an Olympian Mindset to Work Ethic| E1087 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 29, 2023 positive
Insight
Cabane: Startups should double ad spend weekly to test channel limits
“I recommend companies to two X the budget every week until it's that lines. Just do it for like Four weeks, six weeks, it's not gonna, like, burn your budget, your entire, like, capital, right? But just, two x on week two, two x on week three, two x on week fo…”
Guillaume Cabane Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 47:32 Guillaume Cabane: Why Your First Growth Hire Should Be a Former Founder | E1088 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 8, 2023 positive
Opinion
Biswas: AI infrastructure favors mega-incumbents, while AI applications favor startups
“So in that sense, AI infrastructure may be well suited for companies that can invest billions of dollars ahead of time in building big data centers. The applications on the other hand, I think that sort of rapid feedback loop and kind of creativity is really w…”
Sanjit Biswas Dec 8, 2023 ▶ 58:36 Sanjit Biswas: Samsara's $18BN Market Cap & $1BN in ARR in 8 Years | E1092 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 10, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sim: Having 36 months of cash runway does not mean you have a business
“Just because you have 24 or 36 months of cash doesn't mean you have a business.”
Ed Sim Jan 10, 2024 ▶ 10:31 Ed Sim & Jamin Ball: Did Figma Kill M&A Markets & 3 Requirements to IPO in 2024 | E1101 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 10, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sim: 25% of tech company revenue previously came from selling to startups
“Probably 25% of all this revenue from all these tech companies was selling to other startups. That shit vaporized, dude.”
Ed Sim Jan 10, 2024 ▶ 1:03:15 Ed Sim & Jamin Ball: Did Figma Kill M&A Markets & 3 Requirements to IPO in 2024 | E1101 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 31, 2024 negative
Opinion
Kellogg: Startups blaming rising CAC on 'low-hanging fruit' underestimate market size
“I think most startups, when they make that argument to me, I think they're vastly underestimating the size of their market. That if you have a really, really big market, That, that you haven't picked all the low hanging fruit.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 13:25 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 31, 2024 negative
Opinion
Kellogg: Stuffing Startups Full of Cash Encourages Unhealthy Wasteful Spending
“I honestly don't believe that floggrowing startups, as they say, stuffing them full of cash is a healthy behavior. Some are actually good. I know a few that seem good at raising money and not spending it and saving it to grow later, right? But most people, whe…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 1:11:36 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 28, 2024
Insight
Inkinen: Founder-Driven Startups Only Fail When Founders Give Up
“Startups and companies, founder driven startups, companies only fail when founders stop trying. Startups only fail when founders stop trying. And I think that's a hundred percent true. But obviously, there is a point when stubbornness goes too far, and you're …”
Sami Inkinen Feb 28, 2024 ▶ 46:57 Sami Inkinen: "Why the Two Weeks Following Our IPO Were the Worst of my Life" | E1120 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 6, 2024
Insight
Wagner: Relying on a startup's second act is highly risky
“It's incredibly difficult for a startup to do a second thing, you know, so, so any sort of notion about Oh, well, I'll do this first thing, and it's not that big an opportunity, but I'll be, then I'll be able to do this second thing. It's like, oh boy, you kno…”
Peter Wagner Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 25:20 Peter Wagner: 27 Years of Investing Lessons of Picking Founders, Price Discipline & Reserve | E1123 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 8, 2024
Disclosure
Cassidy: My startup reached profitability with founders closing all deals
“We closed a hundred percent, you know, we just became profitable in my startup. We close all of our own deals, myself and the co-founder. We don't have any salespeople.”
Brendon Cassidy Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 14:27 Brendon Cassidy: Why You Should Never Hire Someone You Do Not Know in Your First Five Hires | E1124 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 20, 2024
Insight
Lemieux: Early startups die from indigestion of ideas, not starvation
“I think in your first couple of years, absolutely. And I think whoever said this, I'm not sure where this comes from, but you know, companies are going to die from indigestion before they die of starvation. Which means that we all have way too many ideas in ou…”
Jean-Michel Lemieux Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 10:17 Jean-Michel Lemieux: Three Product Decisions Every Team Needs to Make | E1129 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 12, 2024
Insight
Sam Blond: Startups Should Target Outbound in Concentric Circles
“I think the way that startups should be approaching this, first is on who you are targeting, and then how you target them. So who you are targeting, think about the universe in terms of concentric circles. And you want to start with the sort of like closest co…”
Sam Blond Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 48:42 Sam Blond: Why Startups are Doing Outbound Wrong and How to Fix It | E1139 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 12, 2024
Insight
Blond: Startups should prioritize startup experience over domain expertise when hiring initial AEs
“Where people over index is domain. If you are hiring your first AE, first big AEs number one and two, they need to have seen an early stage startup environment.”
Sam Blond Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Sam Blond: Why Startups are Doing Outbound Wrong and How to Fix It | E1139 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 12, 2024
Insight
Sam Blond: Generating demand, not conversion rate, is almost always the startup bottleneck
“And I just believe that demand masks a lot of other potential problems and almost all startups. The bottleneck to growing faster is demand. We are constrained by the number of opportunities that we are creating. We are misdiagnosing this as a conversion rate p…”
Sam Blond Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 39:36 Sam Blond: Why Startups are Doing Outbound Wrong and How to Fix It | E1139 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 15, 2024 positive
Insight
Altman: 95% of AI startups should bet on models continuing to improve
“It would seem to me that 95% of the world should be betting on the latter category, but a lot of the startups have been built in the former category.”
Sam Altman Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 21:34 Sam Altman & Brad Lightcap: Which Companies Will Be Steamrolled by OpenAI? | E1140 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2024
Insight
Zaparde: Startups Must Fire Customers That Deviate From Strategic Focus
“You absolutely should if you need to, and you should not close a certain type of customer, you should fire a customer.”
Rujul Zaparde Apr 24, 2024 ▶ 14:04 Rujul Zaparde: Why Hiring Inexperienced People is Better | E1144 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: Execution clock speed is the primary driver from zero to one
“I think every startup is a series of unanswered questions and the best founders choose the order in which they answer the questions, and they answer them extremely efficiently, and that is basically speed of execution.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 1:02:06 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 13, 2024 negative
Opinion
Blomfield: Sarcastic British culture makes for terrible startups
“And it's the British culture, you know, it's so easy to trash an idea and be kind of sarcastic, and it's great, makes for great comedy, makes for terrible startups. You need that, like, boundless energy and optimism, and it's not a natural British state, but i…”
Tom Blomfield May 13, 2024 ▶ 59:14 Tom Blomfield: Do the Best All Raise Pre-Demo Day & YC's Fundraising Advice to Startups | E 1152 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 15, 2024 bullish
Insight
Siroker: Sales reps should expand organic product pull, not do cold outbound
“I would say when you feel market pull, when you feel the market, like I gave the example of Starbucks, you know, they're going past all of the processes, they're going past all, like they're seeking forgiveness, not permission to use your product. You're seein…”
Dan Siroker May 15, 2024 ▶ 18:47 Dan Siroker: Second-Time Founders Are More Investable & Why Not To Hire People Out of College |E1153 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 22, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levie: Incumbents will capture AI value as effectively as startups
“That is as much going to be an incumbent's game as a startup's game this time around.”
Aaron Levie May 22, 2024 ▶ 0:09 Aaron Levie: How the Business Model of SaaS Changes Forever & Startups vs Incumbents:Who Wins?|E1155 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 24, 2024
Insight
Brad Lightcap: 100x model improvement is the key test for startup defensibility
“Ask the company whether a hundred X improvement in the model is something they're excited about. It's actually, we can tell pretty well because we know the companies that come to us saying, we want the next model. When is it coming out? When is it coming out? …”
Brad Lightcap May 24, 2024 ▶ 12:02 Sam Altman, Arthur Mensch and more discuss:Which Startups Are Threatened vs Enabled by OpenAI?|E1156 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 24, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Altman: OpenAI will steamroll startups built on static model assumptions
“It would seem to me that 95% of the world should be betting on the latter category, but a lot of the startups have been built in the former category. When we just do our fundamental job, we're going to steamroll you.”
Sam Altman May 24, 2024 ▶ 11:39 Sam Altman, Arthur Mensch and more discuss:Which Startups Are Threatened vs Enabled by OpenAI?|E1156 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 31, 2024 positive
Insight
Lerner: Successful startups position themselves at the customer's peak moment of need
“Every successful startup finds this kind of exact moment of highest need and figures out a way to insert themselves there.”
Matt Lerner May 31, 2024 ▶ 26:35 Matt Lerner: How to Hire Growth Leaders and Teams and Why in a World of AI | E1159 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 31, 2024
Insight
Lerner: Startups cannot effectively optimize more than two growth loops simultaneously
“It's hard because the doubling down is really down in the trenches of a really tweaking and optimizing”
Matt Lerner May 31, 2024 ▶ 47:55 Matt Lerner: How to Hire Growth Leaders and Teams and Why in a World of AI | E1159 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 31, 2024
Insight
Lerner: Asking functional heads for revenue ideas fragments startup strategy
“If you take, you know, your six functional heads in your business, engineering, product sales, whatever, and say, give me your best ideas for making money. They're going to give you six different strategies with six different resource So that's moving in six d…”
Matt Lerner May 31, 2024 ▶ 14:36 Matt Lerner: How to Hire Growth Leaders and Teams and Why in a World of AI | E1159 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 31, 2024 positive
Insight
Lerner: Scientists excel in startups due to intellectual humility and curiosity
“Scientists are always aware of what they don't know. Unlike, you know, most people in most jobs, you're just always, you're wrong all the time. You're at these, you see these big gaps in humanity's understanding of whatever your discipline is. And you've got t…”
Matt Lerner May 31, 2024 ▶ 33:58 Matt Lerner: How to Hire Growth Leaders and Teams and Why in a World of AI | E1159 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 31, 2024
Insight
Lerner: Hubris leads startups to overinvest in unproven growth playbooks
“The hardest thing about figuring stuff out Is, honestly, I think it's hubris. I think it's that people come in and they don't realize they need to figure stuff out. They have their best practices, they have what worked in their last job, they have what they he…”
Matt Lerner May 31, 2024 ▶ 4:46 Matt Lerner: How to Hire Growth Leaders and Teams and Why in a World of AI | E1159 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 31, 2024
Insight
Lerner: Micro-optimization is premature until startups establish major growth levers
“So in the beginning, you, it's premature to start optimizing. You need to figure out the big stuff first. Once you've got one lever working, two levers working, then you can start devoting resources to optimizing and trying to squeeze more juice out of that le…”
Matt Lerner May 31, 2024 ▶ 11:16 Matt Lerner: How to Hire Growth Leaders and Teams and Why in a World of AI | E1159 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 31, 2024 neutral
Insight
Lerner: Early-stage startups only need to excel at 1.5 things
“Like a startup needs to be good at one and a half things tops”
Matt Lerner May 31, 2024 ▶ 21:21 Matt Lerner: How to Hire Growth Leaders and Teams and Why in a World of AI | E1159 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 3, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: There Are More Good Startups Than Ever Before
“There's more good startups than ever”
Jason Lemkin Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 1:01:17 Jason Lemkin: PluralSight S*** the Bed & The Next IPO Candidates | E1160 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 7, 2024 positive
Insight
Startups should hire a junior AE as their first sales rep
“I would probably hire a like junior AE, someone that has done the prospecting, but also knows how, how to close and someone that can be in the weeds and helping build out the process and scale.”
Ashley Kelly Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 13:35 Ashley Kelly: The Playbook to Start and Scale Your SDR Team | E1162 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 10, 2024 bullish
Insight
Incumbents Can Only Seriously Address a Couple of Markets
“They can take on markets because a company can only, any company can only take on like a couple of markets really in a serious way.”
Reid Hoffman Jun 10, 2024 ▶ 28:15 Reid Hoffman: The Future of TikTok and The Inflection AI Deal | E1163 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 10, 2024 bearish
Insight
Startups Cannot Finance Pre-Revenue Billion-Dollar AI Compute Runs
“Look, if you're saying what really matters is, like, the driving function here will be the billion dollar compute run to make this model, it'll be very difficult for startups to do that, right? I mean, even in this more modern global venture capital where star…”
Reid Hoffman Jun 10, 2024 ▶ 27:22 Reid Hoffman: The Future of TikTok and The Inflection AI Deal | E1163 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 12, 2024 positive
Insight
Alex Wang: Startups win because small teams care 10x more than corporate employees
“That's how startups work fundamentally, is that you have these small teams of people who each care 10 times more than the average employee, 10 or a hundred times more than the average employee inside a big company, and so they end up, you know, you end up just…”
Alex Wang Jun 12, 2024 ▶ 52:56 Alex Wang: Why Data Not Compute is the Bottleneck to Foundation Model Performance | E1164 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 28, 2024 negative
Opinion
Vasavada: Early-Stage Startups Should Not Be Run Remotely
“I don't think startups should be run remotely. Like, you can't build culture when, you know, people are, you know, all on Zoom all day. Like, you build culture at those water cooler moments and in the team”
Samir Vasavada Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 18:56 Samir Vasavada: The Real Story of Vise: The Regrets, Mistakes and Mis-Hires | E1171 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 1, 2024 bearish
Insight
Matt Clifford: Startups Should Not Attempt to Build Larger LLMs
“Frankly, I don't think startups today should be trying to compete on building bigger and bigger LLMs. It doesn't make sense. It's mainly a capital game.”
Matt Clifford Jul 1, 2024 ▶ 6:19 Matt Clifford: The Bull & Bear Case for China's Ability to Challenge the US' AI Capabilities | E1172 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 10, 2024
Opinion
Mahdessian: Raising a Family as an Immigrant Is Harder Than Building a Startup
“As hard as building and operating a startup is, I suspect that is significantly harder.”
Ara Mahdessian Jul 10, 2024 ▶ 4:01 Ara Mahdessian: ServiceTitan Would Not Be the Success if We Raised VC Earlier | E1175 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 17, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Franceschi: Founder burnout is a top cause of post-PMF startup failure
“You know, I look at a lot of founders that are really successful, and probably the second or third largest reason why startups don't work after product market fit, of course, is founders just burning out.”
Pedro Franceschi Jul 17, 2024 ▶ 3:48 Pedro Franceschi: What Brex Needs to do to be a Public Company | E1178 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 19, 2024 negative
Opinion
Adams: Single-feature AI microservices are failing due to low underlying value
“I think we're seeing, particularly in the AI space, we're seeing a lot of hype and churn and real microservices, and you're also seeing a lot of those startups kind of fall by the wayside as well as the real, you know, value of them comes to light, and it's no…”
Cameron Adams Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 11:46 Cameron Adams: How Canva Builds Products: Lessons Learned, What Works? What Flopped? | E1179 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Mollick: No current startup will survive in an AGI world
“The real problem right now is every startup in the world is betting against AGI. Which I find really funny because all the funders are like, yeah, AGI is coming in the next five years. If it is, why are you funding these startup companies? Like none of them ar…”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 40:01 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 5, 2024 positive
Insight
Cahn: Big Tech's Overproduction of Compute Directly Boosts Startup Gross Margins
“These big tech companies are producers of compute. Startups are consumers of compute. So if you believe there is an overproduction of compute and that compute prices go down, startups win because they are buying those compute. Lower cost of compute directly tr…”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2024 ▶ 10:28 David Cahn: Why Servers, Steel and Power Are the Pillars Powering the Future of AI | E1186 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 23, 2024
Insight
Sales-driven customer discovery must precede product building
“That has to take place before you build the product. Otherwise you could build a product that nobody wants to buy.”
Chad Peets Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 13:33 Chad Peets: Why Most Sales Reps Underperform & Remote Reps Ignore Development | E1193 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2024 negative
Insight
Chirls: Building a startup will ruin your life whether it succeeds or fails
“Building a startup is truly awful. It's like a truly, truly bad experience. And it will ruin your life basically in various different ways. And by the way, that's if it goes well or if it doesn't go well.”
Nicholas Chirls Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 56:11 Nicholas Chirls: Why Big VCs Ruin Startups, VC is a Ponzi Scheme Today & Most VCs are Bankers |E1198 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 11, 2024 negative
Insight
David Schneider: Delayed 'perfect' decisions are wrong decisions because issues change
“I think people try to make a perfect decision. By the time you make a perfect decision, it's actually going to be the wrong decision, because the issue's already changed.”
David Schneider Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 18:48 David Schneider: Why the Worst VCs are "Seagull VCs" & VC Value Add - Is it Real? | E1200 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 13, 2024
Insight
Mike Hudack: Big tech managers often fail at zero-to-one startups
“Don't mistake Good, you know, managers or ICs at a large company for people who are going to do well going from zero to one in a startup, you know, think about what that means.”
Mike Hudack Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 1:03:08 Mike Hudack: How Facebook, Monzo and Deliveroo Build Great Products | E1201 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2024
Insight
Kothari: Hiring more people and expanding projects actually slows startups down
“I think you may feel like you're going faster by hiring more people and saying yes to more projects, but in effect it is actually going slower.”
Akshay Kothari Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 8:48 Akshay Kothari: How Notion Has More Money Than Ever & Why Startup Fundraising is Broken | E1203 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Perret: Paul Graham's 'Founder Mode' essay will drive bad startup behavior
“I think it's going to be one of the blog posts that is the most misused and actually causes a lot of the worst behavior in startups for a long time.”
Zach Perret Oct 16, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Zach Perret: Why ‘Founder Mode’ is the Most Dangerous Blog Post for Founders | E1215 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024
Insight
Goldberg: Bad executive hiring is the main bottleneck in startup scaling
“And the folks that I've seen take longer to get from that one to 10, 10 to a hundred, Are the folks that tend to make the wrong decisions around hiring in their leadership teams.”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 20:32 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024 negative
Insight
Goldberg: Inflated valuations hurt employee morale and company performance
“When the employees know that the valuation isn't realistic, I think really hurts the morale and hurts the ability of the company to kind of do its best work.”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 38:56 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 4, 2024 negative
Insight
Arison: Early startup employees make terrible managers because they avoid conflict
“Most people who work at startups in the first phase are really bad managers because they never learn how to be managers. They don't want to be managers and they don't like to make people feel bad.”
George Arison Dec 4, 2024 ▶ 22:22 George Arison, Grindr CEO: How Grindr Built a Free Flow Cash Machine | E1234 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 6, 2024 neutral
Insight
Bookman: Startups Are Judged Solely by Exit Liquidity, Not Valuation
“You will be judged and weighed by your exit and by the liquidity That you can provide to people.”
Zachary Bookman Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 33:32 Zachary Bookman: Why Valuations and Fundraising are BS | E1235 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Maples: Roughly 30 great startups will be created every year
“There's so many startups, there will always be 30 or so every year that are great.”
Mike Maples Jan 6, 2025 ▶ 16:26 Mike Maples: Three Frameworks to Evaluate Startups and Founders | E1242 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 6, 2025 negative
Insight
Maples: Raising Big Rounds Before PMF Culturally Breaks Startups
“What usually happens that's even worse, is these companies raise a lot of money before they have legitimate product market fit, and they hire ahead of achieving it, and now all of a sudden they're doing a bunch of wacky nonsense that's not contributing to prod…”
Mike Maples Jan 6, 2025 ▶ 50:43 Mike Maples: Three Frameworks to Evaluate Startups and Founders | E1242 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 13, 2025
Assertion Contradicted
Pishevar: Hundreds of startups are currently attempting to build new nations
“There's now hundreds of startups starting new nations.”
Shervin Pishevar Jan 13, 2025 ▶ 1:16:31 Shervin Pishevar: What Really Happened in the Firing of Travis Kalanick | E1245 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hyatt: Founders churn out short-term arbitrage projects just to raise seed
“We are in the industrialization of startups playbook land where everybody's trying to churn out some piece of ridiculous arbitrage every week in order to get through the end of their incubator and raise their seed round.”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 46:58 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2025
Insight
Levchin: Speed is one of the most important determinants of startup success
“It's one of the most important. It, it's very rare that, like, I cannot think of more than, like, fewer than a handful of companies who had gotten to huge success, huge scale by just kind of rolling along.”
Max Levchin Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 31:25 Max Levchin, Founder & CEO @ Affirm:The Biggest Surprise Scaling to $18.7BN Market Cap · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2025
Insight
Levchin: Every decade-old startup constantly refactors code and manages tech debt
“You will always have a team cleaning up or refactoring code or dealing with tech debt like that. That's a property of every startup that's been a startup for a decade. You have someone undoubtedly who's refactoring some part of your code because it's grown eno…”
Max Levchin Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 28:25 Max Levchin, Founder & CEO @ Affirm:The Biggest Surprise Scaling to $18.7BN Market Cap · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 20, 2025 positive
Insight
Hiremath: Historically All Successful Companies Had Intense Work Cultures
“It's like all of the successful companies have had pretty intense cultures historically, and it's just a function of a startup, right? You got to work harder than everyone else, obviously in a sustainable way to succeed.”
Adarsh Hiremath Feb 20, 2025 ▶ 8:58 Adarsh Hiremath @ Mercor: The Fastest Growing Startup in Silicon Valley | E1261 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 28, 2025
Insight
Bonaci: Startups Scale Successful Growth Channels Far Too Slowly
“And I think most companies or most startups, at least they get to that, ask them to asymptote too slowly. And they should really be scaling much, much faster if they find something that works.”
George Bonaci Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 10:12 George Bonaci, VP of Growth @Ramp: How Ramp Became the Fastest Growing SaaS Company Ever |E1264 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 3, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Krieger: Startups have an AI alignment advantage over large incumbents
“It's why I'm really bullish on at least startups being able to explore the space because, you know, I remember this from my, both Instagram and artifact days, like when it's just a couple of you, like alignment is a coffee conversation in an afternoon rather t…”
Mike Krieger Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 48:07 Mike Krieger, Instagram CoFounder & Anthropic CPO: Where Will Value Be Created in an AI World?|E1265 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 19, 2025 negative
Insight
Singlehurst compares overcapitalizing startups to force-feeding foie gras
“Because it leads to overcapitalization of businesses, and it leads to companies being, I sort of have this, like, sometimes this mental model in my head, and it's not a very nice sort of mental image, but you know how they make foie gras.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 11:30 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 17, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Lemkin: Most reported ARR in modern startups is neither annual nor recurring
“Yeah, most of the A and the R and the R aren't real. Yeah, it's not really annual. The third one revenue. Yeah, there may not be revenue definitely doesn't recur and no way it's annual if everyone can get out after a month or two. So it's neither a nor.”
Jason Lemkin Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 1:25:40 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 16, 2025
Insight
Stebbings: Startups frequently fail due to choosing the wrong entry point
“Often you lose because you get the wrong entry point. You have the right idea, the right solution, but the wrong entry point.”
Harry Stebbings May 16, 2025 ▶ 15:33 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Jun 2, 2025
Insight
Mohan: Obvious startup ideas yield no alpha against incumbents
“Like if you pick an idea that is like obvious to everyone, there's probably no alpha, right? A big company is going to go out and already beat you to the market, right? Because they have more distribution resources and capital than you.”
Varun Mohan Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 1:56 Windsurf CEO & Co-Founder, Varun Mohan: AI's Biggest Acquisition to Date! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 2, 2025
Insight
Varun Mohan: Founders need irrational optimism paired with uncompromising realism
“It requires these two almost counter beliefs in your head, right? Irrational optimism, because if you don't have any optimism at all, you won't do anything and you won't get out of bed, right? And uncompromising realism. Every single day you need to be asking …”
Varun Mohan Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 4:03 Windsurf CEO & Co-Founder, Varun Mohan: AI's Biggest Acquisition to Date! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 19, 2025 negative
Insight
Zhang: Maximizing valuation risks turning healthy startups into zombie companies
“When you think about people that raised that huge valuations, I, I've known folks that have done this. You get to a point where you maybe are still doing well as a business, but the markets change and you're just not able to raise at that price with some healt…”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 37:02 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
Oct 10, 2025
Insight
Degnan: First-time sales hires learn nothing at early startups
“If you've never done sales and you come into a startup, you're not learning anything. There's no one teaching. The founder doesn't know how to do sales”
Chris Degnan Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 26:22 20Sales: Scaling Snowflake from $0-$3BN in ARR | Snowflake vs Databricks: My Biggest Lessons | Why Customer Success is BS and What Replaces It with Chris Chris Degnan
Oct 17, 2025 negative
Insight
Stebbings: Startups cannot simultaneously fix margins, maintain growth, and move upmarket
“There is a world of trade-offs, which is like, I cannot sustain growth, focus on margins and improve them, move into enterprise, or sustain it and make it super happy. Oh, and continue to focus on beautiful product quality all at once.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 37:23 20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp
Oct 27, 2025 bullish
Insight
Cahn: AI gives junior startup hires near-parity with senior peers
“Maybe 10 years ago, if you joined a startup and people didn't join startups that often, 10 years ago, maybe 10 years ago, if you joined a startup, like there's this whole experience curve, you're the junior engineer. There's a lot of people who are smarter tha…”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 58:06 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 7, 2025
Insight
Customizing Product Roadmaps for Single Enterprise Deals Kills Startups
“You've just taken the company and diverted all resources to go build a list of things for a company that may or may not buy, but even if they buy, you've killed the company. Right, because you've taken all the resources to focus on one account, even if you get…”
Chad Peets Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 21:35 20Sales: Why You Need a CRO Pre-Product | Why Remote Sales Teams Do Not Work | How Snowflake Built a Sales Machine with Chad Peets
Nov 13, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: Fearing Incumbent Competitors Signals Startup Market Leadership
“My experience is, when you go to the first board meeting where you suddenly realize you're scared of the big company adjacent competition, it probably means you've graduated from the baby class. You're one of the two or three winners in the startup land, and n…”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 13, 2025 ▶ 37:19 Michael Burry Shorts NVIDIA and Palantir & Has Defensibility Died in a World of AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 14, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rivera: Foundation models will replace niche AI startup products
“I worry perhaps for startups that a lot of the things that they offer that are these sort of like niche carve out experiences for a category will be replaced by the broad based foundation models. And that many of these companies that I've seen a very rapid ris…”
Carl Rivera Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 1:01:16 20Product: How AI Changes Product Design | Does the Design Phase Become Irrelevant in a World of Vibe Coding | The Five Pillars of Truly Great Product Design with Carl Rivera, Chief Design Officer at Shopify
Nov 14, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Rivera: AI favors incumbents over startups due to distribution and data
“Because I believe that distribution matters a great deal. We're all building on largely the same models. The areas where you actually can have like true network effects is access to unavailable data or consumer network effects. Both of these typically sit insi…”
Carl Rivera Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 26:06 20Product: How AI Changes Product Design | Does the Design Phase Become Irrelevant in a World of Vibe Coding | The Five Pillars of Truly Great Product Design with Carl Rivera, Chief Design Officer at Shopify
Nov 14, 2025 positive
Insight
Rivera: Crafting a beautiful end-to-end user journey is a competitive advantage
“In that world where startups are trying so hard to narrow in on this, like, really tiny slice of what's going to set them apart, building a product where the journey is really considered, where you have a beautiful end-to-end flow, where every interaction is d…”
Carl Rivera Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 8:13 20Product: How AI Changes Product Design | Does the Design Phase Become Irrelevant in a World of Vibe Coding | The Five Pillars of Truly Great Product Design with Carl Rivera, Chief Design Officer at Shopify
Nov 27, 2025
Insight
Rory O'Driscoll: Undifferentiated startups must differentiate or exit before growth slows
“The earlier you are with The more hyper growth you have ahead of you, the easier it is to be undifferentiated. And by the time the growth slows down, you better either be differentiated or as Jason was, you better be exited.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 17:46 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 4, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2028
O'Driscoll: AI Startups Must Shift to Value Pricing Within Two Years
“A year, two years from now, you're going to have to link as a startup. Your pricing to the value delivered and you're going to have to measure.”
Rory O'Driscoll Dec 4, 2025 ▶ 37:52 Eventbrite Sold for $500M, Databricks $5B Raise at $134B Valuation & Why SaaS is Like Japan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2025 negative
Insight
Calacanis: One-year equity cliffs hinder poaching talent in competitive markets
“And so on the one hand, it seems like a dumb idea, like you're creating mercenaries and perhaps you are, but in the age and you're asking someone that's 18 months into somebody else to leave and wait 12 months to make a dollar. That can be a tough sell in, in,…”
Jason Lemkin Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 21:18 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 12, 2026
Insight
Rampell: Startup versus incumbent battle is distribution versus innovation speed
“The battle of every startup versus incumbent is whether the startup gets the distribution before the incumbent gets the innovation, right?”
Alex Rampell Jan 12, 2026 ▶ 28:46 Alex Rampell: The Best Founders Materialise Capital, Customers & Labour | The Future of Venture · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 2, 2026
Insight
Zeev: Weird-looking startup ideas gain 2-3 years without real competition
“Look, I think if they're long, if they look weird and they look wrong, then probably there aren't gonna be 15 or 20 or a hundred other startups doing it. So you're probably gonna have two or three years without real competition.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 1:55 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
Feb 5, 2026
Insight
O'Driscoll: Tech competition is incumbent distribution versus startup product speed
“Every one of these markets. It's a race between the incumbents who have distribution needing to add product and the new guys who have product need to add distribution, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 45:04 The SaaS Massacre: Public Market Collapse |Microsoft Lost $360B & NVIDIA’s $100B Dispute with OpenAI
Feb 9, 2026
Insight
Acharya: Incumbents improve legacy categories while startups own new AI categories
“When you have this product cycle and you have a capable incumbent, what happens is they usually make their product better for their existing categories. So Microsoft will make a better word processor than they've ever made. Google will make a better search eng…”
Anish Acharya Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 8:25 a16z, Anish Acharya: Is SaaS Dead? Do Margins Still Matter? Why We Are Not in an AI Bubble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 9, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Acharya: Seemingly Competing Startups Diverge Within 12 to 18 Months
“I think we're in a part of the market where companies are diverging very rapidly. So even companies that appear to be directly competing today tend to be not competing in, you know, 12 months, 18 months.”
Anish Acharya Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 14:00 a16z, Anish Acharya: Is SaaS Dead? Do Margins Still Matter? Why We Are Not in an AI Bubble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2031
Emberikos: Startups will soon build on software stacks fully managed by AI
“I basically think that probably big companies will take a long time to, like, deploy this, but many startups might actually kind of start building on a completely new stack that's, like, fully AI managed.”
Alexander Emberikos Feb 21, 2026 ▶ 59:34 OpenAI's Codex Lead: Why Coding as We Know It is Over · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 28, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jerry Murdock: Autonomous agent adoption will determine VC and startup success
“That's going to be the deciding factor for venture capitalists. And startups. We're going to be on the same level playing field. How well do we use autonomous agents in our job?”
Jerry Murdock Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 34:46 The SaaS Apocalypse: Who Lives & Who Dies | Insight Partners Co-Founder, Jerry Murdock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 16, 2026 positive
Insight
Rajaram: University grads should work two to three years before founding startups
“My strong advice is to first get two to three years of work experience at a company, at a good company. You won't regret it. You learn a lot. Both the experience and the network of people will be invaluable for you. So just two or three years, don't be impatie…”
Gokul Rajaram Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 1:12:33 Gokul Rajaram: How to Analyse for Durability and Defensibility in a World of AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 16, 2026 neutral
Insight
Rajaram: Startups must avoid competing directly on Google's primary roadmap
“If you're a startup, which is directly in Google's roadmap, like directly, you should not be building it because Google is very good when something is directly in order. They're like a tank. It will just roll over you even slowly, slowly, but it doesn't matter…”
Gokul Rajaram Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 1:01:09 Gokul Rajaram: How to Analyse for Durability and Defensibility in a World of AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 18, 2026 negative
Insight
Browder: Early-stage startups should stay away from strategy hires
“Stay away from the strategy hires. Strategy is a meaningless hire because what does that even mean? Everything is strategic.”
Josh Browder May 18, 2026 ▶ 1:05:41 Turning Peter Thiel's $100K into $10M Angel Portfolio & Why VCs Can Be Sharks | Josh Browder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Future Startups Will Be Half the Size Per Revenue
“My sense is that roughly over the coming years, startups will be half the size that they used to be for revenue, including enterprise.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 50:00 SpaceX Launches Largest Ever IPO | OpenAI Files to Go Public | Uber Cuts 23% of HR · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 25, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Lemkin: Will only invest in startups working in-office six days weekly
“I want small high paid teams that work in the office over six days a week. That's I'm not interested in investing in anything else. I'm just not interested. And it's not because I don't have empathy. It's because they're gonna fail.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 25, 2026 ▶ 1:14:55 DeepSeek Raises at $50B | The Rise of Open Source vs OpenAI & Anthropic | OpenAI Builds Own Chip · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 29, 2026 negative
Opinion
Shridhar: Government Equity Stakes in AI Companies Stifle Startup Competition
“The only thing regulation can do, in my opinion, is stop that innovative culture. So if the government took Major equity shares in a company, and because of that provided unfair access for those companies to its products and its people. By definition, they're …”
K.R. Shridhar Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 23:47 Bloom Energy CEO: Why We Aren’t in an AI Capex Bubble | Energy Sovereignty & The Future of Power · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 6, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mignano: Top dev talent will prefer startups over budget-constrained incumbents
“I think you're going to go to a startup, especially the startups right now that are mission driven.”
Mike Mignano Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 24:05 Why Now is the Time for the App Layer | Why Startups Should be TokenMaxxing | Mike Mignano, USV · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 9, 2026
Insight
Lemkin: Tech workers should only join startups with 24-month tender visibility
“Why is a, why would you join anything that you don't have high certainty, not just they're going to be a unicorn because it's not good enough, that they're going to have tender offers, right, in the next 24 months.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 1:23:55 Enterprises Fear Frontier Models | Sam Altman Offers Trump 5% of OpenAI | DeepSeek Builds Own Chips · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 9, 2026 positive
Insight
Lemkin: Selling 5% Equity to Corporate Partners Creates Disproportionate Alignment
“What I've learned from my portfolio and I think you guys will agree is it creates an out an unexpectedly large amount of alignment. You get, you sell five percent of your company to a hundred billion dollar partner. It don't matter to Rory's point. It just don…”
Jason Lemkin Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 7:53 Enterprises Fear Frontier Models | Sam Altman Offers Trump 5% of OpenAI | DeepSeek Builds Own Chips · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 11, 2026 negative
Opinion
Jain: Excess startup capital creates failure paths and bad habits
“I actually do think that, you know, there is too much capital available today in the for startups. And it's actually sometimes creating failure paths for people. I think they're not getting what it takes to build a great company.”
Arvind Jain Jul 11, 2026 ▶ 55:41 ⁠Why OpenAI and Anthropic Won't Win the App Layer | Glean Founder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 11, 2026 positive
Opinion
Jain: Exiting a startup is easier today than in the past 25 years
“I would say in, in the last 25 years that I've seen, I would say it's been, it's easier to build a startup And get a good exit from it these days than it used to be in the past.”
Arvind Jain Jul 11, 2026 ▶ 57:05 ⁠Why OpenAI and Anthropic Won't Win the App Layer | Glean Founder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 16, 2026 negative
Insight
Lemkin: Startups with talent momentum shouldn't announce hot funding rounds
“The most in my career today, there are the most reasons to not announce, if you can get away with it, to not announce a hot round. Right. If you've already got enough, if you've already got enough going on to attract talent, right, for recruiting especially if…”
Jason Lemkin Jul 16, 2026 ▶ 1:08:53 Zuckerberg Back on X Challenging Codex & Claude Code | SK Hynix’s $26BN IPO · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 7, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: Non-CEO Co-Founders Usually Leave Within Three Years
“The other co-founders most often not there in three years.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 12:36 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
Sep 7, 2026
Insight
Stebbings: Founders should separate fundraise and revenue announcements for PR
“Too many times I see people like combine a fundraise with a revenue milestone. Do not do that. Those are two separate PR moments that can be made into two big moments, not one.”
Harry Stebbings Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 59:17 Town vs Instinct vs GrokBot | Why the AI Assistant Market Is Not a Bubble
Sep 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Public company CEOs say legal teams block them from competing
“I I've talked with multiple public company CEOs who say they're hamstrung, their hands are tied behind their backs. They can't compete with startups, not because they can't do it. Okay. Rory O'Driscoll: That's true. Jason Lemkin: But because their legal teams …”
Jason Lemkin Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 4:24 Jensen Huang Declares AGI Has Arrived | Tesla Launches Cybercabs | Index Pulls Out of Town
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