Machines

“The machine does not, and never will have full context that a person does.”

“We're going to a world where every single piece of information needs to be readable by a machine. And that's how the world will go to the next generation.”

“And I think the culmination point of that, which I've been talking about again for decades, is at some point in the not so distant future, we will have a robot that doesn't have to be super smart, but just smart enough to learn to operate all the already exist…”

“Maybe soon enough we'll spend zero time learning the exact minutia of syntactic Decisions of each programming language, but the conversation with the machine around what you as a software sculptor would consider to be elegant, I think will remain.”

“I want you to still remember that you're not competing with the machines. You're competing with the humans who use them.”

“There's like 10 wizards in the world. And then everything else is done by machines. And then consumers are now just like writing software for themselves that happened to be communally updating it, but they're not developers anymore. They're just like participa…”

“And I think that you look 20 years out, and the vast majority of cognitive work is done by machines, just like the vast majority of physical work is done by machines.”

“There's some hope that by training enough on code, the machine essentially like infers these kinds of structural cues.”

“And I think that's another aspect of like what makes something agentic, like not having to have a user send an event to trigger the machine to turn on, just allowing these machines to run all the time.”

“But interestingly, I actually think that the people whose jobs are, like, most protected in this new domain are blue-collar workers. A robot today can't really fully serve a meal, and they cannot effectively, even though every humanoid robot tries to do foldin…”

“So I think there will be this separation and continuing separation of artisanal handcrafted music and then music that sounds very similar that was created by machines.”

“Machines will never have true taste, right? Like, and I think forever that creativity is going to come from humans, and there's always a new thing.”

“As machines get better at finding the answers, like, we're going to have to get better at finding the questions. And, you know, like these systems don't have a, you know, their own sort of notion of what questions are interesting. And given a large question, h…”

“Machines are far better at medical diagnosis already than humans.”

“We already see on the legal side that it's making quite a bit of an impact already. You can go and talk to the lawyers. They are already talking about, okay, there are so many jobs right now in the company that the machine is able to do much, much better job v…”

“We are not going to know about how machines reason anytime soon.”

“There's something really interesting here where maybe machines are learning the same kinds of representations or similar representations to what humans are learning. And maybe they can get to a point where they can actually do the types of things that humans a…”

“We see a promptless future. You shouldn't have to converse with your machines in order for them to extract value from them.”

“I'm a believer that machines are gonna replace everything in about 20 years.”

“The key thing in school right now, this is really important, it's the key to the future, it's the key for everything, not just school, is when you've got machines that can answer anything, the edge is Who asks the best questions? That's key.”

“No machine is going to find another Amazon out there because it doesn't exist.”

“There's, if we do our jobs right, there's no such thing as a doctor in 30 years. That every operation, every prescription, every piece of medical advice you ever get from now on comes from a machine and it costs 10 cents.”

“There's tons of weapons systems you already have that like, there's no human that decides like the robots decide for us. Like they shoot down the missile before we even have time to react, you know? So we've already given up the Like kill switch to the machine…”

“Even if machines eventually have emotions, they're going to be very different, different from humans. So it's not going to replace this type of genuine art.”

“For autonomous vehicles, you have experts, and every driver that can drive a car, you can ask whether an autonomous vehicle drives as good as a driver, like me and you. For drug development, even the best scientists in the world, they don't know, as we mention…”

“My suspicion is that the materiality of life really matters for consciousness, and what we're likely to come up with are machines that give us the strong impression of being conscious. But for which we will just not know whether there's anything it is like to …”

“And some point I'm going to say, 30 years from now. We'll be able to make machines that do podcast interviews and I won't really know. I don't really know if you're a person fake or, you know, machine faking me out or whatever at some point.”

“These machines are on a construction site, the only reliable data source.”

“Everything that is repetitive and based on data the machine can write better than the human.”

“I think if you're trying to compete quarterly against the machines, that's a tough place to be. So you need to be able to take a longer term view.”

“And it's important to do this because we're living in a world, which I would term, of the generation age, where it is increasingly cheap and easy to generate a reality that is almost indistinguishable from true reality by machines.”

“I think what humans are going to be good for in the next 10 to 20 years is these interpersonal roles, like, you know, nursing at home coaching experiences, again, coming back to experiences, and asking questions, and so I think If you want to answer, you're go…”

“The whole thing about looking in your opponent's eyes and figuring out whether they're bluffing or not. I think that's going to be tough for machine to do for a while.”

“Well, I claim that there will be a day very soon when then you will feel that about the machines you work with. In other words, you would expect that to be a property of all these machines.”

“I'm waiting for the day when the key is to have staying power to last, is when, you know, the machines or the indexes are 95% of the market. Then you'll make money hand over”

“I, when they're 20% of the market, it, you know, they're much more effective or the indexes than when they're 50. But by definition, the bigger they get, the more impossible it is.”

“Liquidity has declined because of really changes in the market of what machines do, and there's no doubt that liquidity has gotten a lot less than it used to be.”

“But ultimately, I think creativity, it's always been, to a certain degree, a collaborative act, and now we're going to increasingly count machines as part Of our collaborative teams now.”

“We see someone there when there isn't, and of course that, for me, that was very interesting because it made me think about when we do that with machines, where we often, we do Maybe, you know, we think that there's someone at home when there isn't.”

“I do business with people I inherently think have my back, and I'm willing to pay them more than I probably should, but trust is a real value and a real commodity that you cannot replace by a machine or anything else, and so whatever we're going to be doing at…”

“Ultimately I think most things will be done by machines, except the really key decisions that people will always want to retain, even though they make them with advice from the machines.”

“So what's going to happen is that the machines are going to be able to learn much more complex models of the phenomena than human beings ever could, and this is good, right? Because with those better models, we can make better decisions. With a better model of…”