machines

also referred to as: machine

5 statements across 5 episodes · 3 bullish · 0 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Sep 13, 2022 by Gary Marcus · across every show →

Everything said about machines, oldest first

Sep 13, 2022 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2052
Marcus: Machines will convincingly conduct podcast interviews within 30 years
“And some point I'm going to say, 30 years from now. We'll be able to make machines that do podcast interviews and I won't really know. I don't really know if you're a person fake or, you know, machine faking me out or whatever at some point.”
Gary Marcus Sep 13, 2022 ▶ 32:38 Is AI Dangerously Overhyped? — With Gary Marcus
Nov 9, 2022 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Seth: AI will create illusion of consciousness without verifiable subjective experience
“My suspicion is that the materiality of life really matters for consciousness, and what we're likely to come up with are machines that give us the strong impression of being conscious. But for which we will just not know whether there's anything it is like to …”
Professor Anil Seth Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 10:21 Fantasy and Fact: AI, Sentience and The Dangers Of Hype, from World Summit AI
Jan 25, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
LeCun: AI will not replace genuine art rooted in human emotion
“Even if machines eventually have emotions, they're going to be very different, different from humans. So it's not going to replace this type of genuine art.”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 52:25 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Feb 6, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pineau: Heavy code training may teach models hierarchical planning
“There's some hope that by training enough on code, the machine essentially like infers these kinds of structural cues.”
Joelle Pineau Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 18:49 AI's Research Frontier: Memory, World Models, & Planning — With Joelle Pineau
Jul 15, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schmidhuber: Robots will soon learn to operate all existing physical machines
“And I think the culmination point of that, which I've been talking about again for decades, is at some point in the not so distant future, we will have a robot that doesn't have to be super smart, but just smart enough to learn to operate all the already exist…”
Jürgen Schmidhuber Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 5:54 AI Pioneer Jürgen Schmidhuber: AI Already Feels Pain, Loves, and Is Self-Aware
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