| 60% | “60%” | Morris: Market Odds Flipped From 72% Rate Hike to 60% Hold | Paul Mark Morris |  PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Morris: Assuming a 3% mortgage is often worth more than a price cut | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 0.25% | “quarter percent” | Morris: Q3 2025 New Home Mortgages Averaged 5.25% Versus 6.25% for Existing | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 6.25% | “6.25%” | Morris: Q3 2025 New Home Mortgages Averaged 5.25% Versus 6.25% for Existing | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Morris: Stress-Test Builder Buy-Downs at Full 7% Market Rates | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 16% | “16%” | Morris: HELOC originations are up almost 16% year-over-year | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Morris: Owner-occupant programs allow down payments as low as 3.5% | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Morris: Owner-occupant programs allow down payments as low as 3.5% | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Morris: Owner-occupant programs allow down payments as low as 3.5% | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 2M | “2003 thousand” | Gandhi: History's Greatest Philosophers Were Heirs to Extreme Wealth | Anand Gandhi |  INNOVATORS & INVESTORS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Langley: 90% of crimes are solved within seven days of data retention | Garrett Langley |  ALL-IN | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Langley: Flock solved 1M crimes and found 10K missing people last year | Garrett Langley | ALL-IN | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “1%” | Langley: Flock Safety raised capital and sits at 0.1% churn | Garrett Langley | ALL-IN | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Langley: LPR is under 50% of Flock's revenue as drones grow fastest | Garrett Langley | ALL-IN | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Sanchez: 70% to 80% of Listed Businesses Never Sell | Codie Sanchez |  BIGDEAL | Aug 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Sanchez: Income increases happiness for most, according to 2023 research | Codie Sanchez | BIGDEAL | Aug 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 3M | “a two million” | Sanchez: Profit per hour of founder time beats top-line revenue | Codie Sanchez | BIGDEAL | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 11M | “a ten million” | Sanchez: Profit per hour of founder time beats top-line revenue | Codie Sanchez | BIGDEAL | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Sanchez: Five People Operating at 80% Outperform One Founder at 95% | Codie Sanchez | BIGDEAL | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Sanchez: Five People Operating at 80% Outperform One Founder at 95% | Codie Sanchez | BIGDEAL | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| $4M | “four million dollars” | Modi: Bobbie raised $4M after FDA recall to rework domestic manufacturing | Laura Modi |  HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 4M | “four million” | Modi: Bobbie generated $16M in revenue in its first year | Laura Modi | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Modi: 50% of US babies on formula rely on WIC | Laura Modi | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Modi: Bobbie targets 10% market share rather than monopoly scale | Laura Modi | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Lindgren: Bootstrapped security venture reached $15M-$20M before 2022 PE exit | Niklas Lindgren |  PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Lindgren: Endra completes 80% to 90% of 400-hour engineering projects in under 10 minutes | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Lindgren: Many early VC-backed founders don't understand real value of $1M-$2M | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| $2M | “two million dollars” | Lindgren: Many early VC-backed founders don't understand real value of $1M-$2M | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Lindgren: 80% AI output suffices in building engineering because the process is iterative | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lindgren: 80% AI output suffices in building engineering because the process is iterative | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Lindgren: 80% AI output suffices in building engineering because the process is iterative | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Lindgren: MEP design consultancies are $150B and equipment is nearly $1T | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Lindgren: MEP design consultancies are $150B and equipment is nearly $1T | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Lindgren: Endra closed $1.5M in enterprise revenue in January 2026 | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 5M | “a four million” | Lindgren: Endra Raised $4M Pre-Seed, $20M Seed, and $50M Series A | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Lindgren: Endra Raised $4M Pre-Seed, $20M Seed, and $50M Series A | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Lindgren: Endra Raised $4M Pre-Seed, $20M Seed, and $50M Series A | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Lindgren: Data centers are approximately 90% MEP infrastructure | Niklas Lindgren | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | AI Handles Mainstream Tasks But Fails on Cybersecurity Edge Cases | Nikesh Arora |  SOURCERY | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “1%” | AI Handles Mainstream Tasks But Fails on Cybersecurity Edge Cases | Nikesh Arora | SOURCERY | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | 10% to 20% of Enterprise Operating Spend May Shift to Tech | Nikesh Arora | SOURCERY | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 103% | “103%” | Gaybrick: Stripe SaaS Platform Customer Cohort Grew 103% Year-over-Year | Will Gaybrick |  a16z | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Gaybrick: Stablecoin remittance startup Felix handles 5% to 10% of US-Mexico corridor | Will Gaybrick | a16z | Aug 17, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 30% | “30%” | Gaybrick: Stripe Minions generated 7,000 weekly PRs, roughly 30% of Stripe total | Will Gaybrick | a16z | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Gaybrick: AI Enables Teams to Do 3x More Output Without Shrinking | Will Gaybrick | a16z | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 83% | “83%” | Gaybrick: Stripe Internal AI Tool Kai Boosted Seller Productivity by 20% | Will Gaybrick | a16z | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Gaybrick: Stripe Internal AI Tool Kai Boosted Seller Productivity by 20% | Will Gaybrick | a16z | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Gaybrick: Stripe Internal AI Tool Kai Boosted Seller Productivity by 20% | Will Gaybrick | a16z | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Mac: Uber is doing about 300 million trips weekly on core platforms | Andrew Macdonald (Mac) |  20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Enterprise AI ROI Requires Top-Down Headcount Constraints, Not Bottom-Up Cuts | Andrew Macdonald (Mac) | 20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Enterprise AI ROI Requires Top-Down Headcount Constraints, Not Bottom-Up Cuts | Andrew Macdonald (Mac) | 20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Enterprise AI ROI Requires Top-Down Headcount Constraints, Not Bottom-Up Cuts | Andrew Macdonald (Mac) | 20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Enterprise AI ROI Requires Top-Down Headcount Constraints, Not Bottom-Up Cuts | Andrew Macdonald (Mac) | 20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Enterprise AI ROI Requires Top-Down Headcount Constraints, Not Bottom-Up Cuts | Andrew Macdonald (Mac) | 20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 84% | “84%” | Uber Mobility Revenue Dropped 84% in Three Weeks During COVID | Andrew Macdonald (Mac) | 20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Stebbings: Revolut's Nik Storonsky Is the Best Founder Out of 1,000 | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| $2M | “two million dollars” | Stebbings: Revolut's Nik Storonsky Is the Best Founder Out of 1,000 | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | — |
| 52M | “fifty two million” | Uber Burned $52 Million Weekly on Subsidies Before Exiting China | Andrew Macdonald (Mac) | 20VC | Aug 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Kalanick: Uber gave Baidu 7% equity to survive Chinese regulatory heat | Travis Kalanick |  DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Kalanick: Uber gave Baidu 7% equity to survive Chinese regulatory heat | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Kalanick: Only 10% of VCs "do no harm," just 1% are helpful | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Kalanick: Only 10% of VCs "do no harm," just 1% are helpful | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 250M | “two hundred fifty million” | Kalanick: Uber's peak fundraising involved five simultaneous rooms tiered by check size | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Kalanick: Uber's peak fundraising involved five simultaneous rooms tiered by check size | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 51M | “a fifty million” | Kalanick: Uber's peak fundraising involved five simultaneous rooms tiered by check size | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 26M | “a twenty five million” | Kalanick: Uber's peak fundraising involved five simultaneous rooms tiered by check size | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Kalanick: Uber's peak fundraising involved five simultaneous rooms tiered by check size | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Kalanick: Automating a gold mine increases annual output by 20% | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $3B | “three billion dollars” | Kalanick: US food supplier spends $3B yearly on forklift labor | Travis Kalanick | DAVID SENRA | Aug 16, 2026 | — |
| 96% | “96%” | Krentsel: Exo autonomously re-architected its Discord adapter, cutting costs by 96% | Alex Krentsel |  LATENT SPACE | Aug 15, 2026 | Open |
| 600M | “a five hundred million” | Coogan: Unwell beverage shut down after $500M media investment | John Coogan |  TBPN | Aug 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Taylor: Valar Atomics Will Scale Fission to Make Energy 10x Cheaper | Isaiah Taylor |  NO PRIORS | Aug 15, 2026 | — |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Taylor: Valar Atomics could be worth $500B in 10 years | Isaiah Taylor | NO PRIORS | Aug 15, 2026 | Open |
| $5M | “five million dollars” | Valar Built a $5M Nuclear Reactor Component In-House For $400K | Isaiah Taylor | NO PRIORS | Aug 15, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “100 X” | Taylor: Nuclear is a fake industry charging 100x margins | Isaiah Taylor | NO PRIORS | Aug 15, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Taylor: Nuclear Fission Will Make Energy 1,000 Times Cheaper | Isaiah Taylor | NO PRIORS | Aug 15, 2026 | Open |
| 90% | “90%” | Swulinski: 90% of Companies Fail to Build Proper Tracking Before Spending | Matt Swulinski | 20VC | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Swulinski: 10% to 15% of Viktor acquisition comes from affiliate program | Matt Swulinski | 20VC | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Swulinski predicts AI agents will execute 80% of company work in three years | Matt Swulinski | 20VC | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Swulinski predicts AI agents will execute 80% of company work in three years | Matt Swulinski | 20VC | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Swulinski: Under 1% of candidates can build deep AI systems | Matt Swulinski | 20VC | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Swulinski ran $1M/mo Google spend and 100+ newsletters solo at Wispr | Matt Swulinski | 20VC | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 45% | “45%” | Swulinski: Healthy organic acquisition mix is 35% to 45% | Matt Swulinski | 20VC | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Swulinski: Spending over $1M monthly requires MMM and incrementality models | Matt Swulinski | 20VC | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Lemkin: Klaviyo captured approximately 80% market share in e-commerce marketing | Jason Lemkin |  SAASTR | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Lemkin: Twilio's growth rebounded to over 20% due to AI agent APIs | Jason Lemkin | SAASTR | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Lemkin: Twilio's growth rebounded to over 20% due to AI agent APIs | Jason Lemkin | SAASTR | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 5× | “five X” | Observe AI is growing 5x year-over-year after pivoting to AI agents | Swapnil Jain |  NEON SHOW | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Observe AI reached over $50M in revenue before pivoting to AI agents | Swapnil Jain | NEON SHOW | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 1.5M | “half a million” | Jain: Observe AI's only Indian customer ghosted a $500K contract | Swapnil Jain | NEON SHOW | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Jain: Customer service is a $400 billion industry employing 20 million agents | Swapnil Jain | NEON SHOW | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| $400B | “four hundred billion dollars” | Jain: Customer service is a $400 billion industry employing 20 million agents | Swapnil Jain | NEON SHOW | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Jain: AI will handle over 50% of customer service within 3-5 years | Swapnil Jain | NEON SHOW | Aug 14, 2026 | Open |
| 1B | “a billion” | Stanford: Google Gemini just reached one billion users | Scott Stanford |  MORE OR LESS | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Lessin: Handing out market-compounding cash will not solve America's opportunity crisis | Sam Lessin | MORE OR LESS | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Wolfe: OpenAI has produced six spin-offs valued at tens of billions | Josh Wolfe | MORE OR LESS | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Coogan: Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike rose over 100% year-over-year | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | Coogan: Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike rose over 100% year-over-year | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 121% | “121%” | Coogan: Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike rose over 100% year-over-year | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 107% | “107%” | Coogan: Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike rose over 100% year-over-year | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| $10M | “ten million dollars” | Coogan: Palo Alto CEO Nikesh Arora made $16M buying his company's dip | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| $26M | “twenty six million dollars” | Coogan: Palo Alto CEO Nikesh Arora made $16M buying his company's dip | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 76M | “seventy six million” | Hays: Chegg's 2025 revenue dropped 39% to $376M as market cap collapsed | Jordi Hays | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 91M | “a ninety million” | Hays: Chegg's 2025 revenue dropped 39% to $376M as market cap collapsed | Jordi Hays | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 39% | “39%” | Hays: Chegg's 2025 revenue dropped 39% to $376M as market cap collapsed | Jordi Hays | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Hays: Massive AI Pay Packages Create One-Year Retention Cliffs | Jordi Hays | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| $800M | “eight hundred million dollars” | US Treasury: North Korean remote IT operations generated nearly $800M in 2024 | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | US Treasury: North Korean remote IT operations generated nearly $800M in 2024 | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| $6B | “six billion dollars” | Hays: Anthropic is in talks to acquire Descartes for $6 billion | Jordi Hays | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Coogan: Descartes was valued at $4 billion one quarter ago | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 8B | “a seven billion” | AppLovin generates over $7B EBITDA run rate with 75% cash conversion | Adam Foroughi | SOURCERY | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 75% | “75%” | AppLovin generates over $7B EBITDA run rate with 75% cash conversion | Adam Foroughi | SOURCERY | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Foroughi: AppLovin CEO avoids angel investing, conferences, and social media | Adam Foroughi | SOURCERY | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred-billion” | AppLovin dropped 92% post-IPO before rebounding to a $100B valuation | Adam Foroughi | SOURCERY | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 92% | “92%” | AppLovin dropped 92% post-IPO before rebounding to a $100B valuation | Adam Foroughi | SOURCERY | Aug 14, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Foroughi: Mobile gaming ad spend cannot support a $1T valuation | Adam Foroughi | SOURCERY | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Former AppLovin CTO Basil personally wrote roughly 60% of the company's code | Adam Foroughi | SOURCERY | Aug 14, 2026 | — |
| 4M | “four million” | Kalanick: Uber's first venture round had a $4M pre-money valuation | Travis Kalanick | a16z | Aug 13, 2026 | Supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Kalanick: Scour was sued for $250B by 33 major media companies | Travis Kalanick | a16z | Aug 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 1T | “1 trillion” | Baker: xAI will release Grok 4.7 in a few weeks | Gavin Baker | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | Open |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Calacanis: US AI spend will hit $1T as companies adopt tokens | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: US AI spend will hit $1T as companies adopt tokens | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Baker: Approximating a human brain requires the power of 1M homes | Gavin Baker | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Baker: Approximating a human brain requires the power of 1M homes | Gavin Baker | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| $100B | “100 billion dollars” | Calacanis: Unnamed hyperscaler pivoted a nine-figure AI strategy to open source | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Baker: Frontier models will capture 65 to 85 percent of value | Gavin Baker | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Baker: Frontier models will capture 65 to 85 percent of value | Gavin Baker | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Calacanis: Nvidia partnering with Goldman and BlackRock for $500B financing | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Baker: Anthropic reaching $400B to $500B revenue by 2027 is realistic | Gavin Baker | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Baker: Elon Musk is building a $10B solar plant in Texas | Gavin Baker | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Calacanis: AI chip inference efficiency will improve 5x-10x every 12-18 months | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 5× | “five times” | Calacanis: AI chip inference efficiency will improve 5x-10x every 12-18 months | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Sacks: OpenAI revenue growth exceeds 20 percent month-over-month | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Sacks: OpenAI revenue growth exceeds 20 percent month-over-month | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Calacanis: Anthropic's revenue growth will slow and miss $1T next year | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 13, 2026 | Open |
| 1M | “a million” | Freston: Viacom offered $1.5 million to buy Facebook in early days | Tom Freston |  MASTERS OF SCALE | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Freston: Viacom sued YouTube for $1 billion and lost after a decade | Tom Freston | MASTERS OF SCALE | Aug 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10M | “ten million” | Chess.com has 10 million daily and 50 million monthly active users | Erik Allebest | NO PRIORS | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Chess.com has 10 million daily and 50 million monthly active users | Erik Allebest | NO PRIORS | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 250M | “two hundred fifty million” | Allebest: Chess.com has over 250 million registered members | Erik Allebest | NO PRIORS | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Chess.com had roughly one million daily active users before COVID-19 | Erik Allebest | NO PRIORS | Aug 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 3.2T | “a 2.2 trillion” | Chen: SpaceX IPO completed at a $2.2T valuation | Adam Chen | INNOVATORS & INVESTORS | Aug 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | McCall: Incumbents made up to $500M in revenue when Samsara entered ELD market | Andy McCall | a16z | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | McCall: Early-stage founders should spend 1% on strategy, 99% executing | Andy McCall | a16z | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | McCall: Early-stage founders should spend 1% on strategy, 99% executing | Andy McCall | a16z | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | McCall: Startups with 40-50% quota attainment have flawed targets or hiring | Andy McCall | a16z | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Friedberg: Housing, college, and healthcare inflation significantly outpaced average 2.5% inflation | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Friedberg: Housing, college, and healthcare inflation significantly outpaced average 2.5% inflation | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Friedberg: Housing, college, and healthcare inflation significantly outpaced average 2.5% inflation | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20× | “20 times” | Friedberg: China has 20 times the US manufacturing square footage | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Emanuel: Illiteracy causes kids to effectively drop out in third grade | Rahm Emanuel | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Emanuel proposes 20% full-tuition foreign student cap to subsidize 3-year degrees | Rahm Emanuel | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Emanuel: China's Auto Industry Exports Are Rising While Profits Are Down 20% | Rahm Emanuel | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: College administrative staff grew from 10% to 60% in 30 years | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 60% | “60%” | Friedberg: College administrative staff grew from 10% to 60% in 30 years | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 40B | “forty billion” | Emanuel: Iran Invested $40B+ Over 40 Years in Regional Proxy Network | Rahm Emanuel | ALL-IN | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 18% | “18%” | Palantir accelerated revenue growth from 18% to 98% following AI pivot | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 98% | “98%” | Palantir accelerated revenue growth from 18% to 98% following AI pivot | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 3B | “a two billion” | Enterprise software companies only pretend to offer outcome-based pricing | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Seed models must assume 75% dilution and 4x effective entry prices | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four X” | Seed models must assume 75% dilution and 4x effective entry prices | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Any startup investment not run by a founder will be a zero | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Any startup investment not run by a founder will be a zero | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Late-stage investors design mega CEO incentive packages around 10x return hurdles | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Datadog benefits from AI scale without changing its core business model | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 3B | “three billion” | Canva lowered its 2026 revenue growth forecast from 30% to 20% | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Canva lowered its 2026 revenue growth forecast from 30% to 20% | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Canva lowered its 2026 revenue growth forecast from 30% to 20% | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | Whatnot recently raised $500 million at a $20 billion valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Whatnot recently raised $500 million at a $20 billion valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Whatnot's GMV is doubling to $16 billion with a 12% take rate | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Open |
| 12% | “12%” | Whatnot's GMV is doubling to $16 billion with a 12% take rate | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Open |
| 99.9% | “99.9%” | Vibe coding a custom CRM makes no sense for most companies | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Google Cloud generates 30% operating margins selling compute to Anthropic | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Datadog's largest customer, OpenAI, slashed its $150 million software spend | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | A $1 million Anthropic stock grant from 2023 is worth $51 million | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 51M | “fifty one million” | A $1 million Anthropic stock grant from 2023 is worth $51 million | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 12B | “twelve billion” | Canva is currently worth only $12 billion in public market value | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Canva is currently worth only $12 billion in public market value | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Canva is currently worth only $12 billion in public market value | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Miller: Building a basic AI workforce puts users in top 0.5% | Ali K. Miller |  STARTUP IDEAS | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “5%” | Miller: Building a basic AI workforce puts users in top 0.5% | Ali K. Miller | STARTUP IDEAS | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Kedrosky: Over 50% of data center funding is external financing as of Q2 2026 | Paul Kedrosky |  BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Kedrosky: AI infrastructure models based on labor TAM are ridiculous and speculative | Paul Kedrosky | BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| $12T | “12 trillion dollars” | Kedrosky: AI infrastructure models based on labor TAM are ridiculous and speculative | Paul Kedrosky | BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Kedrosky: AI infrastructure models based on labor TAM are ridiculous and speculative | Paul Kedrosky | BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Kedrosky: AI Token Prices Fall 70-80% YoY on Constant Performance | Paul Kedrosky | BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Kedrosky: Token demand is unlikely to achieve 100M-fold growth in 6 years | Paul Kedrosky | BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 12, 2026 | Open |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Kedrosky: Sovereign funds filter investments by check size rather than economic value | Paul Kedrosky | BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 101B | “a hundred one billion” | Kedrosky: Sovereign funds filter investments by check size rather than economic value | Paul Kedrosky | BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Godin: YouTube creators cannot make a living with under one million followers | Seth Godin | BIGDEAL | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 30M | “thirty million” | Sanchez: Contrarian Thinking generates 130M monthly views and 3K-5K annual buyers | Codie Sanchez | BIGDEAL | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Jurowicz: Reactor equipment accounts for only 7% of nuclear build costs | Jake Jurowicz |  GREEN BLUEPRINT | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 35B | “thirty five billion” | Jurowicz: Venture Global raised over $35B in project finance for modular LNG | Jake Jurowicz | GREEN BLUEPRINT | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 600B | “a five hundred billion” | Coogan: Nvidia assembles $500B AI financing package with Wall Street firms | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| $500B | “five hundred billion dollars” | Huang: $500B was invested globally into AI startups over six months | Jensen Huang | TBPN | Aug 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10B | “Ten billion” | Coogan: $500B of compute only covers one year of AI scaling | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Coogan: $500B of compute only covers one year of AI scaling | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 8M | “a seven million” | Coogan: Paramount faces seven million dollar daily ticking fee to WBD | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| $7M | “seven million dollars” | Coogan: Paramount faces seven million dollar daily ticking fee to WBD | John Coogan | TBPN | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
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