Humanoid Robots

“I think all these automakers should transform themselves and start building humanoids, because the humanoid will be what cars were in the sixties. If they don't do that, they will not lose only cars, they will lose also the humanoid market, which is trillions …”

“Humanoids have their place, which is let's call it low scale tasks in human design environments designed for humans.”

“One of the main problems the humanoid robots face today, because a lot of them are using our APIs If you have three people standing next to the robot, it doesn't know who to listen to. And it has a hard time disambiguating who's saying what.”

“Across humanoid robots, consumer electronics, like, you're gonna see voice as this dimension that you just, like, expect And what, the example I think about is, you know, when you see pictures of, like, kids, like, trying to, like, swipe on TVs or something, b…”

“People love to hype about it. They're saying, look, human robots are going to be deployed in the next three to five years in the mass market. He gave me a rough number of 10 years again, and I believe him, because I've seen a lot of these robots. They frankly …”

“They will at some point. It's gonna need to go through the scaling and have 100,000 robots out there before that actually is real.”

“The artificial hands, the artificial bodies that we are trying to build for humanoid robots and so on, they are evolving much less rapidly than the compute per dollar. And I think that's the main problem.”

“So let's assume that the complexity of your humanoid, which is much more complex than self-driving car, it can be sort of a shrunk or can be countered by speed and computes and improvement in algorithm. Even then, you're probably looking at five years, maybe 1…”

“What Optimus is going to do when Bezos and Andy Jassy unleash Optimus inside of the Amazon factories is it's going to get rid of every, let me state this very clearly, every single package sorting, every single package delivery will not be done by humans in 10…”

“The case they articulated against humanoids in the short term I think is more correct than not, which is it's overkill for many industrial practices, and what you really want is a thing that can see, that can pick things out, can flexibly be trained very quick…”

“If you were to sort of extrapolate from the humanoids that are being built today and you were to run one for five or six hours a day doing various types of tasks around your home and your garden, sort of, you know, the theoretical robo-butler, that would consu…”

“I don't think the jobs are going to be there. They just showed humanoid robots cleaning a hotel room in two minutes.”

“I would have said that, you know, I don't think that humanoid robots will be able to be useful in the battlefield earlier than in 10 years. But, you know, if you account for the exponential it might be, you know, five years or so.”

“So in my world, in my worldview, the humanoid robots are still prototypes. And they're advanced prototypes. What we need to do is show that this works at all, which is kind of where we're at right now. Once we have working prototypes, then usually, at least in…”

“My suspicion is we'll have humanoids for some long tail things that we need to do that humans are currently doing. That will be important, but we'll also have robots that are for construction, robots that are for electrical work, robots that are for Very low v…”

“We're, we will be shipping robots, human, our humanoid robots into the production lines here this year”

“At some point here, it'll just be like it'll just be full lights out manufacturing. We'll have like robots only building robots and sending out to the world. Robots will be getting into boxes themselves. Other robots will be boxing them up and we'll be shippin…”

“We just want humanoid robots to work, and like, they're working now. It's pretty simple. Like, we're seeing robots to do everyday things. Like, we saw it clean up a living room, do commercial work.”

“I want to be able to put a robot into a home and be able to do, like, seven to 10 hours of work successfully without failures, with, like, to know, like, with no human intervention and do that every day forever. It's just, like, a hard problem. Nobody's ever s…”

“I don't understand why robots need a human form factor. I want purpose-built and whatever this tabletop robot is doing on that table, I'm sure it's something very helpful.”

“But I think in the near term, I think it's more purpose-built robots that are using AI to try to automate a certain task and make effectively the outcomes more efficient accordingly.”

“And I think, you know, we, sometimes we think that, like, robots are going to be, like, one thing. Like, it's just like, you know, there's people, and now we're going to make, like, metal people, and that'll be, like, robots. But I don't think that's how it's …”

“And I think we'll actually see something like that with robotics, too, that a more realistic template is not like, you know, the humanoid, like, goes in and the people just leave. I think it'll be more like there are some aspects of the job that can be done by…”

“In the next decade, I believe that there's going to be as many humanoid robots as there's going to be dogs and cats on this planet.”

“I think everybody's making this push for humanoid robots. I think they might have a five-year lifespan and then they'll fail miserably, maybe 10.”

“Because if you're gonna do specialized robots, not humanoids, but specialized robots, They need to have wheels. Right? I like to say, like, if you saw the Beijing, in Beijing, they had the humanoid Olympics. And the half marathon, and you're watching the human…”

“You see nunchuck robots and you just feel like, well, the gap, you know, this, these are sentient beings that are at their own volition going rather than it's a bunch of motors have been programmed to do a certain thing.”

“Like the humanoid robot that can operate on a patient in a surgical context and has the trust of the patient. Like it's coming, but it's a ways away.”

“A robot that is going to be with you in your house, and it's going to do everything you ask the robot to do it's going to take a time to train that. It's very difficult. It's difficult. Every house is not going to be the same. Every task is not going to be the…”

“Humanoid robots. I think we're just underestimating the progress these will have. Everybody's gonna get their own C-three PO slash Friedberg, so we won't be the only ones with a robot in our lives.”

“I think it will take longer before we can have a humanoid robot doing anything too complicated, but we'll see what the world holds there.”

“One is there's going to be like some collapse of sentiment around a set of robotics companies next year, not because it like actually isn't as a field going to progress, but because, you know, people are beginning to project timelines and you know, not everybo…”

“But AI and humanoid robots will actually eliminate poverty.”

“Well, I think we will definitely have a war among people and humanoid robots. It's without a doubt. Even if the humanoid robots don't assemble into the army, people will knock these things out and they're already burning Waymos. People don't like robots. They …”

“And the goal here, it figures to be able to do everything a human can in the physical world.”

“Today we're like far, like less efficient than a human. Humans are like the, are, we are like extremely efficient. Like, our, you know, biological neural nets are really efficient. The way, the, how much energy, or how much power we use to exert, like, walking…”

“Yes. Every phone and computer was built pre-AI. The, All the hardware we have today in the world needs to be completely rebuilt from scratch.”

“I think you will certainly have off board reasoning. I think you will have, I think you'll have both. I think you'll have off-board, like, a big brain off-board that you need to talk to that can do very complex maybe planning and reasoning. You'll have on-boar…”

“I've had a robot in my house now for like a few months. And You know, my kids have been there, but we, like, we monitor the robot. So we're not, like, we're not, like, we're, like, we have somebody with the robot. Like, we're not letting the kids go up and hug…”

“Our view right now is that we are trying to go out and do useful work. We're not trying to fool another human that we're a human from, like, a entertainment perspective or maybe companion perspective. So we've not designed the robot with, like, facial expressi…”

“You'll have this dramatic reduction here over the next, like, five years as we approach higher volume manufacturing, and then you'll have another step down once robots can fully build robots in the loop together, and you remove all human labor from the whole m…”

“Is it going to be humanoids or not humanoids? I think that debate is over because humanoids can kind of learn, you know, from watching YouTube videos, and then it's easier for a human being you know, to put on a suit and show the robot how to do it.”

“Probably quite high, like 80%.”

“All these techniques that have been developed over the last few years, Seems to me they're absolutely gonna apply to a problem like a humanoid robot as well.”

“I think that what's gonna happen here is that you're gonna have, like, before you have the humanoid robots that can, like, do warehouse work and, like, assemble cars on the assembly line, you're gonna have basically, like, pet robot. You're gonna have just, li…”

“You know, Elon Musk has said he thinks there'll be billions of humanoids. I agree with him on that. I don't agree with him on a lot of things, but that one I do agree.”

“Unitree is this Chinese company with these really amazing humanoid robots that cost like 20,000 dollars each. And they can do amazing things. They can like do a standing backflip and like manipulate objects. And the real thing that's missing there is the intel…”

“Humanoid actually doesn't solve a lot of problems because you don't get more density out of your warehouse. You want real estate density. You want to be able to stack the goods all the way to the ceiling, jam them in. So it's more, the form factor is not going…”

“The demand for humanoid robots in the world will be far more than we know how to think about with the current supply chain.”

“There's gonna be so many humanoid robots, and robots of all sizes and shapes, but my prediction is that there will be more humanoid robots by far than all other robots combined, by maybe an order of magnitude, like a big difference.”

“I mean, I'd predict that there's gonna be, At least five times as many humanoid robots as there are humans, maybe 10 times.”

“It is because the world is made for humans. That's why the robots which are like humans will, you know, contribute to more areas without any changes.”

“I do anticipate that we'll have humanoid robots around, but the question is how good can the industry get them, and how safe can the industry get them?”

“Like to me, applying the human form factor to robotics rather than actually having specialized robots that actually solve specific problems and are built, because again, right now you go to any automated warehouse, it's not humanoid robots moving around. It's …”

“When you build AI with a world model that understands physics, objects, how things work together, then you want to go humanoid robot, or maybe, you know, souped up robot that takes a humanoid form because all of a sudden you can be functional. Like the idea th…”

“I mean, they're not going to be programmed to fight back. Like all this alignment work is going to be done for them not to fight back.”

“There's just gonna be discomfort there, and people are going to keep attacking these things.”

“And there's a trap with these humanoid robots, which is some people look at them and think it's AGI, and it's not, it's just a robot that's got legs instead of wheels, but it's still a robot.”

“I'm probably the one weirdo who doesn't, who's not a big fan of humanoids, but maybe I'm jaded because we've, you know, we at least acquired at least two humanoid robotic startups and later sold them. But the reason is, I mean, the reason people want to do hum…”

“I think the question is, to your point, is it going to be, is the first application going to be in in manufacturing? I don't think so.”