humanoid robots

also referred to as: humanoid robot

13 statements across 11 episodes · 5 bullish · 6 bearish · 9 people on the record · first statement Dec 11, 2024 by Jordi Hays · across every show →

Everything said about humanoid robots, oldest first

Dec 11, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: Firearms industry will benefit from humanoid robotics proliferation
“I weirdly think the firearms industry is going to benefit a lot from the robotics movement, because in a world where humanoid robots walk the earth, and if you are a criminal, and you can now, from the comfort of your own home, use humanoid robots to commit cr…”
Jordi Hays Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:25:33 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 17, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: Everyone will eventually have personal errand drones and domestic robots
“I expect like everybody will have a drone, right? That like goes and picks up like, oh, I want this drink from the grocery store. Like go grab it for me. Everybody has like their little leaf picker. Everybody has like a humanoid robot around the house, or mayb…”
Jordi Hays Dec 17, 2024 ▶ 1:08:30 CHRISTIANITY: Why it's making a comeback (ep23)
Jan 7, 2025 positive
Opinion
Humanoid robots are the most inherently viral products to build today
“And so for one X, I mean, a humanoid robot is like the most inherently viral product you could possibly be building right now.”
John Coogan Jan 7, 2025 ▶ 2:48:53 The END of Ski Season? (E26)
Feb 28, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Petersen: Humanoid Robots Face Very High Bar to Replace Warehouse Labor
“Bar for them to clear is so high, too. I mean, workers are very, like, on an IQ basis, like, they're pretty smart. They got amazing dexterity in their fingers. They run around. ... They're not that expensive. Like, there's a lot. That bar is gonna be really hi…”
Ryan Petersen Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 15:57 Flexport's New AI Products and the Future of Port Automation
Mar 5, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Rabois: Nobody understands humanoid robots' physical decay curve
“Well, I don't think anybody really knows the decay curve, you know, because what is wear and tear due to these robots? Like, and what functions, too? It may be very different.”
Keith Rabois Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 19:28 "Work at an outstanding organization first" - Keith Rabois Advice on Starting Companies
Apr 26, 2025 bearish
Insight
Farid: Moving heavy loads at speed is physically impractical for humanoid robots
“If you're picking up a 50 pound box with one of those robots, like it's very likely to tip over pretty easily. Like you need, and if you want to move at any kind of speed, right? Because if you take a 50 pound box and you move it at, you know, five miles an ho…”
Saman Farid Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 15:46 How Robots Are Quietly Rebuilding U.S. Manufacturing | Saman Farid on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 bearish
Insight
Farid: Humanoids Face Severe Maintenance Hurdles Due to Having 30 to 50 Motors
“Like a six axis robot has six motors a humanoid, most of these humans that we've seen have something like 30 to 50 motors, right? And so just, you're just talking about like the wear on the motor, we have to go out and lubricate these joints and replace motors…”
Saman Farid Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 17:45 How Robots Are Quietly Rebuilding U.S. Manufacturing | Saman Farid on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Insight
Mehr: Industrial robots surpass human kinematics; intelligence is the real bottleneck
“We have kinematic frameworks for a long time. You know, we could do what humans does in terms of kinematic freedom with industrial robots. We can actually do it more precisely with higher force with industrial robots, which was what we need in manufacturing se…”
Edward Mehr Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 8:44 The New Era of Defense Manufacturing | Edward Mehr on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mehr: Manufacturing will not be the first application for humanoid robots
“I think the question is, to your point, is it going to be, is the first application going to be in in manufacturing? I don't think so.”
Edward Mehr Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 8:23 The New Era of Defense Manufacturing | Edward Mehr on TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Musk: AI and humanoid robots will eliminate global poverty
“But AI and humanoid robots will actually eliminate poverty.”
Elon Musk Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 14:13 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Feb 12, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Trusted humanoid surgical robots are coming but far away
“Like the humanoid robot that can operate on a patient in a surgical context and has the trust of the patient. Like it's coming, but it's a ways away.”
John Coogan Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 4:30 AI Isn’t Covid, FBI probes Tai Lopez, Mistral’s $2B Sweden bet | Diet TBPN
Mar 13, 2026 bearish
Insight
Specialized Wheeled Robots Vastly Outperform Humanoids in Industrial Applications
“Because if you're gonna do specialized robots, not humanoids, but specialized robots, They need to have wheels. Right? I like to say, like, if you saw the Beijing, in Beijing, they had the humanoid Olympics. And the half marathon, and you're watching the human…”
Travis Kalanick Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 17:18 FULL INTERVIEW: Uber Founder Travis Kalanick is Back with a New AI Startup
Mar 19, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cuban: Humanoid Robot Startups Will Fail Miserably Within Ten Years
“I think everybody's making this push for humanoid robots. I think they might have a five-year lifespan and then they'll fail miserably, maybe 10.”
Mark Cuban Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 8:01 FULL INTERVIEW: Mark Cuban on Robots, AI, Self-Driving, and Advice to Students
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