The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5,804 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 130 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Torre: Kawhi Leonard was contracted for $48M from Aspiration to do nothing
“And what they say and what they provide in the tonnage of all the reporting I did for months, seven months before we came out with part one of the series one year ago today, was documentation that attested to the fact that Kawhi Leonard was paid According to t…”
Torre: Steve Ballmer used four companies to funnel money to Kawhi Leonard
“And I say that because, according to the NBA's investigation and my own, this was not merely a scheme that he ran to funnel money with one company aspiration. He did it with four. He did it with the scoreboard manufacturer, multi-million dollar deal for Kawhi …”
Torre: Ballmer Created Fake Consulting Agreements to Pay Kawhi Leonard
“What they really did was they created fake jobs for Kawhi Leonard and fake consulting agreements, consulting fees for the companies.”
Andreessen: D.C. AI Meetings Forced Decision to Endorse Trump
“In D.C. In May where we talked to them about this, and the meetings were absolutely horrifying, and we came out basically deciding we had to endorse Trump.”
Andreessen: D.C. Officials Told VCs Not to Fund AI Startups
“They said, look, AI, AI is one of these technology, AI is a technology basically that the government is going to completely control. This is not going to be a startup thing. They actually said flat out to us, don't start, don't do AI startups. Like, don't fund…”
Andreessen: Biden Officials Told VCs Not to Fund AI Startups
“They actually said flat out to us, don't start, don't do AI startups. Like, don't fund AI startups. Let's not, Something that we're going to allow to happen. They're not going to be allowed to exist. There's no point. They basically said AI is going to be a ga…”
Andreessen: Officials Warned Government May Classify Mathematics Behind AI
“They literally said, well, you know, during the Cold War, we classified entire areas of physics and took them out of the research community, and, like, entire branches of physics basically went dark and didn't proceed and that if we decide we need to, we're go…”
Bishop: CIA allegedly financed promotions for rising Chinese PLA officers
“And this was and there are, there's been certainly, I don't think it's been in the media, but I'd certainly heard that among the funders of some of these officers in years past was our America CIA, because it was a great way to push people in and, you know, ev…”
Randall: Mega-fund leaders cannot realistically promise LPs a 5x net return
“I don't think Robbie or Hamant, or even Ben and Mark at this point, I don't think that they can go to LPs, one of those legs of the stool, and say, hey, this basket of funds that we're making you invest party pursue across, we're gonna get you five X net on th…”
DiRico: Rainmaker and cloud seeding had no connection to Texas floods
“Rainmaker and cloud seeding had nothing to do with the flooding that unfolded”
Parekh Confirms Working Multiple Full-Time Tech Jobs Simultaneously
“It is true. And yeah I would, you know, love to add color to it, but you know, that is true.”
Trump: Musk Opposed Spending Bill Because EV Mandates Were Cut
“All of a sudden he had a problem, and he only developed the problem when he found out that we're going to have to cut the EV mandate, because that's billions and billions of dollars, and it really is unfair.”
Crivello: Meta AI VP and Researchers Resigned Over Unethical Practices
“The VP of AI research at Meta resigned and so have a couple members of the core research team seemingly in protest for what they deemed to be unethical practices.”
Asparouhov: Biden Admin Rejected Early SpaceX Return Due to Musk's Politics
“What's incredibly clear is SpaceX offered to bring the astronauts back sooner And because it was in the middle of the election cycle, and because Musk was campaigning for Trump, the Biden administration turned down that offer.”
Brockman: OpenAI Model Solved Navier-Stokes Millennium Problem by Finding Singularity
“Today we announced that our model had solved the Navier-Stokes problem that we found a counter-example or a sort of proof that you can actually that these theoretical equations do have a singularity or kind of breakdown under
Certain circumstances.”
Torre: Steve Ballmer threatened NBA Commissioner Adam Silver with litigation by name
“He has now threatened personally with litigation Adam Silver by name in a letter through his lawyers.”
Kim: AI Recursive Self-Improvement Could Arrive Within Nine Months, Massively Draining Compute
“RSI, I think, is a lot closer than people think. And if RSI actually happens in the next three, six, nine months, That's gonna soak up insane amount of compute.”
Prince: Bot traffic will be 1,000x human internet traffic in five years
“And I wouldn't be surprised if, you know, going, going, you know, forward, say five years, that, that bot traffic will be a thousand times human traffic online.”
Cohen: Advertisers Conspired Against Twitter Due to Politics, Not Cuts
“What really happened at Twitter was that the advertisers, you know, I don't know what the situation is now, but they pretty much conspired against him, and, you know, it had nothing to do, my understanding is it really had nothing to do with the cost cuts, mor…”
Cohen says GameStop will issue stock to fund half-cash eBay takeover
“We're offering half cash, half stock, and we have the ability to issue stock in order to get the deal done.”
Shkreli: BPC-157 is a scam with zero therapeutic value
“BPC-one-five-seven is the biggest scam I've ever seen. It does absolutely nothing. There's no redeemable value to this.”
Karp: A strong US movement to nationalize AI will emerge quickly
“That nobody believes me in tech, but there's gonna be a movement in this country that gets very strong very quickly to nationalize these things.”
Thompson: China's Optimal Response to US Super-AI Dominance Is Bombing TSMC
“What happens if we get super powerful AI and China doesn't? What are they going to do? The optimal thing would be to just bomb TSMC out of existence, because suddenly that becomes optimal, even with all the costs that that does, and then what?”
Andreessen: Horrifying White House Meetings Drove Trump Endorsement
“In D.C. In May where we talked to them about this, and the meetings were absolutely horrifying, and we came out basically deciding we had to endorse Trump.”
Amodei: AI models will surpass human cognitive capabilities within years
“My fundamental view is that AI has been on an exponential for the last 10 years and as part of a sort of Moore's law for intelligence, and that we are now well advanced on that curve, and there are only a small number of years for AI models surpassing the cogn…”
O'Laughlin: Microsoft is not in the AI race and is getting owned
“Yeah, Microsoft's not in the race, bro. Where, where are they? They, I know, but they're getting owned.”
Elon Musk: Space will be cheapest location for AI compute in 2-3 years
“The lowest cost place to put AI will be space. And that'll be true within two years. Maybe three. Three at the latest.”
Dana White: Meta hired young talent with $65M average compensation
“We just hired, like,
10 kids that are aged 22 to 28, the average salary is like sixty-five million dollars that these kids are making.”
Musk: AI and humanoid robots will eliminate global poverty
“But AI and humanoid robots will actually eliminate poverty.”
Elon Musk: Tesla will probably have to build a gigantic chip fab
“I can't see any other way to get to the volume of chips that, that we're looking for. So, I think we're probably gonna have to build a gigantic chip app.”
Palmer Luckey argues people should biologically have children in their teens
“Kids should be having kids when they're in their teens. That's when they're supposed to have them. And you could argue that maybe there's a reason to stretch it out a little bit, but if we're just talking about Physical ability and depth of well of energy. You…”
Lutnick: US government will acquire a 9.9% equity stake in Intel
“And at three o'clock, we're going to sign the document together in the Oval Office, where the United States of America will own 9.9% of the great American technology company Intel.”
Soham Parikh confirms he worked multiple engineering jobs simultaneously
“It is true. And yeah I would, you know, love to add color to it, but that is true.”
Maguire: Harvard introduced remedial math because admissions standards dropped
“Harvard last year implemented their first ever remedial math because there are people coming in that don't know algebra because they dropped the admission standards.”
Senra: Masayoshi Son is a gambler who never built a useful product
“He is a legit gambler and it's like a sad existence. He didn't build a product that made somebody else's life better. He didn't do any of that.”
Steinman: 100 foreign sabotage teams are actively operating on US soil
“No, there's absolutely foreign, foreign sabotage teams operating on U S soil. A hundred percent. My actual number is somewhere around a hundred teams. My guess is that and the question is like, you could break that down into, you know, what types anyway.”
Lessin: Whenever SoftBank buys, you sell; they are the worst investors
“Whenever SoftBank buys, you sell. Right. Like they are the worst investors in the history of the world. Right. And so it's just like, I've watched them crush so many companies by over capitalizing them by get, they're like, you know, they, it's hilarious. I lo…”
Lessin: VR Appeals Primarily to People Whose Real Lives Are Unfulfilling
“Like, I think the reality is like VR and like immersive experiences and all other realities are kind of great if your life sucks, right? Because then you're like, I'm gonna like live in a video game. But like, I think a lot of the problem with that type of stu…”
Altman: OpenAI and its mission are not for sale
“OpenAI is not for sale. The OpenAI mission is not for sale.”
Altman: Musk operates from personal insecurity and is not happy
“Probably his whole life is from a position of insecurity, I feel for the guy. Do you feel better? I do, actually. I don't think he's, like, a happy person. I do feel for him.”
Hayes: Ramaswamy is unfit for office after taking Jeff Yass donations
“I truly believe that anybody that's taking donations. From a major ByteDance shareholder. And then going out and saying that they will That TikTok should only stay in the control of ByteDance, which we've now determined through this entire last hour is ultimat…”
Coogan: Shaun Maguire's political commentary gave Sequoia Capital a public adversary
“Sequoia was like, you know, the untouchable firm, no enemies, and then Sean McGuire, you know, decided to wage a holy war against Islam, and so now they have an enemy, and now they're not just this, like, untouchable brand.”
Coxon: Whistleblowing was driven entirely by personal concerns, not third parties
“Not at all. This is entirely my own personal concerns about safety and things that I've seen personally in conversations I've had.”
Coogan: AI labs will likely solve the Millennium Prize problems this year
“I think that the millennium prize will get solved or proved or delivered probably this year, if not like this week, it feels like all of the different labs are like, Put a million dollars of inference on this. Put a million dollars of inference on this. There …”
Torre: NBA Hit Steve Ballmer With Largest Owner Sanction in American Sports History
“This was the biggest punishment for an owner in the history of, I think, American professional sports, and the NBA took five first-round picks, which is the most you could imagine. They took thirty million dollars, which is a rounding error, of course, for Bal…”
Iovine: Software companies cannot build hardware and suffer from 'hardware envy'
“They're a great company, but none of these companies can make hardware, and they all have hardware envy.”
Iovine: AI music platforms using unlicensed catalogs are this era's Kazaa
“Well, those, in my opinion, those are gonna be like the kazaa of this moment.”
Iovine: Siloed Arts Schools Like Juilliard Are Not the Future
“So when you really understand technology, and you really understand the creative, you're gonna really do well. So, but you, so you shouldn't be siloed in school. You shouldn't go to a school where all you do is play the guitar all day. You know what I mean? It…”