Venture capital, startups and investing, on tape.

Every prediction, opinion and bold claim from WTF is with Nikhil Kamath: extracted from the transcript, verified against the tape, checked against cited public sources, playable at the exact moment it was said.

855 assertions647 insights408 opinions315 disclosures307 predictions12 what-ifs

Recently on the ledger full ledger →

Opinion
Large language models are not the path to human-level intelligence
“LLMs are not the path to human level intelligence. LLMs work for discrete worlds. They don't work for continuous, high dimensional worlds, which is the case for video. And this is why LLMs do not understand the physical world and cannot be used in their curren…”
Yann LeCun Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 1:01:50 WTF is Artificial Intelligence Really? | Yann LeCun x Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF Ep #4 · Nikhil Kamath
Opinion
Palihapitiya: Donald Trump is the most capable political athlete ever seen
“He, Donald Trump, is the most effective and capable political athlete we have ever seen.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 28:20 Pain, Power & The Game Nobody Wins | Chamath Palihapitiya x Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Musk: X has not suspended or de-amplified any left-wing voices
“So what I've tried to do is just restore it to be balanced and centrist. So there haven't been any left-wing voices that have been suspended or, you know, banned or de-amplified or anything like that.”
Elon Musk Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 6:09 Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Musk: AI and robotics will make working optional in under 20 years
“I think it will turn out to be true that in less than 20 years, that maybe even as little as, I don't know, 10 or 15 years the advancements in AI and robotics will Bring us to the point where working is optional.”
Elon Musk Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 31:55 Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Musk: Money will eventually disappear as a concept due to AI
“I think long term, I think money disappears as a concept, honestly. It's kind of strange, but in, in a future where anyone can have anything I think you no longer need money as a database for labor allocation. If there's, if AI and robotics are big enough to s…”
Elon Musk Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 42:20 Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosla: AI will do 80% of 80% of jobs in 3-5 years
“Almost certainly, with no doubt, there isn't a job where AI won't be able to do 80% of 80% of all jobs. So, 80% of all jobs, AI will be able to do most of it within the next three to five years.”
Vinod Khosla Aug 2, 2025 ▶ 34:54 Vinod Khosla: College Degrees Are Becoming Useless | People by WTF | Episode 12 · Nikhil Kamath

How the calls resolved the full record →

Assertion Supported
Al Olama: Appointed as UAE Minister of AI at age 27
“The announcement came out that I became Minister of AI. And I was 27 at the time.”
HE Omar Sultan Al Olama Jan 11, 2026 ▶ 1:13:54 The Case for Youth in Politics | HE Omar Sultan Al Olama (One of the World's Youngest Ministers) · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Bombay Shaving Company reaches 500 crore INR net revenue profitably
“And today we are now 500 crores net. Profitable. EBITDA and PAT both.”
Shantanu Deshpande Sep 20, 2025 ▶ 3:16:24 Tira, Bombay Shaving Co., Inde Wild | WTF is Fueling India’s Beauty & Skincare Revolution? | Ep. 25 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Srinivas: GPU cloud provider CoreWeave will IPO soon
“Okay, so there's this company called Core Vive in, in the US. I think it's gonna IPO pretty soon.”
Aravind Srinivas Mar 23, 2025 ▶ 1:41:11 Nikhil Kamath ft. Perplexity CEO, Aravind Srinivas | WTF Online Ep 1. · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Arora: Quantum computing will break every modern encryption key
“When quantum comes about, it'll break every key, which is true. It will break every key that is there today.”
Nikesh Arora Jun 28, 2025 ▶ 10:41 From Ghaziabad to Silicon Valley: Nikhil Kamath x Nikesh Arora | People by WTF | Ep. 11 · Nikhil Kamath

Open predictions the full timeline →

227days Kalra: Indian Restaurant Sector Grows 21% Annually, Doubling Every 3.5 Years Zorawar Kalra · prediction date: 2027-04-28 537days Kamath: 15-year-olds will spend more time and money in cafes than nightclubs Nikhil Kamath · prediction date: 2028-03-03 555days Bytes Targets Deployment in 500,000 Two-Wheelers Within Three Years Ayush (Bytes) · prediction date: 2028-03-21 557days Srinivas: Google will remain dominant for years via transaction capture Aravind Srinivas · prediction date: 2028-03-23

Track records all people →

Ordered by full support rate, then by supported count. Minimum three resolved. Partly supported claims count as resolved but not as fully supported, same as everywhere on the ledger.

PersonEpsStatementsSupportedPartly supportedContradictedFull support rate
Kun Tang 1 8 6 0 0 100%
Brett Adcock 1 35 6 0 0 100%
Mirik Gogri 1 11 5 0 0 100%
Aadit Palicha 1 10 3 0 0 100%
Yann LeCun 1 30 3 0 0 100%
Sean Hyunil Sohn 1 4 3 0 0 100%
Brian Armstrong 1 47 12 1 0 92%
Chetan Maini 1 17 12 1 0 92%

From the Wisdom Wall all quotes →

“You know, I'll tell you the reason why I don't think that replication is so easy. In a deep transaction business versus a, you know, generic search business. Think about Google, for example. So Google…”

“I would tell the 25 year old there's enough platforms, there are enough people working on AI, there's a lot of competitor overcrowding, don't go there, start a boutique hotel business, or start very…”

“And they just tend to see the very low probability of that event and therefore tend to kind of ignore cut corners. You know, obviously all of these are measures which are under the hood, which a…”

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