Tariffs

topic on 20 shows · 119 statements across 78 episodes

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The latest 60 statements about Tariffs, every show

CATALYST Insight
Lubershain: Special local tariffs cannot prevent data centers from raising systemic power costs
“We're adding a bunch new costs to the system at a global level that there's very little that, basically nothing that your friendly local utility or data center developer can do about, no matter what kind of, you know, special tariff or agreement they negotiate…”
Andy Lubershane Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 21:21 Do data centers actually increase electricity prices? No...and yes
Mead says Trump sets tariffs based on daily personal whim
“Now your tariff is more or less what President Trump wakes up in the morning and thinks it should be.”
Walter Russell Mead Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 3:04 Why the World Order Is Collapsing and American Power Is Rising
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nariyawala: Matic would be gross margin positive excluding import tariffs
“We would be gross margin positive if it wasn't for tariffs.”
Mehul Nariyawala Jul 14, 2026 ▶ 59:45 And How Matic Won By Choosing the Most Boring Market in Robotics with Founders Mehul and Navneet
ALL-IN Insight
Charles Koch asserts tariffs undermine division of labor and increase costs
“And then set up all these tariffs, which undermine the divisional labor by comparative advantage, which makes everything more expensive.”
Charles Koch May 12, 2026 ▶ 1:28:07 How We Grew Koch Industries to $150 Billion Without Going Public: Charles & Chase Koch
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Shapiro: Trump tariffs raised PA coffee prices 30% and fertilizer 36%
“And as a result, here in Pennsylvania, what we're seeing is coffee prices are up 30%. Beef is up 19%. OJ orange juice is up nine percent. The fertilizers my farmers rely on here in Pennsylvania, up 36%.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 29:05 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sunak: Baseline US tariffs will remain high regardless of future presidents
“The baseline of tariffs to the U.S. Is going to be higher in the future. I think regardless of who the president is. Not least because whoever the new president is will have got used to the tariff revenue. It's quite a hard thing to get rid of.”
Rishi Sunak Mar 25, 2026 ▶ 1:22:01 Rishi Sunak & Akshata Murty: Power, Identity & Why Patience Beats Ambition | Nikhil | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts future administrations will maintain tariffs
“And I predict That future administrations, whether they're Republican or Democrat, will keep some version of the tariffs in place, but I think that they will be ultimately popular on a longstanding basis.”
David Sacks Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 1:14:02 Software Stocks Implode, Claude's Hit List, State of the Union Reactions, Trump's Tariff Pivot
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Tariffs will ultimately create more equality for American workers
“We had a hollowed out manufacturing class, and we have a hollowed out middle class, and the tariffs will create more equality for the American worker in the end.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 1:14:48 Software Stocks Implode, Claude's Hit List, State of the Union Reactions, Trump's Tariff Pivot
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2031
Lutnick: US tariff revenues will grow from $500B to $1T per year
“And then you have the tariffs are five hundred billion a year now, and they will grow over time to a trillion a year”
Howard Lutnick Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 34:38 Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Lutnick: Tariff revenues fund proposed tax exemptions on tips and Social Security
“Who paid for no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security. Right? Tariffs.”
Howard Lutnick Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 35:18 Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Bessent claims a 150-year San Francisco Fed study shows tariffs are disinflationary
“There's a study from not a friend of the administration, the San Francisco fed with a 150 years of data. I would refer everyone to that. That shows that tariffs do not cause inflation, that they're actually disinflationary.”
Scott Bessent Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 6:20 Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
ALL-IN Insight
Bessent notes China maintains production despite tariffs to prioritize jobs
“The Chinese business model It's based on volume, it's based on employment, it's based on a five-year plan, and I think everyone neglected the idea that despite the tar, the tariffs, the Chinese were going to keep producing, that it's one of these, they may los…”
Scott Bessent Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 8:51 Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
WTF Opinion
Musk: Free trade is more efficient and tariffs distort markets
“Yeah, I mean, I think there's generally free trade is a better, is more efficient, you know tariffs tend to create distortions in, you know, markets”
Elon Musk Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 1:40:09 Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Disclosure
Musk: He tried unsuccessfully to dissuade the US president from tariffs
“I mean, the president has made it clear he loves tariffs. You know, I've tried to dissuade him from this point of view, but unsuccessfully.”
Elon Musk Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 1:40:58 Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16 · Nikhil Kamath
TBPN Assertion Supported
US and Switzerland Reach Deal to Cut Tariffs on Swiss Exports
“The United States and Switzerland said on Friday that they had reached an agreement to lower a punishing 39% tariff on Swiss goods, a change that will help to reduce the cost of exporting Swiss pharmaceuticals, gold, watches, and chocolate to the United States…”
Jordi Hays Nov 15, 2025 ▶ 14:04 Blue Origin Lands Rocket, Valve Drops Steam Machine, Cantor Group Surges | Diet TBPN
About 50% of Nuts.com products have direct or indirect tariff exposure
“Like, you know, today when I think about tariffs and our exposure, I would say direct and indirect exposure to tariffs is like, 50% of our products.”
Jeff Braverman Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 52:50 Nuts.com: Jeff Braverman. From Corner Store to Snacktime Powerhouse
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sorkin: US tariffs will yield higher costs and inferior cars in 10 years
“Having said that, if we do this, which we are, We will probably spend more to buy less technologically capable cars 10 years from now than the next time we all, you know, if you go on vacation to Europe or Asia and get in the back of one of these other cars.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 44:46 1929 vs 2025: Andrew Ross Sorkin on Crashes, Bubbles & Lessons Learned
CATALYST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tariffs, FEOC rules, and tax changes cause 2025 renewables delays
“Tariffs, FIAC rules, tax credit changes, there's no question they've all added friction to the storage market this year and the renewables market more generally. We've seen delays, higher costs, definitely uncertainty in the market, but at the same time, this …”
Jamie Daggett Oct 15, 2025 ▶ 19:15 How insurance can narrow the valley of death [partner content]
Duffell: Companies Are Rethinking Overseas Operations and Talking to FAU Research Park
“We have foreign-owned companies as well as U.S. Companies that were either overseas already or were about to and are now rethinking plans. So, yes, those conversations have happened and some are ongoing.”
Andrew Duffell Oct 7, 2025 ▶ 30:34 Building Entrepreneurship in Research Park at Florida Atlantic University: A Conversation with Andrew Duffel, President of Research Park
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Trump claims tariffs are forcing manufacturing plants to relocate to US
“Factories are coming back because they don't want to pay tariffs.”
Donald J. Trump Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 14:00 Oval Office Tour with President Trump
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Trump claims tariffs generated hundreds of billions without causing inflation
“No inflation. They said, oh, tariffs will cause inflation. They were, they've been wrong about everything, and these guys, and for the most part, they've admitted, they've said, you know, Trump was right, because we've taken in hundreds of billions of dollars …”
Donald J. Trump Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 17:05 Oval Office Tour with President Trump
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mark Cuban says a 15% tariff would wipe out small business margins
“You increase, you know, from a two and a half percent average tariff to a 15% tariff, that's their profit margin, and it's gone.”
Mark Cuban Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 55:13 Mark Cuban on the NBA, Cost Plus Drugs, and How to Fix Politics
ALL-IN Disclosure
Cuban: Tariffs put several Shark Tank companies out of business
“Like for my Shark Tank companies, it's put several out of business.”
Mark Cuban Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 25:32 Tucker Carlson and Mark Cuban Debate How to Save America 🔥 | All-In Summit 2025
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Trump tariffs generated over $150 billion in revenue in months
“They have on the other side generated over a hundred fifty billion dollars in revenue in a couple of short months.”
Jason Calacanis Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 29:46 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Future US presidents will not reverse Trump's popular tariffs
“My guess is that they're not going to be reversed in the future by a future president, because I think they actually are quite popular with the country, with workers.”
David Sacks Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 31:15 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: CBO projects $4 trillion in tariff revenue over next decade
“The CBO Has now increased their projection of what tariffs will raise to four trillion over the next decade.”
David Sacks Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 32:23 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Palihapitiya predicts US will book $500 billion in incremental tariff revenue
“I think that the United States is going to book Probably close to half a trillion of incremental revenue.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 33:50 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
a16z Assertion Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Cass: High tariffs and protectionism built historic US industry
“America had very high tariffs and built its domestic industry behind a wall of protectionism. America aggressively restricted immigration. America had quite aggressive industrial policy and so on and so forth.”
Oren Cass Aug 20, 2025 ▶ 9:33 Oren Cass & Noah Smith Debate the True Impact of Tariffs
a16z Opinion
Cass: Economic consensus warnings of instant tariff doom were wrong
“Everything from, you know, the direction of the dollar to the performance of the stock market, to the level of retaliation we should expect. There was a sort of consensus Model of here's what's going to happen if you impose tariffs and why it's extreme. It's a…”
Oren Cass Aug 20, 2025 ▶ 20:25 Oren Cass & Noah Smith Debate the True Impact of Tariffs
a16z Insight
Cass: Tariffs require legislated multi-year stability to drive long-term investment
“What Noah had just said about some of these other factors that, that I think are really important as well, because you know, I think both in terms of what it takes on tariff policy, if you really want these tariffs to work, stability and certainty is, is, is i…”
Oren Cass Aug 20, 2025 ▶ 31:10 Oren Cass & Noah Smith Debate the True Impact of Tariffs
a16z Opinion
Smith: US tariffs on China should target strategic industries, not clothing
“Not, not all the tariffs on, I would say strategic industries with China. I don't think we, you know, need tariffs on Chinese clothes because if China makes clothes, that's not a national security threat to us.”
Noah Smith Aug 20, 2025 ▶ 1:08:04 Oren Cass & Noah Smith Debate the True Impact of Tariffs
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cass: Tariffs fail if manufacturing investment does not rebound within years
“If a couple of years from now you are not seeing the investment response, and either we can't do the workforce stuff, or for political economy reasons, It is not feasible for us to do that stuff. Then I would be the first to admit this is apparently not an eff…”
Oren Cass Aug 20, 2025 ▶ 1:11:34 Oren Cass & Noah Smith Debate the True Impact of Tariffs
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Barrocas: SharkNinja mitigated 80% of announced tariffs in ten days
“We had a meeting with a hundred of our most senior executives, and we already had very clear goals of exactly how we were going to mitigate those. We nearly shut down the entire company for a week. We focused on executing those and we were able to mitigate 80%…”
Mark Barrocas Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 32:05 SharkNinja CEO on turning consumer insights into hit products (Mark Barrocas) | Masters of Scale
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Baker: Raising over $250B in U.S. tariffs in 2026 seems reasonable
“But for 2026, that does seem reasonable.”
Gavin Baker Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:12:05 OpenAI's GPT-5 Flop, AI's Unlimited Market, China's Big Advantage, Rise in Socialism, Housing Crisis
ALL-IN Insight
Shapiro: Raising tariff revenues and reshoring manufacturing are mutually exclusive goals
“You can champion The amount of revenue that we're raising off of tariffs, but you can't do that at the same time that you're championing reshoring, because if you reshore, then that revenue is going to go away, presumably, right? You're not going to be buying …”
Ben Shapiro Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:14:44 OpenAI's GPT-5 Flop, AI's Unlimited Market, China's Big Advantage, Rise in Socialism, Housing Crisis
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Baker: Tariffs are traditionally a Democratic position that Clinton and Obama ran on
“Tariffs are traditionally a democratic policy position. You know, Clinton ran on them. Obama ran on them to be a slightly lesser degree.”
Gavin Baker Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:25:15 OpenAI's GPT-5 Flop, AI's Unlimited Market, China's Big Advantage, Rise in Socialism, Housing Crisis
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Tariff revenue will give the U.S. government a crutch to keep spending
“The thing I most worry about with respect to tariffs is if it does create a new revenue source for the federal government, it gives the federal government another crutch to keep spending.”
David Friedberg Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:27:40 OpenAI's GPT-5 Flop, AI's Unlimited Market, China's Big Advantage, Rise in Socialism, Housing Crisis
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Tech earnings momentum will continue as tariff threats subside
“And it looks like the tariff threat is not going to be anywhere near as bad. And remember the economy was humming coming into that. So I think that it will continue now.”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 6, 2025 ▶ 49:36 Anthropic’s Potential, AI Video Gets Crazy, Market Bubble Approaching?
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Milgram: Tariffs will not harm and could benefit large public companies
“For the ticker tape economy, the tariffs are not going to be terrible. In fact, they could be constructive.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 17:14 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Milgram: Tariffs over 5% will devastate middle-market margins and debt service
“For the middle market, though anything above like a five or six percent tariff will have a devastating impact on margin, and consequently on the ability to service their debt stock.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 17:20 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Tariffs cause inflation in thin-margin sectors but not in monopolies
“So I think in some of these categories, we will see significant inflation where there is a very thin margin that the seller has in selling. And in some of the categories where there's a monopoly and they have a big margin, they're going to eat it because they …”
David Friedberg Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 1:17:55 Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns No Privacy
HOW I BUILT THIS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Larian: Consumers, not toy companies, will pay the cost of import tariffs
“And these tariffs are not going to be paid by the toy companies or any company. They're not going to be paid by retailers. They're going to be paid by the consumers.”
Isaac Larian Jul 31, 2025 ▶ 2:10 Advice Line with Isaac Larian of MGA Entertainment
ALL-IN Prediction Partly held up
Lutnick: Unsettled trade negotiations will trigger higher tariffs on August 1st
“Okay, so on August first, whatever hasn't been settled will be settled. You get the tariffs go into effect, right? So all this 10%, they'll all just pop up to some higher number.”
Howard Lutnick Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 41:53 Winning the AI Race Part 4: Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, Chris Wright, and Doug Burgum
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Didn’t hold up
Petersen: U.S. trade tariffs will decrease American manufacturing
“What we've seen over the last few weeks is it's gonna decrease American manufacturing.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 10:42 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Noah Smith: Tariff-driven inflation threat will keep Fed interest rates higher
“The threat of tariff-driven inflation will lead the Fed to keep interest rates higher a little longer, as we just saw with Powell.”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 45:19 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Noah Smith: Tariffs and policy uncertainty will gradually erode US economic strength
“I think that, that those will erode our economic strength in ways that don't look like an abrupt crash, but they'll look like data getting, like, a little bit worse and a little bit worse. That's my prediction, but again, hard to say.”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 46:16 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
20VC Opinion
Freise: Tariffs Are Not the Solution for Western Democracies
“I think tariffs are not the answer. We need to work on the underlying issues in our Western democracies. To try to raise money through tariffs is not the right approach.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 0:01 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
CATALYST Insight
Kelty: Tariffs to force domestic battery production increase EV prices and stifle demand
“Like, if you want, if you're really trying to encourage domestic production, ah, in the US, you would put in tariffs to increase the cost overseas, and you'd, you'd incentivize local production. The problem with that is that your cost would end up going up hig…”
Kurt Kelty Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 14:18 GM's big new battery tech push
Lee: Tariffs cannot curb Chinese economic power as supply chains relocate
“And if anyone tries to use tariffs to harm China from gaining economic power, we know it can't work because it's supply chains can move.”
Tom Lee Jun 25, 2025 ▶ 40:59 Tom Lee: Decoding the AI Trade, Bitcoin Predictions & What an AI Black Swan Event Might Look Like
BG2 Insight
Laffont: AI compute tokens will outweigh the economic impact of trade tariffs
“I like to say that tokens trump tariffs.”
Philippe Laffont Jun 20, 2025 ▶ 31:02 Coatue’s Laffont Brothers. AI, Public & VC Mkts, Macro, US Debt, Crypto, IPO's, & more | BG2 · Bg2 Pod
ALL-IN Prediction Partly held up
Chamath: Tariffs will generate $300B-$400B extra annual revenue
“We are run rating, 300 to four hundred billion dollars above forecast in terms of our receipts, meaning the revenues that we will take in. And you get to that number by looking at the last three months of tariffs and forecasting forward, assuming a reasonable …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 1:00:17 Tucker Carlson: ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, War with Iran?
Goba Sports Group aggressively loaded US inventory ahead of expected tariffs
“We had enough cash that we loaded the U S market with product. So much so we were bursting at the seams and everybody was saying to me, are you nuts? Do you know how much inventory we have? I said, we don't have enough. Keep shoving it in. And so we got a lot …”
Steve Holmes May 29, 2025 ▶ 4:17 Advice Line with Steve Holmes of goba Sports Group
HOW I BUILT THIS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Holmes: Cash-strapped businesses will become casualties of rising tariffs
“Now, those people who don't have cash and are unable to preserve cash, we will see them as casualties in this marketplace.”
Steve Holmes May 29, 2025 ▶ 5:33 Advice Line with Steve Holmes of goba Sports Group
BG2 Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: $2T in tariffs is a 600-700 bps GDP headwind
“That's what sent the markets down 20%, because we knew two trillion dollars in tariffs is probably a 600 to 700 basis point headwind to GDP.”
Brad Gerstner May 22, 2025 ▶ 21:46 AI, Middle East, China, Tariffs, Recon Bill, Invest America | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
BG2 Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Targeted tariffs generate roughly $300B in revenue
“And if you put China at 30% on strategic at 15% on non-strategic and the rest of the world roughly at 10%, you come up with about three hundred billion in tariffs, okay? I just told you that last year tariffs were seventy seven billion, so that's still a forex…”
Brad Gerstner May 22, 2025 ▶ 25:37 AI, Middle East, China, Tariffs, Recon Bill, Invest America | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
BG2 Insight
Gerstner: Foreign producers absorb half of US tariff costs
“So I think what the market was saying is, okay, three hundred billion, half of that will show up as increased prices and taxes on consumers and on businesses. Half of it will get eaten by the producer of the product in China, in India, wherever, you know, that…”
Brad Gerstner May 22, 2025 ▶ 26:02 AI, Middle East, China, Tariffs, Recon Bill, Invest America | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
ALL-IN Insight
Laffont: Retailers pass only 50% of tariff costs to consumers
“And there's this sort of false narrative that when you have tariffs, like a hundred percent of tariffs are going to get passed through in pricing and therefore tariff is like a tax, right? That retailer told us that they think only about 50% of the tariff gets…”
Philippe Laffont May 9, 2025 ▶ 23:28 Fed Hesitates on Tariffs, The New Mag 7, Death of VC, Google's Value in a Post-Search World
WE LIVE TO BUILD Prediction Didn’t hold up
Shepherd predicts impending tariffs will drive down digital advertising costs
“Basically we all know what's happening and we have history to say that people are going to pull out and advertising should get cheaper.”
Brooke Shepherd May 6, 2025 ▶ 10:01 80% Growth During COVID Came From the Brands Everyone Else Ignored
WE LIVE TO BUILD Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shepherd: Trump admin may get trade concessions from Vietnam and lower tariffs
“I think it's very possible they'll get some concessions from Vietnam or concessions from, you mentioned Sri Lanka or wherever. They'll get some concessions. And the whole press release saying, look, it worked. We got our concessions and we won. The tariffs are…”
Brooke Shepherd May 6, 2025 ▶ 23:32 80% Growth During COVID Came From the Brands Everyone Else Ignored
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Uber is an anti-tariff stock unaffected by trade tariffs
“All that matters to me is that Uber is the anti-tariff stock. It just does great. It's not impacted by tariffs.”
Jason Calacanis May 3, 2025 ▶ 3:02 Trump's First 100 Days, Tariffs Impact Trade, AI Agents, Amazon Backs Down

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