tariffs

9 statements across 6 episodes · 1 bullish · 6 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Apr 7, 2025 by Ryan Petersen · across every show →

Everything said about tariffs, oldest first

Apr 7, 2025 neutral
Prediction Partly held up
Petersen: 70% chance trade deals get negotiated, China tariffs probably stick
“I give it like a 70% confidence level that they negotiate some deals. I think the China tariffs probably stick.”
Ryan Petersen Apr 7, 2025 ▶ 19:07 Tariffs and Turmoil: Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen on What Trump Is Thinking, And What Comes Next
Apr 7, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Petersen: I am firmly anti-tariff because it hurts Flexport's business
“I'm very firmly anti-tariff. It's bad for my business.”
Ryan Petersen Apr 7, 2025 ▶ 5:27 Tariffs and Turmoil: Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen on What Trump Is Thinking, And What Comes Next
Apr 7, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Petersen: Factory plans paused as machine costs rise 20-50% under tariffs
“Having talked to a bunch of companies that are in active, active planning mode on building factories, they've actually paused that right now because all of a sudden the machines that they have to buy are going to cost 20 to 50% more depending on where they're …”
Ryan Petersen Apr 7, 2025 ▶ 4:55 Tariffs and Turmoil: Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen on What Trump Is Thinking, And What Comes Next
Apr 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Amazon Has Seen No Material Tariff Impact on Consumer Spending Yet
“Yeah, we haven't seen anything material in the numbers as yet. There's been sort of like variations that are hard to tell from, you know, like from just normal variations you'd see in the business.”
Jamil Ghani Apr 30, 2025 ▶ 12:26 Amazon Head Of Prime on Tariffs, Alexa Plus Rollout, and AI Differentiation — With Jamil Ghani
Jun 25, 2025 bearish
Insight
Lee: Tariffs cannot curb Chinese economic power as supply chains relocate
“And if anyone tries to use tariffs to harm China from gaining economic power, we know it can't work because it's supply chains can move.”
Tom Lee Jun 25, 2025 ▶ 40:59 Tom Lee: Decoding the AI Trade, Bitcoin Predictions & What an AI Black Swan Event Might Look Like
Jul 2, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Noah Smith: Tariffs and policy uncertainty will gradually erode US economic strength
“I think that, that those will erode our economic strength in ways that don't look like an abrupt crash, but they'll look like data getting, like, a little bit worse and a little bit worse. That's my prediction, but again, hard to say.”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 46:16 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Jul 2, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Noah Smith: Tariff-driven inflation threat will keep Fed interest rates higher
“The threat of tariff-driven inflation will lead the Fed to keep interest rates higher a little longer, as we just saw with Powell.”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 45:19 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Jul 11, 2025 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Petersen: U.S. trade tariffs will decrease American manufacturing
“What we've seen over the last few weeks is it's gonna decrease American manufacturing.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 10:42 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Aug 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Tech earnings momentum will continue as tariff threats subside
“And it looks like the tariff threat is not going to be anywhere near as bad. And remember the economy was humming coming into that. So I think that it will continue now.”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 6, 2025 ▶ 49:36 Anthropic’s Potential, AI Video Gets Crazy, Market Bubble Approaching?
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