why aren't all 487 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Harzvi: Israel Is World's Second-Largest Startup Ecosystem After US
“So actually the ecosystem in Israel is the second largest in the world after, after the U S in both terms of number of startups. And also in the number of investments being made here.”
Assertion Contradicted
Vora: Uninstall.io was the first to tackle mobile app churn
“We were the world's first company to tackle and help mobile app companies solve the problem of churn or retention.”
Assertion Contradicted
Top 5% of real estate agents earn 90% of commission income
“It's super Pareto inefficient. The top five percent earned 90%.”
Assertion Contradicted
Brusnicki: Professional managers oversee 55% of all vacation homes globally
“These vacation rental management companies make up 55% of all of the vacation homes you would think about in, in the world.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build, send later, and do a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Assertion Contradicted
Fuentes: Proven is the only app allowing mobile job posting
“And we're the only app and the app store that allows you to post jobs directly from your phone.”
Assertion Contradicted
Elkaim: YouTube does not charge for ad clicks under 30 seconds
“And then right there in the first five to 10 seconds, I'm making that call to action because we know if we can get people to click off the video before 30 seconds, you don't actually pay for the click on YouTube.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build, send later, and do a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: Send Later will go public before he turns 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka Predicts He Will Take Send Later Public By Age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gillen is targeting a $150M valuation or a 10x exit multiple
“I'm going for 10 times.”
Assertion Contradicted
The digital billboard industry is growing revenue by about 35% annually
“I don't think it's going to, you know, I don't think the industry is going to fold by any means. It's growing by about 35% per year.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ducey: 'Into the Wind' is required curriculum in some LA school districts
“Yeah, I make more money still off Into the Wind than the other one, because Into the Wind, that's the self-published, is now required curriculum in school districts in, in Los Angeles, not in all of them, but in some of them, so I make more off that.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ruhlin: WSJ bestseller list requires 7,000 to 10,000 sales in a single week
“Depending upon how you, it all has to hit during the same week and whatever else, but I would say seven to 10,000 copies. Ironically, it's not as many as most people think that it is.”
Assertion Contradicted
Latka: PayPal began as an online community for eBay sellers
“Look at PayPal started as a community for eBay sellers. I mean, every big business start off as a, like a forum or community of somehow, some kind.”
Assertion Contradicted
Combat Flip Flops pays a 17% tariff on Afghan imports
“I pay a 17% tariffs on all my products that I bring in.”
Assertion Contradicted
Adams: Elite Daily generated around $20M in revenue in 2015
“It would be around twenty million.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bruce: Cirrus Insight targets finishing 2016 at a $15M to $20M run rate
“We've set our sights on doing, you know, about sixteen million in bookings or so. So oftentimes we'll, we'll, we'll look at top line bookings for the sales team. So trying to get those deals in the door, some of them may be multi-year but we love those all the…”
Assertion Contradicted
Campbell: Hiring for an $80,000 job costs $26,000 before training
“We found that the cost of hiring somebody for a 60,000 dollars, sorry, an 80,000 dollar a year job in this country had ballooned to 26,000 dollars in cost before they trained them.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gillon predicts Roost's $2M seed round will price at $8M-$9M pre-money
“We, we're looking for a lead investor right now, but if I were to see the future, I'd say about eight or nine million.”
Assertion Contradicted
Adams: Rumber is the only company in the world manufacturing recycled composite boards
“We can't go hire someone to do this because we're the only one in the world doing this.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Fuller: PandaDoc targets $10 million in ARR by December 2016
“Ten million.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka predicts he will raise $15 million on Kickstarter by 2018
“Within two years, I'm going to do something on Kickstarter and it will raise fifteen million dollars.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bellows aims for Yesware to hit a $30M ARR by end of 2016
“I would like to end the year at about a thirty million dollar run rate.”
Assertion Contradicted
O'Hara: BatchBook pioneered unlimited-user pricing in small business CRM
“And we were the first ones that said, you know what? Why should small businesses have to pay to get another employee in on that conversation that that team is having with the customer?”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bluford: QuickLegal will be on the ABA Journal cover in Q1
“Yeah, so our first quarter, we're gonna be on the cover of the National ABA Journal, and that goes to about 1.2 million attorneys”
Assertion Contradicted
Jain: Indian Mutual Funds Collect Monthly SIP Payments Inside Email
“I mean, we have companies in India for mutual funds collecting those what they call SIP in India, systematic monthly payments for funds. All of that's now happening inside email.”
Assertion Contradicted
Savneet Singh: Casey's is the world's fourth largest pizza company
“Casey's is a large public company, sells convenience stores all across the country. They're also the fourth largest pizza company in the world.”
Assertion Contradicted
Singh: PAR was spending 100% of revenue on R&D
“PAR was a real mess. We had to completely rebuild our product. We were spending a hundred percent of our revenue on R&D.”
Assertion Contradicted
Martin: Bootstrapped SaaS Median Growth Rate Is 28.5% From $3M-$20M ARR
“Bootstrap SaaS medium growth rate is 28.5% from three to twenty million ARR.”
Assertion Contradicted
Latka: Nellemans raised $20M and built a $70M startup at 19
“He's raised twenty million bucks for his startups and built a seventy million startup at 19.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rike: Median New Customer CAC Ratio Is $1.58
“New looks at how much sales and marketing expense did I invest to pursue new customer logos and ARR from those new customers. So you see it's much higher. It's a dollar 58. Because it's harder to grow ARR from new customers.”
Assertion Contradicted
Hurt: Bazaarvoice had a $1B+ IPO, ranked top five in 2012
“But it was two years before bizarre voice went public and bizarre voices over a billion dollar IPO and one of the top five IPOs of 2012.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Garcia: Solides is targeting an IPO in roughly three years
“Maybe in three years, we are trying to build a solid business to offer this in the public market.”
Assertion Contradicted
Naluichi: Jellify reached $10 million in revenue by late 2019
“It was two years after launch. That was the company after the starting of the company late 2019, 2019, ten million. We start the company in November, 20 17. And so late 20 19 was around ten million.”
Assertion Contradicted
Experiential ETC was the first contestant on Shark Tank India
“We were also the first contestant on the Indian version of Shark Tank.”
Assertion Contradicted
Lempiäinen: GeekLab is currently a profitable business
“We are profitable business.”
Assertion Contradicted
Adam Stone: Speedlancer was likely the first verticalized freelance marketplace after Fiverr
“And in 2015, there was no verticalized freelancing marketplaces. We were probably the first one after Fiverr, I guess, if you count them as verticalized.”
Assertion Contradicted
Haaland: SalesScreen is at around $8M in revenue
“Yeah, we're a little bit well, around eight million dollars.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Free D Group aims to IPO its travel unit at $250M+ valuation
“So for that particular entity, we're aiming to IPO in 24. So hopefully that actually gave us a but minimal IPO. We're looking at two hundred fifty million at least the evaluation.”
Assertion Contradicted
QCC reached $100M ARR with only 200 full-time employees
“200 people.”
Assertion Contradicted
Yunus: vFairs ranked number one on G2 and Capterra for 12 quarters
“Whether it's on G two or Captera, we'll be ranked number one for almost 12 quarters in a row now.”
Assertion Contradicted
Latka: Most founders sell 10% to 15% equity in Series A
“Most people in their series A these days, you know, they're selling between 10 and 15% of the business.”
Assertion Contradicted
Wingo: ChannelAdvisor reached 1,000 employees at $100M SaaS revenue
“Channel advisor got to be a thousand people at a hundred million SAS.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Merkley: Datalab hopes to reach 50 million in revenue in 2-3 years
“So we hope that we'll be getting the 50 in probably two to three years.”
Assertion Contradicted
Pumfleet: Cal.com Converts Roughly 10% of Users to Paid Accounts
“I believe paid conversion is somewhere around the 10% mark, which tends to be in line with, you know, general SaaS companies, because obviously half of these free accounts, you know, people sign up for it and forgot it, or they were spam or something like that…”
Assertion Contradicted
Freary: Most small merchants in Brazil operate completely offline
“Most of the merchants, the small entrepreneurs in Brazil are 100% offline.”
Assertion Contradicted
Milich: Skiff utilizes zero client-side tracking
“So like, there's no client side tracking, anything like that.”