Software Developer

topic on 18 shows · 47 statements across 42 episodes

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46 statements about Software Developer, every show

a16z Opinion
Tan: AI and vibe coding multiply developer productivity by hundreds
“What's happening right now with vibe coding and agentic coding literally any given person could be 400 of that person, like, from two years, like, even, like, nine months ago you can be a multiple of yourself.”
Garry Tan Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 14:56 Garry Tan: New Rules for Founders
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ahluwalia: Required software developers per company are shrinking by magnitudes
“The role of a single software developer is increasing, whereas the number of software developers required in a single company is shrinking by magnitudes.”
Siddhartha Ahluwalia Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 38:07 The Man Training GPT, Gemini & Claude Reveals What's Coming Next | Vijay Krishnan, Turing
Evans: LLMs lack broad product-market fit beyond software developers
“The LLM itself Is not a great product for most people. Usage is a mile wide and an inch deep, and you have this kind of polarization between people where this really, really works, and they really, really have product market fit, which is basically software de…”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 22:05 Token pricing
Evans: Claude Code is to software development what VisiCalc was to accounting
“Software developers are the accountancy of VisiCalc. Like, oh my God, this changes everything. Like before VisiCalc and after VisiCalc. Before, before Claude Code and after Claude Code.”
Benedict Evans May 31, 2026 ▶ 8:26 The most rational take on AI you’ll hear this year
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Sacks: Software developer job postings reach three-year high, up 15% YoY
“Software developers are not being laid off on net. In fact, job postings, job recs for software developers are at a three year high, growing 15% year over year.”
David Sacks May 29, 2026 ▶ 1:19:09 Anthropic's Digital God, Pope vs AI, Job Loss Narrative Flips, Open Source Crackdown Coming?
MORE OR LESS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Only 50 Million People in the World Write Software
“There's only fifty million people that, that write software in the world.”
Dave Morin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 47:31 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Software developer job postings on Indeed are rising
“The job levels, the job numbers of software developers on Indeed are going up.”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 5:09 Are We Screwed If AI Works? — With Andrew Ross Sorkin
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: AI coding tools will reach 100% developer adoption
“So it's moved to like, we're gonna approach a hundred percent penetration per developer of some sort of price per year, 5006 thousand.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 4:05 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
a16z Assertion Partly supported
Acharya: There are only 20 million software developers globally
“And software has just been so restrictive because there's only twenty million developers in the world.”
Anish Acharya Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 12:09 Seeing The Future from AI Companions to Personal Software
a16z Insight
Andreessen: Expert developers routinely resist higher-level abstractions as sloppy
“And so there, there's always this tendency, you know, for the pros to be, you know, look down the nose and say, you know, the new people are being, you know, basically sloppy. They don't understand what's happening. You know, they don't really understand the m…”
Marc Andreessen Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 6:18 Marc Andreessen & Amjad Masad on “Good Enough” AI, AGI, and the End of Coding
20VC Assertion Supported
Cannon-Brookes: Software developers spend only 10% to 30% of their week coding
“Coding is a pretty small part of a software developer's job. Different surveys, 10%, 20%, 30% of the week is spent writing code. Right? You might argue in the best companies, it's close to 50% of the week spent writing code.”
Mike Cannon-Brookes Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 36:06 Atlassian CEO, Mike Cannon-Brookes on Why Everything is Overvalued & Are We in an AI Bubble · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Cannon-Brookes: Developers spend as much time searching as writing code
“Search is probably about the same amount of time as writing code for most software developers as a professional.”
Mike Cannon-Brookes Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 36:29 Atlassian CEO, Mike Cannon-Brookes on Why Everything is Overvalued & Are We in an AI Bubble · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
a16z Insight
Lazzarin: Crypto's core purpose is protecting consumers from software developers
“The whole point of crypto is actually to protect consumers from software developers.”
Eddie Lazzarin Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 9:16 The Common Thread of All Technology: Monitoring the Situation, Ep.1
Costica: Vibe coding does not absolve developers of understanding their code
“The way I'm looking at it is that vibing code is a great way to accelerate, but it doesn't remove you from the responsibility of actually knowing your code, being able to address issues within the code, and guide AI farther into the, you know, maintenance proc…”
Yinon Costica Sep 23, 2025 ▶ 12:36 Is Generative AI a Cybersecurity Disaster Waiting to Happen? — With Yinon Costica
a16z Assertion Supported
Dixon: California AI bill would have effectively killed open source
“California had a bill that would have created unlimited downstream liability for software developers, which would have effectively killed open source.”
Chris Dixon Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 38:23 Chris Dixon on How to Build Networks, Movements, and AI-Native Products
INNOVATORS & INVESTORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chandra: AI agents will turn software developers into managers of agents
“And so if we can arm each software developer with 10 background SDLC agents, you know, that doesn't get rid of the software developer job. It just up levels it and changes them to software developer managers, their managing agents.”
Ryan Chandra Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 23:11 Accelerating AI & Enterprise Innovation: Accenture Ventures’ Strategic Investments
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Casado: AI Coding Models Are Bringing Veteran Developer-Executives Back To Programming
“I know a bunch of very strong developers that have been developing for a very long Time that have basically stopped. They're like running companies now or whatever. And they're all back to programming at night.”
Martin Casado Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 40:02 a16z GP, Martin Casado: Anthropic vs OpenAI & Why Open Source is a National Security Risk with China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Shah: Traditional software UIs are unintuitive compared to natural language
“As software developers, myself included, we've always said, oh, we build intuitive, easy to use applications. And it's not intuitive at all, right? Because what we're doing is taking the mental model that's in our head of what we're trying to accomplish with s…”
Dharmesh Shah Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 2:19 The Agent Network — Dharmesh Shah, Agent.ai + CTO of HubSpot
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Biilmann: Next 100M developers will emerge around agentic tools
“I think we'll see the next hundred million software developers emerge around tools that are Gentic, but I still think it will be a profession to use those tools to do stuff, to build stuff for other people.”
Matt Biilmann Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 0:00 20Product: How to Design and Build Products in a World of Agents | Why AI Will Kill Many SaaS Products | What Products Will Thrive and Die in a World of 100M Developers with Matt Biilmann, Co-Founder and CEO @ Netlify
NO PRIORS Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2035
Dohmke: Developers will maintain legacy PHP and COBOL for a decade
“And so we are still I think for like a decade or so at least going to have software developers that work in, in lots of old school, you know, PHP code and COBOL code and all that stuff.”
Thomas Dohmke Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 19:03 No Priors Ep 106 | With GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke
NO PRIORS Assertion Supported
Dohmke: Copilot yields 25-28% end-to-end developer productivity gains
“And then we're talking about, you know, 25, 28% productivity gains on, on the end to end 55% or higher on, on the coding task.”
Thomas Dohmke Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 31:16 No Priors Ep 106 | With GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Krieger: Software engineers will become AI delegators within three years
“How do we evolve from being mostly code writers to mostly Delegators to the models and code reviewers. That's what I think the work looks like three years from now. It's coming up with the right ideas, doing the right user interaction design, figuring out a de…”
Mike Krieger Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 45:32 Mike Krieger, Instagram CoFounder & Anthropic CPO: Where Will Value Be Created in an AI World?|E1265 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carvana expects massive operating leverage in software headcount as sales double
“I do not think that to sell twice as many cars, we need twice as many product managers or twice as many software developers. We should be expecting incredible leverage over our fixed expense base in those areas and expecting those people to cover more ground o…”
Dan Gill Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 1:00:26 Dan Gill, CPO @Carvana: The Most Wild Story in Public Markets | E1243 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
LATENT SPACE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Guo: Cheaper AI code generation will increase software volume, not replace developers
“If we take the cost of software and high quality software down two orders of magnitude, we're just gonna end up with more software in the world. We're not gonna end up with fewer people doing development.”
Sarah Guo Dec 21, 2024 ▶ 20:27 The State of AI Startups in 2024 [LS Live @ NeurIPS]
NO PRIORS Insight
Simons: Managing AI models is extremely similar to managing human developers
“Because it turns out kind of managing an AI is extremely similar to managing actual software developers.”
Eric Simons Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 10:37 No Priors Ep. 92 | With StackBlitz CEO and Co-Founder Eric Simons
20VC Insight
Guy Podjarny: Top software developers excel through systems thinking, not coding
“Well, I think the best software developers are not the best because they're the best coders. It's because they think about development as a whole. They are systems thinkers.”
Guy Podjarny Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 28:47 Guy Podjarny: The Future of AI Software Development - What is Real & What is BS | E1232 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2034
Guy Podjarny: Manual coding will become an edge case within 10 years
“And so I think the coding piece of software developers' work will diminish substantially. I think in 10 years' time, coding would be, ah, ah, very much alive and well, but it would be the edge case. It would be the thing that you do because, you know, like, it…”
Guy Podjarny Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 29:16 Guy Podjarny: The Future of AI Software Development - What is Real & What is BS | E1232 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Podjarny: Technical product manager and software developer roles will merge
“Some PMs are quite technical, and they're close to the software. I think those roles will definitely merge.”
Guy Podjarny Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 32:45 Guy Podjarny: The Future of AI Software Development - What is Real & What is BS | E1232 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dave Morin: Apple Vision Pro Was Never Meant to Be a Consumer Device
“The point of this product was to get it in the hands of software developers so that they can see what's possible with you know, this new operating system, this entirely new context. It wasn't meant ever to be. A consumer device.”
Dave Morin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 24:30 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: AI tools will unlock millions of everyday software developers
“I think this unlocks so many new software developers who don't, who are just everyday people.”
Brit Morin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 30:48 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
STARTUPS FOR THE REST OF US Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Walling: AI will not eliminate the need for software developers by 2034
“They were talking about learning to code, and how everyone's going to be able to code because of ChatGPT, and developers won't be needed anymore, and I just don't believe that's the case at all. I mean, we've seen the same thing with no code. It's like, you ca…”
Rob Walling Aug 13, 2024 ▶ 16:17 Episode 726 | Selling 29,000 Copies, Information vs. Motivation,...
Dixon: Centralized platforms inevitably shift from attracting creators to extracting value
“These networks have a set of shifting incentives where when they start off, They're solicitous to software developers, creators. They have to be their startup. But over time, as they gain power and the network effects kick in, they start to extract.”
Chris Dixon Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 11:57 Chris Dixon - Empty Rooms: Web3 After the Fall (EP.380)
Walling: Zero-to-one marketing talent is far rarer than strong engineering talent
“It feels like the harder thing is to be really good at marketing, or really good at sales. I'm not saying being a really good developer is not hard, but I just feel like I know a lot more really good developers, and I know a lot of, like, pretty good product p…”
Rob Walling Apr 9, 2024 ▶ 7:53 Episode 708 | Outsourcing Marketing, Competitive Markets, and Mor...
Reimer: AI shifts startup value from software implementation to sales
“This is moving in the direction where AI can do so much more of technical implementation. I think it's only going to get more and more. That doesn't mean there's not going to be demand for software developers to know how to, like, use the AI tools to pull thin…”
Derrick Reimer Apr 9, 2024 ▶ 9:46 Episode 708 | Outsourcing Marketing, Competitive Markets, and Mor...
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Liu: Software Teams Will Remain Large as Scope and Ambition Expand
“And so I still think we will have large teams of software developers in the future. They will just You know, each individual will be responsible for far more feature scope than they are today, and the system as a whole will be more sophisticated and more power…”
Beyang Liu Jan 18, 2024 ▶ 41:53 No Priors Ep. 47 | With Sourcegraph CTO Beyang Liu
20VC Opinion
Stebbings: Software developers work better together in person
“No, devs work better together. They're building product. It's a team.”
Harry Stebbings Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 54:09 Dominik Richter: You Only Have Two Options With VC Funding | E1089 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
D'Agostino: Fast customer impact motivates top software developers more than money
“The best developers are so attracted to just the idea of them pushing code and then seeing it impact customers quickly. That's, like, It's more valuable than money to most developers that are most of the best developers that I talked to.”
Drew D'Agostino Oct 4, 2023 ▶ 17:14 How to Convince High-Performers to Take a Pay Cut & Work for You
ALL-IN Opinion
Palihapitiya: Software developers no longer exercise good judgment
“I'm going to say something controversial. I don't think developers anymore have good judgment. Developers get to the answer or they don't get to the answer.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 14, 2023 ▶ 20:23 E124: AutoGPT's massive potential and risk, AI regulation, Bob Lee/SF update
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lawson: Twilio was among the only companies marketing directly to developers
“And at that time, no one else was trying to reach them. We were like one of the only ones.”
Jeff Lawson Apr 3, 2023 ▶ 55:19 Twilio: Jeff Lawson
Y COMBINATOR Prediction Not checkable as stated
Habib: Software engineers will be among the first jobs automated by AGI
“When we do get towards things that look like AGI, I suspect that developers will actually be one of the first jobs to see large fractions of their job be automated, which I think is very counterintuitive but also predicting the future is hard, so.”
Raza Habib Feb 28, 2023 ▶ 11:19 The REAL potential of generative AI · Y Combinator
WE LIVE TO BUILD Assertion Supported
Parrish: The US faces an annual developer shortage of 150,000
“In the U S there's about, you know, four to five million college Graduates each year, and only about less than five percent or 250,000 of those might have a CS degree or computer science education. You know, the problem is there's nearly 400,000 new jobs. And …”
Darian Parrish Mar 24, 2021 ▶ 6:54 The Bezos Yawn Factor: Why No-Code Will Feel Mundane Soon
TOP FOUNDERS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Malone: AI will obsolete programmers while original creative writers become extremely rich
“Yeah, if you're writing code, you know, you're about to become a newspaper man. But if you can write a really good play or movie script or novel. You're going to be a very rich person.”
Mike Malone Feb 16, 2020 ▶ 27:57 1667 Top Tech Journalist Predicts We'll All Be Unemployed, Blockchain Takeover, Less Taxes!
a16z Opinion
Ehrensvärd: Swedes are among the world's best software developers
“Yes, and that's also why Swedes are some of the best Software developers on the planet because they have the ability to work together, but also question each other.”
Stina Ehrensvärd Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:44 a16z Podcast | The Hard Things about Security
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Feaster: The future of innovation is non-technical people coding
“The future of innovation is not having more developers code. The future of innovation is getting Non-technical people to be coding.”
Michel Feaster Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:45 a16z Podcast | Creating a Category, from Pricing to Positioning
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Software makers rely on 1% of users for 100% of revenue
“Every major software developer, every major kind of intangible goods maker had this exact same problem, where a hundred percent of their revenue comes from one percent of their users.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:06 a16z Podcast | Money, Risk, and Software
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Supported
Jonas: Full-time developers in the Philippines cost $1,500 monthly
“So like in the Philippines, you're going to pay for that same developer, 1500 bucks a month for full-time work.”
John Jonas Sep 7, 2018 ▶ 5:31 1140 I only work 17 hours per week, don't trust Google, and make $1.7m+

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