Venture capital, startups and investing, on tape.

Every prediction, opinion and bold claim from Another Podcast: extracted from the transcript, verified against the tape, checked against cited public sources, playable at the exact moment it was said.

537 insights441 assertions302 opinions143 predictions11 disclosures10 what-ifs

Recently on the ledger full ledger →

Opinion
Evans: Creators most upset about AI art lack originality
“The really unkind thing one could say is that the people who are most upset about AI art are the people who are making stuff that has no particular authenticity originality. I mean, if you, if you've made, if you wrote 10 vampire romance books last year and yo…”
Benedict Evans Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 26:33 AI and SaaS
Opinion
Evans: The Cambridge Analytica scandal was basically a hoax
“And of course the irony of Cambridge Analytica was it was, in the end, it was basically a hoax. There was nothing there.”
Benedict Evans Nov 2, 2021 ▶ 39:15 The Meta reality
Insight
Evans: Bottom-up enterprise adoption only ever succeeded for Slack and Notion
“This is like the great fallacy of enterprise software that you can just sell to the users, and it's like it only ever worked for Slack and one other company. Maybe Notion, but even Notion has capped out.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 20:57 Token pricing
Opinion
The Microsoft antitrust case did not create Google or the iPhone
“This is kind of bizarre assertions that somehow the DHA Microsoft case resulted in the rise of Google or resulted in the iPod and the iPhone, which is just ignorant nonsense.”
Benedict Evans Aug 19, 2024 ▶ 32:45 Google's Antitrust case
Opinion
Evans: Rabbit's 'cack-handed' AI hardware is becoming a 'smoking hole'
“And we saw this kind of completely cack-handed attempt at doing this from Rabbit, which is now well on the way to being a smoking hole in the ground.”
Benedict Evans Jul 1, 2024 ▶ 9:22 The AI summer
Insight
Evans: Open-source clones of commercial products never succeed
“Well, so I was looking at, I looked at Metaverse, sorry, at Fediverse, and saw, this looks like an open source claim of Twitter, and open source claims of commercial products never work. It's the only people who use them are people who care that it's open sour…”
Benedict Evans Oct 29, 2023 ▶ 23:51 LLMs, links, and the death of links

How the calls resolved the full record →

Assertion Supported
Evans: Regulators in some countries ban gender-based car insurance pricing
“There are some countries where you're not allowed to give women better insurance or at car insurance prices. Even though women are much less likely to drive fast and crash their car, but you're not allowed to use gender.”
Benedict Evans Mar 3, 2024 ▶ 4:31 Google Gemini and AI bias
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Waymo is delivering close to 1 million rides per day
“Waymo is doing close to a million rides a day”
Benedict Evans Nov 16, 2025 ▶ 32:43 The AI presentation
Assertion Supported
Federal court ruled Google is an illegal monopoly abusing its power
“This federal court ruled that the DOJ is right and Google is an illegal monopoly that it's abusing monopoly”
Benedict Evans Aug 19, 2024 ▶ 0:26 Google's Antitrust case
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: No competing AI app has more than 5% of ChatGPT's usage
“Go look at App Store ranking, or Google Trends, or usage data of any kind that you can get, and you see that basically it's ChatGPT, and then none of the others are more than five percent of that.”
Benedict Evans Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 2:40 A double episode: AI differentiation, and Apple does F1

Open predictions the full timeline →

1532days Evans: Retail gasoline sales will end by 2030 Benedict Evans · prediction date: 2030-11-23 2051days Evans: Linear TV ad slots will disappear within 10 years Benedict Evans · prediction date: 2032-04-25 2072days Evans: Mass consumer blockchain adoption is 5 to 10 years away Benedict Evans · prediction date: 2032-05-16 2072days Evans: Billions using smart glasses as primary computing is a decade away Benedict Evans · prediction date: 2032-05-16

Track records all people →

Ordered by full support rate, then by supported count. Minimum three resolved. Partly supported claims count as resolved but not as fully supported, same as everywhere on the ledger.

PersonEpsStatementsSupportedPartly supportedContradictedFull support rate
Lillian Li 1 9 2 1 0 67%
Jeremy White 1 8 2 0 1 67%
Jay Goldberg 1 28 6 3 2 55%

From the Wisdom Wall all quotes →

“there was this whole story, kind of, 1015 years ago in the Valley, that like, Enterprise software will become grassroots. It'll be bottom up, bottom up enterprise, bottom up sales. You won't have to…”

“This is like the great fallacy of enterprise software that you can just sell to the users, and it's like it only ever worked for Slack and one other company. Maybe Notion, but even Notion has capped…”

“I don't feel like the reason it's hard to compete with X or Y or Z company is how long it would take you to write the code to replicate the product. It's almost never the problem. It's the problem.…”

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