The Numbers Museum

Every specific figure ever claimed on the show. 377 match this view. Red rows are numbers the cited sources contradict.

AllDollarsMultiplesPercentagesBig numbers
FigureAs spokenThe claimWhoWhenChecked?
40% “40%” Reses: Yahoo and Alibaba stopped speaking despite Yahoo's 40% stake Jackie Reses May 28, 2026 Supported
40% “40%” UK expat tax reform triggered flight by exposing full global balance sheets Michel Del Buono May 22, 2026
40% “40%” Taneja: General Catalyst was the first firm to write down portfolio 40% during COVID Hemant Taneja Apr 20, 2026
40% “40%” O'Shea: PitchBook data shows 40% of unicorns haven't raised in three years Molly O'Shea Mar 30, 2026 Supported
40% “40%” Huffman: 40% of conversations on Reddit are commercial Steve Huffman Mar 20, 2026
40% “40%” Jeff Morris Jr. predicts 40%+ of non-institutional VCs will fail to raise Jeff Morris Jr. Oct 16, 2024
40% “40%” Isford: NYC captured 20% of AI VC funding, second to SF's 40% Grace Isford Aug 23, 2024 Partly supported
40% “40%” Hecht: Consumer tech success is 60% to 80% luck Jared Hecht Apr 26, 2024
40% “40%” Sundblad: 60% of US plastics factories are small businesses Willem Sundblad Apr 19, 2024 Contradicted
40% “40%” Power: Hadrian has a 60% chance of failing within 18 months Chris Power Mar 29, 2024
38% “38%” Bhargava: Titan MSP automates 38% of MSP workflows and acquired RFA Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
36% “36%” Harvey's DAU/MAU ratio jumped from roughly 36% to 52% Winston Weinberg Jun 16, 2026
36% “36%” Harrison: DoD Accounted for 36% of Global R&D in the 1950s and 1960s Kyle Harrison Apr 29, 2026 Supported
36% “36%” Alter: Government spending accounts for 36% of US GDP Molly Alter Sep 20, 2024 Supported
35% “35%” Luckey: Anduril Sentry Towers cover about 35% of US southern border Palmer Luckey Dec 22, 2025 Not publicly verifiable
35% “35%” Slotowicz: Top 5 charter providers flew 35% of 2025 hours Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz Jun 20, 2026 Partly supported
35% “35%” Only 35% of Wander's bookings come from paid marketing channels John Andrew May 28, 2025
31% “31%” O'Shea: Over $240B in 2025 Venture Secondaries Represented 31% of Venture Volume Molly O'Shea Jun 14, 2026 Supported
30% “30%” Immerman: Under five public software and fintech companies grow 30%+ Alex Immerman Mar 13, 2026 Contradicted
30% “30%” O'Shea: Carta report shows AI Series A rounds get 30% premium Molly O'Shea Feb 5, 2026 Supported
30% “30%” Wright: Hyperscale data centers leave 70% of the world without AI access Dan Wright Jan 26, 2026
30% “30%” O'Shea: Carta data shows AI startups get a 30% Series A premium Molly O'Shea Dec 27, 2025 Supported
30% “30%” Carta Data Shows 30% Valuation Premium for Series A AI Startups Molly O'Shea Nov 29, 2025 Supported
30% “30%” Bhargava: GC identified 10 target industries where AI automates 20-30% of tasks Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
30% “30%” AI roll-ups double cash flow and hit 30% EBITDA in one year Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
30% “30%” Bhargava: General Catalyst targets 30% to 70% automation for AI roll-ups Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
30% “30%” Dell: Base Power grows customers 30% MoM with millions in monthly revenue Zach Dell Oct 8, 2025
30% “30%” Miller: Volozh correctly refused to sell his 30% ClickHouse stake to Accel Matt Miller Jul 6, 2026
30% “30%” Mathew: Elon Musk is reserving 30% of the SpaceX IPO for retail Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 Supported
30% “30%” Oetting: 30% of 8VC's deployed capital goes to internally co-founded companies Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025
30% “30%” Slotowicz: 70% of private aircraft buyers pay entirely in cash Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz Jun 20, 2026 Supported
30% “30%” Miller predicts AI will displace 20% to 30% of white-collar jobs Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026
30% “30%” Del Buono: Most tech-focused RIAs have at most one or two professional investors Michel Del Buono Mar 27, 2026
30% “30%” a16z Perennial maintains higher liquidity for founders self-funding next companies Michel Del Buono Mar 27, 2026
30% “30%” The top 5% of vacation rentals account for 30% of industry revenue John Andrew May 28, 2025 Supported
30% “30%” Josephs: Autopilot's Nancy Pelosi tracker outperformed the S&P 500 by 30% Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 Supported
30% “30%” Mansoor: Ancillary prop markets drove 30% of Kalshi's Super Bowl volume Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 Contradicted
30% “30%” Diamond: Saturn maintains over 50% DAU/MAU stickiness and 90% annual retention Dylan Diamond Feb 21, 2025
30% “30%” Cloud giants must host foundation models even if they become low-margin commodities Alex Kolicich Oct 11, 2024
30% “30%” Sam D'Amico: Impulse's battery stove qualifies for a 30% federal tax credit Sam D'Amico Oct 4, 2024 Supported
30% “30%” Altria bought 30 percent of Juul for $13B at a $60B valuation John Coogan Jul 24, 2024 Partly supported
30% “30%” Power: Stripe and Google capped annual team headcount growth at exactly 30% Chris Power Mar 29, 2024 Contradicted
28% “28%” Banister: Bible Sales Are Up 28% With Most Buyers First-Time Readers Cyan Banister Dec 20, 2024 Partly supported
25% “25%” Immerman: Waymo reached 25% San Francisco market share, beating Lyft Alex Immerman Mar 13, 2026 Supported
25% “25%” Tenev: Robinhood allocated ~25% of its 2021 IPO to retail Vlad Tenev Jan 10, 2026 Supported
25% “25%” Black: Wire harnessing can reach 25% of a vehicle's cost Jordan Black Jul 15, 2026 Supported
25% “25%” Nolan: US produces under 0.1% of global enriched uranium today Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 Supported
25% “25%” Abraham: The top 25% will inherit 85% of the great wealth transfer Leif Abraham Apr 17, 2026 Partly supported
25% “25%” Miller: VCX Portfolio Grew 193% Last Year Versus 25% for QQQ Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 Partly supported
25% “25%” Ritter: $500B Stargate project is $100B equity, 75% chips, 25% infrastructure Gordon Ritter Jan 30, 2025 Open
25% “25%” Suster: 25% of VC funds deployed their entire fund in 2021 Mark Suster Jun 28, 2024 Contradicted
25% “25%” Molly O'Shea says seed-to-Series A graduation rates hit record 13% low Molly O'Shea Jun 28, 2024 Supported
25% “25%” Weisburd: Founders Fund invests up to 25% of a fund in single positions David Weisburd Mar 8, 2024 Supported
22% “22%” McGee: Apple's China Investment from 2007 to 2025 Exceeds $800B Patrick McGee Sep 1, 2025 Supported
22% “22%” Only 22% of spend on Brex is travel and entertainment Art Levy Jul 10, 2025
20% “20%” Immerman: Revolut has 10 revenue streams, none exceeding 20% of total Alex Immerman Mar 13, 2026 Partly supported
20% “20%” AI roll-ups double cash flow and hit 30% EBITDA in one year Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
20% “20%” Bhargava: AI will transform low-margin services industries into software-like margins Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
20% “20%” Barton: Marketing spend will shift from Meta to AI agents and Shopify Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025
20% “20%” Friedberg: Tax unrealized gains, raise capital gains to 40%, cut income taxes David Friedberg Jul 22, 2026
20% “20%” Chaddha: AI teammates represent a $3T-$6T opportunity over 5-7 years Navin Chaddha Oct 3, 2025
20% “20%” Chaddha: Many AI coding companies have negative or 15-20% gross margins Navin Chaddha Oct 3, 2025
20% “20%” Siemiatkowski: Klarna froze hiring to shrink headcount via attrition and boost pay Sebastian Siemiatkowski Sep 12, 2025
20% “20%” McGee: Chinese Competitors, Not Apple Alone, Killed Nokia Patrick McGee Sep 1, 2025
20% “20%” Armstrong: I spend 80% of media time on new media Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026
20% “20%” Armstrong: 80% of Coinbase AI workloads will run on cheap models within 18 months Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026
20% “20%” Slotowicz: 80% of Aircraft Parts Cause Immediate Grounding If Broken Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz Jun 20, 2026
20% “20%” Pereyra: Competition among frontier and open-source models will check AI pricing Gabe Pereyra Jun 18, 2026
20% “20%” Tandon: Full Commure Platform Boosts Provider Revenue 15-20% Tanay Tandon May 19, 2026
20% “20%” Miller predicts AI will displace 20% to 30% of white-collar jobs Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026
20% “20%” Del Buono: Most tech-focused RIAs have at most one or two professional investors Michel Del Buono Mar 27, 2026
20% “20%” Mansoor: Kalshi aims to cover 100% of relevant daily news topics Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025
20% “20%” Lucy Guo: Passes Creators Conceal Earnings From Managers to Dodge 20% Cut Lucy Guo Dec 13, 2024
20% “20%” Isford: NYC captured 20% of AI VC funding, second to SF's 40% Grace Isford Aug 23, 2024 Partly supported
20% “20%” Suster says 20-percent growth software startups currently trade at 4x revenue Mark Suster Jun 28, 2024 Supported
20% “20%” Weisburd: Selling 10% to 20% of big winners generates DPI to raise next fund David Weisburd Mar 8, 2024
20% “20%” Kolicich: 8VC allocates 50% to software, 20% biotech, 10% defense Alex Kolicich Mar 3, 2024
20% “20%” 10% to 20% of Enterprise Operating Spend May Shift to Tech Nikesh Arora Aug 17, 2026
20% “20%” Lamm: 20% of baby elephants die from EEHV Ben Lamm Aug 20, 2026 Partly supported
19% “19%” Cook: Enterprise open-source LLM spend dropped from 19% to 11% Max Cook Jul 19, 2026 Supported
18% “18%” O'Shea: a16z raised 18% of all US venture dollars last year Molly O'Shea Mar 13, 2026 Supported
18% “18%” Friedberg: Tax unrealized gains, raise capital gains to 40%, cut income taxes David Friedberg Jul 22, 2026
18% “18%” Rangwalla: S&P 500 Earnings Growth Accelerates to 18% Through 2026 Jaimin Rangwalla May 15, 2026 Open
17% “17%” Data shows only 17% of venture capital funds survive to Fund IV Jeff Morris Jr. Oct 16, 2024 Supported
16% “16%” Alter: Public SaaS average revenue growth is projected at historically low 16% Molly Alter Sep 20, 2024 Supported
15% “15%” Immerman: Flock Safety solves over 2,800 cases daily, 15% of US crime Alex Immerman Mar 13, 2026 Supported
15% “15%” Cliffton: Zipline Will Scale to 1M Deliveries Daily in Next Few Years Keller Rinaudo Cliffton Jan 21, 2026 Open
15% “15%” Rinaudo Cliffton: Zipline is growing delivery volume 15% week-over-week Keller Rinaudo Cliffton Jan 22, 2026
15% “15%” Tenev: Robinhood Gold reached 4M subscribers, including 40% of new signups Vlad Tenev Jan 10, 2026 Supported
15% “15%” AI roll-ups double cash flow and hit 30% EBITDA in one year Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
15% “15%” Barton: Meta GPU recommendation upgrades drove a 15% Instagram usage jump Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025 Partly supported
15% “15%” Friedberg: Tax unrealized gains, raise capital gains to 40%, cut income taxes David Friedberg Jul 22, 2026
15% “15%” Rangwalla: S&P 500 Earnings Growth Accelerates to 18% Through 2026 Jaimin Rangwalla May 15, 2026 Open
15% “15%” Adcock: Figure robots dock at 10-15% battery and swap within 30 seconds Brett Adcock May 1, 2026
15% “15%” a16z Perennial maintains higher liquidity for founders self-funding next companies Michel Del Buono Mar 27, 2026
15% “15%” Klein: 15% of Browserbase signups come from AI model recommendations Paul Klein Jun 17, 2025
15% “15%” Fiedler: Tech and AI will boost home services margins by 5-10% Jason Fiedler Nov 8, 2024
14% “14%” Rabois: Kaz Nejatian cut Shopify's G&A from 14% to 4% Keith Rabois Sep 15, 2025 Partly supported
13.1% “13.1%” Oetting: Trump Will Boost US Manufacturing Share, But Under 13.1% GDP Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 Open
12% “12%” Alter: European VC funding hit $30 billion in H1 2024, up 12% Molly Alter Sep 20, 2024 Supported
11% “11%” Cook: Enterprise open-source LLM spend dropped from 19% to 11% Max Cook Jul 19, 2026 Supported
10% “10%” Bouaziz: 10% of Deel's revenue comes from inorganic acquisitions Alex Bouaziz Mar 17, 2026
10% “10%” Lin: Top engineers shipped 3x more code using AI tools Alfred Lin Mar 9, 2026
10% “10%” Bhargava: Crescendo automates 50-70% of call centers, raising EBITDA margins to 40% Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
10% “10%” Bhargava: Seed Checks Deserve Equal Focus as $100M Checks for Ownership Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
10% “10%” Clark: US semiconductor manufacturing dropped from about 40% to 10% Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 Supported
10% “10%” Lin: OpenAI at $500 Billion Works If It Can Reach $5 Trillion Alfred Lin Oct 30, 2025
10% “10%” Grinberg: Enterprise open model token share surged past 10% by May Matan Grinberg Jul 19, 2026
10% “10%” Cohen: Hello Patient has a 2-3 year head start over EHR incumbents Alex Cohen Sep 4, 2025
10% “10%” Agrawal: Just 0.3% of Startups Generate 90% of Venture Gross Profits Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025
10% “10%” Peter Thiel won the early Facebook deal by accepting a 10% stake Justin Fishner Wolfson Jun 14, 2026 Partly supported
10% “10%” Cost-plus contracts incentivize defense primes to maximize costs and avoid commercial components Kyle Harrison Apr 29, 2026
10% “10%” Baszucki: Roblox aims to capture 10% of the global gaming market David Baszucki Apr 1, 2026
10% “10%” Socher: Only 5% to 10% of enterprise AI seats get utilized Richard Socher Oct 25, 2024
10% “10%” Kolicich: 8VC allocates 50% to software, 20% biotech, 10% defense Alex Kolicich Mar 3, 2024
9% “nine percent” Taylor: Nuclear energy will still only be 8% to 9% of global consumption by 2030 Isaiah Taylor Aug 8, 2025 Open
9% “nine percent” Miller: Founders create 99% to 100% of business value, not VCs Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026
8% “eight percent” Friedberg: US private pensions dropped below 8%, while government pensions stayed at 90% David Friedberg Jul 22, 2026 Partly supported
8% “eight percent” Pre-IPO secondary SPVs take carry from the first dollar without hurdles Michel Del Buono May 22, 2026
8% “eight percent” Rangwalla: Stock Multiples Remain Consistent Because Earnings Growth Outpaces Prices Jaimin Rangwalla May 15, 2026
7% “seven percent” Mansoor: Kalshi captured 7% of sports handle in its launch week Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 Contradicted
7% “seven percent” Dylan Diamond: Saturn's first 50 schools grew from 7% to 60% weekly active users Dylan Diamond Feb 21, 2025
6% “six percent” Barton: Mattel stock rose 6% after OpenAI DevDay mention Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025 Supported
5% “five percent” Immerman: Under five public software and fintech companies grow 30%+ Alex Immerman Mar 13, 2026 Contradicted
5% “five percent” Laffont: Early Coatue models wrongly predicted iPhone prices declining five percent Thomas Laffont Mar 6, 2026
5% “five percent” Finance teams own all spend but make 5% of decisions Pedro Franceschi Jan 30, 2026
5% “five percent” Ramaswamy: Google Ads Targeted 5% Quarterly RPM Growth Sridhar Ramaswamy Jan 23, 2026
5% “five percent” Del Buono: Secondary SPVs frequently charge 1/10 or 2/20 fees at marked-up valuations Michel Del Buono May 22, 2026
5% “five percent” Del Buono: Semi-liquid evergreen funds can gate redemptions below five percent Michel Del Buono May 22, 2026
5% “five percent” Bry: 16 million Americans live within two miles of a Skydio dock Adam Bry Apr 23, 2026
5% “five percent” Miller: Every American will allocate 5% to public VC in 10 years Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026
5% “five percent” The top 5% of vacation rentals account for 30% of industry revenue John Andrew May 28, 2025 Supported
5% “five percent” Hunter Walk: Only 5% of VCs are exceptional and 5% are horrible Hunter Walk Jun 14, 2024
5% “five percent” Kolicich: Crossover funds exerted a 20x leverage effect on venture cap tables Alex Kolicich Mar 3, 2024
4% “four percent” Rabois: Kaz Nejatian cut Shopify's G&A from 14% to 4% Keith Rabois Sep 15, 2025 Partly supported
4% “four percent” The US unemployment rate will remain around 4% in 2030 Roy Lee Jun 20, 2025 Open
4% “four percent” Baszucki: Roblox has $6.8B in bookings, under 4% of global gaming David Baszucki Apr 1, 2026 Supported
4% “four percent” Del Buono: Portfolios with 50-70% alternatives incur 3-4% annual look-through fees Michel Del Buono Mar 27, 2026
3.5% “3.5%” Armstrong: Coinbase launched direct deposit paying 3.5% yield on cash Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026
3% “three percent” Franceschi: Brex and Ramp hold just ~3% of US corporate card market Pedro Franceschi Jan 30, 2026 Supported
3% “three percent” Fragmented service industries cap tech spend at 2% to 3% of revenue Mark Bhargava Dec 5, 2025
3% “three percent” Chaddha: Only 1% to 3% of hyped AI startups will survive Navin Chaddha Oct 3, 2025
3% “three percent” Vasavada: Sub-2% of $83T Retail Wealth Is in Alternatives Samir Vasavada Jul 25, 2025 Supported
3% “three percent” Multi-billion dollar tech acquisitions are mere call options for tech giants Art Levy Jul 10, 2025
3% “three percent” Walk: Emerging VC managers should change only one thing for Fund 2 Hunter Walk Jun 14, 2024
3% “three percent” Oltmann: Hadrian boasts 70% gross margins and top 3% SaaS growth Xander Oltmann Feb 1, 2024
2% “two percent” Franceschi: Private fundraising valuations differ fundamentally from 100% full-liquidity acquisitions Pedro Franceschi Jan 30, 2026
2% “two percent” Friedberg: US Should Target Converting 2% of Workers to Capitalists Annually David Friedberg Jul 22, 2026
2% “two percent” Chaddha: Only 1% to 3% of hyped AI startups will survive Navin Chaddha Oct 3, 2025
2% “two percent” Vasavada: Sub-2% of $83T Retail Wealth Is in Alternatives Samir Vasavada Jul 25, 2025 Supported
2% “two percent” Del Buono: AI CapEx boom shields leveraged private credit from near-term crisis Michel Del Buono Mar 27, 2026
2% “two percent” Lamm: ViaGen cloning efficiency reached 80% versus 2% industry norm Ben Lamm Aug 20, 2026 Partly supported
1.5% “1.5%” Carlson: Amazon retail operated on 1.2% to 1.5% margins circa 2010 Teresa Carlson May 11, 2026 Partly supported
1.43% “1.43%” Sadeghi shares his 99.3 percentile schizophrenia genetic risk and 1.43% overall risk Kian Sadeghi Aug 16, 2024
1% “one percent” Immerman: Ride hailing represents under 1% of US vehicle miles Alex Immerman Mar 13, 2026 Supported
1% “one percent” Immerman: Top 1% venture outcome will reach $40B in 8-10 years Alex Immerman Mar 13, 2026 Open
1% “one percent” Siddharth: Enterprise AI does not require 100% accuracy with human oversight Jonathan Siddharth Oct 10, 2025
1% “one percent” Wu: Cognition Offered to Play Thiel's Firm in Poker for 1% Equity Scott Wu Jul 27, 2026
1% “one percent” Grinberg: Enterprise open model token share surged past 10% by May Matan Grinberg Jul 19, 2026
1% “one percent” Chaddha: Only 1% to 3% of hyped AI startups will survive Navin Chaddha Oct 3, 2025
1% “one percent” Rabois: Kaz Nejatian cut Shopify's G&A from 14% to 4% Keith Rabois Sep 15, 2025 Partly supported
1% “1%” Nolan: US produces under 0.1% of global enriched uranium today Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 Supported
1% “one percent” Maslin: China Produces Up to 94% of Rare Earth Magnets, US Under 1% John Maslin Aug 11, 2025 Supported
1% “1%” Slotowicz: Share of people flying private will more than double Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz Jun 20, 2026
1% “one percent” Romo: 137 Ventures holds over 1% of SpaceX Eric Romo Jun 2, 2026
1% “one percent” Harrison: The DoD represents sub-1% of global R&D spending today Kyle Harrison Apr 29, 2026 Contradicted
1% “one percent” Ludwig: Only 1% of mines worldwide are autonomous Peter Ludwig Apr 7, 2026 Supported
1% “one percent” Kim: Less than 1% of people fluently use AI today Brian Kim Jul 3, 2025
1% “1%” Asparouhov: Goal is to meet only 30 founders annually Delian Asparouhov Mar 28, 2025
1% “one percent” Tunguz: Large companies average 8,000 daily security alerts, reviewing under 1% Tomasz Tunguz Jan 23, 2025
1% “one percent” Sam D'Amico: Induction stoves account for only 1% of home energy consumption Sam D'Amico Oct 4, 2024 Supported
1% “one percent” Hunter Walk: Homebrew's 2013 fund ranks in the top one percent Hunter Walk Jun 14, 2024
1% “one percent” Hecht: Founders romanticize startups, suppressing the 90% to 99% that is hardship Jared Hecht Apr 26, 2024
1% “1%” AI Handles Mainstream Tasks But Fails on Cybersecurity Edge Cases Nikesh Arora Aug 17, 2026
1% “one percent” Mavrookas: Only 1% of US defense budget allocated to autonomy Dino Mavrookas Sep 8, 2026 Supported
1% “One percent” Mavrookas: Only one percent of the defense budget went toward autonomy Dino Mavrookas Sep 10, 2026 Partly supported
0.1% “0.1%” Mavrookas: China outbuilds the US 230-to-1 in shipbuilding Dino Mavrookas Sep 7, 2026 Supported
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