“And in fact, the number one thing that we got wrong in our analysis of Apple in the early days is we had the price of the phone declining five percent in five years, right? Because that's kind of what you did as an analyst. You had to put declining ASPs. And in fact, the opposite happened, right? The price increased.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
(the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Thomas Laffont
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Laffont: SaaS must re-accelerate with AI or re-rate to 20x GAAP earnings
“So one of two things are going to have to change. Either companies are going to have to benefit from AI and re-accelerate the top line. And I think if you, again, listen to the workday earnings call yesterday, Anil, the CEO, essentially said his job is to come…”
Thomas LaffontMar 6, 2026▶ 12:32Thomas Laffont, Coatue - Anthropic, Citrini Paper, AI Volatility & Next Mag 7 · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Insight
Laffont: AI threat hits SaaS terminal value, not current business operations
“The threat of AI for these companies isn't actually related to their current valuation or frankly, even their current business. It's more related to the terminal value of, okay, maybe some of these companies are not benefiting from AI today. They haven't re-ac…”
Thomas LaffontMar 6, 2026▶ 13:21Thomas Laffont, Coatue - Anthropic, Citrini Paper, AI Volatility & Next Mag 7 · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Laffont: No Coatue portfolio company plans to cut engineering staff due to AI
“What I can tell you is not a single one of the companies that we're kind of involved with is saying, wow, we're seeing so much more efficiency. We want to cut our engineering staff in half, right?”
Thomas LaffontMar 6, 2026▶ 17:41Thomas Laffont, Coatue - Anthropic, Citrini Paper, AI Volatility & Next Mag 7 · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Insight
Laffont: Initial TAM size is irrelevant compared to market expansion potential
“I have a personal view that I've developed, which is actually the size of the TAM is irrelevant. So I never listened to whenever an entrepreneur will pitch me a TAM, I really don't think about the TAM. I think about two things. I think about number one, Whatev…”
Thomas LaffontMar 6, 2026▶ 24:06Thomas Laffont, Coatue - Anthropic, Citrini Paper, AI Volatility & Next Mag 7 · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
AssertionNot yet assessed · timeframe Mar 2026
Laffont: Microsoft lost nearly $1T in value over AI positioning concerns
“Microsoft, as an example, I think has lost almost a trillion dollars of value over that timeframe as people are questioning their positioning kind of in AI.”
Thomas LaffontMar 6, 2026▶ 7:16Thomas Laffont, Coatue - Anthropic, Citrini Paper, AI Volatility & Next Mag 7 · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
PredictionHeld up
Laffont: Top AI and tech unicorns will likely IPO within 24 months
“You know, some of them will probably go public in the next 12 to 24 months, so that'll be kind of one impact of it”
Thomas LaffontMar 6, 2026▶ 7:59Thomas Laffont, Coatue - Anthropic, Citrini Paper, AI Volatility & Next Mag 7 · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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