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MAD Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Patel: AI software industry could hit $100 billion ARR this year
“I think the industry could hit a hundred billion ARR by the end of this year, like 45, 50 for open AI, like 35, 40 for anthropic.”
Dylan Patel Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 39:28 Dylan Patel: NVIDIA's New Moat & Why China is "Semiconductor Pilled”
20VC Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2031
O'Driscoll: Nearly all 2020–2021 venture investments will yield 1x or less
“Because if you think everything in 20, 21 was either priced wrong and makes a one X or early and just totally wrong and makes, you know, less than one X, let's just say, right? Other than a few companies that were the early precursors of AI”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 51:27 Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket |TikTok Deal Closes |The IPO Market:Wealthfront & EquipmentShare · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Open · timeframe Jan 2027
Dr. Oz estimates $3.5 billion in Los Angeles hospice healthcare fraud
“Just LA County alone, just in hospice and home health care, we believe it's about three and a half billion dollars.”
Dr. Mehmet Oz Jan 24, 2026 ▶ 45:55 Dr. Mehmet Oz on Fixing American Healthcare + Fraud | Live from Davos
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Elon Musk: Space will be cheapest location for AI compute in 2-3 years
“The lowest cost place to put AI will be space. And that'll be true within two years. Maybe three. Three at the latest.”
Elon Musk Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 9:37 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2031
Rampell: Only 5% of current unicorns will ever go public
“So probably of the unicorn class, I would bet that maybe five percent will ever be able to go public.”
Alex Rampell Jan 12, 2026 ▶ 30:17 Alex Rampell: The Best Founders Materialise Capital, Customers & Labour | The Future of Venture · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2031
Lutnick: US tariff revenues will grow from $500B to $1T per year
“And then you have the tariffs are five hundred billion a year now, and they will grow over time to a trillion a year”
Howard Lutnick Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 34:38 Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2027
Lutnick predicts 6% US GDP growth if Fed cuts interest rates
“And then if they cut rates, and that's the thing, I need a new Fed chair who cuts rates, and if they cut rates... You'll see sixes.”
Howard Lutnick Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 1:07:51 Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
Siddharth: All digital knowledge work will be automated within 10 years
“The glimpse of the future that I see is that all knowledge work is going to be automated. If a human's job involves looking at a computer, analyzing what's on the screen, using different tools, using a keyboard and a mouse, it's going to be automated. It's onl…”
Jonathan Siddharth Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 16:26 Turing CEO Jonathan Siddharth: Who Wins in Data Labelling & Why 99% of Knowledge Work Will Disappear · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Musk: AI and humanoid robots will eliminate global poverty
“But AI and humanoid robots will actually eliminate poverty.”
Elon Musk Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 14:13 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Randle: OpenAI could raise at a $1T valuation next year
“I think it'll be a trillion dollar company next year. Yes. I think they could probably raise at the end of the year. Ah, you know, end of the year Q two, I think open AI could raise it a trillion dollars. No problem.”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 14:11 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Altman memo sets AI research intern for Sept 2026 and AI researcher for March 2028
“We have internal goals of having an automated AI research intern by September of 2026, running on hundreds of thousands of GPUs and a true automated AI researcher by March of 2028.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 20:08 OpenAI and Microsoft’s Grand Bargain, Sam Altman’s Next Three Years, A New Humanoid Robot
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2035
Wood: Global real GDP growth will accelerate to 7% within a decade
“We believe that the productivity uplift here is going to be so strong during the next five to 10 years. And I think president Trump's tax package is going to turbocharge this, that real GDP growth will accelerate from that three percent where it has been for t…”
Cathie Wood Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 3:05 Cathie Wood on How AI Can Double GDP, Bull Case for Bitcoin $1M, Elon’s Trillion-Dollar Pay Package
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Wood: Tesla stock will reach $2,600 per share in five years
“And we put out there five years. Yeah. Yeah. So and I think if he delivers on humanoid robots the way he thinks he is, we don't have enough in there. So our price target is 2600.”
Cathie Wood Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 16:35 Cathie Wood on How AI Can Double GDP, Bull Case for Bitcoin $1M, Elon’s Trillion-Dollar Pay Package
MAD Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2028
Douglas: AI industry will reach human-level computer capabilities in 2-3 years
“Which is that in the next two or three years, given the right feedback loops, given the right compute, given the right, you know, elbow grease and this kind of stuff, we think that we as the AI industry are all on track to create something that is at least as …”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 59:06 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
ALL-IN Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2026
Caruso: LAFD ran short of water, equipment during Palisades wildfire
“We were actually on the seventh loaning equipment to LA Fire Department, who was running short of equipment, and we were actually loaning water because we were bringing in our water tanks when the water hydrants failed to work.”
Rick Caruso Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 4:03 Rick Caruso on California’s Collapse: Broken Leadership, LA Wildfire Failures & the Fix
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Ross: Nvidia will be worth $10 trillion in five years
“I personally would be surprised if in five years NVIDIA wasn't worth 10 trillion, but I can't predict the outcome.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 0:18 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2025
Sacks: Data shows 3x more people on left endorse political violence
“Last week we showed you plenty of data showing that there was three times as many people on the left who are celebrating or endorsing political violence.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 56:07 H-1B Shakeup, Kimmel Apology, Autism Causes, California Hate Speech Law
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Yakovenko: The internet will hold the most US Treasuries within five years
“I think within five years, the internet is going to be the largest holder of US treasuries.”
Anatoly Yakovenko Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 1:32 Solana’s Anatoly Yakovenko on Crypto's Next Era: Quantum, AI, and the Future of Money
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Acharya: Single-person $100M run-rate companies are coming or already exist
“The like single person, a hundred million run rate company is coming, or maybe it's already here.”
Anish Acharya Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 14:57 Chris Dixon on How to Build Networks, Movements, and AI-Native Products
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2050
Musk: Mars could become self-sustaining in roughly 25 to 30 years
“I think it can be done in, in 30 years. Provided there's an exponential increase in the tonnage to Mars, with each successive Mars transfer windows, which is every two years. So every two years, the planets align, and you can transfer to Mars. So I think in, R…”
Elon Musk Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 43:47 Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Deeter: Anthropic will be valued over $1 trillion within three years
“I mean, we put our money where our mouth is. We've been a buyer. So over, and that's again, like we a year ago when we were buyers, we still wouldn't have didn't conceive of that.”
Byron Deeter Aug 25, 2025 ▶ 1:22:03 BVP Partner, Byron Deeter: The Future of Venture - Why Chanel vs Walmart is BS · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Patel: Intel faces bankruptcy without massive cash infusion or 50% layoffs
“Intel is literally gonna go bankrupt if they don't have a big cash infusion, or they lay off, like, half the company, right?”
Dylan Patel Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 54:40 Dylan Patel on GPT-5’s Router Moment, GPUs vs TPUs, Monetization
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Ron Gabrisco predicts Databricks will become a trillion-dollar company
“I think Databricks is a once in a lifetime type company. It will be a trillion dollar company. Somebody in that data and AI space will become a trillion dollar company, and we're the innovation leaders. I think we can do it, right?”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 39:40 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
WTF Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2035
Khosla: A 10-person company will hit $1B in revenue within ten years
“And sometime in the next 10 years, we will see a company with a billion dollars of revenue that has only 10 employees.”
Vinod Khosla Aug 2, 2025 ▶ 1:05:30 Vinod Khosla: College Degrees Are Becoming Useless | People by WTF | Episode 12 · Nikhil Kamath
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2027
Amodei: In a couple years, AI will be the world's biggest industry
“I actually think that, you know, as the revenues, as the economic business of AI ramps up and it's ramping up exponentially, you know, if I'm right in a couple years, it'll be the biggest source of revenue in the world, right? It'll be the biggest industry in …”
Dario Amodei Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 59:53 Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei: AI's Potential, OpenAI Rivalry, GenAI Business, Doomerism
20VC Assertion Open · timeframe Jul 2030
Casado: OpenAI Lost Its Early Leads In Code, Image, And Video Generation
“OpenAI was the first to code, right? With GitHub Copilot. I mean, they provided the weights. As far as I know, and they lost that. And they were first to image with Dali, and they lost that. And they were the first to video with Sora. And as far as I can tell,…”
Martin Casado Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 19:17 a16z GP, Martin Casado: Anthropic vs OpenAI & Why Open Source is a National Security Risk with China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2026
Bessent predicts US will collect at least $300B in tariff revenue over 12 months
“Minimum on a forward 12 month basis, we're going to take in at least three hundred billion dollars in tariff income.”
Scott Bessent Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 13:16 Winning the AI Race Part 4: Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, Chris Wright, and Doug Burgum
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2030
Edwin Chen says he wouldn't sell Surge for $100 billion
“No, I mean, I definitely wouldn't sell for thirty billion or even a hundred billion.”
Edwin Chen Jul 21, 2025 ▶ 37:14 Surge CEO & Co-Founder, Edwin Chen: Scaling to $1BN+ in Revenue with NO Funding · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Flanagan: 95% of B2B buying journeys will start in LLMs by 2027
“Google search is one of the best channels we had in B to B. 80% of all purchases started on Google search. It's predicted by 2027, 95% will start in LLM.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 1:04:14 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2035
Andreessen: General-purpose robotics will scale massively over the next decade
“These human robots, like the general purpose robotics thing is going to happen, and it's going to happen in the next decade, and it's going to happen at giant scale, and I think there's a plausible argument, which Elon also believes, that robotics is going to …”
Marc Andreessen Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 20:27 From ChatGPT to Billions of Robots: Marc Andreessen’s Prediction · Joe Lonsdale
Y COMBINATOR Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2055
Musk predicts Mars will be self-sustaining within roughly 30 years
“I think we'll have enough mass transferred to Mars within like roughly 30 years to make Mars self-sustaining, such that Mars can continue to grow and prosper, even if the resupply shifts from Earth stop coming.”
Elon Musk Jun 19, 2025 ▶ 38:02 Elon Musk: Digital Superintelligence, Multiplanetary Life, How to Be Useful · Y Combinator
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
LeCun: Human-level AI will not happen within two years
“Whatever you can hear from some of my more adventurous colleagues it's not going to happen within the next two years. There's absolutely no way in hell to, you know, pardon my French.”
Yann LeCun May 30, 2025 ▶ 0:12 Yann LeCun: We Won't Reach AGI By Scaling Up LLMS
NEON SHOW Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Garg: Donald Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize by 2026
“And I think I'm, I have this now conviction, That he'll get the peace prize either in 2025 or 26.”
Deepak Garg May 23, 2025 ▶ 41:46 Why This Founder Won’t Sell Zomato for 10 Years | India’s Top Consumer Tech Bet?
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Lemkin: AI will replace half of sales and customer success teams
“Half of these sales teams will be gone in two years. Half of these sales and customer success teams will be gone in two years because they're mediocre. They'll be gone. They're all going to be laid off.”
Jason Lemkin May 1, 2025 ▶ 1:26:41 What Does it Take to Be Good at Series A and B Today? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
PRODUCT MARKET FIT Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Robinson: 6sense will eventually sell below its liquidation preference
“Like what's going to happen to them is the same thing that happened to Infusionsoft. They will eventually sell for less than their preferred because that's the only path unless they can reinvent the, you know, what are they trying to do?”
Adam Robinson Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 8:47 He grew to $25M in ARR and $14M in annual profits—with no funding & no dilution. | Adam Robinson,... · PMF Show
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Scott: 95% of net new code will be AI-generated within five years
“95% is going to be AI generated. I think very little is going to be line by line is going to be human written code.”
Kevin Scott Mar 31, 2025 ▶ 30:30 Kevin Scott, CTO @ Microsoft: An Evaluation of Deepseek and How We Underestimate the Chinese · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2035
Sivulka: AI agents will contribute over 50% of global GDP within a decade
“One of my big predictions is that over 50% of the global GDP will be contributed by AI agents sometime in the next decade.”
George Sivulka Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 36:05 Reasoning Models Are Remaking Professional Services
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Kushner: Saudi-Israel normalization is inevitable and will happen
“I think over time it's inevitable. Again, I thought it would happen four years ago, but I'm pretty confident it will happen now that we'll have the Saudi Israel normalization, hopefully under president Trump. And I think that that will lead to a lot of the inn…”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:36:20 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2029
Grimm: Anduril will become the sixth defense prime alongside incumbents
“I don't see it as like Lockheed, Boeing, Northrop, Raytheon, et cetera. We're going to take all of them down. I don't see that at all. I think it's going to be like, we're going to become the sixth prime alongside them and that there's still plenty, plenty, pl…”
Matt Grimm Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 34:46 Matt Grimm, Co-Founder @Anduril: How a Trump Administration Changes the Defence Industry | E1224 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2029
Chirls: 75% of 2020-2021 vintage VC funds won't return principal
“If you think about the twenty-twenty-one vintage, I think a one X fund will be top quartile. I think returning your money is, I think returning your LP's money on almost any timeframe will be top quartile. So in that sense, probably 70, I would guess 75% of th…”
Nicholas Chirls Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 21:11 Nicholas Chirls: Why Big VCs Ruin Startups, VC is a Ponzi Scheme Today & Most VCs are Bankers |E1198 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2034
Narayanan: AI model scaling cycles are ending
“We're not gonna have too many more cycles, possibly zero more cycles, of a model that's almost an order of magnitude bigger in terms of the number of parameters than what came before, and thereby more powerful.”
Arvind Narayanan Aug 28, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Arvind Narayanan: AI Scaling Myths, The Core Bottlenecks in AI Today & The Future of Models | E1195 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Lessin predicts OpenAI equity value is headed to zero
“Guys, I've been saying OpenAI zero the entire time. And I'm gonna keep saying it.”
Sam Lessin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 24:30 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2034
Ohanian: NWSL will be bigger than MLS in 10 years
“That's why I think the NWSL will be bigger than the MLS in 10 years. Because we can tell a story of excellence in women's football in America using the NWSL. But not the MLS.”
Alexis Ohanian Aug 7, 2024 ▶ 54:16 Alexis Ohanian: The Full P&L Breakdown of the World's Most Valuable Women's Sports Team | E1187 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Motamedi: Current Series B VC vintage overall will not perform well
“Again, Harry, I come back to, unless you're betting that public market multiples are going to re-expand, or that the growth durability of these assets is a lot stronger than what we've seen in the past, the vintage writ large is not going to perform. It does n…”
Saam Motamedi Jul 15, 2024 ▶ 49:53 Saam Motamedi: Why Series B Won’t Make Money & Why $1M ARR is a BS Milestone for Series A | E1177 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Trump asserts COVID-19 originated from and leaked out of Wuhan lab
“Where it originally came from was the Wuhan lab. I happen to think it escaped from the Wuhan lab.”
Donald J. Trump Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 34:37 In conversation with President Trump
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Trump promises automatic green cards for graduates of US colleges
“What I want to do and what I will do is you graduate from a college. I think you should get automatically as part of your diploma, a green card. To be able to stay in this country, and that includes junior colleges too.”
Donald J. Trump Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 44:42 In conversation with President Trump
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2031
The private capital secondary market will reach $1 trillion by 2031
“I'm on the record for saying that the secondary market is going to get to a trillion dollars by 2031. Whenever I say that, the first reaction is, you're crazy. And I've heard that a few times, I guess, in my career. But I have a deep conviction around this pre…”
Yann Robard Jun 17, 2024 ▶ 51:50 Yann Robard - Liquidity Solutions for Private Capital at Dawson (EP.392)
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Chamath: Nvidia will likely compete directly with GCP, AWS, and Azure
“So I think it's likely that Nvidia goes on a full frontal assault against GCP and Amazon and Microsoft.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 24, 2024 ▶ 37:05 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
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