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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Contradicted
Pfeffer: Bill Gates stole the original code that built Microsoft
“People forget that Bill Gates stole the code on which Microsoft has built.”
Jeffrey Pfeffer Jun 13, 2024 ▶ 1:01:41 The paths to power: How to grow your influence and advance your career | Jeffrey Pfeffer (Stanford)
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Calacanis: Democrats will replace Joe Biden with Gavin Newsom after first debate
“This is why I think Biden's getting hot swapped this month. You heard it here first. He's got, no, Gavin is going to be running for president. It's going to be Trump and Gavin. They are hot-swapping Biden after this first debate. Biden is going to get demolish…”
Jason Calacanis Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 28:25 DOJ targets Nvidia, Meme stock comeback, Trump fundraiser in SF, Apple/OpenAI, Texas stock market
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Fauci knew early in February 2020 that COVID leaked from lab
“Fauci knew very early, as early as February first of 2020, that COVID came from a lab leak.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 26:31 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
COVID vaccines were modestly effective and designed to manipulate DNA
“We caused billions of people all around the world to take immaturely tested drugs. They were called vaccines. We found out that they were modestly effective at best, and then some of them were designed in some ways to manipulate our DNA, and we just don't know…”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 31, 2024 ▶ 31:27 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Hulme: Microsoft acquired Inflection primarily for its 12,000 H100 GPU cluster
“I do not believe that Microsoft were buying the Pi model. I think Microsoft are GPU constrained, and we're buying a cluster of 12,000 H-one hundreds.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 49:13 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts second Biden term will force Elon Musk to divest X
“So I think that in a second Biden term, they will open an investigation and just start ratcheting up the pressure on Elon to get rid of X, because that's clearly what they want.”
David Sacks Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 1:17:26 Meta's scorched earth approach to AI, Tesla's future, TikTok bill, FTC bans noncompetes, wealth tax
NEON SHOW Assertion Contradicted
Western agencies funded India's first ultrasound imports to curb population growth
“They basically, these whole bunch of these Rockefeller, Ford, even some UN agencies were involved in this, and they basically imported with their funding ultrasound machines. And they basically said that, look, this is great. Why don't you allow parents to act…”
Sanjeev Sanyal Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 20:51 Sanjeev Sanyal UNFILTERED - Kolkata’s Downfall, Bihar’s UPSC Craze & The Indian Dream I Neon Show
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Contradicted
Lonsdale: Majority of Young Adults Dislike Jews for Their Success
“And now in 19 to 25 year olds, majority of them don't like Jews because we're successful.”
Joe Lonsdale Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 8:34 Ep 77: Mike Solana on Exposing Corruption, Saving San Francisco, and Building a New Media Empire · Joe Lonsdale
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Contradicted
Verdon: Centralized bioweapon defense research accidentally created a damaging virus
“There was centralized research on Bio, you know, bioweapon defense. Right. And we were worried about a potential virus that could do a lot of damage. And then it was actually accidentally created through that research.”
Guillaume Verdon Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 28:50 Ep 76: Accelerate or Die! Guillaume Verdon and the e/acc Movement · Joe Lonsdale
MORE OR LESS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sam Lessin: Solana will surpass Ethereum in market capitalization
“I think Solana flips Ethereum.”
Sam Lessin Dec 22, 2023 ▶ 1:02:48 #28: What We Got Right and Wrong in ’23 and Calls for ’24 · More or Less Podcast
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Tucker Carlson claims up to 70 million illegal immigrants reside in US
“Some estimates, 60, seventy million. Those are real estimates, by the way, not crackpot estimates.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 57:49 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
WE LIVE TO BUILD Assertion Contradicted
Tulla: An anti-inflammatory diet can put ALS in check
“Even ALS, I mean, can be put in check with the similar type of diet.”
Ari Tulla Nov 28, 2023 ▶ 37:37 Doctors Said She'd Never Have Kids. Diet Changed That.
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Rabois: No $100 billion European tech company has been created since 1990
“There hasn't been a hundred billion dollar European company created since 1990.”
Keith Rabois Nov 27, 2023 ▶ 20:37 Keith Rabois & Mike Shebat: Creating an Olympian Mindset to Work Ethic| E1087 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
NEON SHOW Assertion Contradicted
Kumar: Most milk in India exceeds regulatory aflatoxin limits
“There is a food safety standards, ok, guideline on what is the limit of aflatoxin. Most of the milk in the country is above, ok, that limit.”
Shashi Kumar Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 41:30 Heartbreaking Truth: The REAL REASON Indian Farmers Struggle - Akshayakalpa Founder on The Neon Show
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Didn’t hold up
Vogt: Cruise will sustain 10X annual fleet growth for the foreseeable future
“Next year it'll be thousands. And then it'll kind of continue. At least 10 X growth every year for their foreseeable future.”
Kyle Vogt Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 4:47 Cruise CEO Kyle Vogt — Self Driving Cars Will 10X Every Year
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Palihapitiya: Welfare incentivized Black women $92,000 to remain unmarried
“In, you know, black families as an example, the economic incentive to not get married on you know, today dollar adjusted basis was like, 92,000 to a black woman to not get married and have a child.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 2, 2023 ▶ 18:45 All-In Summit: "Luxury Beliefs are Status Symbols" with Rob Henderson
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mumgaard: CFS expects net energy fusion gain by early 2026
“And we'll start to assemble that machine later this year. And turn it on in this sort of, twenty-twenty-five time frame and get to Q greater than one, more power out than N for the first time probably early twenty-twenty-six.”
Bob Mumgaard Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 9:14 All-In Summit: Nuclear fusion and the potential for energy abundance
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: 70% of the world blames the US equally for Ukraine
“70% of the world's population does not believe this narrative about the Ukraine war. They understand that the U.S. Is at least equally responsible for this war.”
David Sacks Sep 1, 2023 ▶ 57:57 E144: Biden targets Elon, BRICS challenges the West, Tiger hit piece & more
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gerstner: 100% of 2021's thousand unicorns will face down rounds
“Remember we had a thousand unicorns at the end of 2021. And I've said a hundred percent of those are going to do a down round. And we're still in the early stages of that reset to occur.”
Brad Gerstner Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 33:07 E141: State of Series A's, VC dry powder, IPO window opens + more with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner
WTF Assertion Contradicted
Mazumdar-Shaw: Vijay Mallya has paid back everything he owed
“Well, he's paid back everything he owed. So I don't understand why he's still being targeted.”
Kiran Mazumdar-Shaw Jul 23, 2023 ▶ 11:08 Ep #7 | Who is Kiran Mazumdar Shaw Really? And WTF is Biotech? · Nikhil Kamath
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
LeCun: Autoregressive LLMs will be obsolete within a few years
“So my prediction is that within a few years, nobody in their right mind would use auto-reversive LLMs. They'll go away in favor of something more sophisticated and controllable. They can plan its answer as opposed to just produce one word after the other react…”
Yann LeCun May 15, 2023 ▶ 14:30 Yann LeCun: Meta’s New AI Model LLaMA; Why Elon is Wrong about AI; Open-source AI Models | E1014 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: 2004 NIH study showed hydroxychloroquine obliterates coronavirus
“We knew ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine were working. We knew that since 2004, because the NIH did this study that said hydroxychloroquine obliterates coronavirus.”
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. May 5, 2023 ▶ 48:22 In conversation with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: DTP vaccine killed or injured 1 in 300 kids in US
“It was killing or causing severe brain injury in one out of every 300 kids who got it.”
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. May 5, 2023 ▶ 1:03:35 In conversation with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Contradicted
Bill Simmons: NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell lied about Ray Rice
“And they did. Though Rice's told them. No, he lied.”
Bill Simmons Feb 13, 2023 ▶ 53:14 The Ringer: Bill Simmons
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: Employees joining a $1B unicorn in 2023 will make nothing
“If as an employee, if you join a company with, in, in 2023 with a valuation over a billion as an employee, you're gonna make nothing. It doesn't matter what it sells for, you're gonna make nothing.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 13, 2023 ▶ 22:52 Jason Lemkin: WTF is Going On in VC? Are LPs Investing in New Funds? | 20VC #965 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Chris Power claims 90% of US solar panels use Chinese slave labor
“90% of the solar panels in the country are being made in China by basically slave labor where millions of minority and immigrant women are being chemically castrated every year and forced into servitude.”
Chris Power Nov 18, 2022 ▶ 1:05:24 The Factory of the Future with Chris Power
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sinclair: Team May Reverse Aging in Humans Within 18 Months
“In Canada, we have a non-human primate study for safety to see how that goes, and within the next 18 months, if all goes well, we will be reversing aging in a human, if all goes well.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:11:01 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts elites and media will stop Musk from acquiring Twitter
“Elon is gonna be thwarted by these folks. He's not gonna get control of this company. They're, the vested interest in stopping him by the board, by the new CEO, and by the corporate media and the political elites is too great. They will find a way to stop him.”
David Sacks Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 48:53 E76: Elon vs. Twitter
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Calacanis: Musk will buy Twitter at a lower price by year-end
“My prediction is the Board tries to fight it. Stock collapses. Nobody thinks it's going to get done. Elon lowers his offer, and he wins it by the end of the year, and gives him a lower offer.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 55:26 E76: Elon vs. Twitter
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: Reduced global crop production will lead to famine in a year
“That means there's going to be less production over the next year. That means famine hits us in a year.”
David Friedberg Apr 1, 2022 ▶ 1:24:06 E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: Russian export controls will almost certainly cause widespread famine in 2022
“That are not just about sanctions, but also about export controls by Russia that are creating swings in food markets like we've never seen, and will almost certainly lead to widespread famine by the end of this year at this point.”
David Friedberg Mar 19, 2022 ▶ 16:46 E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath predicts Big Tech will hit peak market cap by 2023
“I think that this is sort of peak big tech market cap is probably within the next year or two.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 29:16 E60: The 2021 Bestie Awards PLUS Jack Dorsey starts the Web3 Wars
ACQUIRED Assertion Contradicted
Bankman-Fried: FTX's revenue is clean, clear, and completely transparent
“When you talk about, like, recurring revenue, like, there's sort of, like, doesn't exist a clearer example of that than, like, you know, I don't know, we have volume each day, and we charge a transaction fee on it, right? It's incredibly clean, right? People a…”
Sam Bankman-Fried Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 48:37 FTX with Sam Bankman-Fried & Mario Gabriele (Extended Cut) · Acquired
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ilishayev: GoPuff will be a multi-hundred billion dollar business by 2026
“And I think this business over the next five years is a multi-hundred billion dollar business.”
Rafael Ilishayev Jun 14, 2021 ▶ 33:03 20VC: GoPuff's Rafael Ilishayev on How GoPuff Has Been EBITDA Profitable From Day 1; The Unit Economics Behind GoPuff, With Intense Competition What Happens To The Food Delivery Space & What It Takes To Launch, Grow and Maintain New Markets
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Cyan Banister: San Francisco DA Chesa Boudin refuses to prosecute crimes
“We have a DA, Chesta, who will not prosecute crimes. I just found out yesterday a friend of mine whose house was burglarized. The perpetrators were let out of San Quentin for COVID. They robbed his house, almost kicked in the door of his neighbor who had a chi…”
Cyan Banister Oct 19, 2020 ▶ 39:02 20VC: Cyan Banister on Her Relationship To Money, Risk, Her Investment Decision-Making Process, Why We Will See A Reckoning in the Early Stage Market, Her Biggest Takeaways from HQ Trivia & The Future of Silicon Valley
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Fisher (2020): At 5% interest rates, every real estate investor goes bankrupt
“No, not a chance. They go to five to six percent. Every real estate investor that we know is bankrupt. They're not hanging on. They're broke and dead. And every home builder in America has no customers. That's a fact.”
Adam Fisher Jul 13, 2020 ▶ 48:03 Adam Fisher – Blending Global Macro and Real Estate at Commonwealth Asset Management (First Meeting, EP.21)
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Avi Meir: Business travel in 2021 will surpass 2019 levels
“I'm willing to bet That business travel will grow in twenty-twenty-one. Not based on twenty-twenty, based on twenty-nineteen.”
Avi Meir May 29, 2020 ▶ 13:41 20VC: TravelPerk's Avi Meir on Why 2021 Will Be A Record Year For Business Travel, The 3 Priorities For All Founders During COVID, What VCs Can Do To Really Support Their Founders In A Recession
TOP FOUNDERS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pysh: Bitcoin will probably peak between $200,000 and $300,000
“It's going to go straight through that number. It's probably going to go to two to 300,000.”
Preston Pysh Apr 22, 2020 ▶ 1:06:42 Preston Pysh on Bitcoin $200,000, QE at the top, UBI at bottom, $10t+ Fed Balance Sheet?
TOP FOUNDERS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pompliano: Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of 2021
“I think that from now where we're recording this in April of 2020, I think that by the end of 2021, we'll see Bitcoin hit a 100,000 dollar price point”
Anthony Pompliano Apr 13, 2020 ▶ 52:22 New podcast: Anthony Pompliano on Price of Bitcoin, Gold, Chinese Power, Corporate Bailouts and 3 Places He's Investing
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: US West Coast will reopen for business around April 7th or 8th
“New York is going to be fucked for a little while, but I do think that the west coast and with some travel restrictions is going to be able to reopen for business probably around April seventh or eighth, because we're going to see a dramatic decline at that po…”
David Friedberg Mar 19, 2020 ▶ 1:27:22 E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, VC & Public Markets with David Friedberg
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Ross: Declassified US estimate puts Chinese cyber IP theft above $300B annually
“When I was in government, we declassified a national intelligence estimate, which we tend not to do. Well, we declassified a national intelligence estimate that actually put a number on the amount of intellectual property theft taking place because of cyber at…”
Alec Ross Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:26 a16z Podcast | Open vs. Closed, Alpha Cities, and the Industries of the Future
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Ross: Iranians repurposed US malware to destroy 30,000 Saudi Aramco computers
“I've seen evidence that the malware that the United States is alleged to have used against Iran it looks like, if you look at the code base, it looks like Much of that code was used by the Iranians against the Saudis in attack, in an attack against Saudi Aramc…”
Alec Ross Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:08 a16z Podcast | Open vs. Closed, Alpha Cities, and the Industries of the Future
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Facebook Will Launch a Crypto Coin and Become Bitcoin's Main Competitor
“Now, I will say also that on crypto, I think that there's a high probability that the company that will really succeed in crypto will be Facebook, and the reason is that for them to launch their own coin and for them to distribute that coin and allow developer…”
Darian Shirazi Apr 6, 2018 ▶ 24:52 20VC: Why Facebook Will Be The Company To Succeed in Crypto, Why Founders Should Be Actively Angel Investing & Commonalities of Great Leadership From Mark Zuckerberg to Mark Pincus with Darian Shirazi, Founder & CEO @ Radius
Y COMBINATOR Prediction Didn’t hold up
Musk in 2016: Human travel to Mars could happen by 2026
“It's a meaningful number of people going to Mars I. I think this is potentially something that can be accomplished in about 10 years maybe sooner , maybe nine years.”
Elon Musk Sep 15, 2016 ▶ 10:14 Elon Musk : How to Build the Future · Y Combinator
MORE OR LESS Assertion Contradicted
Sam Lessin: Early Salesforce was unintegrated one-off software builds
“So the story I've heard, and someone can correct me in comments, I'm sure someone will, is that when he started Salesforce, it was billed as like this cloud CRM. And this platform, but it was total bullshit. He basically went to a bunch of people and sold them…”
Sam Lessin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 41:12 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
CATALYST Assertion Contradicted
Kann: Software engineering is the only job category truly displaced by AI to date
“And in fact, the only jobs that have been lost really because of AI to date are like software engineers.”
Shayle Kann Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 17:03 What comes after the data center backlash?
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Reyes: Major AI model providers explicitly plan to compete with customers
“At least, you know, two of the largest companies that provide models today have explicitly said, we are going to go after every single one of these industries and businesses that we provide like intelligence for.”
Eno Reyes Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 34:32 Should American Enterprises Work With Open-Source Chinese Models? | Only 10% of Neo-labs survive
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives
“Senator Ted Cruz and the committee on at, on, in the Senate did an analysis of the grants that were given during the Biden administration. And they found that roughly one quarter Where, 25% of grants at NSF during that time period went towards DEI-related quot…”
Michael Kratsios Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 7:27 Inside Trump's Science Agenda: Anti-Science Claims, Fauci's Damage, DEI & China w/ Michael Kratsios
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