Park: Simile may own a small hedge fund down the line
“Maybe similarly, we'll actually own a small hedge fund down the line.”
Sacks: Aschenbrenner grew his hedge fund from $200M to $20B
“Apparently he started with two hundred million or so in his hedge fund, and he rolled that all the way up to twenty billion, I think.”
Shkreli: Total hedge fund AI trade unwind is $500B to $1T
“We're gonna see July numbers very soon here from quite a lot of hedge funds that I think were in the same trade. And so this is not just Leopold's hundred billion gross. It's like that times maybe five or 10.”
Shkreli: A $50M newsletter business beats almost every hedge fund
“And if you start a newsletter business that makes a hundred million a year even fifty million a year of revenue, you've done better than almost every hedge fund on the planet.”
Williams College targets a 27% allocation to absolute return and hedge funds
“Today, our target allocation across our long, short, and absolute return portfolio is 27% in aggregate.”
Jain: Hedge funds charge too much in today's highly efficient markets
“Fees, I think what's the biggest problem in hedge funds? They charge too much. There's only so much juice in the game. These are efficient markets. It's not like seventies. Buffett can do whatever sitting, reading Moody's manual and pick up stock two times ear…”
Investors should only pay fees for concentrated, market-uncorrelated strategies
“The more you're just buying the market, and the more you're buying the market, the less interested you should be in paying fees. You should pay fees when it's more concentrated and thus uncorrelated with the market.”
Hedge fund allocation without extreme diversification is cash inefficient
“When we're investing in hedge funds, if you don't have extreme diversification, you're doing things in a cash inefficient way.”
UTIMCO's average hedge fund relationship lasts more than ten years
“Our average hedge fund relationship is 10 plus years.”
Pensions mistakenly incentivized hedge funds to lower volatility and gather assets
“The average hedge fund out there, down the fairway hedge fund, us dumb pensions did the wrong thing by incentivizing them to run lower vol and take in more assets and collect that management fee.”
Lessin: Top tech hedge funds are actively targeting retail wealth
“I hear a lot of hedge funds targeting retail now, because they think that there's certain, I mean, I, the top tech hedge funds have all told me this. They think that the institutional or stubborn wealth is sort of fixed, and they'll, Fight for a slightly more …”
Nolan: VC is a job of thinking rather than labor
“All that ultimately matters is a few companies per vintage, and you just have to be into those. And so certainly as a VC, much more than even private equity or hedge funds, as a VC, you don't actually have to work that hard meeting everybody. You can dive in a…”
Doronichev: Fully automated AI hedge funds will emerge to trade biotech
“I believe this is going to happen. We're going to have fully automated end-to-end first probably hedge funds or investment companies that would be full in the fully automated fashion, deeply analyzing scientific and business details of companies out there and …”
Del Buono: Venture Capital Has Highest Return Dispersion of Any Asset Class
“Venture is the biggest dispersion of all the asset classes, like compared to private equity, credit, or hedge funds or whatever.”
Grantham: Endowment boards struggle to manage giant egos of wealthy PE and VC donors
“Many committees are a nearly impossible task where, particularly in the endowment business, colleges, because rich graduates who've made big donations, Would love to sit on the board. They are treated with kid gloves because they're wonderfully good at making …”
Galloway: The entire hedge fund and alternative investment industry is a grift
“But if you took the entire alternative investments industry, any logo on CNBC, anyone that advertises, any hedge fund, anywhere, it's essentially a grift.”
Younis: Public equity hedge funds lack the fundamental edge people assume
“You might think as I did from far away that folks in at hedge funds or at large, you know, public equities funds are extremely nuanced and thoughtful, and they are like, you know, on whiteboards with, you know extremely deep and, oh, maybe even theoretical mat…”
Tenev: Robinhood does not have any business with hedge funds
“We don't really have any business with hedge funds.”
Baker: Good stock pickers will be good at shorting stocks
“There's no difference except for the risk, but the same principles apply. If you're good at buying stocks, you're going to be good at shorting stocks.”
Baker: For an unlevered long book under 100%, short alpha is irrelevant
“If you're going to run with an unlevered long book under a hundred, then short alpha is irrelevant. All that matters is your shorts must make money. Full stop.”
Baker: Scale and business resilience provide an essential advantage for hedge fund performance
“Hedge funds are fragile, and the smaller they are, the more fragile they are. I do think it's becoming a scale game, and that was very important advice from Mike. So if you have a diversified business, it makes it a lot easier to be rational when you're wrong.…”
Housel: Probably only a dozen people globally can outperform weekly pressures
“There's probably You know, a dozen people in the world who can actually outperform under those terms, and just unbelievably stressful at the same time.”
Sundheim: Hedge Funds Are a Horrible Business Model With Zero Terminal Value
“I don't think hedge funds are a good business. Our business, like, it's horrible. It's like, it's amazing cash flows. The cash flows really well. It has no terminal value.”
Bobby Jain: Multi-Strat Founders Must Fund Infrastructure Before Capital Arrives
“Actually, there's no chicken and egg. It's just a chicken. You have to build it all off your own balance sheet, and then the money comes in. That's a barrier to entry that you have to get through.”
Patel: Hedge funds make up 40% to 50% of SemiAnalysis's business
“Roughly like half our business is, or 40% of our business is like hedge funds”
Kaplan: Retail Investor Sentiment Signals Powered a Top-10 Hedge Fund in 2018
“So we basically got opinions from millions of humans that were just kind of average everyday people, and we were able to process that information and turn it into signals that actually beat the very best hedge funds. We ranked, we powered a hedge fund ultimate…”
Post-2008, 95% of hedge fund inflows went to managers over $5 billion
“If you looked at the amount of money allocated to hedge funds post the crisis, for the next three, four years, 95% of the dollars allocated to hedge funds globally went to hedge funds with more than five billion dollars.”
Deegan: Startups can will outcomes, but finance cannot will returns
“Because in the hedge fund space, I can promise you in the finance world, that's not possible. You can't just like will hedge fund returns. I think Bernie Madoff tried to do that and it doesn't work.”
Fallows: Entrepreneurs and High Earners Handle Sudden Wealth Better Than Athletes
“So I think, you know, if you, if you're coming from a background which is significantly more common for somebody who generates significant wealth as let's say an entrepreneur, or maybe you are a high paid employee at a tech firm, you're a high paid employee at…”
Altman: VC today resembles hedge funds and PE more than traditional VC
“We look much more like a hedge fund or PE world than we do VC from 10 years ago.”
Lyon: Risk arbitrage generated 20% returns historically due to market inefficiencies
“Back in the day, risk arb was an amazing business. It wasn't five percent. It was 20%. I was thinking back about, God, I wish I knew what I know now then, because having a market that could produce those rates of return by being one of the few participants is …”
Ripley: Early hedge fund backers secure founder discounts and liquidity control
“Some of the benefits that we see, one is you're generally gonna get better economics, so there's gonna be some form of founder class shares that you can participate in, whether that's a fee or a carry discount or both, both of those are available. Generally, y…”
Ripley: Hedge fund investing is an apprenticeship business learned at top firms
“In almost all the cases, though, it's an apprenticeship business where you've trained at a good firm. You've been shown what good looks like from a research perspective, and most importantly, from a portfolio management perspective.”
OTC trades support referral commissions better than portfolio management
“OTC is a lot easier to give commissions on than for portfolio management, because with the OTC, you have a profit that's baked in and you just give them a percentage of the profit. With the hedge fund, you have to make the profit to pay yourself back or to pay…”
CPPIB Compensation Excludes Carried Interest and Promote Structures
“We don't pay carry. We don't have the same pay structure as a general partner. We don't pay promote, so we don't have the same pay structure as a hedge fund.”
Chamath: Private equity returns will drop to zero due to overcapitalization
“And when you see that kind of graph, it doesn't matter what asset class it is, the returns go to zero. And so we've seen this in venture capital. We've seen this in hedge funds. And we're now going to see this in private equity.”
Kokko: AI Shifts Investor Edge to Asking Better Questions
“We are raising the bar, for sure, as any technology that is introduced into the investment process, now everybody's able to do things much more quickly, efficiently, and move more in an agile way, because the research can be applied to so much more that you, i…”
Sprickerhoff: Mid-sized hedge funds cannot afford full-time internal cybersecurity teams
“And I recognized that they needed these solutions that a tier one bank would have, but couldn't afford them because they were, you know, a hedge fund that's running two or three billion of money still has concerns, but they can't afford their own full-time sec…”
Meli: Best historical hedge fund returns occurred from late 1990s to 2010
“What I took from it is, look, it doesn't seem like a coincidence to me that a lot of the best hedge fund returns in history were created from the late nineties to 2010 when that alpha pool was really big.”
Meli: Influx of capital compressed hedge fund gross returns despite high fees
“There's very low barriers to entry in the investment world. So big alpha pool, highly, highly remunerated profession. Hedge funds on the front page of the newspapers, TV shows about them, houses in the Hamptons, all this great stuff. What happens? People come …”
Meli: Talent across PE, hedge funds, and long-only firms is identical
“One of the funny things about the industry is everybody looks at somebody at a private equity firm or Citadel or a hedge fund or long-only and thinks they're so different. They're the same people. They're just moving around seats.”
Meli: Capital Has Shifted Away from Broad Opportunistic Hedge Fund Mandates
“That doesn't really exist anymore in broad strokes. It's been diced up. You've got the distress funds, you've got the pods, you've got some single managers left, but there's not so much capital going to broad opportunistic mandates. It's become more specialize…”
Chamath: Unchecked hedge fund leverage threatens U.S. financial infrastructure
“They can take on so much leverage that even if you have, you know, 60, seventy billion, you're running a trillion long. And, you know, a trillion is not what it used to be, but it's still a lot of money where you can really screw up the infrastructure of Ameri…”
Seides: Median Private Equity Barely Beats Market While Median Hedge Funds Lag
“And I can say the median private equity fund probably does a little bit better than the market. The median hedge fund probably doesn't get you that much. The median real estate fund probably gets you some beta of real estate.”
Seides: Private equity risks hedge-fund-style fee scrutiny as returns compress
“You had this one and a half and 20 And the net returns were 10 to 12, and everyone was happy, and when they got to be six, all of a sudden, people have scrutiny. I think that's the concern with private equity today.”
Seides: Private equity faces a shakeout of undifferentiated mid-market firms
“Every industry as it matures gets concentrated into winners, and then some losers, and then specialists that have a place but are smaller.
Saw that in hedge funds, and you're going to see it in private equity.
There's going to be a shakeout of what's called th…”
Sharma: US hedge fund startup compliance costs increased 10x over twenty years
“If you set up a hedge fund today in America, the cost of doing that has gone up 10 X. Over the last 20 years. The legal costs, the compliance costs, administrative costs. So then the threshold for you to break even has become much higher.”
Future Fund: Tail-risk hedges make up roughly 20% of hedge fund book
“So we have a couple of hedge fund strategies that really are sort of volatility traders or tail protection type mandates. And if we had diversified hedge fund portfolio, and if the person running that or the team running that were incentivized just based on th…”
Arndt: Fund-wide fee caps risk cutting out hedge funds, PE, and VC
“Some of our local peers here in superannuation who have to compete for members have decided to go down a road of setting a fee budget for the whole fund. And then reporting those fees as a competitive advantage in their marketing. And we think that risks cutti…”
Arndt: Mega-funds internalizing asset management will force industry fee compression
“What's happening in infrastructure and properties, the big funds, rather than doing that, they're internalizing, as you pointed out, and that is creating pressure on the industry. And that will force change. And I think the same is true in equities and hedge f…”
Naimi: Tight feedback loops give hedge funds shorter lifespans than VC or PE
“I think the, Feedback lips and hedge funds are too tight. I think you can convince yourself you're a good investor or convince yourself you're a bad investor too quickly in, in, in hedge funds, and I think there's, which is why, I mean, if you look at hedge fu…”
Shkreli: 85% to 90% of top 15-20 hedge funds are quants
“Today of the top 15 to 20 hedge funds, 85, 90% are quants.”
Price-Wright: Weather PhDs are the highest-paid personnel on energy trading desks
“When you look at energy desks, like for, you know, the big hedge funds or energy trading companies, their weather guy is usually the highest paid person on the desk outside the portfolio manager.”
Sullivan: Manager selection is by far the most important factor in PE
“People read the book and see all the success Yale has had in the private equity world, in the hedge fund world, in places where manager selection is really by far the most important factor in success.”
Harris: Long-only hedge fund fees are shifting toward zero-and-thirty models
“I think you're seeing on some of the more long only, but disguised as hedge funds, that the fees are coming down. With returns coming down, people are starting to push back. You're seeing a lot more zero and 30, more alignment where you're not going to be able…”
Funding source for hedge funds completely shifted from equities to fixed income
“If you asked us 10 years ago, the funding source for most hedge funds was equity, and that's completely shifted. Even in our portfolios, the funding source is fixed income.”
J.P. Morgan sees hedge fund flows rebound after seven years of outflows
“We went from a period in 2014 where we made a strategic asset allocation shift downwards in hedge funds as we thought that rates were going to stay lower for longer. So our strategic asset allocation is 10%. We had negative flows for a period of almost seven y…”
Matthews: UHNW alternative allocations have flipped from hedge funds to private equity
“You'll see our wealthier clients have a larger percentage, more than eight percent usually, to the alternative space, more heavily focused on private equity than hedge funds. That's been a flip. 15 years ago, that was all hedge funds. Now it's mainly private e…”
Hedge funds are expanding into private credit and longer-lock vehicles
“You are starting to see some hedge funds think about private credit, and you are starting to see some hedge funds think about longer lock vehicles. So they're kind of getting into certain aspects of private markets that a larger multi-strategy alternative asse…”
Marks: Hedge funds stopped performing once they grew too large
“So you had the growth of the alternative investment business, and they tried hedge funds, but when the hedge funds got too big, they stopped performing, most of them, and then people fastened on private equity.”