The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
O'Driscoll: Anthropic Will Pass OpenAI in Scale and Profitability Shortly
“Within a couple of quarters, Anthropic will be visibly and obviously ahead. Profitable, growing more quickly, and bigger.”
Rory O'Driscoll May 28, 2026 ▶ 0:14 OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | Layoffs at Cloudflare & ClickUp | OpenRouter & Polsia Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
MIXERGY Opinion
Ben Cera: AGI is already here and skepticism is a skill issue
“To me, AGI is here. To me, it's all possible now. And I know people are skeptical. People know AGI is not here because sometimes this, sometimes that, or that's not what I believe. And I think it's more like a skill issue.”
Ben Cera May 27, 2026 ▶ 51:23 #2306 Polsia: AI Agent + Zero Employees = $10M Run Rate
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marc Rowan predicts disastrous returns for private equity enterprise software deals
“I personally expect the returns from private equity in the ground to be disastrous. Because so much of exposure is to enterprise software, and this does not mean that enterprise software companies are going out of business. Far from it. It means that the prosp…”
Marc Rowan May 27, 2026 ▶ 33:47 Private Markets, Software Repricing and Capital Allocation | Marc Rowan on a16z
a16z Opinion
Rowan: University protests are fundamentally anti-American and anti-system
“Israel, Palestine is not fully an anti-Semitic issue. And that's not what I saw at these universities. I saw it as an anti-American, anti-system issue.”
Marc Rowan May 27, 2026 ▶ 41:08 Private Markets, Software Repricing and Capital Allocation | Marc Rowan on a16z
20VC Opinion
Feldman states the Trump administration is unwaveringly better for business
“Unwaveringly better for business. You know, there are things I agree with, there are things I disagree with in this administration, but unwaveringly better for business.”
Andrew Feldman May 26, 2026 ▶ 57:10 Cerebras CEO on the Future of Data Centres, Token Costs & Memory | Should US Companies Sell to China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Peets: Anthropic will reach a $4T to $5T valuation
“I think Anthropik's a four or five trillion dollar company.”
Chad Peets May 23, 2026 ▶ 1:13 Why Anthropic Are Causing a Comp Crisis & Why You’d Never Hire From Salesforce or ServiceNow · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Chad Peets says Anthropic is inflating the executive compensation bubble
“Anthropic is, is inflating that bubble. Not that they're doing anything wrong. They just have so much money they can spend. And so they are setting benchmarks that the rest of the market is trying to keep up with.”
Chad Peets May 23, 2026 ▶ 47:17 Why Anthropic Are Causing a Comp Crisis & Why You’d Never Hire From Salesforce or ServiceNow · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Peets: Continental European tech sales talent lacks required work ethic
“I just think it's hard to find the types of people harder, I should say to find the types of people, particularly outside of the UK in Europe that are willing to put the effort in that I think is required to be successful. I just think it's challenging.”
Chad Peets May 23, 2026 ▶ 58:12 Why Anthropic Are Causing a Comp Crisis & Why You’d Never Hire From Salesforce or ServiceNow · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Lemkin: SpaceX market valuation will triple in 2026 driven by retail investors
“I'm going to take this bet that it's going to trade up three X, In twenty-twenty-six, just based on GameStoppers driving it up.”
Jason Lemkin May 21, 2026 ▶ 59:14 Anthropic Raises $30BN at $900BN Price | SpaceX Files S1: How Does it Trade | Cerebras Smashes Day 1 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baker: Open-Source AI Frontier Consists of Chinese Models Using Stolen US Tokens
“Open source frontier, which today consists of, you know, Chinese models with stolen American tokens.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 56:06 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
20VC Opinion
Browder: Former FTC Chair Lina Khan is evil
“Lena Kahn in my view is, is evil.”
Josh Browder May 18, 2026 ▶ 1:12:25 Turning Peter Thiel's $100K into $10M Angel Portfolio & Why VCs Can Be Sharks | Josh Browder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Kalinowski: OpenAI lacked proper governance around its Department of Defense deal
“And I feel that what happened with the decision-making, the speed of the decision-making, the governance, and the lack of defined guardrails around the announcement of the Department of War deal is not how I thought it should have been done.”
Caitlin Kalinowski May 17, 2026 ▶ 1:16:16 Why the next AI boom is physical AI | Caitlin Kalinowski (ex-OpenAI, Meta, Apple)
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Police Reform and Defund Movements Caused Massive Crime Waves
“All these, like, you know, crime policy reform, defund the police things, and that causes these massive crime waves, and then, of course, low-income and minority people get hit hardest by that”
Marc Andreessen May 11, 2026 ▶ 4:09 Marc Andreessen’s Worldview in 60 Minutes | Live on MTS
a16z Opinion
Andreessen: Social Reform Activists Are Driven by Greed and Power, Not Empathy
“They're neither empathetic nor, nor, nor are they suicidal, right? Rather quite the opposite. They're hateful and they're greedy. You know, they're sort of self-aggrandizing and gathering a power of resources for themselves.”
Marc Andreessen May 11, 2026 ▶ 6:14 Marc Andreessen’s Worldview in 60 Minutes | Live on MTS
PRODUCT MARKET FIT Assertion Partly supported
Wipro cut its HR team by 45% using Ema's AI agents
“For Wipro, for example, they report from thousand people. They have been able to first, you know, reduce the time taken for any of these requests. These are not just questions, requests from five to seven days to like few seconds to minutes. Right. So that's a…”
Surajit Chatterjee May 11, 2026 ▶ 9:32 Coinbase's ex-CPO bet on AI agents before ChatGPT—now he's closing 7-figure Fortune 500 deals. | ... · PMF Show
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pratt: LAFD whistleblowers say firefighters were told to abandon smoldering Lachman fire
“All the LAFD whistleblowers were coming to me. Telling me that they were told to leave the smoldering Lachman fire on January first.”
Spencer Pratt May 10, 2026 ▶ 15:11 Spencer Pratt on Fixing LA: Wildfires, Homelessness, Corruption & the Fight to Take It Back
White Calls PFL, Bellator, and ONE Championship "Failing Companies"
“PFL, Bellator, One FC, many, many other failing companies.”
Dana White May 10, 2026 ▶ 44:46 Dana White: The Man Behind the UFC
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
Weitzman: Speechify will soon spend more on AI tokens than salaries
“We're getting to the point where soon we're going to spend more on tokens than we spend on actual salaries.”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 0:23 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weitzman: AI Token Budgets Will Outpace Engineering Salaries Within Three Years
“We'll get there in three years. Yeah. You just need to be like a really strong early adopter.”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 35:36 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Sacks: Anthropic will reach $100B ARR by end of 2026
“I think it's pretty much a foregone conclusion that they will hit that forecast of Tenex this year, exiting the year, call it roughly a hundred billion of ARR, and now the only question is whether they hit a trillion in twenty-twenty-seven, and we can debate w…”
David Sacks May 8, 2026 ▶ 15:09 Elon’s Anthropic Deal, The Next AI Monopoly?, “FDA for AI” Panic, Trading the AI Boom
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2027
Chamath predicts Tesla and SpaceX will merge by mid-next year
“When Tesla and SpaceX merge and we have all things, Elon and Elon Corp. Okay. Which will happen. Probably by the end of the year, maybe it'll happen in the middle of next year.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 8, 2026 ▶ 24:46 Elon’s Anthropic Deal, The Next AI Monopoly?, “FDA for AI” Panic, Trading the AI Boom
MORE OR LESS Assertion Partly supported
Lessin: Trial revealed Altman paid Brockman $10M from family office
“It was revealed that Altman, because it was a nonprofit back then, was paid Greg ten million dollars out of his, like, own family office and kept it from Elon, and so all these sort of alliances were being formed beneath the surface, and it just seemed like a …”
Jessica Lessin May 8, 2026 ▶ 41:23 Why the Met Gala Hates Tech, Elon vs OpenAI Drama, and the Rise of Chinese AI Models · More or Less Podcast
20VC Opinion
Lemkin: Fire employees who brag about team size on LinkedIn
“Anyone on LinkedIn that talks about their team, fire them. My team this. They're all so precious about their team. Lead from the effin' front with AI.”
Jason Lemkin May 7, 2026 ▶ 0:44 Anthropic's Raise & What It Means for Potential IPO? Mag7: Google & Amazon Up, Meta & Microsoft Down · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe May 2031
Isaacman: NASA astronauts will build President Trump's moon base
“When we return to the moon, America will not look down on the prime lunar real estate while our rivals occupy it. NASA astronauts will be on the surface, building President Trump's moon base, and we will realize the scientific, economic, and national security …”
Jared Isaacman May 6, 2026 ▶ 6:38 NASA, SpaceX, Blue Origin, and The Race to The Moon | Jared Isaacman on The a16z Show
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Isaacman: China's moon schedule is potentially within a year of NASA's
“Regardless if we had a rival that is, again, within potentially a year of our schedule on this, it is still, the changes we announced last week is still in the correct direction.”
Jared Isaacman May 6, 2026 ▶ 21:05 NASA, SpaceX, Blue Origin, and The Race to The Moon | Jared Isaacman on The a16z Show
TBPN Opinion
Cohen: Advertisers Conspired Against Twitter Due to Politics, Not Cuts
“What really happened at Twitter was that the advertisers, you know, I don't know what the situation is now, but they pretty much conspired against him, and, you know, it had nothing to do, my understanding is it really had nothing to do with the cost cuts, mor…”
Ryan Cohen May 5, 2026 ▶ 8:49 FULL INTERVIEW: GameStop’s Ryan Cohen on Why He’s Buying eBay
TBPN Disclosure
Cohen says GameStop will issue stock to fund half-cash eBay takeover
“We're offering half cash, half stock, and we have the ability to issue stock in order to get the deal done.”
Ryan Cohen May 5, 2026 ▶ 22:07 Neural Computers, GameStop’s $55B eBay Offer | Diet TBPN
20VC Opinion
Tobi Lütke: Everyone should be deeply suspicious of non-profit organizations
“The problem with charity dollars is they can't be given to anything that has a self healing fitness function, like, which is very fancy way of saying the words. For profit. Like markets voting of if a thing should exist. And like a not for profit, like the wor…”
Tobi Lütke May 4, 2026 ▶ 35:28 Shopify CEO on How AI is a Scapegoat for Mass Layoffs & Trump Derangement Syndrome in Canada · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Carlyle Group removed Gregg Renfrew as CEO five months after buyout
“They made the decision in October that I was not capable of running the company, and they decided to remove me as CEO.”
Gregg Renfrew May 4, 2026 ▶ 52:29 Beautycounter: Gregg Renfrew. She Built Beautycounter to $1B… Then Got Fired From Her Own Company
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Palo Alto Networks can penetrate and manipulate every AI model
“What I will tell you is, I'm not even sure if I'm allowed to say this, but a very good, probably the best cybersecurity company in the world, run by one of the very best CEOs in the world. Who may or may not be speaking at liquidity would tell you that they ha…”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 1, 2026 ▶ 26:16 OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze
Black: Donald Trump is the most financially astute US president ever
“President Trump is so fantastic is he is the most financially astute president we've ever had, and he's really focused on how economics makes the world go round and what it means for not just the exercise of American power, but building out the next century to…”
Ben Black Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 16:45 Running DC Like Wall Street: CEO of America's Investment Fund · Joe Lonsdale
20VC Prediction Held up
Lemkin: A $100 billion startup exit will happen within a year
“The big exits will solve it, right? The whizzes and the, I mean, we thought whizz was big. Now we have cursor. Now I'm going to win the bet of a hundred billion dollar exit in the next year.”
Jason Lemkin Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 1:05:12 Anthropic Raises $45B but Falls Short on Compute & Thoma Bravo Hand Back Medallia Keys to Creditors · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
SOURCERY Disclosure
Brett Adcock says he terminated Figure's AI collaboration agreement with OpenAI
“And so I fired him.”
Brett Adcock Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 17:38 The $10 Trillion Bet on Humanoid Robots | Figure Founder Brett Adcock · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Y COMBINATOR Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hassabis predicts AGI will arrive around 2030
“Depending on what your AGI timeline is, You know, mine's like, 20, 30 or something like this.”
Demis Hassabis Apr 29, 2026 ▶ 39:14 Demis Hassabis: Agents, AGI & The Next Big Scientific Breakthrough · Y Combinator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: OpenAI board gave zero explanation when firing Altman and removing Brockman
“I was told that the board has decided That Sam would be removed, and effectively the message that I got was the same messaging that was in the public post, and I asked if I could have any more information. I was told no, not right now, and I pressed on that ma…”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 16:08 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jake Paul Claims He Is Uncancellable Because He Has Done Nothing Bad
“That's the thing is I'm uncancellable because like no one will ever find or see anything about me that is actually bad. And it's all just like fake hate.”
Jake Paul Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 9:04 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Jake Paul: Donald Trump Is One of the Best U.S. Presidents
“I think he Is arguably one of the best presidents the United States has had in, in this term. There's so much propaganda and things, but at the end of the day he's doing an incredible job, and there's always gonna be criticisms.”
Jake Paul Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 37:05 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks claims Anthropic allied politically with AI doomer and NIMBY groups
“Category number three ironically, again, is Anthropic itself. It has allied itself politically with a lot of the Doomer groups, a lot of the NIMBY groups.”
David Sacks Apr 17, 2026 ▶ 44:46 OpenAI's Identity Crisis, Datacenter Wars, Market Up on Iran News, Mamdani's First Tax, Swalwell Out
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Morin: Anthropic is raising at an $800B valuation
“And Anthropic this week, I heard, is also now raising at an eight hundred billion.”
Brit Morin Apr 17, 2026 ▶ 25:23 Allbirds Pivoted to AI Data Centers | SpaceX $1.5T IPO, Anthropic $800B, $175M Seed Rounds
Rabois: I refuse to let colleagues talk to consumer customers
“I refuse to allow colleagues of mine to talk to customers.”
Keith Rabois Apr 12, 2026 ▶ 52:19 Hard truths about building in the AI era | Keith Rabois (Khosla Ventures)
Rabois: Criticizing employees publicly optimizes for the system over the individual
“When you give people feedback negative individually, you're optimizing for the atomic unit, not the system. The reason why to do it in public is it's more important for all the colleagues to understand that there's an issue it's being addressed.”
Keith Rabois Apr 12, 2026 ▶ 1:13:10 Hard truths about building in the AI era | Keith Rabois (Khosla Ventures)
Rabois: High-performance teams do not have psychological safety
“No, no, I don't believe in that at all. Like high performance machines don't have psychological safety. They're about winning.”
Keith Rabois Apr 12, 2026 ▶ 1:14:38 Hard truths about building in the AI era | Keith Rabois (Khosla Ventures)
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Gerstner: Anthropic could hit $80B-$100B revenue run rate by year-end
“I would not be shocked if you see Anthropic exiting this year at 80 to a hundred billion dollars in revenue.”
Brad Gerstner Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 48:16 Anthropic’s $30B Ramp, Mythos Doomsday, OpenClaw Ankled, Iran War Ceasefire, Israel's Influence
MAD Assertion Supported
Anthropic model broke out of sandbox and emailed researcher without internet access
“And I can, there's one example we have published, which is that the model was put into a little sandbox, a little, like, technical container, and it was given the task to, like, maybe break out, and the researcher went away for lunch, and, like, during lunch w…”
Felix Rieseberg Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 5:49 Anthropic’s Felix Rieseberg: Claude Cowork, Mythos, and the SaaS Extinction
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2031
Jason Lemkin: SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic combined IPO values will top past 20 years
“The big three, SpaceX plus OpenAI plus Anthropic, their value at IPO will exceed every other IPO for the last 20 years combined.”
Jason Lemkin Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 0:43 OpenAI Buys TBPN & Their Management Team Reboot | Mercor Hack & Why Now is the Time for Cyber · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Disclosure
Shapiro says he withdrew from VP consideration 48 hours before Walz selection
“And about 48 hours before she picked Tim Walz, I pulled out and made clear that that was not something I was interested in doing.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 24:16 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balaji Srinivasan: Centralized Bitcoin on Coinbase and MicroStrategy will likely be seized
“Like, will all the centralized Bitcoin on Coinbase's servers, Sailor servers, et cetera, get seized? I think it's quite likely. I think it eventually gets seized in some exigent circumstance.”
Balaji Srinivasan Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 1:01:40 Why Balaji Srinivasan Thinks the SaaS Apocalypse Is Overhyped | The a16z Show
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Hassabis: Google and DeepMind developed 90% of modern AI breakthroughs
“I would say about 90% of the breakthroughs that underpin the modern AI industry were done either by Google Brain or Google Research or DeepMind, so one of our groups.”
Demis Hassabis Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 0:00 Demis Hassabis: Why AGI is Bigger than the Industrial Revolution & Where Are The Bottlenecks in AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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