“I would say about 90% of the breakthroughs that underpin the modern AI industry were done either by Google Brain or Google Research or DeepMind, so one of our groups.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
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More from Demis Hassabis
PredictionOpen · timeframe Apr 2031
Hassabis: There is a very good chance AGI arrives within five years
“I mean, I think, look, I've got a probability distribution around the timings, but I would say there's a very good chance of it being within the next five years.”
Demis HassabisApr 7, 2026▶ 2:10Demis Hassabis: Why AGI is Bigger than the Industrial Revolution & Where Are The Bottlenecks in AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Hassabis: AGI impact will be 10x the Industrial Revolution at 10x speed
“I sometimes quantify the coming of AGI as 10 times the industrial revolution at 10 times the speed.”
Demis HassabisApr 7, 2026▶ 0:50Demis Hassabis: Why AGI is Bigger than the Industrial Revolution & Where Are The Bottlenecks in AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Hassabis: Algorithmic innovation will soon drive AI advantages over pure scaling
“Those labs that have Capability to invent new algorithmic ideas are going to start having bigger advantage over the next few years. As the last set of ideas, all the juices being wrung out of them.”
Demis HassabisApr 7, 2026▶ 0:27Demis Hassabis: Why AGI is Bigger than the Industrial Revolution & Where Are The Bottlenecks in AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
AssertionOpen · timeframe Dec 2030
Hassabis: DeepMind's 2010 prediction of a 20-year AGI timeline remains on track
“We used to do this extrapolation of compute and algorithmic progress, and basically we predicted around 20 years it would take from when we started out, and I think we're pretty much on track.”
Demis HassabisApr 7, 2026▶ 2:43Demis Hassabis: Why AGI is Bigger than the Industrial Revolution & Where Are The Bottlenecks in AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
PredictionOpen · timeframe Apr 2031
Hassabis: Open-source AI models will lag frontier proprietary models by six months
“I think increasingly you know, what you're gonna see is the open source models are probably one step back from the absolute frontier. You know, it usually takes about six months for the open source community to sort of re-implement and figure out what those id…”
Demis HassabisApr 7, 2026▶ 10:45Demis Hassabis: Why AGI is Bigger than the Industrial Revolution & Where Are The Bottlenecks in AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Hassabis: 50% chance breakthroughs like world models are still needed for AGI
“There's a fifty-fifty chance there's some things maybe missing that we still need to make breakthroughs in, perhaps their world models”
Demis HassabisApr 7, 2026▶ 11:38Demis Hassabis: Why AGI is Bigger than the Industrial Revolution & Where Are The Bottlenecks in AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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