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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Coogan: Startup will demo an armed humanoid robot within six months
“I was predicting that within the next six months, I think that there will be a startup that will take one of these humanoid robots Even if it's tele-operated, give it an AR-fifteen, like a machine gun or a rifle, and just do a demo of like what this would look…”
John Coogan Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 38:20 John Coogan (TBPN) gives you $1B BIG startup ideas
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Grimm predicts Russia-Ukraine negotiated settlement within the next year
“My guess is that and it's a complete conjecture here. I have no insider information whatsoever, but my guess is that we see some sort of detente or some sort of negotiated settlement take place probably over the next year would be my guess. And if I had to bet…”
Matt Grimm Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 10:42 Matt Grimm, Co-Founder @Anduril: How a Trump Administration Changes the Defence Industry | E1224 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bannon predicts Judge Merchan will sentence Donald Trump to prison
“Mershon is no doubt to me Mershon is going to give him a prison sentence.”
Steve Bannon Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 1:36:39 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Andreessen: For every active US dockworker, another is paid to stay home
“For every doc worker in the U S actually works on the doc doc, there's actually somebody sitting, there's a doc worker sitting at home doing nothing, still getting paid.”
Marc Andreessen Oct 29, 2024 ▶ 31:24 AI, Robotics & the New Global Arms Race
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath: Starbucks sales will decline as GLP-1 drug adoption grows
“And I think if you start to graph the adoption of GLP ones pervasively in America to the drop in same store sales, I think as GLP one adoption goes up, same store sales will continue to go down.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 1:26:53 Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks
SOURCERY Assertion Contradicted
Socher: You.com invented RAG at web scale before the term existed
“We realized just like with rag where we had invented rag already, we're doing it at a web scale, but it wasn't yet a term.”
Richard Socher Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 10:23 Former Chief Scientist at Salesforce, Richard Socher | You.com, LLMs, AI Agents, Complex Work · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
NEON SHOW Assertion Contradicted
India's socialist policies collapsed GDP per capita from $2,730 to $300
“Because of the socialist policies that we pursued from then on till 1991, when we liberalized and there is an important lesson actually, that's why I'm explaining this. We reduced our GDP per capita from 2730 to 300 dollars.”
Krishnamurthy Subramanian Oct 19, 2024 ▶ 33:40 Former CEA: "INDIA WILL BECOME A $55 Trillion Economy By 2047" | KV Subramanian Proves On Neon Show
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Small modular reactors (SMRs) do not work yet in practice
“These SMRs, they don't work. Oh, that's, just to be clear, SMRs don't work yet. We have theoretical ways in which we can profile and model that they work. But we don't have a functional one that people can look at and inspect.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 1:02:22 Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
MORE OR LESS Assertion Contradicted
Morin: Tesla assembled the largest supercomputer in human history
“Tesla has also assembled the largest supercomputer in the history of humanity. That's a Tesla asset that is the GPU cluster that they've put together.”
Dave Morin Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 23:29 #69: Robots, Rockets, and Elon Hype · More or Less Podcast
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Ukraine's military will collapse within one to six months
“I think that Ukraine within, it could be in the next month. It could be the next two months. It could be the next six months. I think they're eventually going to collapse. They're getting close to being combat incapable.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2024 ▶ 1:29:43 OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Sinema: Most Gaza aid is siphoned off by Hamas
“We know that the majority of it is being siphoned off by Hamas and used as a weapon of war.”
Kyrsten Sinema Sep 24, 2024 ▶ 28:43 Senator Kyrsten Sinema | All-In Summit 2024
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Vance: Joint Chiefs disobeyed Trump on Syria troop redeployments
“The Joint Chiefs of Staff Didn't obey the president of the United States on troop redeployments in Syria, which actually happened during Trump's administration.”
JD Vance Sep 10, 2024 ▶ 16:45 JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Vance claims there are 25 million illegal immigrants in the US
“Because you have twenty-five million illegal aliens in this country, and you like, you can't fix what I would call the minor or sort of less important immigration question until you fix the real problem.”
JD Vance Sep 10, 2024 ▶ 26:34 JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: DOJ memo concluded Trump did not meet legal bar for January 6 incitement
“In the wake of January six, Merrick Garland's Justice Department did an analysis of whether Trump could be prosecuted for incitement, whether he incited that mob, and the legal memo came back, and they said, no, we don't have a case here. It does not meet the …”
David Sacks Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 1:15:11 In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: EU Commissioner Thierry Breton ordered Elon Musk not to interview Trump
“Two weeks before that, you had this crazy European commissioner, Thierry Breton, saying that he ordering, ordering Elon Musk to not interview Donald Trump, a former president of the United States, the nominee of a, of one of the two major political parties”
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 1:36:48 In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: Coca-Cola is the biggest financial supporter of NAACP
“I think Coca-Cola is the biggest supporter of NAACP”
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 1:55:33 In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
MORE OR LESS Assertion Contradicted
Thiel Claimed Bill Gates Founded His Foundation to Pay Off Melinda
“The one thing that really pissed me off about the Peter Thiel, Joe Rogan interview was a long section where he Sort of claims in that Peter Thiel way that the only reason Bill Gates started the Gates Foundation was to pay off Melinda Gates instead of giving he…”
Jessica Lessin Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 12:24 #61: The Venture Capital Reset Era · More or Less Podcast
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: No net new US jobs created for native-born Americans in four years
“If you look at job creation over the last four years, there's been no net new job creation for native-born Americans. All the job creation has been foreign-born or-”
David Sacks Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 43:00 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Gold Star families will protest Tim Walz at campaign events
“If Walts doesn't drop from the ticket, I predict there'll be gold star families protesting all of their events, and that's gonna be a real headache from now till the election.”
David Sacks Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 1:36:16 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: The United States is currently in an economic recession
“I think we're in a recession”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 34:23 Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
GREEN BLUEPRINT Assertion Contradicted
Shah: Wildfire costs account for only 3-5% of PG&E rate hikes
“You know, what amounts to, I think, 15% rate increases every year for the last four years for PG&E because of uncontrolled distribution grade investments, and it's not wildfire related. Let's just be crystal clear. People call it wildfire. Three to four percen…”
Jigar Shah Jul 16, 2024 ▶ 48:11 Our final episode: The top stories of 2024 so far
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Calacanis predicts a Biden cognitive decline whistleblower within 10 days
“A whistleblower will emerge in the next 10 days.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 12, 2024 ▶ 1:08:09 Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Calacanis: Democrats will hold a 10-week, five-debate primary speed run
“They're going to do a democratic primary speed run. Here's what's going to happen. They're going to do five debates in 10 weeks. And then, whoever wins, wins.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 11:53 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Biden approved US private contractors fighting in Ukraine
“Biden actually approved Private contractors now going into Ukraine and starting to fight. Americans will be on the battlefield as of, I think this was just a few days ago.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 22:23 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Democrats are more likely than not to keep Biden on ticket
“Whoa. I think it's more likely than not that they're not going to replace Biden because the only feasible alternative is Harris and should be worse, and I think it's more dangerous for the country, frankly.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 1:21:21 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Zoom has 90% of its R&D and OpEx in China
“The Zoom example is a terrible, the Zoom example is a terrible one, and the reason is that P&L would have a hole blown on the side of it if they did not have 90% of their R&D and OpEx in China.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 29, 2024 ▶ 1:17:11 Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Contradicted
Means: Big Tobacco drove the largest food M&As in US history
“In 1990, two of the three largest M&A deals in American history were cigarette companies buying food companies. So every single processed food companies we can actually point to is either still owned by a cigarette company. We don't even realize this craft is …”
Calley Means Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 16:48 The Dark Story Behind Ozempic’s $500B Business Empire
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Contradicted
Means: 15% of American high schoolers are prescribed Adderall
“We prescribe 15% of high schoolers basically meth, you know, Adderall, which is literally like one molecule away from meth.”
Calley Means Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 1:10:46 The Dark Story Behind Ozempic’s $500B Business Empire
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath predicts Biden will not serve out a full second term if re-elected
“I don't think Biden is going to step down at all, but I do think there's a chance A non-trivial chance that Biden wins. And if he does, I don't think he's going to make it four years.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 20:15 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: US job growth is driven by public sector, not private
“The government is creating jobs like crazy, not in the private sector, but in the public sector, because it is an election year.”
David Sacks Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 1:23:06 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
BG2 Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gerstner: 'Death of software' narrative will look silly within 24 months
“I would argue less than 24 months will appear to be silly. I think there's some really interesting investments to be made particularly in the public markets because a lot of these incumbents have incumbent advantages and, you know, they're going to accelerate …”
Brad Gerstner Jun 10, 2024 ▶ 55:06 Ep10. Pre-IPO Market, AI Hype Cycle, Is Software Dead? | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Furin cleavage site proves SARS-CoV-2 was engineered in a lab
“The fear and cleavage site makes it clear that this was a lab leak. That's not a naturally occurring virus. The fear and cleavage sites were engineered.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 23:15 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Fauci personally reversed Obama-era gain-of-function research ban
“Moreover, Fauci was personally responsible for reversing an Obama-era decision To prohibit gain of function research because it was so risky.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 27:21 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Democrats will not replace Joe Biden following Trump's conviction
“If you want to make a switcheroo and get a different candidate than Joe Biden, that's not going to happen now because Democrats in the media think that this is their salvation.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 1:36:33 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Contradicted
Microsoft screws channel partners by cutting renewal commissions to 5%
“Microsoft screws their channel program partners. What do they do? They give them a nice 30% commission on the first year, and a nice five percent commission on the second year when the customer renews.”
Dror Liwer May 28, 2024 ▶ 22:45 Coro Announces $100m Live on the Show, Their Partnership Playbook
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Sachs claims real U.S. household net worth has declined under Biden
“If you adjust for inflation, in other words, you look at the real household net worth, you can see that household net worth during the Biden term has been flat. Actually, it's down.”
David Sacks May 24, 2024 ▶ 46:47 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Contradicted
Controlled Studies Show Grieving People Suffer Worse Outcomes From Therapy
“There's a whole body of research that shows, you know, people who've gone through natural bereavement, the loss of a loved one, often feel worse after therapy. They did these controlled studies with You know, a control group who didn't, who lost a loved one, b…”
Abigail Shrier May 21, 2024 ▶ 31:17 Abigail Shrier: Why the Kids Aren’t Alright
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Contradicted
Therapy Causes Breast Cancer Survivors to Experience Worse Anxiety and Depression
“Same thing with you know, breast cancer survivors, anxiety about it, depression about it. They did worse if they had gone to therapy and also alienation from a spouse, alienation from parents. All of these are classic iatrogenic effects of therapy, and there's…”
Abigail Shrier May 21, 2024 ▶ 31:47 Abigail Shrier: Why the Kids Aren’t Alright
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Contradicted
No Robust Scientific Evidence Shows That Preventive Mental Health Therapy Works
“There's no good study showing preventive mental health works unless you're talking about things like a good life, like connection, you know, doing things for others, getting involved in community, dancing, you know, exercising, eating right.”
Abigail Shrier May 21, 2024 ▶ 37:26 Abigail Shrier: Why the Kids Aren’t Alright
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Contradicted
Martin: Bootstrapped SaaS Grows 6.7% Faster Than VC-Backed Past $10M ARR
“Another statistic that I saw was SaaS median growth rate over ten million ARR is 24%, so growth goes down obviously a little bit as you're scaling the organization. However, if you split out venture-backed companies, Bootstrapped actually grows 6.7% faster Tha…”
Liam Martin May 16, 2024 ▶ 1:47 13 Lessons I Learned Bootstrapping to $20m in Revenues
STARTUPS FOR THE REST OF US Prediction Didn’t hold up
Walling: Twitter will be acquired at a deep discount in 2024
“The second prediction I want to touch on is I predicted that Twitter changes hands in twenty-twenty-four, question mark? And I don't know about you, but does it feel like the writing's on the wall? That Twitter is gonna be snapped up by someone at a deep disco…”
Rob Walling May 7, 2024 ▶ 5:29 Episode 712 | Revisiting Burnout + Updates on My Progress in 2024...
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Andreessen: FDIC blocked private equity and bank bids to buy SVB
“There were both there were other big banks that wanted to buy SVB, and there were private equity firms that wanted to buy SVB, and basically do a private sector bailout requiring no, no taxpayer involvement, and the FDIC actually blocked those also.”
Marc Andreessen May 2, 2024 ▶ 1:16:44 Startup Building: Challenges & Opportunities
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: FDIC rejected SVB buyer to avoid creating another G-SIB bank
“One of the blocks was there was a bank that was going to buy Silicon Valley bank and by buying Silicon Valley bank, it would move up into the G-SIB category, which is globally systemic important banks. And they're like, no more G-SIBs.”
Ben Horowitz May 2, 2024 ▶ 1:17:04 Startup Building: Challenges & Opportunities
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Contradicted
Maldonado: Most retailers make more from slotting fees than product sales
“And these, you know, retailers, most of them, they make more, more money from slotting fees than they do from actually selling products.”
Pete Maldonado May 2, 2024 ▶ 3:46 Advice Line with Pete Maldonado of Chomps
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts TikTok will be shut down in US, not divested
“So I don't think they're going to be able to divest. I think they're just going to get shut down.”
David Sacks Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 1:12:39 Meta's scorched earth approach to AI, Tesla's future, TikTok bill, FTC bans noncompetes, wealth tax
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Car thieves are not prosecuted in almost any blue state
“One of the big things that's changed in talking to many police officers is like grand theft auto is no longer a thing. Like if you steal a car, you don't get prosecuted in almost any state. Certainly in any blue state, you're not getting prosecuted for stealin…”
Ben Horowitz Apr 24, 2024 ▶ 25:36 Startup Building: Major Shifts in Tech & Culture
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Didn’t hold up
Doshi: Search engine traffic will drop over 25% before 2026
“I mean, I think there's a very high probability it is greater than that number in a shorter span of time.”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 44:38 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
MORE OR LESS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sam Lessin: An outright US ban on TikTok will never get done
“I think saying ban TikTok, that's a thing that like candidly might be marginally better, but you'll never get done.”
Sam Lessin Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 13:33 #37: TikTok's Latest Crisis, Elon's Emails, AI Monopolies · More or Less Podcast
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