Prediction Didn’t hold up AI assessment confidence: 98% certainty 1/5 debate potential 4/5

Grimm predicts Russia-Ukraine negotiated settlement within the next year

Matt Grimm · Matt Grimm, Co-Founder @Anduril: How a Trump Administration Changes the Defence Industry | E1224 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings · Nov 11, 2024 · at 10:42

Matt Grimm is the co-founder and COO of defense technology firm Anduril. He is sharing his prediction on the ultimate trajectory and resolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

0:00 / 0:30exact quote · 30.2s
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“My guess is that and it's a complete conjecture here. I have no insider information whatsoever, but my guess is that we see some sort of detente or some sort of negotiated settlement take place probably over the next year would be my guess. And if I had to bet it looks something like Russia annexing a chunk of Eastern Ukraine more or less along the line of conflict where the line has, you know, for better or worse kind of held for the last year or so. And that then the, War kind of de-escalates and everybody goes back to rebuilding.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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