Russia

21 statements across 14 episodes · 2 bullish · 8 bearish · 14 people on the record · first statement Mar 15, 2021 by Tony Fadell · said 168 times in 76 episodes since 2015 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Harry Stebbings (24), Shaun Maguire (17), Matthew Prince (8), Fabrice Grinda (8), Torsten Reil (5), Reid Hoffman (5), Matt Grimm (5), Josh Browder (5)

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01020201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
00210420201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 19 mentions in 12 episodes 2 per episode
2025 15 mentions in 11 episodes 1 per episode
2024 78 mentions in 20 episodes 4 per episode
2023 19 mentions in 8 episodes 2 per episode
2022 21 mentions in 11 episodes 2 per episode
2021 2 mentions in 1 episode
2020 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2019 1 mention in 1 episode
2018 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2017 1 mention in 1 episode
2016 1 mention in 1 episode
2015 4 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Russia, oldest first

Mar 15, 2021
Assertion Supported
Fadell: Levi's jeans were black market currency in 1970s Russia
“In fact, they were traded as black market currency in Russia. So you could trade US Levi jeans to get, I don't know, caviar, who knows what it was in Russia, but it was literally black market currency.”
Tony Fadell Mar 15, 2021 ▶ 4:39 20VC: Tony Fadell "The Father of The iPod" on Mentors, Self-Doubt, Vulnerability, His Relationship To Money, Why Entrepreneurs Need to Be Coachable, Why VCs Need To Be More Direct & Why The First Trillionaire Will Innovate Around Climate Change
Jun 26, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Babayigit: 35% of early Facebook mobile revenue came from three Russian developers
“There was a period of time when I think 30 Five percent of Facebook's mobile revenue was coming from like three developers in Russia at the time”
Akin Babayigit Jun 26, 2023 ▶ 15:59 Akin Babayigit: How Tripledot Studios Became #1 Fastest-Growing Company in Europe | E1030 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2023
Disclosure
Cloudflare detected Russian cyber probing in Dec 2021 and warned governments
“We detected in December of 2021 the early indicia of Russia probing in a way that was similar to how they probed before they went into Georgia, before they went into Crimea, when they got more involved in Syria, and, you know, briefed government officials in b…”
Matthew Prince Oct 16, 2023 ▶ 13:33 Matthew Prince: The Two Biggest Mistakes Every Founder Makes | E1072 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2023
Assertion Partly supported
Russia sanctioned three tech CEOs together: Benioff, Prince, and Zuckerberg
“There's, there are three tech executives that that got sanctioned at the same time. Yeah, you already interviewed Benioff, who was one of them, it was me, And then, ah, and then Zuckerberg.”
Matthew Prince Oct 16, 2023 ▶ 15:29 Matthew Prince: The Two Biggest Mistakes Every Founder Makes | E1072 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 11, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lonsdale: China Is Likely to Launch a Military Strike Within Four Years
“I'm very concerned about the geopolitical situation with China and Russia and the potential of war. When I was in, you know, a country in Asia, I won't say the name, seeing our ambassador there, who's on the other political side, but a very smart guy. Even he …”
Joe Lonsdale Mar 11, 2024 ▶ 1:00:35 Joe Lonsdale: The Future of TikTok; Is it a Danger to US National Security? | E1125 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 12, 2024 negative
What-if
Alex Wang: China or Russia would use AGI to conquer if developed first
“Let's say China or Russia had AGI today and the United States didn't, I would imagine they would use that to conquer.”
Alex Wang Jun 12, 2024 ▶ 0:10 Alex Wang: Why Data Not Compute is the Bottleneck to Foundation Model Performance | E1164 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 12, 2024 positive
Opinion
Maguire: Trump was the best modern president on Russia, Iran, China
“If you look at what actually happened, I think that Trump was the best president in the modern era. At dealing with Russia, the best at dealing with Iran, the best at dealing with China.”
Shaun Maguire Aug 12, 2024 ▶ 12:22 Shaun Maguire: Why Iran is the World's Greatest Evil & Trump is the Only Hope for Peace | E1189 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 12, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Maguire: Ukraine should agree to ceasefire and cede territory to Russia
“So I actually think that the thing that's in Ukraine's interest is to have a ceasefire and unfortunately seed some of the Eastern territory You know, and, but have some, there needs to be some security guarantee with teeth that is not NATO, but it's something …”
Shaun Maguire Aug 12, 2024 ▶ 1:04:16 Shaun Maguire: Why Iran is the World's Greatest Evil & Trump is the Only Hope for Peace | E1189 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 12, 2024 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Maguire: Iran supplied munitions to Russia and backed the Taliban
“When Russia invaded Ukraine for the first year or so, a lot of the munitions were coming from Iran, and anyways, it's, you know, when America was fighting in Afghanistan, Iran was, like, deeply supporting the Taliban.”
Shaun Maguire Aug 12, 2024 ▶ 6:24 Shaun Maguire: Why Iran is the World's Greatest Evil & Trump is the Only Hope for Peace | E1189 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 11, 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCabe: Global nuclear holocaust is super possible due to proxy wars
“That nuclear holocaust is super possible. Yeah, I mean, the United States and Russia have many thousands of nukes pointed at each other, ready to go, and the United States is fighting a proxy war with Russia. It's super easy for these things to tumble into nuc…”
Eoghan McCabe Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 47:58 Eoghan McCabe, CEO @Intercom: Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control | E1213 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 11, 2024
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Grimm predicts Russia-Ukraine negotiated settlement within the next year
“My guess is that and it's a complete conjecture here. I have no insider information whatsoever, but my guess is that we see some sort of detente or some sort of negotiated settlement take place probably over the next year would be my guess. And if I had to bet…”
Matt Grimm Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 10:42 Matt Grimm, Co-Founder @Anduril: How a Trump Administration Changes the Defence Industry | E1224 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 13, 2024 negative
Opinion
Markus Villig: People have largely forgotten about the war in Ukraine
“I think that there's a lot of things going on well in the world of technology, but I think it's absolutely insane that we have war going on in Europe. Russia attacking Ukraine, killing people, and everybody's just basically forgotten about it.”
Markus Villig Nov 13, 2024 ▶ 1:23:59 Markus Villig, Founder @Bolt: The Most Insane Story in Startups & The Future of Self-Driving| E1225 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2024
Assertion Contradicted
Hommels: Russia's PPP defense spending exceeds all NATO member states
“So, for example, everybody says, yeah, but Russia has the capacity or the economic power of something between Portugal and Spain. But in terms of purchase power parity, they're spending more on defense than the entire NATO member states.”
Klaus Hommels Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 27:38 Klaus Hommels: Why "Portfolios are Merely a Construct to Make LPs Happy"? | E1231 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2024
Assertion Supported
Torsten Reil: Russia is manufacturing Shahed drones licensed from Iran
“Iran is producing a large number of drones already. They've been you know, using and working on the Shahad, for example, for a long time. They've licensed that design to Russia. Russia is now manufacturing it itself.”
Torsten Reil Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 39:54 Torsten Reil, Helsing Founder: Raising $828M to Build the Defence Champion of Europe | E1237 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Torsten Reil: A Russian threat to NATO's eastern flank is extremely plausible
“I think the threat is extremely plausible in the next few years.”
Torsten Reil Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:06:12 Torsten Reil, Helsing Founder: Raising $828M to Build the Defence Champion of Europe | E1237 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Torsten Reil: Ukraine and Russia each produce 1.5M FPV drones annually
“I believe Ukraine is, is building one and a half million FPV drones, the small first person view drones, drones a year. I think Russia is building roughly the same.”
Torsten Reil Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 41:55 Torsten Reil, Helsing Founder: Raising $828M to Build the Defence Champion of Europe | E1237 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Helsing's 2021 pitch deck predicted invasions of Ukraine and Taiwan
“When we started Helsing in March, 2021, we actually put one of our slides that we thought there were going to be two galvanizing events. One of them was going to be an invasion of Ukraine by Russia, the other one an invasion of Taiwan by China.”
Torsten Reil Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Torsten Reil, Helsing Founder: Raising $828M to Build the Defence Champion of Europe | E1237 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 16, 2024 positive
Opinion
Hoffman: Europe must increase its defense spending to counter threats like Russia
“I, look, I think it's better for the world and better for Europe if Europe increases its defense spending. Now, I understand it was the right thing after World War II and the right thing with the Marshall Plan and the right thing to create interdependence to d…”
Reid Hoffman Dec 16, 2024 ▶ 16:43 Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn & Paypal Founder: Trump Administration, Elon Musk and DOGE | E1239 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 16, 2024 negative
Opinion
Hoffman: Buying Truth Social stock or crypto enables foreign political corruption
“What if foreign actors, Russia, others, were transferring economics to people with political power in order to influence the U.S. And what they're doing? You know, easy ways to do that are like, you know, buy true social stock. Easy ways to do that are buy fre…”
Reid Hoffman Dec 16, 2024 ▶ 5:58 Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn & Paypal Founder: Trump Administration, Elon Musk and DOGE | E1239 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030
Hinrikus: Russia will attempt to attack another European country
“I think it's a very serious, very real concern. We should be living under the assumption that whatever happened in Ukraine now, Russia will try in another country over the next years, and we need to be ready for this.”
Taavet Hinrikus Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 50:09 Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 4, 2026 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Tobi Lütke: Over 60% of Canadians view US as top national risk
“60% of people, more than 60, I think the numbers have gone up since, and people think that the United States is the largest risk to Canada, like, much larger than, like, Russia or China would be.”
Tobi Lütke May 4, 2026 ▶ 42:12 Shopify CEO on How AI is a Scapegoat for Mass Layoffs & Trump Derangement Syndrome in Canada · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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