Quantum Computing

“The key to quantum is incredible performance gains on a narrow class of applications, but some of those applications are really critical to a lot of industrial sectors, commercial sectors, and governments, and just about everybody, so it's more of an accelerat…”

“As quantum computing capability follows the trajectory that most people believe it's on, we're about three to four years away from the rolling out of systems that will be able to have performance gains that will lead any scientist or engineer or researcher to …”

“And so this issue of error correction in quantum systems is, is probably the most pernicious aspect facing the industry today.”

“So if you look at What's happening in the sector, it is not a linear progression. In many cases, it is a near exponential kind of capability. So this idea of moving from 10 to a hundred to a thousand cubits is, it's going to happen faster than if you were just…”

“Quantum is much more science-based in some sense. It doesn't require a huge corpus of information to reach its conclusions. It's based more on the physics and the science of what it means to how a material interacts. So without data, AI is basically just Kind …”

“It, it's, it, a large language model and its training and inference phases are completely opaque. You can't say, why did you give me this solution versus this one? And if I just change a variable slightly, what will be the outcome? Non-reproducible results, no…”

“There are too many organizations out there, and I can confidently say 70 of them could go belly up in the next two years, and it ultimately wouldn't affect the overall vitality of the sector, because the smart ones will rise to the top, and the ones that perha…”

“You know, 20, 2020, 32, 20, 33, when we solve, you know, things like encryption, right, you know, where, you know, he'll have the fundamental Q day, you know, kind of implications.”

“But this decade, we will see quantum supremacy results across multiple industries.”

“We're pretty sure that in another month or two, we'll be at double that range, which means you can solve trypsin.”

“My instinct tells me there'll be, you know, simulating weather, simulating, you know, reality, all that, I think, quantum 11 advantage.”

“So I actually think we're going to start to see useful applications in the next five or so years from quantum computing.”

“The early evidence From our work with Shinogi indicates that there is an ability for quantum to deliver better, faster trained models and aid in reducing power consumption.”

“I think we will start to see this benefit emerge this year or early next year.”

“A million cubits in three years. I mean, it doesn't quite even pass the red face test.”

“So Coinbase established an independent advisory board on quantum computing and blockchain.”

“Like, the financial system, although they probably don't want to talk about it, does have the ability to, like, effectively roll back, so if there was, like, some massive quantum hack, and, like, all the Morgan Stanley, or JP Morgan accounts, or Goldman Sachs …”

“Quantum computing is energy efficient computing for solving very hard computational problems. And I say energy efficient computing because quantum computers consume very little electricity, and yet they are very powerful.”

“Our current generation annealing quantum computer, it's called Advantage two, It's a 4500 qubit quantum computer. It's the largest and most powerful computer in the world. it does not require, nor does it have error correction, but yet, as I said, it's the on…”

“And I'm quite optimistic that we are going to see these real life applications in the framework of about five years.”

“I think the one thing that has changed around quantum computing is a sort of, maybe it is closer than we think, and then the threat actors are, you know, stealing data now, so they will be able to decrypt it later once they, you know, figure it out.”

“For the general public, quantum computing is such a massive unlock in terms of how much we can process that it's going to be as big of a wealth creator if we pull it off as AI.”

“Now it seems like just about everybody can, Make cubits. They can make quite a few of them.”

“There's this weird thing with quantum computing where you have to use all these funky software techniques to do this error correction stuff, and so if you have a million qubits, it comes down to about, like, A thousand are really, really useful for what you're…”

“Quantum computing is a pain in the ass. And it is, you know, failed promises and endless confusion and all of this competitive jostling and it's a pain in the ass and it's like failed to deliver many, many times.”

“In quantum computing, you get all of these founders, they all show up and they all think that their way is the only way to do it and sling mud at everybody else. Everything else is crap. Like, you can't win that game. Like, nobody wins in that game.”

“NVIDIA have been pretty explicit that they're not building a quantum computer, but they do see a whole bunch of opportunities to contribute to the ecosystem.”

“It was really the convergence of two things to my mind the availability of hardware that was built for another purpose in this case, gaming GPUs, and then also progress on the architecture where I see very strong parallels between what we've done and what has …”

“We get coached that there is a certain way to do a venture backed company. And the coaching is very often you got to get some kind of revenue by any means necessary really early. And that's certainly true if you're a SaaS company, right? Like if I'm building a…”

“Our view on optimization is that it's really difficult to do like tremendously impactful optimization with a quantum computer. Conventional computers are already surprisingly good at optimization, and the quantum algorithms that we know of for optimization pro…”

“And my shorthand on what that building is doing is that it's the Foxconn of quantum computing. So our whole approach is to leverage existing fabs and contract manufacturers and so on. But that building is doing the exceptions to that rule. So where we have to …”

“Quantum computing has already consumed billions and billions and billions of dollars of capital. It has consumed the entire adult life of tens of thousands of our best scientists and researchers. Some total has got to be nearly a 100,000 years of human life. B…”

“I've actually been honestly pretty impressed that they know you need about a million qubits. They know you need error correction. They know that it's not for PowerPoint and Excel. They understand, you know, these guys have got 20 other things of extreme high p…”

“They're probably like the two areas where I feel the least comfortable trying to tell what's real from what's not real, because everybody's raised a ton of money, and it seems like serious people that are doing it, and they're smart people, and then you just c…”

“They're leading in quantum. We don't talk about quantum very much, but Microsoft is leading of the big players In quantum.”

“There are ways for us to handle encryption being broken, not least quantum encryption. And so it's a much more solvable problem. Whereas If a malign AI superintelligence actually existed, that would be less solvable. So of the two, I'm more scared of AI.”

“The problem is what people don't understand is there are no other algorithms other than Shor's that get you that amazing speed up. So you're better off using the machines we have now. There's no payoff even possible in the future unless we have a new breakthro…”

“The third avenue is of course quantum, and I've spent a lot of time and money on, on quantum computing, and it's just, these stocks are shorts. They're worthless. You know, they, they'll, they'll never be a market for quantum computing.”

“If you want to understand the language of nature, which is simulation I think the best way to do it is through a quantum computer, because after all you know, Physics and nature is quantum. And so therefore, but AI is, I think of it as an emulator of that simu…”

“I think to me quantum feels like where AI was around, you know, 2015.”

“So I would say in a five year time frame, You would have that moment where some, a really useful practical computation, you know, is done in a quantum way, far superior to classical computers.”

“Quantum and AI, even at the chipset level, are going to merge. And then that's going to revolutionize all aspects of our lives. We'll find cures to every known disease known to mankind within, I would say, the next 10 years.”

“The challenges are not they're still physics challenges. They're still like basic research challenges that have to happen here, and so it's not something where you can kind of just turn the crank and make companies out of it, and to my knowledge, all of the co…”

“I don't think you're gonna get your money back in a reasonable time.”

“I think quantum computing is on kind of like the way AI was back in 2018. It's on a few scaling laws where you can definitely sort of squint and see that, you know, in five to 10 years, this is going to be A really, really impactful technology.”

“AI won't, but quantum will.”

“I would say quantum sensors and quantum communication are much shorter term technology than quantum computing, and that's why I moved towards those fields after subfields after a couple years in quantum computing.”

“We're going to do quantum computing. We are going to go through the energy transition. I think probably via nuclear and hopefully via fusion. These things are going to happen in your lifetime and my lifetime.”

“Especially now that there's quantum computing and there's going to be a huge revolution on cryptography and all of regular everyday cryptography is gonna have to change very fast.”

“I believe we're on that, but on the time scale of one to two years and five years at the max, but we're probably going to see something in the one to two year scale, especially in terms of what we're building.”

“There are certain, like, financial algorithms that are super complex that would take a classical computer years, years to chug. That can start to be done closer to fast, like, instant almost.”

“The field of quantum computing is one of those other areas where we think in terms of fantastical ideas, this is a Jetsons thing, it's not a human thing, but there's increasing consensus that that technological problem will solve within our lifetime, in which …”

“Probably a decade or less.”

“Somewhere between 70 and 80%.”

“And we will do basically the same for quantum computing. So put your x-eighty-six code in and you can run it on the quantum computer in the future.”

“We're never going to beat China at top-down control. That's how they're doing. Quantum computing, AI, other areas. But I think we can beat them with more innovative business and being a way better country for attracting talent.”

“Using quantum computing in the next 30 years, hopefully, we'll be able to deterministically model these behaviors on a molecular and atomic level, and as a result, kind of build new systems to make things and that'll be an incredible kind of toolkit for humans…”

“Quantum computing is like fusion. It's like a technical problem that has attracted people who've had more money than common sense. And it just basically a way to burn an enormous amount of money over 20 or 30 years.”

“We think that because that's primary research, that, that's a good, ah, 10 to 15 years out, whereas what we looked to do was to take, ah, pre, ah, technology we could manufacture, maybe difficult, but all achievable, so we weren't trying to invent any new law …”

“The hard science problems have been solved, but how do you build a superconducting qubit, and how do you Send it a radio frequency data to program it. The hard part now is is going through all the different ways that these things can be hooked together to buil…”