Prediction certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

Quantum advantage over classical systems is three to four years away

Bob Sorenson · When will quantum computing have its breakout moment? · Jul 16, 2026 · at 6:52

Bob Sorenson, quantum computing analyst at Hyperion Research, discusses the timeline for commercial and practical quantum computing utility with Shayle Kann.

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“As quantum computing capability follows the trajectory that most people believe it's on, we're about three to four years away from the rolling out of systems that will be able to have performance gains that will lead any scientist or engineer or researcher to say, I'd rather do it on a quantum system than a classical counterpart.”

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