Opinion certainty 4/5 debate potential 3/5

Baratz says industry promises of a million qubits lack credibility

Dr. Alan Baratz · Live From D-Wave Qubits: CEO Dr. Alan Baratz on Quantum's Impact, Now and Into The Future · Feb 6, 2026 · at 18:12

Dr. Alan Baratz, CEO of D-Wave, discusses how to evaluate aggressive quantum computing claims during an interview on the Big Technology Podcast.

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“A million cubits in three years. I mean, it doesn't quite even pass the red face test.”

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More from Dr. Alan Baratz

Opinion
Baratz claims rival quantum modalities cannot match D-Wave's speed and fidelity
“Frankly, I don't know how the other modalities compete at this point because they don't have the speed that our qubits have. I also don't know how the other superconducting companies compete because they don't have the fidelity. Error correction is going to be…”
Dr. Alan Baratz Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 10:09 Live From D-Wave Qubits: CEO Dr. Alan Baratz on Quantum's Impact, Now and Into The Future
Opinion
Baratz calls industry claims of achieving logical qubits highly misleading
“You'll hear people say, oh, we have logical qubits. We have this many logical qubits. I want to be kind. That is a very misleading statement. These are not fully error-corrected qubits. They are small error correction. The number of compute terms that they can…”
Dr. Alan Baratz Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 12:00 Live From D-Wave Qubits: CEO Dr. Alan Baratz on Quantum's Impact, Now and Into The Future
Assertion Contradicted
Baratz claims all other quantum computing companies remain purely in R&D
“Unlike any other quantum computing company, which is entirely In the R&D and research experimentation mode, we have commercial systems, so we're also focused on building the business.”
Dr. Alan Baratz Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 14:17 Live From D-Wave Qubits: CEO Dr. Alan Baratz on Quantum's Impact, Now and Into The Future
Prediction Held up
Baratz predicts quantum computing will demonstrate AI energy efficiency by 2027
“I think we will start to see this benefit emerge this year or early next year.”
Dr. Alan Baratz Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 17:14 Live From D-Wave Qubits: CEO Dr. Alan Baratz on Quantum's Impact, Now and Into The Future
Assertion Supported
Baratz: D-Wave holds the only real-world quantum supremacy demonstration
“There is exactly one demonstration of true quantum supremacy on a useful real world problem that was done by D wave by our company. It was published in the peer reviewed journal science about a year ago. What we did was we demonstrated that our quantum compute…”
Dr. Alan Baratz Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 8:16 D-Wave CEO Dr. Alan Baratz: Quantum Explained, Current Applications, And Future Potential
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baratz: Quantum Circuits' error-detecting superconducting qubits will win architecture race
“So we now have superconducting qubits that are a thousand times faster than trapped ion or neutral atom, but because of their inherent error detecting capability, they have qubit fidelity, just like trapped ion and neutral atom. Ah, that's the best of both wor…”
Dr. Alan Baratz Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 27:53 D-Wave CEO Dr. Alan Baratz: Quantum Explained, Current Applications, And Future Potential
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