Iran

other on 33 shows · 188 statements across 82 episodes · said 1,470 times in 392 episodes since 2013

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The latest 60 statements about Iran, every show

Mead asserts Gulf states cannot defend themselves against Iran without outside help
“You have the Gulf states that are very effective in many ways and are using You know, their oil and their money very effectively, but they still can't defend themselves from Iran. They still, without outside help, they cannot stand.”
Walter Russell Mead Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 1:10:26 Why the World Order Is Collapsing and American Power Is Rising
Mead argues Israel is too small to act as Iran's counter-hegemon
“Israel, I think, may have hoped that it could kind of Bear the weight of being a counter hegemon to Iran. Israel is too small and too alien to the rest of the Middle East to really play that role effectively, I think.”
Walter Russell Mead Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 1:11:23 Why the World Order Is Collapsing and American Power Is Rising
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mead warns the US must stop Iran or cede Middle East oil
“And I don't, you know, I think history doesn't give us a choice. We stop Iran ourselves, or Iran asserts and maintains hegemony over the oil resources in the Middle East.”
Walter Russell Mead Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 1:12:03 Why the World Order Is Collapsing and American Power Is Rising
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weinstein: US failure with Iran will trigger global nuclear proliferation
“And by the way, if the US fails with Iran, you're going to see a proliferation of countries acquiring nukes because we trusted the US.”
Eric Weinstein Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 1:05:42 Eric Weinstein: The State of American Science, Breakthrough Coverups, and the Danger of Physics
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Emanuel: Iran and Ukraine control waterways despite lacking navies
“Neither Iran or Ukraine have a Navy, and they both control waterways near their fronts.”
Rahm Emanuel Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 9:52 Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Emanuel: Iran Invested $40B+ Over 40 Years in Regional Proxy Network
“Iran invested 40 years and forty billion plus in the, what Israel described as the octopus, the proxies.”
Rahm Emanuel Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 19:17 Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats
ALL-IN Opinion
Emanuel: Iran's Proxy Network Has Collapsed Across Hamas, Hezbollah, and Syria
“Hamas is degraded to defeat. I thought that was a very good article in the foreign affairs on this point. Hezbollah is cornered. Damascus and Syria has been lost, and the Iraqi president seems to be making a pretty good headway, not all the way there, on deali…”
Rahm Emanuel Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 19:28 Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Contradicted
Iran Banned Boys From Leaving the Country at Age 13 During War
“They actually banned boys from leaving Iran as soon as they turned 13. So you could not leave the country.”
Nima Fotovat Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 5:31 MadeGood: Salma and Nima Fotovat Lost Their First Business. They Grew Their Next One Into a Snack Giant.
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Partly supported
Missiles fired by Iran at Israel are not hypersonic or maneuverable
“Not maneuverable, but they're not going at hypersonic speeds also.”
Emil Michael Jul 24, 2026 ▶ 15:40 America’s $700 Billion Defense Tech Rebuild
WTF Opinion
Christodoulides: Gulf developments demand new regional security and trade architecture
“And, ah, following the recent developments in, in the region, in the Gulf, ah, with Iran, etc. I really believe that we need a new architecture in the region. Security architecture, trade architecture, the way that we work together.”
Nikos Christodoulides Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 10:26 Nikos Christodoulides on Why India Must Lead What Comes Next | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Rebuilding Iran's enriched uranium stockpile would take up to 15 years
“It's going to take years to a decade to 15 years plus to build enough enriched uranium to build a nuclear weapon.”
David Friedberg Jun 19, 2026 ▶ 1:20:07 World's First Trillionaire, Anthropic Fable Banned, The New Oligarchs, Iran Peace Deal
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fetterman: I am the only Democrat who supports holding Iran accountable
“The president decided to hold Iran accountable. And now, I'm the only Democrat that actually agrees with that.”
John Fetterman Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 7:47 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
CATALYST Assertion Supported
Linville: One-Third of World's Tradable Urea Passes Through Strait of Hormuz
“About a third of the world's tradable urea gets exported through that waterway, and so we always look at the top 10 exporters in the world. That's who you really want to watch. Three of the world's biggest urea and anhydrous exporters sit behind the strait. Th…”
Josh Linville May 14, 2026 ▶ 15:10 Inside the global fertilizer crunch
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Véliz: Anonymous Wallets Made $1.2M Betting on Iran Attack
“Six anonymous accounts earned 1.2 million dollars on a prediction market betting for the attack on Iran, and some of those wallets were funded hours before, which suggests that they might have had insider information, and if they had insider information, did t…”
Carissa Véliz Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 43:26 Are We Too Obsessed With AI Predictions? — With Carissa Véliz
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: The US and Israel will find an off-ramp in Iran war
“All of that kind of tells me that we will find an off ramp.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 1:18:14 Anthropic’s $30B Ramp, Mythos Doomsday, OpenClaw Ankled, Iran War Ceasefire, Israel's Influence
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Iranian strikes disabled AWS availability zones in Bahrain and Dubai
“Iran has hit enough sites in Bahrain and Dubai that belong to Amazon that there are a couple of availability zones in those regions that are hard down, according to some internal communication that I was able to see, and that they're going to be unavailable fo…”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 35:57 OpenAI's TBPN Mistake, SpaceX’s $2 Trillion IPO?, Iran Disables Amazon Infrastructure
India Faces Severe Macro Pressures From AI Disruption and Energy Dependencies
“India right now is going through a very difficult period. It's got a double whammy now of being in the crosshairs of AI because of IT services and the huge part of their economy that that sector represents. It's got the risk that it's facing from the Iran war,…”
Bruce MacDonald Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 48:37 Bruce MacDonald – The Playbook for Building a Mid-Sized Endowment from Scratch (EP.495)
ALL-IN Opinion
Chamath: Obama's relief of economic sanctions on Iran was a mistake
“Why did Obama let him out? That was a really, really stupid idea. We probably should have kept our thumb on the scale and had them close to teetering on economic insolvency. That's the only thing that has kept them in check.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 59:19 SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity
TBPN Opinion
Kim: Geopolitical fears are causing an irrational Nvidia stock drawdown
“Just like tariffs a year ago, NVIDIA had a 30% drawdown when their business was actually flying, the actual final of their business. I think the same thing is happening here with the Iran war. Things will eventually subside”
Tae Kim Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 2:21 FULL INTERVIEW: Why I Think Nvidia Is Perfectly Positioned In The AI Race
PAUL MORRIS Assertion Supported
Morris: US and Israel launched joint strikes on Iran, killing supreme leader
“February 28th, more than three weeks ago, the U.S. And Israel launched joint strikes on Iran. Operation Epic Fury. That's the actual US term for it. And they killed Iran's supreme leader and dozens of their senior military officials.”
Paul Mark Morris Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 1:23 The Real Estate Setup I Haven’t Seen Since 2010
PAUL MORRIS Assertion Supported
Morris: US Struck Over 7,000 Targets in Iran
“The US has struck more than 7000 targets in Iran since it started.”
Paul Mark Morris Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 1:46 The Real Estate Setup I Haven’t Seen Since 2010
PAUL MORRIS Assertion Supported
Morris: Iran's Missile Launches Are Down 90%
“Iran's missile launches are down 90% from day one.”
Paul Mark Morris Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 1:52 The Real Estate Setup I Haven’t Seen Since 2010
SOURCERY Disclosure
Miller: Fundrise delayed its IPO due to Iran war concerns
“We delayed it a couple of times. I was worried about the war with Iran.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 21:49 The Public Venture Fund That 9x’d in 3 Days (Fundrise VCX) · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Warner: Anthropic-DOD dispute would be major focus without Iran war
“If we were not in this war with Iran at this point, I think, you know, that would have been a major focus.”
Senator Mark Warner Mar 26, 2026 ▶ 6:31 Senator Mark Warner: Nobody’s Ready for What AI Could Do To Us
ALL-IN Opinion
Fetterman says military strikes neutered Iran and broke its proxy network
“They've been effectively neutered, and that's a wonderful thing. And that's also effectively broken the proxies. And that's also made the world undeniably more secure.”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 13:13 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fetterman predicts the US will succeed in Iran with or without NATO
“Now, I do believe we will be successful with or without their help”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 15:18 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fetterman says US action against Iran is regime destruction, not nation-building
“This is not a nation building thing. This is a destroying a terrible regime.”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 16:30 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Polymarket gives 57% odds of US forces entering Iran
“Polymarket. 27% chance that U.S. Forces Enter Iran by the end of March and 57% by the end of the year.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 5:38 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Sacks asserts Iran's army, navy, and air force are destroyed
“Their army, navy, air force all been destroyed.”
David Sacks Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 10:31 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Calacanis: Trump will think about midterms and find an Iran off-ramp
“If he doesn't find an off-ramp quickly, they're going to lose both houses in the midterms. That's, I think, the thing Trump needs to really consider, and I think he will consider it. I think he's going to find an off-ramp.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 18:39 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: 20% of China's domestic oil consumption comes from Venezuela and Iran
“20% of their entire domestic consumption is oil from Venezuela and Iran.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 23:51 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
TBPN Assertion Supported
Epstein: Twenty percent of global oil production flows through Strait of Hormuz
“You know, straight of Hormuz, which Iran has control over, is 20% of the world's oil production is flowing through that every day.”
Alex Epstein Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 1:43 FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat
TBPN Insight
Epstein: Mobile drone launchers present a harder defense challenge than fixed installations
“The drone thing is just a total game changer, because you can have a small vehicle, you can launch one of these, you know, shot heads out of the back of a truck, they can go really far, and that's a lot harder to deal with than a fixed installation.”
Alex Epstein Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 4:29 FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Graham Allison: No evidence Iran was about to attack U.S. or acquire nuclear weapon
“The arguments that were made that that Trump has actually repeated that Iran was about to attack us, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was about to get a nuclear weapon, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was building an ICBM that was going to attack th…”
Graham Allison Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 5:09 “This is Bibi’s War” - Harvard’s Graham Allison on the Influences and Endgame of the Iran War
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Graham Allison: Trump will declare Iran conflict over before China trip
“So my Inclination, again, if we were just doing prediction markets, is that he's going to find a way to declare this over before then, because he needs a little time to get his mind set on that.”
Graham Allison Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 11:12 “This is Bibi’s War” - Harvard’s Graham Allison on the Influences and Endgame of the Iran War
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2031
Allison: Armed factions, not democracy, will likely succeed Iran's current regime
“If I were betting it, it'll end up that the guys with the guns will in some version be the next iteration.”
Graham Allison Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 14:12 “This is Bibi’s War” - Harvard’s Graham Allison on the Influences and Endgame of the Iran War
ALL-IN Disclosure
Pahlavi declares he is stepping in to lead Iran's political transition
“I've stepped in to lead this transition with the help of many of my compatriots from various sectors.”
Prince Reza Pahlavi Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 2:06 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN What-if
Pahlavi: Iran would be Middle East's South Korea without 1979 revolution
“Iran should have been, had it not been for the revolution, today's South Korea of the region.”
Prince Reza Pahlavi Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 2:29 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pahlavi: Democratic Iran will generate $1 trillion for US market in 10 years
“We figure about one trillion in the first 10 years to the US market, but also billions of dollars that will be invested into Iran and everything that we need to have done in order to rebuild our country.”
Prince Reza Pahlavi Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 3:28 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pahlavi: Iran's transition scenario differs fundamentally from post-Saddam Iraq
“Unlike what happened after the fall of Saddam Hussein and the Ba'athification, the scenario of change in Iran is totally different.”
Prince Reza Pahlavi Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 5:14 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Disclosure
Prince Pahlavi plans to return to Iran once safety allows
“The first opportunity that is created for me to safely return to Iran, I will obviously be there.”
Prince Reza Pahlavi Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 8:41 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Disclosure
Prince Reza Pahlavi states he will not run for office in Iran
“I'm here to be a bridge towards that outcome. That's the function of a transitional leader. Not to run for office or not to have an aim for personal position of power or authority.”
Prince Reza Pahlavi Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 12:51 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pahlavi: Trump will not presume to choose Iran's next leader
“I don't think that President Trump or any other leader in this world would presume that it is up to them to determine who should be the next leader in Iran.”
Prince Reza Pahlavi Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 16:32 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Pahlavi: Iran was the only regional country holding post-9/11 candlelight vigils
“The only country in the entire world and the entire region that actually stood in candlelight vigils in sympathy to the victims of the nine-eleven terrorist attacks were no other than the Iranian people themselves holding candlelight vigils in Iran.”
Prince Reza Pahlavi Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 19:11 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Calacanis: A democratic Iran would be the Middle East's largest democracy
“Ninety-three million people who have been suffering will be living free in a democracy, and the impact that could have on the world, and obviously that region would be by far the largest democracy in, in the Middle East.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 20:25 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Opinion
Pishevar: Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi is sole legitimate Iranian transition leader
“And the only leader that is legitimate To lead us to a transition process to become a democracy is the Crown Prince Rezipalavi.”
Shervin Pishevar Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 25:43 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pishevar: Free Iran transition plan outlines a 24-month constitutional timeline
“When there is a free Iran, there will be a four-month process to get to a referendum and then a six-month process to assemble Iranians to write a constitution and then a fourteen-month process to actually finalize the constitution, And then have a vote on the …”
Shervin Pishevar Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 32:20 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pishevar: Separatist movements will alienate millions of Iranian supporters
“We, if there's any kind of separatist movement, we will lose the goodwill and the support of millions and millions of Iranians.”
Shervin Pishevar Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 39:42 Exiled Iranian Prince Reza Pahlavi: Transition Plan and the Fight for Iran's Freedom
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Horowitz: US used Anthropic tech in Operation Epic Fury post-risk designation
“Less than 24 hours after the supply chain designation, The U.S. Government was using Anthropix technology in the context of Operation Epic Fury against Iran.”
Michael Horowitz Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 31:28 Pentagon Insider: What's Next For Anthropic and The Department of War — With Michael Horowitz
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Emil Michael: No scenario for protracted U.S. ground war in Iran
“In terms of boots on the ground, there's no scenario where we have some protracted boots on the ground, Afghanistan, Iraq too, like scenario.”
Emil Michael Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 5:31 War with Iran + Pentagon vs Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Friedberg: 90% of Iranian oil exports go to China
“90% of the oil that comes out of Iran goes to China.”
David Friedberg Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 6:53 War with Iran + Pentagon vs Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Iran, Venezuela, and Russia account for ~40% of China's oil
“About a fifth of it comes exclusively from Iran and Venezuela, and now all of that is off the table. So if you take that, and then you see what Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and Josh Greenbaum have been doing, which is trying to get a deal done in Russia, an…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 11:29 War with Iran + Pentagon vs Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Emil Michael: US military operation 'Midnight Hammer' in Iran was planned years in advance
“So, and they, these things, these war games have been on the on the shelf for a long time. Every, every scenario has been planned for years ahead of time. Midnight hammer and Iran was planned years ahead of time in terms of how would you do it if you were goin…”
Emil Michael Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 15:15 War with Iran + Pentagon vs Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Iran's munitions are 90% depleted four days into military operation
“What you're seeing today in this Operation Epic Fury, we're four days in, Iran has been 90% depleted of all of their munitions, it looks like.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 29:49 War with Iran + Pentagon vs Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Iran's inflation rate has averaged 30% since 2019
“It's been 30% on average since 2019 due to sanctions.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 17, 2026 ▶ 5:06 Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, and Solving Energy Costs
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Economic sanctions make a political break in Iran inevitable
“I think it's inevitable that there's a break in the country because of the effect of sanctions.”
David Friedberg Jan 17, 2026 ▶ 7:21 Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, and Solving Energy Costs
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Average monthly income in Iran is around $200
“The average income is about 200 bucks a month in Iran.”
David Friedberg Jan 17, 2026 ▶ 7:26 Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, and Solving Energy Costs
NO PRIORS Opinion
Michael: US defense industrial base was unready for recent conflicts
“Defense industrial base sort of wasn't ready to provide what's necessary for the threat environment. And if you think about threat environment, what we've done in Iran, what we've done in Venezuela what we've done with the Houthis, like all just in one year, r…”
Emil Michael Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 20:29 The Largest Untapped Market Inside U.S. Defense | Emil Michael
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Middle East conflict will increase among Gulf states if Iranian regime falls
“That there may be more conflict brewing in the Middle East than anyone anticipates for this year that will not necessarily involve Israel and or Iran. It will actually be amongst the other Gulf states as they vie for influence and power, and that the contraria…”
David Friedberg Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 57:33 All-In's 2026 Predictions
ALL-IN Opinion
Tucker Carlson: A regime change war in Iran would not benefit the US
“The prospect of a regime change war in Iran, and I just thought, man, there is no way that helps us in any way”
Tucker Carlson Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 1:30:52 Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes

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