Assertion Supported
Horowitz: US used Anthropic tech in Operation Epic Fury post-risk designation
“Less than 24 hours after the supply chain designation, The U.S. Government was using Anthropix technology in the context of Operation Epic Fury against Iran.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Pentagon gave Anthropic six-month off-ramp because it lacks alternative vendors
“They laid out this six-month off-ramp period for, like, real national security use cases, in part because they rely on Anthropix technology right now because Anthropix is the only vendor. Like behind the current curtain in a classified environment.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: Pentagon had no active project disputes with Anthropic before fallout
“And Anthropic was also, there was no dispute between Anthropic and the Pentagon about any current projects that Anthropic was doing. It wasn't like the Pentagon asked Anthropic to do something and Anthropic said no or had hesitations.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Pentagon AI Policy Mandates 'All Lawful Uses' Clause
“The Pentagon updated its artificial intelligence policy about like a month or so ago, and one of the things that it did was say that all future contracts that it signed with any AI vendor, so not even necessarily just a frontier AI lab, would have to follow a …”
Opinion
Horowitz: Claude cannot power autonomous weapons because it requires deterministic algorithms
“The kind of algorithms that you're going to be most likely to use in that context are much more deterministic than, say, like, Claude trained on the slop of the internet. And so, Anthropik's not wrong that their tech, like, isn't ready for prime time for auton…”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Claude is definitively not conducting autonomous targeting on the battlefield
“A thing that Claude is definitively not doing, At least as far as I know. Like, I would be genuinely shocked. What is autonomous targeting on the battlefield today? Like that, it, I would be astounded if that was a Claude specific task.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Sam Altman is attempting to broker Pentagon-Anthropic peace deal
“Some of the other frontier AI labs like XAI and OpenAI are already now willing to work on the classified side, and you know, Sam Altman is attempting to broker a piece, essentially, and create a deal that perhaps Anthropik could join as well.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: Autonomous weapons will be essential in communication-denied conflicts
“And in what the military would call a degraded or denied communication environment, something like an autonomous weapon system will be essential. For all the, for lots of different kinds of weapons to be able to operate, and, you know, algorithm, algorithmic o…”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Anthropic was first frontier AI lab doing classified defense work
“If you look at the relationship between Anthropic and the Pentagon, Anthropic was the first frontier AI lab willing to do classified work. To support American national security.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Anthropic tech integrates into the Pentagon via Palantir Maven
“And that's because the way that Anthropic's technology is often integrated within the Pentagon is through a Palantir product called Maven Smart System.”
Insight
Horowitz: Tech companies partnering with Pentagon must expect wartime use cases
“When it comes to the use cases that Anthropic may be concerned about in different kinds of ways, I mean, the thing to remember is like, if you do business with the Pentagon, the business of the Pentagon is war. So you shouldn't be surprised then that the Penta…”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Claude outputs undergo layers of human review before battlefield use
“And so, I have no doubt that any information that is, that's coming out of CLOD in this context is going through layers of review by humans, you know, prior to that influencing anything happening close to the battlefield.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: US military has used autonomous CIWS weapons since 1980
“The US military has been using that system since, like, 1980, as have, you know, like, dozens of militaries around the world.”
