Iran

“If you look at the demographics of Iran, it's pretty amazing how many young people there are here. This feels like a country that could turn over.”

“Actually, Iran is a nation that if you are gay, they force you to undergo gender conversion surgery.”

“They're beating the drums of war. They're trying to basically prime the administration to go to war.”

“They were dead broke. Now they're back up to three million barrels a day of sales. They've done over a hundred billion dollars of oil revenue since we left office.”

“Under Obama, when he left, they were selling about 2.6 million barrels of oil a day. Under Trump, when he left office, they were selling a 100,000 barrels of oil a day.”

“I think the Saudis and others at the time didn't want this issue to go away, but now the issue is really no longer useful for the Arabs. The only people it's useful to, quite frankly, is Iran.”

“Iran was on a glide path to a nuclear weapon, having just been given a hundred and fifty billion dollars in cash through the disastrous JCPOA deal that that Kerry and Obama negotiated.”

“And that was exactly why I believe, whether it's implicit or explicit, Iran inspired Hamas to do this then”

“So I don't think this is going to have any impact other than to escalate the conflict in the Middle East and put us on a path to war with Iran, which is really where the neocons want to take us. You've heard, obviously, the warmongers like Lindsey Graham are c…”

“I still think we get an oil shock in the Middle East. If this situation broadens into a larger regional war, maybe with Iran, you could get, you know, a shock in the price of oil, and then that could have a big impact on the economy.”

“Every single one of our bases in Syria and Iraq, and we have a lot, are going to be sitting ducks.”

“Depending on the action they choose, we could very rapidly find ourselves engaged in a wider regional war on five different fronts. I mean, a war with Iran would involve us in Iran, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen, where we're already bombing.”

“So Iran now has two hundred and fifty billion dollars cash.”

“And within 90 days or so, they're gonna have and could have very well a nuclear weapon”

“The big loser of last night's debate was the American public. The big winner of last night's debate was probably Russia, China, Iran, maybe the Saudis licking their chops, watching the utter dysfunction in the leadership of the party, in the leadership of the …”

“Given what's going on in the Middle East, I do worry about military-age males from Iran coming into this country through the southern border.”

“And it's the Israelis, especially Benjamin Netanyahu, has been, who has been trying to sort of suck us into a war, because he wants us, the United States, To really whack Iran, weaken it militarily, and especially to go after its nuclear capabilities, because …”

“And if Israel gets involved in a war with Iran, we're going to come in, in all likelihood.”

“If we go to war, Tucker's right. This totally screws everything up. I mean, you could see oil double, double. What happens to the economy of the world, of world GDP, of everything, of inflation, if you have oil at a hundred bucks a barrel, a 112 bucks a barrel…”

“There's no American intelligence, this is a statement of fact, that suggests Iran is in the process of assembling a nuclear weapon or within months of doing so.”

“I think a protracted, meaning anything over a day or two engagement with Iran would derail the Trump agenda and the presidency. And I think it could really sink this administration.”

“If Iran gets nukes, then Saudi Arabia will be forced to get nukes and so on down the line. And so there will be a domino effect with each country that gets nuclear weapons.”

“And I will say, if I'm thinking about like, you know, game theory, optimal poker play, I gotta give credit to this president because it was completely unpredictable what was coming next.”

“I can tell you, I don't think the Israelis are gonna sit by quietly and allow this Iranian regime to continue to go out and build up a military that's constantly shouting death to Israel, death to the USA, And I think that they've taken their first shot and I …”

“To counter the Iranian escalation scenario, the fact is Iran does not want a war with the United States, and the United States does not want a war with Iran. And it's the Israelis, especially Benjamin Netanyahu, who has been trying to sort of suck us into a wa…”

“If you look at polling, The vast majority of the American population believe in two things. Number one, they don't want Iran getting a nuclear weapon by like, eighty-something percent. They also, by eighty-something percent, don't want to get dragged into a ne…”

“Imagine if Kamala Harris were president, just do the counterfactual. Would she have had the situational awareness to realize that when the Iranians struck at our base in Qatar, that it was performative, that it was telegraphed, and that it was meant to basical…”

“These bombs weigh 15 tons each. They'll go deep underground. Israel doesn't have them, and that's the reason we're given of why we were pulled into this is because we're the only people in the world who could have taken these out.”

“Iran and Israel are mortal enemies, and we have a ceasefire here. We have a pause in the action, but it's going to flare up again at some point.”

“Iran exports sixty billion dollars a year, and about fifty-five billion of that goes to China.”

“Their nuclear capability was destroyed much of their infrastructure destroyed, much of their military capability destroyed. When you look at Israel's actions throughout that twelve-day war their economy is tanking their energy sector is tanking, so it's a, it,…”

“The prospect of a regime change war in Iran, and I just thought, man, there is no way that helps us in any way”

“That there may be more conflict brewing in the Middle East than anyone anticipates for this year that will not necessarily involve Israel and or Iran. It will actually be amongst the other Gulf states as they vie for influence and power, and that the contraria…”

“I think it's inevitable that there's a break in the country because of the effect of sanctions.”

“It's been 30% on average since 2019 due to sanctions.”

“The average income is about 200 bucks a month in Iran.”

“In terms of boots on the ground, there's no scenario where we have some protracted boots on the ground, Afghanistan, Iraq too, like scenario.”

“About a fifth of it comes exclusively from Iran and Venezuela, and now all of that is off the table. So if you take that, and then you see what Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and Josh Greenbaum have been doing, which is trying to get a deal done in Russia, an…”

“90% of the oil that comes out of Iran goes to China.”

“So, and they, these things, these war games have been on the on the shelf for a long time. Every, every scenario has been planned for years ahead of time. Midnight hammer and Iran was planned years ahead of time in terms of how would you do it if you were goin…”

“What you're seeing today in this Operation Epic Fury, we're four days in, Iran has been 90% depleted of all of their munitions, it looks like.”

“And the only leader that is legitimate To lead us to a transition process to become a democracy is the Crown Prince Rezipalavi.”

“Unlike what happened after the fall of Saddam Hussein and the Ba'athification, the scenario of change in Iran is totally different.”

“When there is a free Iran, there will be a four-month process to get to a referendum and then a six-month process to assemble Iranians to write a constitution and then a fourteen-month process to actually finalize the constitution, And then have a vote on the …”

“I don't think that President Trump or any other leader in this world would presume that it is up to them to determine who should be the next leader in Iran.”

“We figure about one trillion in the first 10 years to the US market, but also billions of dollars that will be invested into Iran and everything that we need to have done in order to rebuild our country.”

“Iran should have been, had it not been for the revolution, today's South Korea of the region.”

“The first opportunity that is created for me to safely return to Iran, I will obviously be there.”

“We, if there's any kind of separatist movement, we will lose the goodwill and the support of millions and millions of Iranians.”

“I'm here to be a bridge towards that outcome. That's the function of a transitional leader. Not to run for office or not to have an aim for personal position of power or authority.”

“I've stepped in to lead this transition with the help of many of my compatriots from various sectors.”

“Ninety-three million people who have been suffering will be living free in a democracy, and the impact that could have on the world, and obviously that region would be by far the largest democracy in, in the Middle East.”

“The only country in the entire world and the entire region that actually stood in candlelight vigils in sympathy to the victims of the nine-eleven terrorist attacks were no other than the Iranian people themselves holding candlelight vigils in Iran.”

“If I were betting it, it'll end up that the guys with the guns will in some version be the next iteration.”

“So my Inclination, again, if we were just doing prediction markets, is that he's going to find a way to declare this over before then, because he needs a little time to get his mind set on that.”

“The arguments that were made that that Trump has actually repeated that Iran was about to attack us, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was about to get a nuclear weapon, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was building an ICBM that was going to attack th…”

“Polymarket. 27% chance that U.S. Forces Enter Iran by the end of March and 57% by the end of the year.”

“Their army, navy, air force all been destroyed.”

“If he doesn't find an off-ramp quickly, they're going to lose both houses in the midterms. That's, I think, the thing Trump needs to really consider, and I think he will consider it. I think he's going to find an off-ramp.”

“20% of their entire domestic consumption is oil from Venezuela and Iran.”

“Now, I do believe we will be successful with or without their help”

“This is not a nation building thing. This is a destroying a terrible regime.”

“They've been effectively neutered, and that's a wonderful thing. And that's also effectively broken the proxies. And that's also made the world undeniably more secure.”

“Why did Obama let him out? That was a really, really stupid idea. We probably should have kept our thumb on the scale and had them close to teetering on economic insolvency. That's the only thing that has kept them in check.”

“All of that kind of tells me that we will find an off ramp.”

“The president decided to hold Iran accountable. And now, I'm the only Democrat that actually agrees with that.”

“It's going to take years to a decade to 15 years plus to build enough enriched uranium to build a nuclear weapon.”

“Iran invested 40 years and forty billion plus in the, what Israel described as the octopus, the proxies.”

“Neither Iran or Ukraine have a Navy, and they both control waterways near their fronts.”

“Hamas is degraded to defeat. I thought that was a very good article in the foreign affairs on this point. Hezbollah is cornered. Damascus and Syria has been lost, and the Iraqi president seems to be making a pretty good headway, not all the way there, on deali…”

“And by the way, if the US fails with Iran, you're going to see a proliferation of countries acquiring nukes because we trusted the US.”