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Dean Phillips

Former U.S. Representative, Minnesota's 3rd District · 2 appearances on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

politicianexecutivefounder@RepDeanPhillips ↗LinkedIn ↗phillips.house.gov ↗Wikipedia ↗Instagram ↗

Dean Phillips served three terms representing Minnesota's 3rd district in the U.S. House and ran for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination. Prior to Congress, he was a beverage and consumer-brand executive who served as CEO of Phillips Distilling Company and co-owned Talenti Gelato.

31statements → 19claims → 13claims resolved → 46%fully supported → 3.94/5average certainty → 2.87/5average debate potential → 3.8/5argument clarity · the sources → 42said about them ↓

6 supported 4 partly supported 3 contradicted 6 not checkable as stated how the 19 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

7 predictions · 12 assertions · 6 opinions · 1 insight · 4 disclosures · 1 what if · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 19 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 13 are resolved, and 6 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Dean argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Phillips: 75% of Americans agree Biden cannot continue leading the country
“But do I think that he will be in a position to continue leading this country in the future? I do not. I think I'm joined by about 75% of the country, in saying that.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 17:49 In conversation with Dean Phillips

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
Phillips: Getting on primary ballots in New York or Virginia costs $500k
“New York, Virginia 450 to 500,000 dollars to pay consulting firms, to pay people 25, 26 dollars per signature to just sit outside and just say, hey, can we get your signature to get this guy on a ballot?”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 26:45 In conversation with Dean Phillips

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
60% certainty 3
57% certainty 4
100% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

Argument clarity: do they answer the question? how? →

3.8 / 5 directness 3.9 · coherence 3.9 · precision 3.7 · compression 3.3

redirected or did not address 3 of 17 assessed questions (18%). Watch them ▸

This is a score against a rubric. It is not a rank. Every host question → answer exchange is scored with names hidden on directness, coherence, precision and compression, 1–5 each, on meaning alone: disfluencies are ignored, and only raw unedited episodes count. This is the score that measures thought. Every scored exchange, scores shown → · The rubric and its checks →

How they sound: speaking style how? →

268 words/min while actually speaking · 23.2 um and uh per 1k words

Measured by listening to the audio itself: 15,034 words across 2 episodes of raw-level tape, transcribed verbatim with every um and uh kept, each one attributed only where the alignment onto our timed stream is unambiguous. These are measurements of speaking style. We do not rank them: across this corpus, fluency and argument quality are nearly uncorrelated (ρ≈0.2), and smooth talking does not signal clear thinking. How it's measured →

Everything Dean Phillips said on All-In that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phillips predicts Biden is the only Democrat who will lose to Trump
“And I have to say, I think it's fair to say too he's probably the only Democrat who could and will lose to Donald Trump in 2024.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 17:25 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Opinion
Phillips accuses LVMH of breaking promises during Belvedere Vodka acquisition
“They were very disingenuous. And it deeply troubles me to this day. The way that my father was treated the promises that were made simply to get a deal done and then not kept I think is a reflection on principle, and I'll leave it at that.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 10:14 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Assertion Supported
Phillips: 75% of Americans agree Biden cannot continue leading the country
“But do I think that he will be in a position to continue leading this country in the future? I do not. I think I'm joined by about 75% of the country, in saying that.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 17:49 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Phillips: Most in Congress expected Biden not to run in 2024
“Most members of Congress thought he was going to stand down. That's why Newsom and Pritzker and Whitmer and so many others were kind of making their plans.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 22:47 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Disclosure
Phillips: Would deploy U.S. Special Forces to rescue American hostages
“I would, absolutely. It is the, it is incumbent on the president of the United States to extract Americans being held against their will by any foreign entity.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 49:24 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Opinion
Phillips: Israelis should hold an election to replace Benjamin Netanyahu
“And concurrently, it is time for Israelis to call an election to replace Benjamin Netanyahu because he is absolutely part of Israel's security problem.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 50:52 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phillips: US national health insurance program would not require tax increase
“The money's in the system. Would not require a tax increase. I think we could actually save substantial money.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:05:16 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Opinion
Phillips: Democratic and Republican parties act as a monopoly to prevent competition
“These are two private corporations. I mean, they are a duopoly, but when you really get down to it is a monopoly because they do work together, collude, if you will, to prevent competition”
Dean Phillips Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 35:34 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Opinion
Dean Phillips calls PAC check transfers before committee hearings legal corruption
“That a PAC representing a special interest or corporation can hand a 5000 dollar check to a member of Congress at a steakhouse on Wednesday evening And then that member serves on a committee in which that business or special interest has business in front of t…”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 14:58 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Disclosure
Whitmer and Pritzker refused Phillips's calls and asked to remain unnamed
“I called Gretchen Whitmer. I called J.B. Pritzker. I made public calls to the candidates whose names are better known than me to jump in. You know, the water's warm, you guys. It's a Democratic primary. That's what we do. Not only did those two not take my cal…”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 23:46 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Assertion Contradicted
Phillips: Getting on primary ballots in New York or Virginia costs $500k
“New York, Virginia 450 to 500,000 dollars to pay consulting firms, to pay people 25, 26 dollars per signature to just sit outside and just say, hey, can we get your signature to get this guy on a ballot?”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 26:45 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Disclosure
Zuckerberg told Phillips that verifying Facebook accounts is a competitive disadvantage
“I asked Mark Zuckerberg after a financial services hearing a couple years ago, you know, why, why doesn't Facebook just verify accounts, make this so much easier to hold people accountable and have higher standards of accountability? And he said it would be a …”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 43:54 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Partly held up
Phillips: Biden will likely match Trump's $7 trillion deficit addition
“That's why Trump added seven trillion dollars to the deficit. And that's why Biden will probably end, you know, add about that much as well.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 58:07 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Assertion Supported
Phillips: 73% of New Hampshire Democratic voters oppose Biden nomination
“And by the way, Joe Biden, 27%. 73% of New Hampshire Democratic voters do not want the sitting President of the United States as their nominee.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:19:02 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Phillips claims US lawmakers spend 10,000 hours weekly on fundraising
“10,000 hours per week is what senators and House members spend raising money.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 14:46 In conversation with Dean Phillips
What-if
Phillips: Biden was the only Democrat who could beat Trump in 2020
“I think he was the only man that could have defeated Donald Trump in 2020.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 17:20 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Phillips: Campaign needs $5 million just to get on primary ballots
“And we would need it, we would need a, well, we're going to have to raise probably six, maybe, I'm sorry, maybe, maybe, maybe less than that, maybe five million dollars. We have a staff of three people right now, and legal counsel, just to get my name on a pri…”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 27:08 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Phillips: Marianne Williamson will fail to get on state primary ballots
“Marianne Williamson? You know, she, she's not gonna be able to.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 27:25 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phillips: China faces an economic bubble that will dwarf US bubbles
“China, you all know, has significant, they have a bubble they're facing that will make ours in look like a gumball by comparison. And that is coming down the pipe.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 41:03 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Opinion
Phillips: Iran inspired Hamas attack to prevent Saudi-Israel normalization
“And that was exactly why I believe, whether it's implicit or explicit, Iran inspired Hamas to do this then”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 51:19 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Held up
Phillips: Social Security faces ~25% benefit cuts by 2033
“Social Security, the trust fund, will face probably reductions in 25, about 25% cut levels by twenty-thirty-three, based on the current path.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:00:49 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Phillips estimates only five members of Congress can read a financial statement
“There's not a, there may be five people that can read a P&L or a balance sheet in the whole damn Congress.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:08:15 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Opinion
Phillips agrees with Bernie Sanders that the Democratic primary system is rigged
“Bernie Sanders was absolutely right about a rigged system that is keeping people out of the process, keeping candidates out of the process, and keeping debate out of the process.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:18:28 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Insight
Phillips: Dual-competitor consumer markets create openings for premium luxury products
“Because what we found is in every category, every consumer product category in which there are two main competitors, Coke and Pepsi, Stoli Absolute, Ben and Jerry's and Haagen-Dazs, they tend to fight to the bottom. Lower pricing you know, frankly demeaning co…”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 5:09 In conversation with Dean Phillips

Show 7statements(7 left)

The other half of the tape: Dean Phillips's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 39 times in 17 episodes on All-In. 3 statements on the record name them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Jason Calacanis 23Chamath Palihapitiya 5Tom Emmer 3David Sacks 3David Friedberg 3

Statements about Dean Phillips, by other people (3)

What-if
Calacanis: A Dean Phillips and Josh Shapiro ticket would have easily beaten Trump
“If you had picked Dean Phillips and Shapiro, I think they would have beat Trump very easily or because remember Trump was phenomenally unpopular.”
Jason Calacanis Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 39:38 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Disclosure
Sacks says he would vote for Dean Phillips over Nikki Haley
“If it came down to a choice between Dean Phillips as the Democratic nominee and someone like Nikki Haley as a Republican nominee, I'd vote for Dean Phillips all day long.”
David Sacks Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:22:46 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Prediction Held up
Friedberg: Dean Phillips stands no chance in primary if Biden runs
“I think if Joe Biden runs, he obviously doesn't stand a chance just based on the structural issues that he described.”
David Friedberg Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:23:52 In conversation with Dean Phillips

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
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0815202320242025episodes it came up in
001.57.5315202320242025episodesmentions per episode
2025 8 mentions in 3 episodes 3 per episode
2024 29 mentions in 13 episodes 2 per episode
2023 2 mentions in 1 episode

Appearances (2)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties! Nov 6, 2024 10m
In conversation with Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 58m
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