| 50× | “50 X” | Friedberg: Open-source AI drops the cost of AI by 50x | David Friedberg | Sep 12, 2026 | — |
| $15B | “fifteen billion dollars” | Friedberg: US nuclear power costs $15B per gigawatt versus $1B in China | David Friedberg | Sep 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5.5M | “5500 thousand” | Friedberg: OpenAI's math solution equaled tens of thousands of human work years | David Friedberg | Sep 12, 2026 | — |
| 10,000× | “10,000 X” | Friedberg: New tech cuts AI power cost per token by 10,000x | David Friedberg | Sep 12, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 4× | “four times” | Sacks: Anthropic IPO will be 4x all past SF IPOs combined | David Sacks | Sep 4, 2026 | Open |
| 83% | “83%” | Calacanis: MIT study found 83% of LLM essay writers could not quote their work | Jason Calacanis | Sep 4, 2026 | Supported |
| $1.5T | “half a trillion dollars” | Chamath: Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs will fund over $500B in charity | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 4, 2026 | Open |
| 3M | “three million” | Sacks: Venezuela's oil production fell by two-thirds under Maduro | David Sacks | Sep 4, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Sacks: Venezuela's oil production fell by two-thirds under Maduro | David Sacks | Sep 4, 2026 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Calacanis: Late-stage tech valuations at 50 to 100x revenue are unsustainable | Jason Calacanis | Sep 4, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: OpenAI's Polymarket odds for 2026 best model spiked above 20% | Jason Calacanis | Sep 4, 2026 | Supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Chamath: Frontier AI models are converging across 98% to 99% of key tasks | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 4, 2026 | — |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Sacks: Nvidia guided for 70% growth against 45% Street expectations | David Sacks | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Sacks: Nvidia guided for 70% growth against 45% Street expectations | David Sacks | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 45% | “45%” | Sacks: Nvidia guided for 70% growth against 45% Street expectations | David Sacks | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Sacks: AI optimism exceeds 80% in China versus 30% in US | David Sacks | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Sacks: AI optimism exceeds 80% in China versus 30% in US | David Sacks | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| $10T | “10 trillion dollars” | Friedberg: US Must Refinance $10T in Debt Over Next 12 Months | David Friedberg | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 27% | “27%” | Calacanis: Austin housing prices dropped 25% to 27% from 2022 peak | Jason Calacanis | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Calacanis: Austin housing prices dropped 25% to 27% from 2022 peak | Jason Calacanis | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Friedberg: CAR-T Therapy Costs $1M With Incredible Blood Cancer Efficacy | David Friedberg | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Chamath: 30-Year Yields at 6% Will Trigger a Multi-Year Death Spiral | Chamath Palihapitiya | Aug 29, 2026 | — |
| 12B | “twelve billion” | Calacanis: Nvidia acquired Hugging Face for $12B and Poolside for $6B | Jason Calacanis | Aug 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 6B | “six billion” | Calacanis: Nvidia acquired Hugging Face for $12B and Poolside for $6B | Jason Calacanis | Aug 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Calacanis: Nvidia acquired Hugging Face for $12B and Poolside for $6B | Jason Calacanis | Aug 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Calacanis: Nvidia acquired Hugging Face for $12B and Poolside for $6B | Jason Calacanis | Aug 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Friedberg: Each 1% Rate Hike Costs US 1.25% of GDP in Interest | David Friedberg | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 1.25% | “1.25%” | Friedberg: Each 1% Rate Hike Costs US 1.25% of GDP in Interest | David Friedberg | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 21B | “a twenty billion” | Friedberg: Moderna Grew From $20B to $60B on Cancer Vaccine Readouts | David Friedberg | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Friedberg: Moderna Grew From $20B to $60B on Cancer Vaccine Readouts | David Friedberg | Aug 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Weinstein: Working for Peter Thiel closed 30% of academic doors to me | Eric Weinstein | Aug 27, 2026 | — |
| 6% | “six percent” | Friedberg: Nature survey found 6% of scientist readers backed Trump | David Friedberg | Aug 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Friedberg: Nature survey found 6% of scientist readers backed Trump | David Friedberg | Aug 27, 2026 | Supported |
| $33B | “thirty three billion dollars” | Friedberg: China R&D Spending Grew 19x to $670B by 2021 | David Friedberg | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Friedberg: China R&D Spending Grew 19x to $670B by 2021 | David Friedberg | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 19× | “19 x” | Friedberg: China R&D Spending Grew 19x to $670B by 2021 | David Friedberg | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 3× | “three x” | Friedberg: China R&D Spending Grew 19x to $670B by 2021 | David Friedberg | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 86% | “86%” | Friedberg: Nature poll found 86% of scientists backed Harris vs 6% Trump | David Friedberg | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Friedberg: Nature poll found 86% of scientists backed Harris vs 6% Trump | David Friedberg | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Kratsios: US R&D funding shifted from 70% federal to 70% private | Michael Kratsios | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives | Michael Kratsios | Aug 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $8B | “eight billion dollars” | Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives | Michael Kratsios | Aug 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 25% | “25%” | Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives | Michael Kratsios | Aug 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 1M | “a million” | Calacanis: Uber and Zipline Partnership Will Reach 1 Million Daily Deliveries | Jason Calacanis | Aug 21, 2026 | Open |
| 3% | “three percent” | Sacks: Data Centers Will Account for 3% of US GDP | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2026 | Open |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: Anthropic's seven co-founders donated 80% of their shares to a trust | Jason Calacanis | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: Anthropic's seven co-founders donated 80% of their shares to a trust | Jason Calacanis | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 96% | “96%” | Sacks: US overall inflation rose 96% between 2000 and 2026 | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Sacks: Meta faces over $1T in addiction lawsuits after $6M LA verdict | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 7M | “a six million” | Sacks: Meta faces over $1T in addiction lawsuits after $6M LA verdict | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 53% | “53%” | Friedberg: 53% of young conservatives support government-run grocery stores | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Sacks: U.S. Murder Rate Dropped 20% to Lowest Level in 70 Years | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Friedberg: 10% tax on $50M+ individuals funds only 3 months of spending | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: 10% tax on $50M+ individuals funds only 3 months of spending | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 6.6T | “6.6 trillion” | Sacks: Forbes 400 total wealth is less than 10% of DSA platform cost | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Sacks: Forbes 400 total wealth is less than 10% of DSA platform cost | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 61% | “61%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 72% | “72%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 41% | “41%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 42% | “42%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 6T | “six trillion” | Friedberg: Top 50% of Americans hold $178T in net worth versus $6T for bottom 50% | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Friedberg: Top 50% of Americans hold $178T in net worth versus $6T for bottom 50% | David Friedberg | Aug 21, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 135% | “135%” | Sacks: US average hourly wage grew 135% from 2000 to 2026 | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Sacks: US average hourly wage grew 135% from 2000 to 2026 | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Langley: 90% of crimes are solved within seven days of data retention | Garrett Langley | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Langley: Flock solved 1M crimes and found 10K missing people last year | Garrett Langley | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “1%” | Langley: Flock Safety raised capital and sits at 0.1% churn | Garrett Langley | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Langley: LPR is under 50% of Flock's revenue as drones grow fastest | Garrett Langley | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “1 trillion” | Baker: xAI will release Grok 4.7 in a few weeks | Gavin Baker | Aug 13, 2026 | Open |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Calacanis: US AI spend will hit $1T as companies adopt tokens | Jason Calacanis | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: US AI spend will hit $1T as companies adopt tokens | Jason Calacanis | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Baker: Approximating a human brain requires the power of 1M homes | Gavin Baker | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Baker: Approximating a human brain requires the power of 1M homes | Gavin Baker | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| $100B | “100 billion dollars” | Calacanis: Unnamed hyperscaler pivoted a nine-figure AI strategy to open source | Jason Calacanis | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Baker: Frontier models will capture 65 to 85 percent of value | Gavin Baker | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Baker: Frontier models will capture 65 to 85 percent of value | Gavin Baker | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Calacanis: Nvidia partnering with Goldman and BlackRock for $500B financing | Jason Calacanis | Aug 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Baker: Anthropic reaching $400B to $500B revenue by 2027 is realistic | Gavin Baker | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Baker: Elon Musk is building a $10B solar plant in Texas | Gavin Baker | Aug 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Calacanis: AI chip inference efficiency will improve 5x-10x every 12-18 months | Jason Calacanis | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 5× | “five times” | Calacanis: AI chip inference efficiency will improve 5x-10x every 12-18 months | Jason Calacanis | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Sacks: OpenAI revenue growth exceeds 20 percent month-over-month | David Sacks | Aug 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Sacks: OpenAI revenue growth exceeds 20 percent month-over-month | David Sacks | Aug 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Calacanis: Anthropic's revenue growth will slow and miss $1T next year | Jason Calacanis | Aug 13, 2026 | Open |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Friedberg: Housing, college, and healthcare inflation significantly outpaced average 2.5% inflation | David Friedberg | Aug 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Friedberg: Housing, college, and healthcare inflation significantly outpaced average 2.5% inflation | David Friedberg | Aug 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Friedberg: Housing, college, and healthcare inflation significantly outpaced average 2.5% inflation | David Friedberg | Aug 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20× | “20 times” | Friedberg: China has 20 times the US manufacturing square footage | David Friedberg | Aug 12, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Emanuel: Illiteracy causes kids to effectively drop out in third grade | Rahm Emanuel | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Emanuel proposes 20% full-tuition foreign student cap to subsidize 3-year degrees | Rahm Emanuel | Aug 12, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Emanuel: China's Auto Industry Exports Are Rising While Profits Are Down 20% | Rahm Emanuel | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: College administrative staff grew from 10% to 60% in 30 years | David Friedberg | Aug 12, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 60% | “60%” | Friedberg: College administrative staff grew from 10% to 60% in 30 years | David Friedberg | Aug 12, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 40B | “forty billion” | Emanuel: Iran Invested $40B+ Over 40 Years in Regional Proxy Network | Rahm Emanuel | Aug 12, 2026 | Supported |
| $200B | “two hundred billion dollars” | Friedberg: Google committed $200B in CapEx to AI data centers this year | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 2M | “two million” | Friedberg: Direct-to-cell Starlink could double quarterly subscriber additions to 4M-5M | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 5M | “five million” | Friedberg: Direct-to-cell Starlink could double quarterly subscriber additions to 4M-5M | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | Gerstner: Frontier AI labs pay 3x to 5x market price for compute | Brad Gerstner | Aug 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 80B | “eighty billion” | Sacks: Anthropic surpassed $80B ARR and will beat year-end targets early | David Sacks | Aug 7, 2026 | Open |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Sacks: Anthropic surpassed $80B ARR and will beat year-end targets early | David Sacks | Aug 7, 2026 | Open |
| 10× | “10 X” | Sacks: Starship launches will add over 20x more Starlink bandwidth | David Sacks | Aug 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 20× | “20 times” | Sacks: Starship launches will add over 20x more Starlink bandwidth | David Sacks | Aug 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 3B | “three billion” | Gerstner: Combined Cursor and Grok could reach $10B–$20B by year-end | Brad Gerstner | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Gerstner: Combined Cursor and Grok could reach $10B–$20B by year-end | Brad Gerstner | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Gerstner: Combined Cursor and Grok could reach $10B–$20B by year-end | Brad Gerstner | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 1.4T | “1.4 trillion” | Gerstner: SpaceX investors can triple their money over 3 to 4 years | Brad Gerstner | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Friedberg: Starlink alone could reach a $1T valuation within 18 months | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Gerstner: Nadella reports over 30% ROIC for Microsoft token infrastructure | Brad Gerstner | Aug 7, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 4.3B | “4.3 billion” | Friedberg breaks down Starlink Q2: $4.3B revenue, $2.6B EBITDA, 12M subscribers | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 2.6B | “2.6 billion” | Friedberg breaks down Starlink Q2: $4.3B revenue, $2.6B EBITDA, 12M subscribers | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 12M | “twelve million” | Friedberg breaks down Starlink Q2: $4.3B revenue, $2.6B EBITDA, 12M subscribers | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Friedberg breaks down Starlink Q2: $4.3B revenue, $2.6B EBITDA, 12M subscribers | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 82% | “82%” | Calacanis: Google Cloud posted record 82% year-over-year revenue growth | Jason Calacanis | Aug 7, 2026 | Supported |
| $40B | “forty billion dollars” | Friedberg: Starlink could generate $30B in annual free cash flow within a year | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 31B | “a thirty billion” | Friedberg: Starlink could generate $30B in annual free cash flow within a year | David Friedberg | Aug 7, 2026 | — |
| 7.8B | “7.8 billion” | Calacanis: SpaceX Q2 revenue hit $7.8B; Elon Web Services hit $2.6B | Jason Calacanis | Aug 7, 2026 | Supported |
| $2.6B | “2.6 billion dollars” | Calacanis: SpaceX Q2 revenue hit $7.8B; Elon Web Services hit $2.6B | Jason Calacanis | Aug 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 92% | “92%” | Calacanis: SpaceX Q2 revenue hit $7.8B; Elon Web Services hit $2.6B | Jason Calacanis | Aug 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 67% | “67%” | Calacanis: SpaceX Q2 revenue hit $7.8B; Elon Web Services hit $2.6B | Jason Calacanis | Aug 7, 2026 | Supported |
| $3B | “three billion dollars” | Mavrucas: US destroyers cost $3B, take 6–8 years, field ~96 VLS tubes | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 3B | “Three billion” | Mavrucas: US destroyers cost $3B, take 6–8 years, field ~96 VLS tubes | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Mavrucas: US destroyers cost $3B, take 6–8 years, field ~96 VLS tubes | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 1% | “One percent” | Mavrucas: Only 1% of the defense budget goes to autonomous systems | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 23M | “twenty three million” | Mavrucas: China outbuilds the US in shipping tonnage 230 to 1 | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 6× | “six times” | Mavrucas: US-built ships cost five to six times more than Chinese ships | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Mavrucas: Saronic has raised $2.5 billion in private capital | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Mavrucas: China's global shipbuilding share grew from 5% to 57% | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 57% | “57%” | Mavrucas: China's global shipbuilding share grew from 5% to 57% | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Mavrucas: China built 1,000 commercial ships last year versus America's five | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Mavrucas: Securing the Strait of Hormuz requires under 1,000 autonomous vessels | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Altakar: Commercial 24-foot boats cannot match Corsair's 1,000-nautical-mile range | Vib Altakar | Aug 5, 2026 | — |
| $300M | “three hundred million dollars” | Mavrucas: Modern shipyards can cut US shipbuilding costs in half | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Mavrucas: Modern shipyards can cut US shipbuilding costs in half | Dino Mavrucas | Aug 5, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Altakar: 70% of critical components on some Navy ships are single-sourced | Vib Altakar | Aug 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Calacanis: ASML stock falls 17% as Chinese competitor CXMT surges 500% | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 500% | “500%” | Calacanis: ASML stock falls 17% as Chinese competitor CXMT surges 500% | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “1.5 billion” | Calacanis: Anthropic paid $1.5B in the largest US copyright settlement | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 7M | “seven million” | Calacanis: Anthropic paid $1.5B in the largest US copyright settlement | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Calacanis: Anthropic paid $1.5B in the largest US copyright settlement | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 6× | “six X” | Chamath: US electricity deficit will reach 1.7 TWh by 2050 | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 30, 2026 | Open |
| 80% | “80%” | Chamath: Solar will dominate power generation before nuclear SMRs reach production | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 30, 2026 | Open |
| 1.2M | “1.2 million” | Calacanis: Around 350,000 South Korean leveraged accounts fully liquidated | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Sacks: Anthropic is surpassing $70B in ARR this year | David Sacks | Jul 30, 2026 | Open |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Sacks: Anthropic is surpassing $70B in ARR this year | David Sacks | Jul 30, 2026 | Open |
| 10× | “10 X” | Sacks: Anthropic is surpassing $70B in ARR this year | David Sacks | Jul 30, 2026 | Open |
| 75% | “75%” | Chamath: Upcoming AI Efficiencies Will Cut Token Consumption 50% to 75% | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 30, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Calacanis: Mamdani proposes $70M plan for 5 NYC-owned grocery stores by 2029 | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Friedberg: Emergent biological complexity extends far beyond any silicon AI model | David Friedberg | Jul 30, 2026 | — |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Friedberg: Emergent biological complexity extends far beyond any silicon AI model | David Friedberg | Jul 30, 2026 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Calacanis: Major enterprise customers will abandon OpenAI and Anthropic for open-source | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Open |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Calacanis: Major enterprise customers will abandon OpenAI and Anthropic for open-source | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Open |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Sachs: Dario Amodei and Anthropic's Political Influence Will Grow Post-IPO | David Sacks | Jul 30, 2026 | — |
| 40M | “forty million” | Sachs: Dario Amodei and Anthropic's Political Influence Will Grow Post-IPO | David Sacks | Jul 30, 2026 | — |
| 5.2% | “5.2%” | Friedberg: 30-year Treasury yield crossed 5.2% for first time in 20 years | David Friedberg | Jul 30, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 200× | “200 times” | Sacks: Anthropic iterated prompts over 200 times in AI blackmail study | David Sacks | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Chamath: New Mexico Natural Gas Share Dropped From Nearly 100% to Sub-30% | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 30, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 10× | “10 X” | Sacks: AI market correction is driven by momentum, not deteriorating fundamentals | David Sacks | Jul 30, 2026 | — |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Sacks: Aschenbrenner grew his hedge fund from $200M to $20B | David Sacks | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Sacks: Aschenbrenner grew his hedge fund from $200M to $20B | David Sacks | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Friedberg: Cambridge and Princeton Researchers Mapped All 139,000 Fruit Fly Neurons | David Friedberg | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: Semiconductor index drops over 20% into bear market territory | Jason Calacanis | Jul 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 40× | “40 times” | Fankhauser: Some ANYbotics customers run robot inspection missions 40 times daily | Dr. Peter Fankhauser | Jul 29, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “Hundred percent” | McMaster: 100% of Boston Dynamics robots built outside China and Taiwan | Amanda McMaster | Jul 29, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Calacanis: Moonshot's Kimi K3 matches GPT 5.6 at half the cost | Jason Calacanis | Jul 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Sacks: Anthropic's ARR grew from $10 billion to over $70 billion | David Sacks | Jul 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Sacks: Anthropic's ARR grew from $10 billion to over $70 billion | David Sacks | Jul 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Sacks: OpenAI forecasts $75 billion in exit ARR by year-end | David Sacks | Jul 24, 2026 | Open |
| 75B | “seventy five billion” | Sacks: OpenAI forecasts $75 billion in exit ARR by year-end | David Sacks | Jul 24, 2026 | Open |
| 7M | “seven million” | Calacanis: Anthropic downloaded 7 million pirated books to train Claude | Jason Calacanis | Jul 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 91% | “91%” | Calacanis: 91% of eligible authors claimed share in Anthropic settlement | Jason Calacanis | Jul 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: AI companies should pool 10% of revenue to pay content owners | Jason Calacanis | Jul 24, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10 percent” | Sacks predicts copyright holders will demand 100% of AI revenues, not 10% | David Sacks | Jul 24, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Sacks predicts copyright holders will demand 100% of AI revenues, not 10% | David Sacks | Jul 24, 2026 | — |
| 32% | “32%” | Chamath Palihapitiya: Google compounded money at 32% ROIC over 20 years | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Chamath: Achieving 99.999% cloud reliability costs hundreds of billions | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 24, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Mark Cuban: Mid-market tech companies should pursue $100M IPOs | Mark Cuban | Jul 21, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Cuban: AI will not eliminate 50% of white-collar jobs | Mark Cuban | Jul 21, 2026 | Open |
| 95% | “95%” | Mark Cuban asserts 95% of medicine is guessing | Mark Cuban | Jul 21, 2026 | — |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Sacks: PayPal is an obsolete legacy product growing at only 7% | David Sacks | Jul 18, 2026 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Palihapitiya: Final PayPal takeover price will be 10% to 15% higher | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 18, 2026 | Open |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Sacks: Stripe processes $2T in annual volume, exceeding PayPal's $1.7T | David Sacks | Jul 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Palihapitiya: Input token costs range from $56 to $0.50 per million | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 18, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 21× | “21 times” | Glyman: Ramp customer AI token spend grew 21x over the past year | Eric Glyman | Jul 18, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Palihapitiya: 40% of planned data center projects are being mothballed | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 18, 2026 | — |
| 55% | “55%” | Friedberg: CML-degrading enzyme reduced donor skin age markers to age 31 | David Friedberg | Jul 18, 2026 | Supported |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Gelsinger: Intel returned $100B to shareholders five years before his return | Pat Gelsinger | Jul 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 12% | “12%” | Gelsinger: US leading-edge semiconductor manufacturing share grew from 12% to 18% | Pat Gelsinger | Jul 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 18% | “18%” | Gelsinger: US leading-edge semiconductor manufacturing share grew from 12% to 18% | Pat Gelsinger | Jul 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 7× | “seven times” | Gelsinger: China blockaded the Taiwan Strait seven times in four years | Pat Gelsinger | Jul 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Osika: One million new projects are built on Lovable every week | Anton Osika | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | Osika: Applications built on Lovable receive over 700 million monthly visits | Anton Osika | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Osika: More than 50 million apps have been built on Lovable | Anton Osika | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Osika: 80% of Lovable users are non-technical | Anton Osika | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Osika: Businesses are generating over $1 million in revenue using Lovable | Anton Osika | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Osika: Nursa replaced ten internal tools with Lovable, saving over $1M | Anton Osika | Jul 15, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “hundred million” | ElevenLabs reaches $600 million ARR after rapid revenue scaling | Mati Staniszewski | Jul 14, 2026 | — |
| $22M | “twenty two million dollars” | Staniszewski: ElevenLabs has paid over $22M to voice talent | Mati Staniszewski | Jul 14, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Staniszewski: ElevenLabs built an internal team of 1,000+ data labelers | Mati Staniszewski | Jul 14, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Max Junestrand says Leyora achieved 50% QoQ growth for seven quarters | Max Junestrand | Jul 14, 2026 | — |
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