Prediction Open AI assessment confidence: 85% certainty 4/5 debate potential 4/5

Calacanis: Major enterprise customers will abandon OpenAI and Anthropic for open-source

Jason Calacanis · Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores · Jul 30, 2026 · at 45:09

Jason Calacanis argues that high-spending enterprise customers will abandon proprietary AI labs to avoid competition at the application layer.

0:00 / 0:27exact quote · 27.2s
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“And I'll make this prediction here, that you're going to see some of the major customers Of Anthropic and major customers of OpenAI. I'm talking about the eight and nine figure customers, people spending fifty million, a hundred million a year. They're leaving. They're going to be leaving because they don't trust those companies to not steal the application layer and to compete with them. 11 Labs, Figma, Lovable. They're all going to leave, and they're all going to take Kimi. They're going to fork it, or whichever one, Deep Seek.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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