| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Max Junestrand states legal market is $1T while software spend is $40B | Max Junestrand | Jul 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 40B | “forty billion” | Max Junestrand states legal market is $1T while software spend is $40B | Max Junestrand | Jul 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 10M | “ten million” | Junestrand: Kirkland & Ellis partners make $5M-$10M annually in profit | Max Junestrand | Jul 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Junestrand: Legora gives corporate legal teams immediate 80% accurate cross-border responses | Max Junestrand | Jul 14, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Gerstner: SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI will compound revenue at 30%+ annually | Brad Gerstner | Jul 11, 2026 | Open |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Gerstner: Frontier AI labs could 3x to 5x revenue next year | Brad Gerstner | Jul 11, 2026 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | Gerstner: Frontier AI labs could 3x to 5x revenue next year | Brad Gerstner | Jul 11, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Calacanis: Using decentralized AI subnets reduced his token costs by 95% | Jason Calacanis | Jul 11, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Gerstner: AI token prices dropped 90% annually over past 2.5 years | Brad Gerstner | Jul 11, 2026 | Supported |
| $6B | “six billion dollars” | Calacanis: Japan investing $6B in Neo Terra consortium for robotics AI | Jason Calacanis | Jul 11, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 19% | “19%” | Open source enterprise AI spend dropped from 19% to 11%, Sacks notes | David Sacks | Jul 11, 2026 | Supported |
| 11% | “11%” | Open source enterprise AI spend dropped from 19% to 11%, Sacks notes | David Sacks | Jul 11, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Sacks: Decagon routes 90% of AI customer support usage to open models | David Sacks | Jul 11, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Gerstner: Over 1.5M Trump Accounts Created in First 24 Hours | Brad Gerstner | Jul 11, 2026 | Open |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Gerstner: Trump Accounts Garnered Over $1B in Deposits Post-Launch | Brad Gerstner | Jul 11, 2026 | Supported |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Gerstner: Trump Accounts Aims to Raise $100B in First 12 Months | Brad Gerstner | Jul 11, 2026 | Open |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Gerstner: Over 100M Trump Accounts will be set up within a decade | Brad Gerstner | Jul 11, 2026 | Open |
| $4T | “four trillion dollars” | Gerstner: Trump Accounts could add $2T-$4T to lower-income families over 15 years | Brad Gerstner | Jul 11, 2026 | — |
| 26B | “a twenty five billion” | Cerebras CEO discloses $25 billion order backlog | Andrew Feldman | Jul 10, 2026 | — |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | Feldman: Cerebras wafer-scale chip cost half a billion dollars to develop | Andrew Feldman | Jul 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 2× | “two X” | Feldman: Cerebras chip gains will exceed 2x over next 18 months | Andrew Feldman | Jul 10, 2026 | Open |
| 11% | “11%” | Chamath: Half of large US companies do not exceed cost of capital | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Calacanis: Users won't distinguish NVIDIA's Nemotron from Claude in 95% of searches | Jason Calacanis | Jul 3, 2026 | — |
| 47B | “forty-seven billion” | Sacks: Anthropic ARR is around $60B+ and OpenAI ARR is $47B | David Sacks | Jul 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Calacanis: AI token costs will drop 90% annually for three years | Jason Calacanis | Jul 3, 2026 | Open |
| 70% | “70%” | Friedberg: Enterprise AI inference will split 70% major cloud, 20% local, 10% other | David Friedberg | Jul 3, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Friedberg: Enterprise AI inference will split 70% major cloud, 20% local, 10% other | David Friedberg | Jul 3, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: Enterprise AI inference will split 70% major cloud, 20% local, 10% other | David Friedberg | Jul 3, 2026 | — |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Chamath: Microsoft and Amazon allocating billions toward forward-deployed engineers | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Chamath: Microsoft and Amazon allocating billions toward forward-deployed engineers | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Sacks: Study shows top AI-spending firms grew headcount 10% post-adoption | David Sacks | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 12% | “12%” | Sacks: Study shows top AI-spending firms grew headcount 10% post-adoption | David Sacks | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 32% | “32%” | Sachs: Polling shows 83% of US adults support deporting some or all illegal immigrants | David Sacks | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 51% | “51%” | Sachs: Polling shows 83% of US adults support deporting some or all illegal immigrants | David Sacks | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 2% | “Two percent” | Sachs: One-third of historical Ellis Island immigrants returned to home countries | David Sacks | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 15B | “fifteen billion” | Friedberg: California's state budget grew 65% from 2019 to $355B | David Friedberg | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 55B | “fifty five billion” | Friedberg: California's state budget grew 65% from 2019 to $355B | David Friedberg | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 65% | “65%” | Friedberg: California's state budget grew 65% from 2019 to $355B | David Friedberg | Jul 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 65% | “65%” | Calacanis: California tax rates will reach 60% to 65% for top earners | Jason Calacanis | Jul 3, 2026 | Open |
| 10× | “10 X” | Jason Calacanis: Heritage Foundation data shows voter fraud cannot flip elections | Jason Calacanis | Jun 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 20× | “20 X” | Jason Calacanis: Heritage Foundation data shows voter fraud cannot flip elections | Jason Calacanis | Jun 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Nate Silver: Recounts almost never overturn vote margins above 0.05% | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 97% | “97%” | Nate Silver: 43 states can be predicted for 2028 with 97% confidence | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Open |
| 38% | “38%” | Nate Silver: Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to 38% | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Nate Silver: 80% of voters agreed Joe Biden was too old | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Nate Silver: Democrats have an 85% to 90% chance to take the House | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Open |
| 45% | “45%” | Nate Silver: Democrats have an 85% to 90% chance to take the House | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Open |
| 60% | “60%” | Nate Silver: GOP has a slight edge to retain the Senate | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Open |
| 1% | “one percent” | Nate Silver: Conditional on winning Senate, Democrats almost certainly win House | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Nate Silver: Gavin Newsom's Democratic primary polling fell from 25% to 15% | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Nate Silver: Gavin Newsom's Democratic primary polling fell from 25% to 15% | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 33% | “33%” | Nate Silver: Gavin Newsom's Democratic primary polling fell from 25% to 15% | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 22% | “22%” | Nate Silver: Gavin Newsom's Democratic primary polling fell from 25% to 15% | Nate Silver | Jun 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Baker: Republican DAs reduce young Black male all-cause mortality by 7% | Gavin Baker | Jun 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Sacks: Polling shows 80% of Democrats disapprove of Israel | David Sacks | Jun 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Baker: Micron locks in 50% of revenue with four customer agreements | Gavin Baker | Jun 27, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Gavin Baker: DRAM will be 30-40% of hyperscaler capex next year | Gavin Baker | Jun 27, 2026 | — |
| $5B | “five billion dollars” | Gavin Baker: Reusable Starship will launch a gigawatt of compute for $5B | Gavin Baker | Jun 27, 2026 | — |
| $3T | “three trillion dollars” | Gavin Baker: Anthropic is worth $3 trillion today | Gavin Baker | Jun 27, 2026 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Gavin Baker: Anthropic will end the year with over $100B revenue | Gavin Baker | Jun 27, 2026 | Open |
| 5% | “five percent” | GameStop originally invited Ryan Cohen to board to fend off activist | Ryan Cohen | Jun 23, 2026 | — |
| 600M | “a five hundred million” | Ryan Cohen: Chewy could have been profitable sooner with less marketing spend | Ryan Cohen | Jun 23, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Ryan Cohen: Chewy could have been profitable sooner with less marketing spend | Ryan Cohen | Jun 23, 2026 | — |
| 30M | “thirty million” | Cohen: eBay active users have dropped by 30 million since COVID | Ryan Cohen | Jun 23, 2026 | Supported |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Cohen: $2B in costs can be immediately cut from eBay | Ryan Cohen | Jun 23, 2026 | — |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Cohen: $2B in costs can be immediately cut from eBay | Ryan Cohen | Jun 23, 2026 | — |
| 2.4B | “2.4 billion” | Cohen: $2B in costs can be immediately cut from eBay | Ryan Cohen | Jun 23, 2026 | — |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Ryan Cohen: Committing $500M of personal capital to eBay transaction | Ryan Cohen | Jun 23, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Cohen: eBay CEO golden parachute is over $100M | Ryan Cohen | Jun 23, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Calacanis: Retail investors would have bought SpaceX early without accredited investor rules | Jason Calacanis | Jun 19, 2026 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Calacanis: Retail investors would have bought SpaceX early without accredited investor rules | Jason Calacanis | Jun 19, 2026 | — |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Calacanis: Retail investors would have bought SpaceX early without accredited investor rules | Jason Calacanis | Jun 19, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Calacanis: Retail investors would have bought SpaceX early without accredited investor rules | Jason Calacanis | Jun 19, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Calacanis: Retail investors would have bought SpaceX early without accredited investor rules | Jason Calacanis | Jun 19, 2026 | — |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Calacanis: OpenAI's Greg Brockman and wife donated $25M to Trump | Jason Calacanis | Jun 19, 2026 | Supported |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Chamath Palihapitiya claims a gigawatt of data center capacity costs $100 billion | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 13, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 90% | “90%” | Calacanis: 80 to 90 percent of top AI talent agrees with Dario Amodei | Jason Calacanis | Jun 13, 2026 | — |
| $4T | “four trillion dollars” | Friedberg: Social Security Trust Fund holds $4 trillion exclusively in Treasuries | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Sacks: Dario Amodei's prediction of 50% entry-level AI job loss is refuted | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Sacks: Data shows centicorns have a 31% chance of reaching $1T market cap | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Sacks: Data shows centicorns have a 31% chance of reaching $1T market cap | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 13% | “13%” | Sacks: Data shows centicorns have a 31% chance of reaching $1T market cap | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 31% | “31%” | Sacks: Data shows centicorns have a 31% chance of reaching $1T market cap | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Sacks: 60% of trillion-dollar companies will reach $10T in next few years | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Sacks: 60% of trillion-dollar companies will reach $10T in next few years | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Sacks: 60% of trillion-dollar companies will reach $10T in next few years | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2026 | — |
| 6% | “six percent” | Friedberg: Fed overnight rates could rise above 5.5% to 6% | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | — |
| 3M | “three million” | Chamath: Oil could reach $150 to $200 if China re-enters spot market | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 13, 2026 | — |
| 35% | “35%” | Friedberg details shifting vote shares in LA mayoral primary | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 29% | “29%” | Friedberg details shifting vote shares in LA mayoral primary | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 26% | “26%” | Friedberg details shifting vote shares in LA mayoral primary | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 38% | “38%” | Friedberg details shifting vote shares in LA mayoral primary | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 28% | “28%” | Friedberg details shifting vote shares in LA mayoral primary | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Friedberg details shifting vote shares in LA mayoral primary | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 37% | “37%” | Friedberg details shifting vote shares in LA mayoral primary | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 19% | “19%” | Friedberg details shifting vote shares in LA mayoral primary | David Friedberg | Jun 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Chamath: Statistical odds of LA primary outcome were one in a trillion | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 13, 2026 | — |
| 26% | “26%” | Cowan: Barry Diller owns 26% of MGM and bid $48 per share | Aaron Cowan | Jun 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 26B | “a twenty-five billion” | Dreyfus: Talen Energy trades at $25B EV versus $45B asset replacement cost | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 12, 2026 | — |
| 45B | “forty-five billion” | Dreyfus: Talen Energy trades at $25B EV versus $45B asset replacement cost | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 12, 2026 | — |
| 400M | “a three hundred million” | Nodelman: Aktis Oncology's IPO was 18x oversubscribed, backstopped by Eli Lilly | Oleg Noodleman | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Nodelman: Aktis Oncology's IPO was 18x oversubscribed, backstopped by Eli Lilly | Oleg Noodleman | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 18× | “18 times” | Nodelman: Aktis Oncology's IPO was 18x oversubscribed, backstopped by Eli Lilly | Oleg Noodleman | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Nodelman: Aktis Oncology could reach a $10B valuation if one program succeeds | Oleg Noodleman | Jun 12, 2026 | — |
| $11M | “eleven million dollars” | Samani: GEODNET revenue will more than triple in the next 12 months | Kyle Samani | Jun 12, 2026 | Open |
| 3× | “three X” | Samani: GEODNET revenue will more than triple in the next 12 months | Kyle Samani | Jun 12, 2026 | Open |
| 11M | “eleven million” | Samani: GEODNET uses 80% of its revenue to buy back tokens | Kyle Samani | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| $8.8M | “8.8 million dollars” | Samani: GEODNET uses 80% of its revenue to buy back tokens | Kyle Samani | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Samani: GEODNET uses 80% of its revenue to buy back tokens | Kyle Samani | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Samani: GEODNET trades at a $150M fully diluted market cap | Kyle Samani | Jun 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “hundred billion” | Baker: Broadly applicable biotech platforms produce rare $100B+ outcomes | Gavin Baker | Jun 12, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Friedberg: Venetian makes $1M incremental EBITDA per Sphere show day | David Friedberg | Jun 12, 2026 | — |
| 24% | “24%” | Dan Dreyfus wins audience vote at All-In Pitch Competition | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Dan Dreyfus wins audience vote at All-In Pitch Competition | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | McCormick: Pennsylvania overdose deaths fell 60% to 1,600 this year | Senator Dave McCormick | Jun 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 93% | “93%” | Sen. John Fetterman says he votes with Democrats 93% of the time | John Fetterman | Jun 10, 2026 | Supported |
| $92B | “ninety two billion dollars” | McCormick: PA energy summit secured $92B in investment commitments | Senator Dave McCormick | Jun 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Sacks: Construction workers gained hundreds of thousands of jobs and 25-30% wage growth | David Sacks | Jun 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $500M | “five hundred million dollars” | McCormick: $500 million was spent on Pennsylvania Senate race | Senator Dave McCormick | Jun 10, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | McCormick: $500 million was spent on Pennsylvania Senate race | Senator Dave McCormick | Jun 10, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | McCormick: $500 million was spent on Pennsylvania Senate race | Senator Dave McCormick | Jun 10, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Boeing and Airbus share a $1 trillion backlog over 10 years | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Dreyfus: Power generation needs $1 trillion every decade for 30 years | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 10, 2026 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Dreyfus: Power generation needs $1 trillion every decade for 30 years | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 10, 2026 | — |
| 5× | “five times” | Dreyfus: Solar power requires 5x more copper per megawatt than gas turbines | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 6× | “six times” | Dreyfus: Electric cars consume 5x to 6x more copper than gas vehicles | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 10, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | World needs 10,000 years worth of copper in next 18 years | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 10, 2026 | Open |
| 1B | “a billion” | Dreyfus: Global above-ground silver stockpiles will run out in three years | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 10, 2026 | Open |
| 300M | “a two hundred million” | Dreyfus: Global above-ground silver stockpiles will run out in three years | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 10, 2026 | Open |
| 600M | “six hundred million” | Dreyfus: Global above-ground silver stockpiles will run out in three years | Dan Dreyfus | Jun 10, 2026 | Open |
| 4.1× | “4.1 X” | Maris estimates Google Ventures achieved 4.1x returns from 2009 to 2018 | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | — |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Bill Maris: All six Section 32 funds are performing in top decile | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Sub-$750M VC funds return 4.76x on average versus 2.42x for megafunds | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Sub-$750M VC funds return 4.76x on average versus 2.42x for megafunds | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Sub-$750M VC funds return 4.76x on average versus 2.42x for megafunds | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | — |
| 4.76× | “4.76 X” | Sub-$750M VC funds return 4.76x on average versus 2.42x for megafunds | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | — |
| 2.42× | “2.42 X” | Sub-$750M VC funds return 4.76x on average versus 2.42x for megafunds | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | — |
| 8B | “a seven billion” | A $7B fund returning 3x exceeds total annual venture exit values | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | A $7B fund returning 3x exceeds total annual venture exit values | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 7B | “Seven billion” | A $7B fund returning 3x exceeds total annual venture exit values | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 70× | “70 times” | A $7B fund returning 3x exceeds total annual venture exit values | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 3× | “three X” | A $7B fund returning 3x exceeds total annual venture exit values | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Maris: Google slashing Gemini prices by 80% would crush AI competitors | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Bill Maris: 75% of venture capital funds lose money | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 5% | “five percent” | Maris: Finding a drug compound is only 5% of the work | Bill Maris | Jun 9, 2026 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Palihapitiya: Palo Alto Networks on track for $1 trillion market cap | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 8, 2026 | Open |
| 90% | “90%” | Arora: AI enables 90% output consistency across Palo Alto's marketing team | Nikesh Arora | Jun 8, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Arora: Enterprises must collect 10x more cybersecurity data against AI | Nikesh Arora | Jun 8, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Calacanis: Cut SaaS spending 90% using Claude and Slack integrations | Jason Calacanis | Jun 8, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Nikesh Arora: Enterprise data storage needs will grow 10x in three years | Nikesh Arora | Jun 8, 2026 | Open |
| 89% | “89%” | Arora: 89% of cyber attacks occur because credentials get stolen | Nikesh Arora | Jun 8, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 30% | “30%” | Arora: Claude Mythos had a 30% false positive rate in testing | Nikesh Arora | Jun 8, 2026 | — |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Arora: Google will be the first $10 trillion company | Nikesh Arora | Jun 8, 2026 | Open |
| 31% | “31%” | Gerstner: Secondary transactions equal 31% of primary VC activity in 2025 | Brad Gerstner | Jun 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Gerstner: Restricting trillions in private wealth creation from average Americans is destabilizing | Brad Gerstner | Jun 7, 2026 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Calacanis: Launch sells secondary shares alongside founders at $500M valuations | Jason Calacanis | Jun 7, 2026 | — |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Calacanis: Launch sells secondary shares alongside founders at $500M valuations | Jason Calacanis | Jun 7, 2026 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Gavin Baker notes SEC rules allow mutual funds up to 15% private allocations | Gavin Baker | Jun 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “Hundred million” | Rodriques: Neura Robotics has reached $100 million in revenue | Kelly Rodriques | Jun 7, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 95% | “95%” | Baker: Zipline reduced maternal mortality in African regions by 90% to 95% | Gavin Baker | Jun 7, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $60B | “sixty billion dollars” | Gerstner: Cerebras priced IPO at $185 with $50B-$60B market cap | Brad Gerstner | Jun 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 2× | “two times” | Gerstner: Cerebras priced IPO at $185 with $50B-$60B market cap | Brad Gerstner | Jun 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5× | “five X” | Marshall: Rocket launch costs dropped 4x to 5x over 10 years | Will Marshall | Jun 6, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 18× | “18 times” | Feldman: Cerebras is 15 to 18 times faster than a GPU for OpenAI | Andrew Feldman | Jun 6, 2026 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Gerstner: Altimeter distributed MongoDB shares before it grew to $50B | Brad Gerstner | Jun 6, 2026 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Gerstner: Altimeter distributed MongoDB shares before it grew to $50B | Brad Gerstner | Jun 6, 2026 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Gerstner: Altimeter distributed MongoDB shares before it grew to $50B | Brad Gerstner | Jun 6, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Gerstner: Tech companies will return to going public at $1B-$5B valuations | Brad Gerstner | Jun 6, 2026 | — |
| 3B | “three billion” | Gerstner: Tech companies will return to going public at $1B-$5B valuations | Brad Gerstner | Jun 6, 2026 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Gerstner: Tech companies will return to going public at $1B-$5B valuations | Brad Gerstner | Jun 6, 2026 | — |
| $4B | “four billion dollars” | Loeb: Third Point would have made $4B if it kept Enphase stock | Dan Loeb | Jun 5, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Laffont: Average unicorn valuations are up 70% since September 2024 | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | Laffont: Average funding raised per unicorn has increased 5x since 2021 | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| $4T | “four trillion dollars” | Laffont: Top private tech unicorns represent $4T and outperform the Mag 7 | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Laffont: Centacorns have a 31% chance of 10x-ing to $1 Trillion | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Laffont: Centacorns have a 31% chance of 10x-ing to $1 Trillion | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Laffont: Centacorns have a 31% chance of 10x-ing to $1 Trillion | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 13% | “13%” | Laffont: Centacorns have a 31% chance of 10x-ing to $1 Trillion | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 31% | “31%” | Laffont: Centacorns have a 31% chance of 10x-ing to $1 Trillion | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Laffont: Centacorns have a 31% chance of 10x-ing to $1 Trillion | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 140B | “a hundred forty billion” | Laffont: AI ecosystem revenue will hit $300B this year and double next | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Laffont: AI ecosystem revenue will hit $300B this year and double next | Thomas Laffont | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Friedberg: Rebalancing into top 10 NASDAQ stocks outperforms index 3x over a decade | David Friedberg | Jun 4, 2026 | Supported |
| 5B | “a four billion” | Ackman aims to build Howard Hughes from $4B to $1T market cap | Bill Ackman | Jun 3, 2026 | Open |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Ackman aims to build Howard Hughes from $4B to $1T market cap | Bill Ackman | Jun 3, 2026 | Open |
| 28× | “28 times” | Ackman: Pershing Square dollar grew 27 to 28 times over 22 years | Bill Ackman | Jun 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 5M | “five million” | Friar: OpenAI Codex reached 5 million users from near zero in January | Sarah Friar | Jun 2, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Friar: OpenAI free users average seven questions daily while Pro users do 11x | Sarah Friar | Jun 2, 2026 | — |
| 11× | “11 X” | Friar: OpenAI free users average seven questions daily while Pro users do 11x | Sarah Friar | Jun 2, 2026 | — |
| 11% | “11%” | Friar: OpenAI holds at least 11% of search market share | Sarah Friar | Jun 2, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: 80% of VC associate applicants chose vibe coding over memo writing | Jason Calacanis | May 29, 2026 | — |
| 18% | “18%” | Gurley: Tech progress since 1891 radically improved global living standards | Bill Gurley | May 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Gurley: Tech progress since 1891 radically improved global living standards | Bill Gurley | May 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Gurley: Tech progress since 1891 radically improved global living standards | Bill Gurley | May 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Gurley: Tech progress since 1891 radically improved global living standards | Bill Gurley | May 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Gurley: Tech progress since 1891 radically improved global living standards | Bill Gurley | May 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40× | “40 X” | Gurley: Tech progress since 1891 radically improved global living standards | Bill Gurley | May 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Chamath: Meta capping headcount at 3,000 would not have changed its outcome | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 29, 2026 | — |
| 4.3% | “4.3%” | Sacks: US unemployment remains near record lows at 4.3% despite AI wave | David Sacks | May 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Sacks: US unemployment remains near record lows at 4.3% despite AI wave | David Sacks | May 29, 2026 | Supported |
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