| 15% | “15%” | Sacks: Software developer job postings reach three-year high, up 15% YoY | David Sacks | May 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 1B | “one billion” | Sacks: GitHub recorded 1.1 billion code commits in a single month | David Sacks | May 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 1.1B | “1.1 billion” | Sacks: GitHub recorded 1.1 billion code commits in a single month | David Sacks | May 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Gurley: 100% automated fleets are unviable, human driving jobs won't decline | Bill Gurley | May 29, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Gurley: 100% automated fleets are unviable, human driving jobs won't decline | Bill Gurley | May 29, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Chamath Palihapitiya: Amazon has 35% to 40% warehouse employee churn | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 22, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $40M | “forty million dollars” | Chamath: $30M-$40M annually would make Las Vegas America's safest city | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 22, 2026 | — |
| 11.4B | “11.4 billion” | Calacanis: Starlink generated $11.4B in revenue and $4.4B in operating income | Jason Calacanis | May 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 4.4B | “4.4 billion” | Calacanis: Starlink generated $11.4B in revenue and $4.4B in operating income | Jason Calacanis | May 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Calacanis: Starlink generated $11.4B in revenue and $4.4B in operating income | Jason Calacanis | May 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 1.3B | “1.25 billion” | Calacanis: Anthropic signed $45B compute rental deal with SpaceX | Jason Calacanis | May 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 46B | “a forty five billion” | Calacanis: Anthropic signed $45B compute rental deal with SpaceX | Jason Calacanis | May 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 15B | “fifteen billion” | Calacanis: Anthropic signed $45B compute rental deal with SpaceX | Jason Calacanis | May 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 600B | “a five hundred billion” | Gavin Baker: Only xAI, Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic are AI frontier companies | Gavin Baker | May 22, 2026 | — |
| 45B | “forty five billion” | Palihapitiya: SpaceX revenue will reach $40B-$45B next year and double after | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 22, 2026 | — |
| $200B | “two hundred billion dollars” | Palihapitiya: Terrestrial data centers will generate $100B-$200B revenue by 2030-2032 | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 22, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Calacanis: Polymarket gives 99% odds May inflation exceeds 4.2% | Jason Calacanis | May 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 4.2% | “4.2%” | Calacanis: Polymarket gives 99% odds May inflation exceeds 4.2% | Jason Calacanis | May 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Gavin Baker: Nvidia trades at low to mid-teens multiple of real earnings | Gavin Baker | May 22, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Chamath: Andreessen Horowitz will reach $1T AUM and equal Blackstone | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 15, 2026 | — |
| 2× | “two times” | Benioff: Top 10 enterprise software companies trade at two times sales | Marc Benioff | May 15, 2026 | — |
| 46B | “forty six billion” | Benioff: Salesforce will reach over $46B revenue and $16B cash flow this year | Marc Benioff | May 15, 2026 | Open |
| $300M | “three hundred million dollars” | Benioff: Salesforce will probably spend $300M on Anthropic in 2026 | Marc Benioff | May 15, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Calacanis: Employees running local AI models on advanced hardware are 10x more valuable | Jason Calacanis | May 15, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Calacanis: Always-on multimodal AI devices will increase token usage 1,000-fold | Jason Calacanis | May 15, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Friedberg: Upcoming year will be the hottest year on record | David Friedberg | May 15, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg: Koch Industries reinvests 90% of its profits into new growth | David Friedberg | May 12, 2026 | — |
| 9,000× | “9000 times” | Charles Koch: Koch Industries grew its value 9,000x since the early 1960s | Charles Koch | May 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Chase Koch: Pre-COVID, only 20% of families wanted alternative education | Chase Koch | May 12, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Chase Koch: 70% to 80% of families now favor transforming American education | Chase Koch | May 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Pratt: 90% of unhoused people in Los Angeles are drug addicts | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $11M | “eleven million dollars” | Pratt: LA gave Weingart $28M+ for $11M property | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Spencer Pratt claims Mayor Karen Bass polling at lowest incumbent level ever | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20× | “20 times” | Spencer Pratt states Mayor Karen Bass visited Cuba 20 times | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $300M | “three hundred million dollars” | Anonymous billionaire pledged $500M to revitalize LA if Pratt wins | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | — |
| $500M | “five hundred million dollars” | Anonymous billionaire pledged $500M to revitalize LA if Pratt wins | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | — |
| 51% | “51%” | Pratt predicts he will win LA mayoral election on June 2 with 51% vote | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | Didn’t hold up |
| 60% | “60%” | Pratt: 60% of LAFD firefighters fly in from outside California | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 15% | “15%” | Pratt: 15% of LA budget goes to Metro while only 5% use it | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Pratt: 15% of LA budget goes to Metro while only 5% use it | Spencer Pratt | May 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Chamath predicts most protested 2026 data center power capacity will be canceled | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 8, 2026 | Open |
| $5B | “five billion dollars” | Gerstner: xAI's Anthropic deal will yield $4B-$5B incremental revenue in 2026 | Brad Gerstner | May 8, 2026 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Sacks: Anthropic ARR reached $44 billion in April 2026 | David Sacks | May 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | Sacks: Anthropic ARR reached $44 billion in April 2026 | David Sacks | May 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 44B | “forty-four billion” | Sacks: Anthropic ARR reached $44 billion in April 2026 | David Sacks | May 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Sacks: Anthropic will reach $100B ARR by end of 2026 | David Sacks | May 8, 2026 | Open |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Sacks: Anthropic will reach $100B ARR by end of 2026 | David Sacks | May 8, 2026 | Open |
| 50× | “50 times” | Gerstner: SpaceX IPO will trade at 40 to 50 times revenue | Brad Gerstner | May 8, 2026 | Didn’t hold up |
| 75% | “75%” | Sacks: AI accounted for 75% of Q1 GDP growth | David Sacks | May 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Gerstner: Data center moratorium would trigger negative GDP and 15-20% market drop | Brad Gerstner | May 8, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Gerstner: Over 80% of Altimeter's portfolio exposure is in AI and compute | Brad Gerstner | May 8, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “one billion” | OpenAI missed target of one billion weekly active users by 2025 | Jason Calacanis | May 1, 2026 | Supported |
| $600B | “six hundred billion dollars” | OpenAI has $600 billion in compute spending commitments | Jason Calacanis | May 1, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Chamath: 40% of announced AI data center projects will be canceled | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 1, 2026 | Open |
| 1B | “a billion” | Friedberg: OpenAI has 900 million weekly active users | David Friedberg | May 1, 2026 | Supported |
| 900M | “nine hundred million” | Friedberg: OpenAI has 900 million weekly active users | David Friedberg | May 1, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg: Pruning neural networks can cut AI inference costs 10x | David Friedberg | May 1, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Friedberg: Pruning neural networks can cut AI inference costs 10x | David Friedberg | May 1, 2026 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Sacks: DeepSeek-V4 reaches 80% to 85% of US frontier AI performance | David Sacks | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 43% | “43%” | Palihapitiya: Polymarket odds place Elon Musk's chance of winning at 42-43% | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 1, 2026 | Supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Jason Calacanis: Google Cloud grew 63% year-over-year to $20B in a quarter | Jason Calacanis | May 1, 2026 | Supported |
| 63% | “63%” | Jason Calacanis: Google Cloud grew 63% year-over-year to $20B in a quarter | Jason Calacanis | May 1, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Friedberg: Retatrutide trial shows 80% liver fat reduction and major A1C drop | David Friedberg | May 1, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 7.9% | “7.9%” | Friedberg: Retatrutide trial shows 80% liver fat reduction and major A1C drop | David Friedberg | May 1, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Friedberg: Retatrutide trial shows 80% liver fat reduction and major A1C drop | David Friedberg | May 1, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1B | “one billion” | Hilton: CA solar fund gave $928M to non-profits, only $72M to solar | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 72M | “seventy two million” | Hilton: CA solar fund gave $928M to non-profits, only $72M to solar | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 28M | “twenty eight million” | Hilton: CA solar fund gave $928M to non-profits, only $72M to solar | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 25B | “twenty-five billion” | Hilton: California wastes $80B annually, 20% of state budget | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | — |
| 80B | “eighty billion” | Hilton: California wastes $80B annually, 20% of state budget | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Hilton: California wastes $80B annually, 20% of state budget | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Hilton: Building housing in California costs 2-3x more than neighboring states | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 70% | “70%” | Hilton: 70% of CEQA lawsuits are used to block housing | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 5% | “five percent” | Hilton: EV penetration in California is only about 4% to 5% | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 47% | “47%” | Hilton: California spends $27K per student while most fail basic standards | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 35% | “35%” | Hilton: California spends $27K per student while most fail basic standards | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Calacanis: California violent crime rate is 30% above national average | Jason Calacanis | Apr 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Hilton: Over 80% of unhoused Californians suffer from addiction or mental illness | Steve Hilton | Apr 29, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 2B | “two billion” | Calacanis: Cursor hit a $2 billion run rate at end of February | Jason Calacanis | Apr 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Sacks: Public SaaS companies with $1B ARR trade at 3x revenue | David Sacks | Apr 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Sacks: Public SaaS companies with $1B ARR trade at 3x revenue | David Sacks | Apr 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Sacks: Public SaaS companies with $1B ARR trade at 3x revenue | David Sacks | Apr 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Sacks: Public SaaS companies with $1B ARR trade at 3x revenue | David Sacks | Apr 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 140B | “One hundred forty billion” | Friedberg: Salesforce trades below 10 times free cash flow | David Friedberg | Apr 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 15B | “fifteen billion” | Friedberg: Salesforce trades below 10 times free cash flow | David Friedberg | Apr 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 9% | “nine percent” | Friedberg: Salesforce trades below 10 times free cash flow | David Friedberg | Apr 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Friedberg: Salesforce trades below 10 times free cash flow | David Friedberg | Apr 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5× | “five times” | Palihapitiya: SaaS multiples will compress to 3x-5x free cash flow if cash flows drop off | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 24, 2026 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Palihapitiya: $420M credit line nearly ruined me during Credit Suisse collapse | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 24, 2026 | — |
| $100M | “hundred million dollars” | Palihapitiya: $420M credit line nearly ruined me during Credit Suisse collapse | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 24, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Calacanis: Productizing DOGE-style government waste cuts is the way to win in 2028 | Jason Calacanis | Apr 24, 2026 | — |
| $81M | “eighty one million dollars” | Sacks: SPLC turned $270K Charlottesville investment into $81M in fundraising | David Sacks | Apr 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 82M | “an eighty one million” | Sacks: SPLC turned $270K Charlottesville investment into $81M in fundraising | David Sacks | Apr 24, 2026 | Supported |
| $22M | “twenty-two million dollars” | Chamath: SPLC holds $822M of donor money in offshore bank accounts | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Friedberg: Early-onset colon cancer rates rose over 80% in two decades | David Friedberg | Apr 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three X” | Friedberg: Study links picloram herbicide exposure to 3x colon cancer risk | David Friedberg | Apr 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg says his companies shifted to 90 percent Anthropic AI models | David Friedberg | Apr 17, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four X” | Sacks asserts Anthropic revenue is growing 10x compared to OpenAI's 3x | David Sacks | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Sacks asserts Anthropic revenue is growing 10x compared to OpenAI's 3x | David Sacks | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Sacks projects Anthropic will reach 80 to 100 billion this year | David Sacks | Apr 17, 2026 | Open |
| 60% | “60%” | Chamath states cloud hyperscalers now control 60 percent of global compute | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 17, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Chamath says Jane Street invested 1 billion dollars in a neoscaler | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 7B | “a six billion” | Chamath says Jane Street invested 1 billion dollars in a neoscaler | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Sacks claims AI data center builds boosted blue-collar wages by 30% | David Sacks | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| $62B | “sixty two billion dollars” | Chamath states 40 percent of contested US AI data centers get canceled | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| $600M | “six hundred million dollars” | Friedberg notes Representative Ro Khanna has traded 600 million in stock | David Friedberg | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Chamath notes a 5 percent April gain averages 32 percent yearly return | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 32% | “32%” | Chamath notes a 5 percent April gain averages 32 percent yearly return | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Calacanis: AI tools increased deployed code volume by 10x to 100x | Jason Calacanis | Apr 10, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Calacanis: AI tools increased deployed code volume by 10x to 100x | Jason Calacanis | Apr 10, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Calacanis predicts open-source AI will capture 90% of total LLM token usage | Jason Calacanis | Apr 10, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Chamath: AI-enabled coding represents only 5% of the software market | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 10, 2026 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Calacanis: Bridges AI reached 80% of Claude 4 performance for $1M | Jason Calacanis | Apr 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: Bridges AI reached 80% of Claude 4 performance for $1M | Jason Calacanis | Apr 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Sacks: AI-generated code will reach 95% within a few years | David Sacks | Apr 10, 2026 | Open |
| 95% | “95%” | Sacks: AI-generated code will reach 95% within a few years | David Sacks | Apr 10, 2026 | Open |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | Calacanis: Anthropic's revenue run rate tops $30 billion | Jason Calacanis | Apr 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Calacanis: Over 1,000 enterprises pay Anthropic over $1M annually | Jason Calacanis | Apr 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “one million” | Calacanis: Over 1,000 enterprises pay Anthropic over $1M annually | Jason Calacanis | Apr 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Gerstner: Big companies run 65-70% of AI tokens on open source | Brad Gerstner | Apr 10, 2026 | — |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Gerstner: Anthropic could hit $80B-$100B revenue run rate by year-end | Brad Gerstner | Apr 10, 2026 | Open |
| 90% | “90%” | Gerstner: AI inference cost is down 90% year over year | Brad Gerstner | Apr 10, 2026 | Supported |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Sachs: Top four hyperscalers will spend $350B on capex this year | David Sacks | Apr 10, 2026 | Open |
| 380B | “three hundred eighty billion” | Calacanis: Anthropic secondary shares trading significantly above $380B valuation | Jason Calacanis | Apr 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Gerstner: X operates with 70% fewer employees than when Musk took over | Brad Gerstner | Apr 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 40M | “forty million” | Shapiro: Pennsylvania issued 40M permits with only 5 late refunds | Josh Shapiro | Apr 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 7× | “seven times” | Shapiro: Pennsylvania has cut taxes seven times and has low income tax rate | Josh Shapiro | Apr 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 12% | “12%” | Shapiro: Pennsylvania added 2,000 police officers, cutting fatal gun violence 42% | Josh Shapiro | Apr 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 42% | “42%” | Shapiro: Pennsylvania added 2,000 police officers, cutting fatal gun violence 42% | Josh Shapiro | Apr 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Shapiro: Trump tariffs raised PA coffee prices 30% and fertilizer 36% | Josh Shapiro | Apr 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 19% | “19%” | Shapiro: Trump tariffs raised PA coffee prices 30% and fertilizer 36% | Josh Shapiro | Apr 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 9% | “nine percent” | Shapiro: Trump tariffs raised PA coffee prices 30% and fertilizer 36% | Josh Shapiro | Apr 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 36% | “36%” | Shapiro: Trump tariffs raised PA coffee prices 30% and fertilizer 36% | Josh Shapiro | Apr 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Shapiro says 60% of PA state hires lack college degrees | Josh Shapiro | Apr 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Sankar: Pure-play defense spending grew from 6% in 1989 to 86% | Shyam Sankar | Apr 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 94% | “94%” | Sankar: Pure-play defense spending grew from 6% in 1989 to 86% | Shyam Sankar | Apr 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 86% | “86%” | Sankar: Pure-play defense spending grew from 6% in 1989 to 86% | Shyam Sankar | Apr 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 2M | “two million” | Sankar: Firing $2M interceptors at $20K drones is economically unsustainable | Shyam Sankar | Apr 6, 2026 | — |
| 6M | “a five million” | Stephens: Anduril is building a 5-million-square-foot factory campus in Ohio | Trey Stevens | Apr 6, 2026 | — |
| 10M | “ten million” | Stephens: Anduril reached $10M ARR in 22 months versus Palantir's five years | Trey Stevens | Apr 6, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Sankar: China produces 80% of active ingredients for generic drugs | Shyam Sankar | Apr 6, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Sankar: Half of all new clinical trials worldwide now occur in China | Shyam Sankar | Apr 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 2× | “two times” | Sankar: Traditional defense prime contractors trade at under two times revenue | Shyam Sankar | Apr 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $7B | “seven billion dollars” | Sankar: Soviets spent $7 billion in adjusted dollars funding US anti-war protests | Shyam Sankar | Apr 6, 2026 | — |
| 7.7T | “a 1.7 five trillion” | Calacanis: SpaceX filed confidentially for IPO targeting $1.75T valuation | Jason Calacanis | Apr 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 99.999% | “99.999%” | Chamath: Tesla and SpaceX have a 99.999% chance of merging | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 3, 2026 | Open |
| $70B | “seventy billion dollars” | Calacanis: U.S.-Iran war cost $70B so far, Pentagon requests $200B more | Jason Calacanis | Apr 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Calacanis: U.S.-Iran war cost $70B so far, Pentagon requests $200B more | Jason Calacanis | Apr 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $200B | “two hundred billion dollars” | Calacanis: U.S.-Iran war cost $70B so far, Pentagon requests $200B more | Jason Calacanis | Apr 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 35% | “35%” | Friedberg: 35% of world's nitrogen fertilizer passes through Strait of Hormuz | David Friedberg | Apr 3, 2026 | Supported |
| $6B | “Six billion dollars” | Calacanis: Anthropic added $6 billion in ARR in February | Jason Calacanis | Mar 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Calacanis: 90% of top AI PhDs are left-leaning | Jason Calacanis | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Calacanis: ChatGPT consumer market share will drop well under 50% | Jason Calacanis | Mar 27, 2026 | Held up |
| 17.5% | “17.5%” | Calacanis: OpenAI offered private equity firms guaranteed 17.5% return | Jason Calacanis | Mar 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: Paid services represent only 5% to 20% of consumer markets | Jason Calacanis | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Calacanis: ChatGPT will likely hit 1 billion users in two months | Jason Calacanis | Mar 27, 2026 | Partly held up |
| 95% | “95%” | Sacks: McKinsey studies show 95% of enterprise AI pilots fail | David Sacks | Mar 27, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $200B | “two hundred billion dollars” | Chamath: Nvidia is unbelievably accretive despite being mispriced like SaaS | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Friedberg: AI will enable complex businesses to achieve 10x productivity | David Friedberg | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Chamath: AI wave feels 100x bigger than mobile and social | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| $900B | “nine hundred billion dollars” | Friedberg: Tort litigation costs the U.S. $900 billion annually | David Friedberg | Mar 27, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 900B | “Nine hundred billion” | Friedberg: Tort litigation costs the U.S. $900 billion annually | David Friedberg | Mar 27, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 3% | “three percent” | Friedberg: Tort litigation costs the U.S. $900 billion annually | David Friedberg | Mar 27, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: Tort litigation costs the U.S. $900 billion annually | David Friedberg | Mar 27, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Chamath: Court verdicts will trigger flood of social media lawsuits | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Friedberg: China published 50% more scientific papers than US last year | David Friedberg | Mar 27, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Bryan Johnson: FOXL-III stem cell therapy showed over 50% tissue rejuvenation | Bryan Johnson | Mar 26, 2026 | Open |
| $35B | “thirty five billion dollars” | Intrator: CoreWeave raised $35B in 18 months for infrastructure | Michael Intrator | Mar 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Intrator: OpenAI token costs dropped from $32 to nine cents | Michael Intrator | Mar 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: Local open-source models deliver about 80% of frontier performance for free | Jason Calacanis | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Mensch: Mistral AI has 25% of business and researchers in US | Arthur Mensch | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| 10.7B | “a 9.7 billion” | Roberts: IREN's $9.7B Microsoft deal uses 5% of its capacity | Daniel Roberts | Mar 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Roberts: IREN's $9.7B Microsoft deal uses 5% of its capacity | Daniel Roberts | Mar 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “100%” | Roberts: IREN has operated on 100% renewable energy since inception | Daniel Roberts | Mar 23, 2026 | Supported |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Mahan: California state spending grew by $150 billion over six years | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 75% | “75%” | Mahan: California state spending grew by $150 billion over six years | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 20% | “20%” | Mahan: One-time municipal fees can add 20% to housing project costs | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $30B | “thirty billion dollars” | Mahan: California fraudulent pandemic unemployment claims exceeded $30 billion | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Mahan: 75% of state audit recommendations are never implemented | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Mahan: San Jose reduced homeless unit costs to $85,000 using sleeping cabins | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Mahan: San Jose launched public dashboards targeting 10% annual homelessness reduction | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Mahan: Modular construction cuts home costs by 20% and speeds timelines 50% | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Mahan: Modular construction cuts home costs by 20% and speeds timelines 50% | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Mahan: Over 40% of America's unsheltered homeless live in California | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 12% | “12%” | Mahan: Over 40% of America's unsheltered homeless live in California | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Mahan: At least 90% of California homeowners can be affordably insured | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| 19% | “19%” | Mahan: 19% of San Jose general fund goes to pension debt | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Mahan: California employee headcount grew over 20% despite flat state population | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Mahan: California employee headcount grew over 20% despite flat state population | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Matt Mahan: Price transparency and competition could lower healthcare costs 5-10% | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Matt Mahan: Sheltering 100k+ homeless individuals dramatically reduces healthcare burden | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Mahan: California has suffered over $1 trillion in capital flight | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $500B | “five hundred billion dollars” | Mahan opposes step-up in basis tax loophole for Elon Musk's wealth | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| $40B | “forty billion dollars” | Mahan: Federal wildfire aid would have flowed without California-DC political fighting | Matt Mahan | Mar 23, 2026 | — |
| 33% | “33%” | Jensen Huang: Nvidia's total addressable market probably increased 33% to 50% | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Jensen Huang: Nvidia's total addressable market probably increased 33% to 50% | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | — |
| 3T | “a two trillion” | Huang: $2T telecom industry will transform into AI infrastructure | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Huang: Nvidia's $50B inference factory yields the lowest token cost | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | — |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Chamath: Nvidia will do $350B+ revenue and $200B free cash flow next year | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 19, 2026 | Open |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | Jensen Huang says Nvidia's physical AI business is near $10 billion annually | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
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