| 100× | “hundred times” | Huang: Reasoning and agentic AI drive compound 10,000x increase in compute | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Huang: Enterprise software will get 100x more usage from AI agents | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | — |
| 5B | “a four billion” | Chamath: BitTensor Subnet 3 trained a distributed 4B parameter Llama model | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Jensen Huang: Nvidia's market share in China fell from 95% to 0% | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 40% | “40%” | Huang: 40% of Nvidia's business requires CUDA and full AI stack | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Huang: AWS will purchase 1 million Nvidia chips in coming years | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | Held up |
| $25B | “twenty-five billion dollars” | Huang: Historical data center CPU market was around $25B annually | Jensen Huang | Mar 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 6× | “six times” | Calacanis: Enterprise software customization is 5x to 6x larger than platform markets | Jason Calacanis | Mar 19, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Calacanis predicts human driving will completely disappear | Jason Calacanis | Mar 19, 2026 | Open |
| 90% | “90%” | Gerstner: Airplane autopilot created more pilot jobs without eliminating cockpits | Brad Gerstner | Mar 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 13% | “13%” | Kalanick: 13% of San Francisco vehicle miles were Uber when he departed | Travis Kalanick | Mar 17, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Kalanick: Waymo takes 100x more energy to drive than a human | Travis Kalanick | Mar 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $500M | “five hundred million dollars” | Friedberg: Tech group raising $500M for California political coalition | David Friedberg | Mar 17, 2026 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Kalanick: In capital-intensive markets, fundraising is a core competency | Travis Kalanick | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Kalanick: In capital-intensive markets, fundraising is a core competency | Travis Kalanick | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Kalanick: Middle East business IPO delayed by 20% Saudi market drop | Travis Kalanick | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 141B | “a 140 billion” | Dell: Dell Technologies will generate $140B in revenue this year | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | Open |
| 2B | “two billion” | Dell: AI infrastructure business will reach ~$50B this year | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Dell: AI infrastructure business will reach ~$50B this year | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 25B | “twenty five billion” | Dell: AI infrastructure business will reach ~$50B this year | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Dell: AI infrastructure business will reach ~$50B this year | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 73% | “73%” | Dell's infrastructure business grew 73% last quarter | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Michael Dell: Dell guided infrastructure business to grow ~100% this quarter | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Michael Dell: Only 10-15% of large companies have figured out AI | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four times” | Dell: Stripe data shows 2025 startups growing 4x faster than 2018 cohort | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Dell pledges $6.25B to fund seed accounts for 25M children | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| $6.3B | “6.25 billion dollars” | Dell pledges $6.25B to fund seed accounts for 25M children | Michael Dell | Mar 17, 2026 | — |
| $5T | “five trillion dollars” | Gerstner: Invest America could transfer $5 trillion to families over 15 years | Brad Gerstner | Mar 17, 2026 | Open |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Gerstner: 4.5 million children have claimed Invest America accounts | Brad Gerstner | Mar 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 30M | “thirty million” | Gerstner: Nearly 30 million US children eligible for Trump accounts | Brad Gerstner | Mar 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 27% | “27%” | Calacanis: Polymarket gives 57% odds of US forces entering Iran | Jason Calacanis | Mar 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 57% | “57%” | Calacanis: Polymarket gives 57% odds of US forces entering Iran | Jason Calacanis | Mar 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Chamath: 20% of China's domestic oil consumption comes from Venezuela and Iran | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 13, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 25% | “25%” | Chamath: Unemployment among young men in China stands at 25% | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 13, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Calacanis: OpenAI ended 2025 at a $20B run rate | Jason Calacanis | Mar 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Chamath: AI infrastructure costs $50B per gigawatt with 5-6 year payback | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 13, 2026 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Chamath: AI infrastructure costs $50B per gigawatt with 5-6 year payback | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 13, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Sacks: Stanford study found 80% in China view AI positively versus ~30% in US | David Sacks | Mar 13, 2026 | Supported |
| $1B | “A billion dollars” | Sacks: Future of Life Institute holds ~$1B, boosted by $600M Vitalik donation | David Sacks | Mar 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $600M | “six hundred million dollars” | Sacks: Future of Life Institute holds ~$1B, boosted by $600M Vitalik donation | David Sacks | Mar 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Chamath: Roughly 40% of protested US data centers are canceled | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Calacanis: Open source AI models account for 85% of token usage | Jason Calacanis | Mar 13, 2026 | — |
| $6B | “six billion dollars” | Gerstner: Anthropic generating $5B to $6B in a single month | Brad Gerstner | Mar 13, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $1M | “one million dollars” | Washington state passes 9.9% tax on millionaires starting in 2029 | Jason Calacanis | Mar 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 9.9% | “9.9%” | Washington state passes 9.9% tax on millionaires starting in 2029 | Jason Calacanis | Mar 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 26B | “a twenty five billion” | Chamath: Hoover simulation shows California billionaire tax creates $25B deficit | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 13, 2026 | — |
| 71% | “71%” | Chamath: Hoover simulation shows California billionaire tax creates $25B deficit | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 13, 2026 | — |
| 45% | “45%” | Calacanis claims 45 percent of young men report having wagering problems | Jason Calacanis | Mar 11, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis claims 45 percent of young men report having wagering problems | Jason Calacanis | Mar 11, 2026 | Supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Calacanis: Only 1% to 2% of Americans prioritize foreign affairs | Jason Calacanis | Mar 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Graham Allison estimates a 5% chance of China attacking Taiwan through 2027 | Graham Allison | Mar 9, 2026 | Open |
| 25% | “25%” | Graham Allison: China's economy is 25% larger than US by PPP | Graham Allison | Mar 9, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Allison: Current US wealth concentration is politically unsustainable in a democracy | Graham Allison | Mar 9, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Allison: Current US wealth concentration is politically unsustainable in a democracy | Graham Allison | Mar 9, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Allison: Current US wealth concentration is politically unsustainable in a democracy | Graham Allison | Mar 9, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “one trillion” | Pahlavi: Democratic Iran will generate $1 trillion for US market in 10 years | Prince Reza Pahlavi | Mar 7, 2026 | — |
| 93M | “ninety-three million” | Calacanis: A democratic Iran would be the Middle East's largest democracy | Jason Calacanis | Mar 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg: 90% of Iranian oil exports go to China | David Friedberg | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Chamath: China's 4.5-5% GDP target is lowest in 30 years | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Chamath: Iran, Venezuela, and Russia account for ~40% of China's oil | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Emil Michael: Drones cause 70% of casualties in Russia-Ukraine war | Emil Michael | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Chamath: Iran's munitions are 90% depleted four days into military operation | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 6, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 3.3M | “3.3 million” | Calacanis: 3.3M daily oil barrels lost next week if Strait stays closed | Jason Calacanis | Mar 6, 2026 | Held up |
| 94% | “94%” | Calacanis: Strait supertanker traffic dropped 94% in 48 hours after insurance cuts | Jason Calacanis | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Calacanis: Department of War canceled $200 million Anthropic contract | Jason Calacanis | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Emil Michael: AI leaders claim AI will cause 50% white-collar unemployment | Emil Michael | Mar 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 350B | “three hundred fifty billion” | Friedberg: Anthropic is no longer worth $350 billion | David Friedberg | Mar 6, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Friedberg: Anthropic will eventually reach a $1.5 trillion market cap | David Friedberg | Mar 6, 2026 | Open |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Emil Michael: DoD Office of Strategic Capital has $200B in lending authority | Emil Michael | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 3× | “three X” | Emil Michael: Defense tech venture capital is up 3x over last year | Emil Michael | Mar 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | Emil Michael: Modern warfare is shifting from $20B carriers to low-cost attritable systems | Emil Michael | Mar 6, 2026 | — |
| 6% | “six percent” | David Sacks: CBO estimates 2026 US deficit-to-GDP ratio at 6% | David Sacks | Mar 3, 2026 | Supported |
| $7T | “seven trillion dollars” | Ray Dalio: US spends $7T against $5T revenue, running 40% deficit | Ray Dalio | Mar 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $5T | “five trillion dollars” | Ray Dalio: US spends $7T against $5T revenue, running 40% deficit | Ray Dalio | Mar 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Ray Dalio: US spends $7T against $5T revenue, running 40% deficit | Ray Dalio | Mar 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 600% | “600%” | Ray Dalio: US spends $7T against $5T revenue, running 40% deficit | Ray Dalio | Mar 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 6× | “six times” | Ray Dalio: US spends $7T against $5T revenue, running 40% deficit | Ray Dalio | Mar 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Ray Dalio: Half of the $2T US deficit goes to interest payments | Ray Dalio | Mar 3, 2026 | Supported |
| $9T | “nine trillion dollars” | Ray Dalio: Half of the $2T US deficit goes to interest payments | Ray Dalio | Mar 3, 2026 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Ray Dalio advises investors to hold 5% to 15% in gold | Ray Dalio | Mar 3, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Ray Dalio: 60% of Americans read below a sixth-grade level | Ray Dalio | Mar 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 14% | “14%” | David Sacks notes the US federal workforce declined by 317,000 employees | David Sacks | Mar 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: Legal software stocks dropped 10% following Anthropic AI release | Jason Calacanis | Feb 28, 2026 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Calacanis: COBOL code runs 95% of US ATMs and Social Security payments | Jason Calacanis | Feb 28, 2026 | Supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Calacanis: Financial stocks fell up to 8% following viral AI report | Jason Calacanis | Feb 28, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Calacanis: Financial stocks fell up to 8% following viral AI report | Jason Calacanis | Feb 28, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Calacanis: Financial stocks fell up to 8% following viral AI report | Jason Calacanis | Feb 28, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Calacanis: Financial stocks fell up to 8% following viral AI report | Jason Calacanis | Feb 28, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: Humans need 10% annual purchasing power growth to be happy | David Friedberg | Feb 28, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Sachs: Citadel report shows software engineer job postings up 10% YoY | David Sacks | Feb 28, 2026 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Calacanis: Deploying Kimi 2.5 drastically reduced LAUNCH's token bills | Jason Calacanis | Feb 28, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Chamath: AI output token prices will fall 90% by end of 2026 | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 28, 2026 | Open |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Chamath: OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar says 1GW equals $10B revenue | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 28, 2026 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Calacanis: Micron's $100B New York Fab Took 1,200 Days to Break Ground | Jason Calacanis | Feb 28, 2026 | Supported |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Chamath: Judge Ordered Greenpeace to Pay $350M Over Pipeline Protests | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 28, 2026 | Supported |
| $720M | “seven hundred twenty million dollars” | Friedberg: David Sinclair sold a company to GSK for $720M on failed resveratrol claims | David Friedberg | Feb 28, 2026 | Supported |
| 290M | “two hundred ninety million” | Tracey: JPMorgan Epstein settlement totaled $290M with 30% in attorney fees | Michael Tracey | Feb 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Tracey: JPMorgan Epstein settlement totaled $290M with 30% in attorney fees | Michael Tracey | Feb 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 20× | “20 x” | Calacanis: AI agent managers yield 10x to 20x leverage at his firm | Jason Calacanis | Feb 13, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis says LAUNCH moves 5-10% of weekly work to AI agents | Jason Calacanis | Feb 13, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: AI agent workloads hit $300 daily per agent on Claude API | Jason Calacanis | Feb 13, 2026 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Friedberg: California faces nearly $1T in unfunded public pension liabilities | David Friedberg | Feb 13, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 3M | “three million” | Sachs: Trump's second term cut over 300,000 federal jobs | David Sacks | Feb 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 2.7M | “2.7 million” | Sachs: Trump's second term cut over 300,000 federal jobs | David Sacks | Feb 13, 2026 | Supported |
| $600B | “six hundred billion dollars” | Sacks: Hyperscaler CapEx will hit $600B, adding 2% to GDP growth | David Sacks | Feb 13, 2026 | Open |
| 2% | “two percent” | Sacks: Hyperscaler CapEx will hit $600B, adding 2% to GDP growth | David Sacks | Feb 13, 2026 | Open |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Calacanis: Construction and hospitality employ 2.5M undocumented workers in US | Jason Calacanis | Feb 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Chamath: In 2012, I advised investing 1% of net worth in Bitcoin | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | CZ sold his Shanghai apartment for $900K to buy Bitcoin around $600 | Changpeng Zhao (CZ) | Feb 10, 2026 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | CZ: Blockchain.info was larger than Coinbase with 2M wallets in 2013-2014 | Changpeng Zhao (CZ) | Feb 10, 2026 | Supported |
| $15M | “fifteen million dollars” | CZ: Binance sold 60% of BNB tokens for $15M in its ICO | Changpeng Zhao (CZ) | Feb 10, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | CZ: Binance sold 60% of BNB tokens for $15M in its ICO | Changpeng Zhao (CZ) | Feb 10, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | CZ: Binance had 30% Chinese users before 2017 regulatory ban | Changpeng Zhao (CZ) | Feb 10, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | CZ: Autonomous AI agents will not use traditional banks for transactions | Changpeng Zhao (CZ) | Feb 10, 2026 | — |
| 2,600× | “2600 times” | Sacks: Reid Hoffman is mentioned 2,600 times in Epstein files | David Sacks | Feb 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Gerstner: 90% of falling SaaS stocks deserve to be down | Brad Gerstner | Feb 7, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Gerstner: Databricks re-accelerated growth past 60% over last three quarters | Brad Gerstner | Feb 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Friedberg: Software market cap will be 4x to 10x higher in 5 years | David Friedberg | Feb 7, 2026 | Open |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Friedberg: SaaS will absorb the services economy within a couple of years | David Friedberg | Feb 7, 2026 | — |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Sacks: Only 7% of January 2026 corporate layoffs were tied to AI | David Sacks | Feb 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Friedberg: AI compute efficiency will improve 70x to 100x within years | David Friedberg | Feb 7, 2026 | — |
| 1.5M | “1.5 million” | Gerstner: 1.5 million families claimed Invest America accounts in five days | Brad Gerstner | Feb 7, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 55% | “55%” | Sacks: Over 55% of Americans support deporting all undocumented immigrants | David Sacks | Jan 31, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Sacks: Over 55% of Americans support deporting all undocumented immigrants | David Sacks | Jan 31, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Sacks: Roughly $8 billion was stolen by Somali fraudsters in Minnesota | David Sacks | Jan 31, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 26% | “26%” | Chamath claims copper prices rose 26% in one month | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 31, 2026 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Calacanis: AI agent does 80% of producer work and 95% of SDR work | Jason Calacanis | Jan 31, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Chamath: Combining next-gen silicon with open source will cut AI costs 90% | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 31, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Calacanis: 90% to 95% of AI compute jobs will move to local hardware | Jason Calacanis | Jan 31, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Calacanis: 90% to 95% of AI compute jobs will move to local hardware | Jason Calacanis | Jan 31, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Friedberg: California faces a trillion-dollar pension fiscal cliff | David Friedberg | Jan 31, 2026 | Open |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Allaire: Circle saw 1,000% annual USDC growth during low interest rates | Jeremy Allaire | Jan 25, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Allaire: USDC circulation growth is inversely correlated with interest rates | Jeremy Allaire | Jan 25, 2026 | — |
| 4% | “Four percent” | Allaire predicts tech forces will break 4% unemployment and 2% inflation targets | Jeremy Allaire | Jan 25, 2026 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Allaire predicts tech forces will break 4% unemployment and 2% inflation targets | Jeremy Allaire | Jan 25, 2026 | — |
| 62% | “62%” | Calacanis: US labor participation is 61-62%, down from 68-69% peak | Jason Calacanis | Jan 25, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 69% | “69%” | Calacanis: US labor participation is 61-62%, down from 68-69% peak | Jason Calacanis | Jan 25, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | George Kurtz acquired a 5% ownership stake in the Mercedes F1 team | George Kurtz | Jan 25, 2026 | — |
| $70M | “seventy million dollars” | Archer Aviation spent around $170M on Hawthorne Airport acquisition | Adam Goldstein | Jan 25, 2026 | Supported |
| $4B | “four billion dollars” | Goldstein: Archer Aviation has raised around $4 billion | Adam Goldstein | Jan 25, 2026 | Supported |
| $1.2B | “1.2 billion dollars” | Lockmiller: Crusoe placed a 1.2 billion dollar gas turbine order | Chase Lochmiller | Jan 25, 2026 | — |
| 8% | “8%” | Dr. Oz: US spends 0.8% of GDP on pharmaceutical products | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 3% | “3%” | Dr. Oz: UK agrees to US drug pricing terms | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | — |
| $3T | “three trillion dollars” | Dr. Oz: Extending American work life by one year adds $3T to economy | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Dr. Oz: U.S. needs two to three times more general practitioners to match Europe | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Dr. Oz claims 50% of human high cognitive function reads facial expressions | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 20% | “20%” | Dr. Oz predicts 20% of Americans will adopt self-directed healthcare | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Dr. Oz: Fewer than 50% of Medicare patients take free annual wellness exams | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Dr. Oz: Patients forget half of doctor instructions before leaving the office | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 60M | “Sixty million” | Dr. Oz: 60 million rural Americans lack mental health access | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $50B | “Fifty billion dollars” | Dr. Oz: CMS distributes $50B for largest rural healthcare investment | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $3B | “three billion dollars” | Dr. Oz: CMS eliminated $3 billion in cost | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Open |
| $200M | “two hundred million dollars” | Dr. Oz: CMS fired $200M contractor that produced zero usable code | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20× | “20 times” | Dr. Oz: South Florida has 20x more DME providers than McDonald's | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 7× | “seven times” | Dr. Oz: California hospice providers increased sevenfold in under seven years | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Dr. Oz: Fraudulent California hospice centers report a 100% survival rate | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 15B | “fifteen billion” | Oz: CMS executed a $15 billion healthcare fraud bust earlier this year | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Supported |
| $350B | “three hundred fifty billion dollars” | Sacks: California's $350B budget has doubled over the last decade | David Sacks | Jan 24, 2026 | Supported |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Dr. Oz estimates $3.5 billion in Los Angeles hospice healthcare fraud | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Open |
| 10% | “10%” | Dr. Oz says LA accounts for ~10% of US home healthcare spending | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Dr. Oz: Audit reveals California improperly billed $1.5B for undocumented immigrant healthcare | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 90% | “90%” | Dr. Oz: Miami Mayor reduced homelessness 90% via mandatory rehab arrests | Dr. Mehmet Oz | Jan 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 52M | “fifty-two million” | Armstrong: 52 million Americans have used cryptocurrency | Brian Armstrong | Jan 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Armstrong: Roughly 500 million people globally have used crypto | Brian Armstrong | Jan 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “100%” | Armstrong: GENIUS Act requires US-regulated stablecoins to hold 100% Treasury reserves | Brian Armstrong | Jan 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Coinbase passes ~100% of stablecoin yield economics to active rewards users | Brian Armstrong | Jan 23, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Armstrong: Tether is not compliant under the US GENIUS Act | Brian Armstrong | Jan 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Armstrong: Four billion adults globally are unbrokered without investment access | Brian Armstrong | Jan 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Armstrong estimates 20% of California billionaires left, creating $10B tax deficit | Brian Armstrong | Jan 23, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Armstrong estimates 20% of California billionaires left, creating $10B tax deficit | Brian Armstrong | Jan 23, 2026 | — |
| 5T | “a four trillion” | Feldman: Cerebras Wafer Scale Engine is 56x larger than Nvidia B200 | Andrew Feldman | Jan 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 56× | “56 times” | Feldman: Cerebras Wafer Scale Engine is 56x larger than Nvidia B200 | Andrew Feldman | Jan 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | Feldman: Cerebras spent $500M to make its first chip | Andrew Feldman | Jan 23, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Feldman: On-premise Cerebras systems cost $1M to $1.5M | Andrew Feldman | Jan 23, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: AI deep research yields 5x human output in under 10 minutes | Jason Calacanis | Jan 23, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Calacanis: Chinese government subsidizes BYD electric vehicles by 30-50% | Jason Calacanis | Jan 23, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Gecko Robotics generates roughly 30% of its business from defense | Jake Loosararian | Jan 23, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Gecko Robotics tech delivers 90% faster manufacturing per US Navy Admiral | Jake Loosararian | Jan 23, 2026 | Open |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Loosararian: NVIDIA invested $1B into Skild AI at $14B valuation | Jake Loosararian | Jan 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Sacks: AI infrastructure buildout added 2% to US GDP growth last year | David Sacks | Jan 23, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 3% | “three percent” | Sacks: China's power grid doubled in 10 years; US grew roughly 2% | David Sacks | Jan 23, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 83% | “83%” | Sacks: Stanford poll shows 83% AI optimism in China, 39% in US | David Sacks | Jan 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 39% | “39%” | Sacks: Stanford poll shows 83% AI optimism in China, 39% in US | David Sacks | Jan 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 40M | “forty million” | Sarah B. Rogers: European regulators fined X roughly 140 million euros or dollars | Sarah B. Rogers | Jan 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Nadella: AI public sector efficiency could boost Global South GDP growth | Satya Nadella | Jan 21, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Nadella: AI public sector efficiency could boost Global South GDP growth | Satya Nadella | Jan 21, 2026 | — |
| 7× | “seven times” | Sacks: SharePoint ecosystem revenue was 7x Microsoft's direct software revenue | David Sacks | Jan 21, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Calacanis: Iran's inflation rate has averaged 30% since 2019 | Jason Calacanis | Jan 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 4T | “four trillion” | Friedberg: US electricity spend totals $750B annually on 4T kWh consumed | David Friedberg | Jan 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $750B | “seven hundred fifty billion dollars” | Friedberg: US electricity spend totals $750B annually on 4T kWh consumed | David Friedberg | Jan 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 250B | “two hundred fifty billion” | Friedberg: US electricity spend totals $750B annually on 4T kWh consumed | David Friedberg | Jan 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Friedberg: US electricity spend totals $750B annually on 4T kWh consumed | David Friedberg | Jan 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Chamath: Solar and storage for 15M homes cuts grid demand by 1 TWh | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 1B | “one billion” | Calacanis: Cerebras expected to IPO in 2026 at $22B valuation | Jason Calacanis | Jan 17, 2026 | Held up |
| 23B | “a twenty two billion” | Calacanis: Cerebras expected to IPO in 2026 at $22B valuation | Jason Calacanis | Jan 17, 2026 | Held up |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Friedberg: California wealth tax initiative will not make the ballot | David Friedberg | Jan 17, 2026 | Didn’t hold up |
| 31B | “a thirty billion” | Friedberg: California faces $30B annual deficit and $1T in unfunded pensions | David Friedberg | Jan 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Friedberg: California faces $30B annual deficit and $1T in unfunded pensions | David Friedberg | Jan 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “one trillion” | Friedberg: California faces $30B annual deficit and $1T in unfunded pensions | David Friedberg | Jan 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Sacks: Odds of Trump acquiring Greenland are higher than 17% | David Sacks | Jan 17, 2026 | — |
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