| 90% | “90%” | Makary: 90% of drugs passing animal testing fail in human trials | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “100%” | Makary says he has approved 100% of Right to Try requests | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 38% | “38%” | Makary: 38% of American children have prediabetes or diabetes | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Makary: Refined carbs comprise 60% to 70% of American children's calories | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 40% | “40%” | Makary: 40% of American children have a chronic disease | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 14% | “14%” | Makary claims 14% of all NIH grants went to DEI research | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 40% | “40%” | Makary: 40% of eligible US women do not get mammograms | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Makary: Breast ultrasound detects 90% to 95% of lesions mammograms catch | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | FDA reduces biosimilar approval timeline from up to 8 years to 2.5 | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Makary: 60% of US antibiotic prescriptions are unnecessary | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Makary: U.S. food supply contains over 1,000 chemicals banned elsewhere | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Makary: 90% of body's serotonin is made in the gut | Dr. Marty Makary | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| $60B | “sixty billion dollars” | Taneja: Anthropic's valuation grew to hundreds of billions on real growth | Hemant Taneja | Jan 14, 2026 | — |
| $100B | “hundred billion dollars” | Taneja: Anthropic's valuation grew to hundreds of billions on real growth | Hemant Taneja | Jan 14, 2026 | — |
| $80M | “eighty million dollars” | Taneja: Anthropic grew 10x to $880M in revenue when General Catalyst invested | Hemant Taneja | Jan 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Taneja: Anthropic grew 10x to $880M in revenue when General Catalyst invested | Hemant Taneja | Jan 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Taneja: General Catalyst's Anthropic investment at $60B was last year's cheapest VC deal | Hemant Taneja | Jan 14, 2026 | — |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Taneja: General Catalyst's Anthropic investment at $60B was last year's cheapest VC deal | Hemant Taneja | Jan 14, 2026 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Sternfels: McKinsey will grow client-facing consulting headcount 25% next year | Bob Sternfels | Jan 14, 2026 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | McKinsey cut non-client-facing staff 25% while increasing output 10% with AI | Bob Sternfels | Jan 14, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | McKinsey cut non-client-facing staff 25% while increasing output 10% with AI | Bob Sternfels | Jan 14, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Calacanis: Tesla will produce 1B Optimus robots and won't be remembered for cars | Jason Calacanis | Jan 14, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Friedberg estimates a 40% chance California wealth tax passes if on ballot | David Friedberg | Jan 10, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Sacks predicts US GDP growth will reach 5% in 2026 | David Sacks | Jan 10, 2026 | Open |
| 4.6% | “4.6%” | Friedberg predicts US GDP growth will reach 4.6% in 2026 | David Friedberg | Jan 10, 2026 | Open |
| 70% | “70%” | Chamath: Global copper supply will be short 70% by 2040 | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 10, 2026 | Didn’t hold up |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Chamath: Sacks' government service will probably cost him over $1B | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 10, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Chamath: Maintenance and migration represent 90% of software revenue | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 10, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Chamath: Meta attempted to acquire Manus for $2.5 billion | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 51B | “a fifty billion” | Calacanis: Big Tech will make a $50B+ AI acquisition in 2026 | Jason Calacanis | Jan 10, 2026 | Open |
| 5% | “five percent” | Sacks claims LA's 5% mansion tax has killed local real estate market | David Sacks | Jan 10, 2026 | — |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Calacanis: US dollar will perform poorly in 2026 due to growing national debt | Jason Calacanis | Jan 10, 2026 | Open |
| 50% | “50%” | Calacanis: US dollar will perform poorly in 2026 due to growing national debt | Jason Calacanis | Jan 10, 2026 | Open |
| 20% | “20%” | Lutnick: Commerce Department headcount dropped from 52,000 to 40,000 | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 94% | “94%” | Lutnick: 94% of cars driven in Japan are Japanese brands | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Supported |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Lutnick: Japan committed $550B to finance US infrastructure projects | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Lutnick: US tariff revenues will grow from $500B to $1T per year | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Open |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Lutnick: US tariff revenues will grow from $500B to $1T per year | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Open |
| 75% | “75%” | Lutnick: Drug companies generate 100% of profits in the US | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lutnick: Drug companies generate 100% of profits in the US | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Lutnick: US government will target $1T in annual fraud next year | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Lutnick: Average green card recipient earned in the $40,000s versus $60,000s for average Americans | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Lutnick: Trump administration sold $1B in Gold Card visas in first week | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Lutnick claims foreign stock markets surged following U.S. trade resets | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 6B | “Six billion” | Palihapitiya: Only $6B of CHIPS Act funding has actually been disbursed | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Lutnick: TSMC agreed to increase US investment from $60B to $160B | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Lutnick: 6% GDP growth will fix the federal deficit and taxes | Howard Lutnick | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 9B | “nine billion” | Calacanis: Minnesota state entitlement fraud reached $9 billion since 2018 | Jason Calacanis | Dec 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Shirley: Minnesota fraud video surpassed 500 million total impressions | Nick Shirley | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Shirley: Minnesota fraud video surpassed 500 million total impressions | Nick Shirley | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Shirley: Minnesota fraud video surpassed 500 million total impressions | Nick Shirley | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| $24B | “twenty four billion dollars” | Sacks: California's $24B homeless spending is massive, unauditable fraud | David Sacks | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 130× | “130 X” | Chamath: Minnesota Medicaid autism claims spiked 130x in five years | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Calacanis: Elon Musk was 100% right about government waste and fraud | Jason Calacanis | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Chamath: California loses $100B per year to pilfering and fraud | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Chamath: Whistleblower rewards can reach up to 50% of recaptured funds | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 100% | “100%” | Shirley: Minnesota funds repeat fraudsters despite severe daycare violations | Nick Shirley | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 81% | “81%” | Shirley: 81% of Minnesota's Somali population receives state welfare | Nick Shirley | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $1.5T | “Half a trillion dollars” | Friedberg: California must borrow over $500B for pension obligations | David Friedberg | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Chamath: Feds can't bail out failing states without crashing Treasury auctions | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Chamath: US dollar will lose another 90% of its value | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 1.3M | “1.3 million” | Friedberg: France's 1988 wealth tax triggered €200B capital flight | David Friedberg | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Friedberg: France's 1988 wealth tax triggered €200B capital flight | David Friedberg | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 200B | “Two hundred billion” | Friedberg: France's 1988 wealth tax triggered €200B capital flight | David Friedberg | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Friedberg: France's 1988 wealth tax triggered €200B capital flight | David Friedberg | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Friedberg: France's 1988 wealth tax triggered €200B capital flight | David Friedberg | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Friedberg: France's 1988 wealth tax triggered €200B capital flight | David Friedberg | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $2T | “two trillion dollars” | Friedberg: California has 200 billionaires holding $2 trillion in net worth | David Friedberg | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $70B | “seventy billion dollars” | Sacks: California auditor report found over $70 billion in lost taxpayer funds | David Sacks | Dec 31, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Chamath: Obamacare margin caps actively incentivize higher overall healthcare prices | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Chamath: Obamacare margin caps actively incentivize higher overall healthcare prices | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| $3B | “three billion dollars” | Tony Hinchcliffe claims All-In Podcast hosts' combined net worth exceeds $3 billion | Tony Hinchcliffe | Dec 24, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Tony Hinchcliffe: Trump saw 20% Puerto Rican support bump in Pennsylvania | Tony Hinchcliffe | Dec 24, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Tony Hinchcliffe Venmoed $1,000 to pay back unpaid 2007 rent | Tony Hinchcliffe | Dec 24, 2025 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Friedberg: European Union fined Elon Musk 120 million euros | David Friedberg | Dec 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | David Sacks says data center construction workers see 25-30% wage growth | David Sacks | Dec 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5T | “a half trillion” | Friedberg: Nvidia created $4.2 trillion in market value over 36 months | David Friedberg | Dec 24, 2025 | Supported |
| $4.2T | “4.2 trillion dollars” | Friedberg: Nvidia created $4.2 trillion in market value over 36 months | David Friedberg | Dec 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | David Sacks: 50% of Stanford students claim disabled status for test accommodations | David Sacks | Dec 24, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 40% | “40%” | Bessent claims 40% of 2024 federal spending happened in Q4 | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Bessent forecasts $200B to $300B U.S. fiscal contraction for the calendar year | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 71% | “71%” | Bessent forecasts $200B to $300B U.S. fiscal contraction for the calendar year | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 6% | “six percent” | Bessent projects U.S. deficit-to-GDP ratio will drop to mid-5% range | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 6.8% | “6.8%” | Bessent projects U.S. deficit-to-GDP ratio will drop to mid-5% range | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 1% | “1%” | Bessent says China's rare earth export policy threatened Western trade | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | — |
| 22% | “22%” | Bessent states cumulative inflation reached 21% to 22% under the Biden administration | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Bessent predicts declining rental prices will continue to drop | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 1.8% | “1.8%” | Bessent states real incomes are up 1.8% under Trump administration | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Bessent claims the Federal Reserve is currently losing $100 billion annually | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 42% | “42%” | Bessent cites MIT study blaming budget deficits for 42% of recent inflation | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Bessent cites MIT study blaming budget deficits for 42% of recent inflation | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Bessent cites MIT study blaming budget deficits for 42% of recent inflation | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Bessent notes 80% to 90% of U.S. pharmaceutical precursors originate overseas | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 97% | “97%” | Bessent calls Taiwan's 97% advanced chip concentration the top economic threat | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “1002 thousand” | Bessent predicts U.S. households will receive $1,000 to $2,000 Q1 tax refunds | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Held up |
| 38% | “38%” | Bessent: 38% of Americans do not own equities directly or indirectly | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| $6.3B | “6.25 billion dollars” | Bessent claims Susan and Michael Dell are contributing $6.25B to Trump accounts | Scott Bessent | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 3T | “three trillion” | Friedberg: Nvidia is the only company capturing massive AI value so far | David Friedberg | Dec 19, 2025 | — |
| 1.7% | “1.7%” | Sacks: Vanguard study shows higher job and wage growth in AI roles | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 0.8% | “0.8%” | Sacks: Vanguard study shows higher job and wage growth in AI roles | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 3.8% | “3.8%” | Sacks: Vanguard study shows higher job and wage growth in AI roles | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 0.7% | “0.7%” | Sacks: Vanguard study shows higher job and wage growth in AI roles | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Sacks: AI capex boom provides 2% tailwind to US GDP growth | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | — |
| $600M | “six hundred million dollars” | Sacks: Vitalik Buterin's dog coin donation gave Future of Life $600M | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 700M | “a six hundred million” | Sacks: Vitalik Buterin's dog coin donation gave Future of Life $600M | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 83% | “83%” | Sacks: 83% in China are AI optimistic compared to 39% in the US | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 39% | “39%” | Sacks: 83% in China are AI optimistic compared to 39% in the US | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.4M | “2.4 million” | Sacks: US federal workforce dropped 10.7% to 2.15 million in 2025 | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.2M | “2.15 million” | Sacks: US federal workforce dropped 10.7% to 2.15 million in 2025 | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 10.7% | “10.7%” | Sacks: US federal workforce dropped 10.7% to 2.15 million in 2025 | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 600B | “six hundred billion” | Sacks claims US deficit fell $600 billion year-over-year | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Sachs: Real wages fell $3,000 under Biden and rose $1,000 under Trump | David Sacks | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: 80% of Austin real estate inventory is off-market | Jason Calacanis | Dec 19, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: 80% of Austin real estate inventory is off-market | Jason Calacanis | Dec 19, 2025 | — |
| $200B | “two hundred billion dollars” | Chamath: California billionaire tax proposal shifts $100B to $200B out of state | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 19, 2025 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Friedberg: California pension system is underfunded by $1 trillion | David Friedberg | Dec 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “Hundred billion” | Chamath: $100B acquisition deals fund past assets while $1B deals fund the future | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 13, 2025 | — |
| 4.7% | “4.7%” | Sacks asserts AI accounts for under five percent of US layoffs | David Sacks | Dec 13, 2025 | Supported |
| 9% | “Nine percent” | Calacanis predicts US youth unemployment will reach 14% due to AI | Jason Calacanis | Dec 13, 2025 | Held up |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Calacanis predicts US youth unemployment will reach 14% due to AI | Jason Calacanis | Dec 13, 2025 | Held up |
| 14% | “14%” | Calacanis predicts US youth unemployment will reach 14% due to AI | Jason Calacanis | Dec 13, 2025 | Held up |
| 800M | “eight hundred million” | Chamath: OpenAI has 800 million monthly active users | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg: Gemini reached 15 percent AI traffic as OpenAI share dropped | David Friedberg | Dec 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Friedberg: Gemini reached 15 percent AI traffic as OpenAI share dropped | David Friedberg | Dec 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Sacks: ChatGPT holds roughly 80% consumer LLM chatbot market share | David Sacks | Dec 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Calacanis: OpenAI market share will fall below 50 percent within two years | Jason Calacanis | Dec 6, 2025 | Held up |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: Consumer paid subscriptions for AI chat will fall to zero | Jason Calacanis | Dec 6, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: Nvidia will decline or severely downgrade investment in OpenAI | Jason Calacanis | Dec 6, 2025 | Held up |
| 30× | “30 times” | Calacanis: Total AI query volume will grow 20 to 30 times | Jason Calacanis | Dec 6, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Sacks: Divested nearly 100 fund LP interests at a 50% discount | David Sacks | Dec 6, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Chamath: Census data shows percentage of Americans near poverty line has fallen | Chamath Palihapitiya | Dec 6, 2025 | Supported |
| $46M | “forty six million dollars” | Friedberg: Norway's 2022 wealth tax triggered a $448 million tax revenue loss | David Friedberg | Dec 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $54B | “Fifty four billion dollars” | Friedberg: Norway's 2022 wealth tax triggered a $448 million tax revenue loss | David Friedberg | Dec 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 48M | “forty eight million” | Friedberg: Norway's 2022 wealth tax triggered a $448 million tax revenue loss | David Friedberg | Dec 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 51K | “a 50 thousand” | Molly Bloom raised her LA poker game buy-in from $10,000 to $50,000 | Molly Bloom | Nov 26, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Molly Bloom says a player lost $100 million in one game | Molly Bloom | Nov 26, 2025 | — |
| $68M | “sixty eight million dollars” | Leon Black paid Jeffrey Epstein $168M in one year for tax advice | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Chamath: 500 million people worldwide use Tether stablecoins | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30M | “thirty million” | Chamath: Tether adds 30 million users per quarter | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Chamath: Tether operates at an over 95% profit margin | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 22, 2025 | Open |
| 12% | “12%” | Friedberg: Depreciating Google's chips over 3 years reduces net profit 10-12% | David Friedberg | Nov 22, 2025 | — |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Chamath: Google's AI chat market share doubled to 16% in one month | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 16% | “16%” | Chamath: Google's AI chat market share doubled to 16% in one month | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Calacanis: Google search will grow, while OpenAI will lose market share | Jason Calacanis | Nov 22, 2025 | — |
| 6× | “six X” | Calacanis: First LAUNCH fund has achieved a 5x to 6x return | Jason Calacanis | Nov 22, 2025 | — |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Chamath states his $500 million venture fund returned over 5x | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 22, 2025 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | Chamath states his $500 million venture fund returned over 5x | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 22, 2025 | — |
| 500M | “a four hundred million” | Chamath took a $400 million loss on his Relativity Space investment | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 22, 2025 | — |
| $40M | “forty million dollars” | Friedberg: The Production Board invested nearly $40M into Ohalo before initial results | David Friedberg | Nov 22, 2025 | — |
| 3% | “three percent” | Andrew Stevens: Humans lose about 3% of brain volume per decade | Andrew Stevens | Nov 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “a percent” | Statins reduced Chamath Palihapitiya's coronary plaque growth from 24% to 10% annually | Dr. Ron Carlsberg | Nov 17, 2025 | — |
| 24% | “24%” | Statins reduced Chamath Palihapitiya's coronary plaque growth from 24% to 10% annually | Dr. Ron Carlsberg | Nov 17, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Statins reduced Chamath Palihapitiya's coronary plaque growth from 24% to 10% annually | Dr. Ron Carlsberg | Nov 17, 2025 | — |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | Friedberg: Google generated $120B in operating profit over past 12 months | David Friedberg | Nov 14, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: Austin rent dropped 20% in three years due to housing construction | Jason Calacanis | Nov 14, 2025 | Supported |
| $700B | “seven hundred billion dollars” | Gerstner: Partners will bear half of OpenAI's $1.4T spend commitments | Brad Gerstner | Nov 7, 2025 | — |
| $50B | “Fifty billion dollars” | Gerstner: Partners will bear half of OpenAI's $1.4T spend commitments | Brad Gerstner | Nov 7, 2025 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Sacks: CA, NY, CO, and IL drive 25% of state AI bills | David Sacks | Nov 7, 2025 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Sacks: Moskovitz, Tallinn, and Buterin gave over $1B to AI doomers | David Sacks | Nov 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Chamath: Bitcoin will drop another 5% to 10% after breaking $100k | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 7, 2025 | Held up |
| 9.2% | “9.2%” | Unemployment for Americans aged 20 to 24 is at 9.2%, Calacanis says | Jason Calacanis | Nov 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50.4% | “50.4%” | Sacks: Zohran Mamdani won the NYC election with 50.4% of the vote | David Sacks | Nov 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 51B | “a fifty billion” | Sacks: LA County has $50B budget but zero for new jail | David Sacks | Nov 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Gerstner: Cognition Is Valued at $15B, Decagon at $4B, Distill at $2B | Brad Gerstner | Nov 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Gerstner: Cognition Is Valued at $15B, Decagon at $4B, Distill at $2B | Brad Gerstner | Nov 7, 2025 | Supported |
| $3M | “three million dollars” | Ari Emanuel says Professional Bull Riders made $3M profit when acquired | Ari Emanuel | Nov 5, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| $6M | “six million dollars” | Emanuel: TV creators can no longer make $500M+ in syndication deals | Ari Emanuel | Nov 5, 2025 | — |
| $600M | “six hundred million dollars” | Emanuel: TV creators can no longer make $500M+ in syndication deals | Ari Emanuel | Nov 5, 2025 | — |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Ari Emanuel raises $2B to launch new live events venture | Ari Emanuel | Nov 5, 2025 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Chamath Palihapitiya: Middle East data centers offer low-latency inference to four billion | Chamath Palihapitiya | Nov 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “Five percent” | Tareq Amin: 95% of Humain's Groq inferencing traffic is international | Tareq Amin | Nov 4, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Triple H: WWE boasts roughly 1 billion global social media followers | Paul Levesque (Triple H) | Nov 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Triple H: 40% of WWE fans are female; over 50% attend as families | Paul Levesque (Triple H) | Nov 3, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Triple H: 40% of WWE fans are female; over 50% attend as families | Paul Levesque (Triple H) | Nov 3, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Musk: X receives about 100 million English posts per day | Elon Musk | Oct 31, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Musk: Tesla fleet will probably reach 100 million vehicles eventually | Elon Musk | Oct 31, 2025 | Open |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Musk: Tesla expects 1,000+ robotaxis in Bay Area and 500+ in Austin by year end | Elon Musk | Oct 31, 2025 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Buttigieg: Outright fraud in federal spending is well below one percent | Pete Buttigieg | Oct 30, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 4B | “four billion” | Buttigieg: U.S. commercial aviation had zero crash fatalities across 4 billion enplanements | Pete Buttigieg | Oct 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Calacanis: SpaceX reduced space launch costs to 5% of former levels | Jason Calacanis | Oct 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $2T | “two trillion dollars” | Machado: Over $2 trillion was stolen from Venezuela in 26 years | María Corina Machado | Oct 28, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 86% | “86%” | Machado: 86% of Venezuela's population lives in poverty | María Corina Machado | Oct 28, 2025 | Supported |
| $60B | “60 billion dollars” | Machado: Venezuela became China's largest debtor with over $60B in debt | María Corina Machado | Oct 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 92% | “92%” | Machado: Won 92% of votes in Venezuela's 2023 opposition primary | María Corina Machado | Oct 28, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “one million” | Machado: Opposition recruited over 1 million election monitoring volunteers | María Corina Machado | Oct 28, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Martinis: Thousands of global researchers are building superconducting quantum computers | John Martinis | Oct 27, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Martinis: General-purpose quantum computers will require one million qubits | John Martinis | Oct 27, 2025 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | SEIU files initiative for 5% wealth tax on California billionaires | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | SEIU files initiative for 5% wealth tax on California billionaires | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Friedberg predicts California will pass Proposition 55 progressive tax extension | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Open |
| 10M | “ten million” | Palihapitiya notes proposed California wealth tax targets Roth IRAs over $10M | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 89% | “89%” | Palihapitiya claims Polymarket accuracy reaches 95% in final hours before events | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 4M | “four million” | Calacanis notes recent AWS outage crippled 2,000 companies for 15 hours | Jason Calacanis | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Leaked Amazon docs reveal plan to automate 75% of warehouses by 2033 | Jason Calacanis | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 124B | “a hundred twenty-four billion” | Friedberg compares revenue run rates and growth for AWS, Azure, and GCP | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 120B | “one hundred twenty billion” | Friedberg compares revenue run rates and growth for AWS, Azure, and GCP | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 54B | “fifty four billion” | Friedberg compares revenue run rates and growth for AWS, Azure, and GCP | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Friedberg compares revenue run rates and growth for AWS, Azure, and GCP | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 26% | “26%” | Friedberg compares revenue run rates and growth for AWS, Azure, and GCP | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 32% | “32%” | Friedberg compares revenue run rates and growth for AWS, Azure, and GCP | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
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