“And I can see that we're going to have a gigantic refund year in the first quarter because no one chains their working Americans did not change their withholding. So I think households could see depending on the number of workers, 1002 thousand dollar refunds, they will change their withholding schedule at the beginning of the year, and they will get an automatic increase in real wages.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
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More from Scott Bessent
AssertionSupported
Bessent claims a 150-year San Francisco Fed study shows tariffs are disinflationary
“There's a study from not a friend of the administration, the San Francisco fed with a 150 years of data. I would refer everyone to that. That shows that tariffs do not cause inflation, that they're actually disinflationary.”
Scott BessentDec 22, 2025▶ 6:20Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
Disclosure
Bessent reveals U.S. government is taking equity stakes in strategic industries
“If you look at the industries where we are taking stakes and moving forward, we've identified five to eight strategic industries where the U S we have to have endogenous production, or at least adjacent to us in North America or this hemisphere.”
Scott BessentDec 22, 2025▶ 48:09Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
PredictionOpen · timeframe Jul 2026
Bessent predicts US will collect at least $300B in tariff revenue over 12 months
“Minimum on a forward 12 month basis, we're going to take in at least three hundred billion dollars in tariff income.”
Scott BessentJul 23, 2025▶ 13:16Winning the AI Race Part 4: Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, Chris Wright, and Doug Burgum
PredictionOpen · timeframe Jan 2029
Bessent aims to reduce U.S. deficit-to-GDP ratio to 3% by 2028
“And I've said that I would, by the time President Trump leaves office, that we would like to have something with a three in front of it, which will stabilize the deficit to GDP, which is an important number, and enable us to start paying down debt.”
Scott BessentDec 22, 2025▶ 2:45Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Bessent asserts the executive branch has absolute authority to raise trade revenues
“The president has absolute ability or the executive branch has absolute ability through three of ones, two 32 and something called one 22 to raise revenue on trade.”
Scott BessentDec 22, 2025▶ 15:01Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
Opinion
Bessent describes Bureau of Labor Statistics economic data as problematic
“Look, the BLS is problematic. We've seen that the whole time.”
Scott BessentDec 22, 2025▶ 21:25Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
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