| 40% | “40%” | Friedberg compares revenue run rates and growth for AWS, Azure, and GCP | David Friedberg | Oct 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 350B | “three hundred fifty billion” | Calacanis notes Google's revenue hit $350 billion despite a shrinking headcount | Jason Calacanis | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.6M | “1.6 million” | Calacanis notes Amazon's total headcount declined from its 2021 peak | Jason Calacanis | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Calacanis predicts humanoid robots will massively outperform purpose-built industrial robotics | Jason Calacanis | Oct 24, 2025 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Calacanis predicts humanoid robots will massively outperform purpose-built industrial robotics | Jason Calacanis | Oct 24, 2025 | — |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Palihapitiya highlights Tesla's energy business generating $3.5 billion at 30% margins | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Palihapitiya highlights Tesla's energy business generating $3.5 billion at 30% margins | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 35% | “35%” | Calacanis notes Republican affiliation among journalists dropped to 3.4% since 1970s | Jason Calacanis | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Calacanis notes Republican affiliation among journalists dropped to 3.4% since 1970s | Jason Calacanis | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 3.4% | “3.4%” | Calacanis notes Republican affiliation among journalists dropped to 3.4% since 1970s | Jason Calacanis | Oct 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 25M | “twenty five million” | Manchin says Trump visited West Virginia six times and spent $25 million | Joe Manchin | Oct 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 6× | “six times” | Manchin says Trump visited West Virginia six times and spent $25 million | Joe Manchin | Oct 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100K | “a hundred thousand” | Manchin claims Democrats lost 100,000 registered voters to progressive crusades | Joe Manchin | Oct 23, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | California Forever raised over $1B and acquired nearly 70,000 acres | Jan Sramek | Oct 21, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Friedberg: SF municipal statistics show crime down 30% citywide | David Friedberg | Oct 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Friedberg: SF municipal statistics show crime down 30% citywide | David Friedberg | Oct 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: Only 10-20% of SF would protest targeted National Guard deployment | Jason Calacanis | Oct 18, 2025 | — |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Sacks: San Francisco gives roughly $2 billion annually to homelessness NGOs | David Sacks | Oct 18, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $5M | “Five million dollars” | Friedberg: San Francisco spends $5 million annually providing free beer in hotels | David Friedberg | Oct 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10.3M | “10.3 million” | Chamath: JB Pritzker disclosed $1.4M in gambling winnings out of $10.3M income | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.4M | “1.4 million” | Chamath: JB Pritzker disclosed $1.4M in gambling winnings out of $10.3M income | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 800M | “eight hundred million” | Calacanis: San Francisco spends $52,000 per homeless person annually | Jason Calacanis | Oct 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | Calacanis: San Francisco spends $52,000 per homeless person annually | Jason Calacanis | Oct 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Friedberg: New discovery methods could find 1,000x more rare earth reserves | David Friedberg | Oct 18, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Chamath: China faces 20% youth unemployment and near-zero foreign investment | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3.8% | “3.8%” | Sacks: AI accounted for 40% of Q2 US GDP growth | David Sacks | Oct 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Sacks: AI accounted for 40% of Q2 US GDP growth | David Sacks | Oct 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 48% | “48%” | Sorkin: US stock market rose 48% in 1928 | Andrew Ross Sorkin | Oct 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Sacks: US running a 7% deficit-to-GDP during peacetime expansion is historically unprecedented | David Sacks | Oct 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Sorkin: U.S. stock market ended 1929 down only 17% | Andrew Ross Sorkin | Oct 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Palihapitiya: Thoma Bravo manages just under $200 billion in assets | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 15, 2025 | Supported |
| $34.4B | “34.4 billion dollars” | Palihapitiya: Thoma Bravo raised $34.4B across fund vehicles in June | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Bravo: Technology accounts for about 50% of PE deal volume | Orlando Bravo | Oct 15, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Bravo: Thoma Bravo must exit $10B deals at $25B to make money | Orlando Bravo | Oct 15, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Bravo: Any company can cut 10% of costs, but 20% is difficult | Orlando Bravo | Oct 15, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Bravo: Any company can cut 10% of costs, but 20% is difficult | Orlando Bravo | Oct 15, 2025 | — |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Bravo: Thoma Bravo tracked Dayforce since 2008 before $12.5B deal announcement | Orlando Bravo | Oct 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Wood: Global real GDP growth will accelerate to 7% within a decade | Cathie Wood | Oct 14, 2025 | Open |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Wood: Global real GDP growth will accelerate to 7% within a decade | Cathie Wood | Oct 14, 2025 | Open |
| 30% | “30%” | Wood: Mega-cap tech stocks tripled since 2019 while disruptive tech gained 30% | Cathie Wood | Oct 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Wood expects 40% to 45% annual returns for disruptive tech equities | Cathie Wood | Oct 14, 2025 | Open |
| 45% | “45%” | Wood expects 40% to 45% annual returns for disruptive tech equities | Cathie Wood | Oct 14, 2025 | Open |
| 1.5M | “1.5 million” | Wood: ARK Invest's bull-case price target for Bitcoin is $1.5 million | Cathie Wood | Oct 14, 2025 | Open |
| 6B | “a five billion” | Chamath says he suffered a $5 billion drawdown following SPAC crash | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Gerstner: Trump, Kushner, and Witkoff deserve Nobel Peace Prize if peace deal succeeds | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| 61% | “61%” | Calacanis: Washington Post poll shows 79% of D.C. residents oppose National Guard | Jason Calacanis | Oct 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 79% | “79%” | Calacanis: Washington Post poll shows 79% of D.C. residents oppose National Guard | Jason Calacanis | Oct 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Calacanis: Only 17% of Americans believe Trump is making them better off | Jason Calacanis | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| $30B | “thirty billion dollars” | Calacanis: U.S. spending $30B on ICE, or $100K per deportation | Jason Calacanis | Oct 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 35% | “35%” | Sacks: DOGE had a 35% approval rating and 57% disapproval rating | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 57% | “57%” | Sacks: DOGE had a 35% approval rating and 57% disapproval rating | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Sacks: Left-wing NGOs laundered over $100M of public money for Antifa | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 60M | “sixty million” | Jason Calacanis: AMD granted OpenAI warrants for 160M shares | Jason Calacanis | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Jason Calacanis: AMD granted OpenAI warrants for 160M shares | Jason Calacanis | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| $25B | “twenty-five billion dollars” | Gerstner: Nvidia captured nearly 100% of incremental AI data center revenues | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $30B | “thirty billion dollars” | Gerstner: Nvidia captured nearly 100% of incremental AI data center revenues | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 33B | “thirty-three billion” | Gerstner: Nvidia captured nearly 100% of incremental AI data center revenues | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Gerstner: Nvidia captured nearly 100% of incremental AI data center revenues | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Gerstner: Nvidia captured nearly 100% of incremental AI data center revenues | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Gerstner: AMD could capture $150B incremental revenue from OpenAI deal | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Open |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Gerstner: Wall Street estimates Nvidia revenue growth flatlining under 10% CAGR from 2027-2029 | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Gerstner: Wall Street estimates Nvidia revenue growth flatlining under 10% CAGR from 2027-2029 | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10% | “10%” | Gerstner: Wall Street estimates Nvidia revenue growth flatlining under 10% CAGR from 2027-2029 | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 20% | “20%” | Palihapitiya: AI hardware system failures occur 9% to 20% of the time | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | David Sacks: Each gigawatt data center costs around $50B to build | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | David Sacks: Each gigawatt data center costs around $50B to build | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Gerstner: Generative AI revenue will exceed $1T annually by 2030 | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Open |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Gerstner: Generative AI revenue will exceed $1T annually by 2030 | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Open |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Gerstner predicts OpenAI will exit 2025 with $20B revenue run rate | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Gerstner: Nvidia will generate $450B in cash flow from 2025 to 2027 | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Open |
| $1.5T | “half a trillion dollars” | Gerstner: Nvidia will generate $450B in cash flow from 2025 to 2027 | Brad Gerstner | Oct 10, 2025 | Open |
| 40% | “40%” | Sacks: AI accounts for 40% of 2025 US GDP growth and 80% of stock gains | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Sacks: AI accounts for 40% of 2025 US GDP growth and 80% of stock gains | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Sacks: Unregulated AI will drive 4% to 5% US GDP growth for years | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | — |
| 74M | “seventy four million” | Sacks: China increased gold reserves for 11 consecutive months to 74M ounces | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 283B | “two hundred eighty three billion” | Sacks: China increased gold reserves for 11 consecutive months to 74M ounces | David Sacks | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Calacanis claims ICE invested $2B into Polymarket at $9B valuation | Jason Calacanis | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 10B | “a nine billion” | Calacanis claims ICE invested $2B into Polymarket at $9B valuation | Jason Calacanis | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 26× | “26 X” | Botha: Sequoia's initial Scout program fund is 26x | Roelof Botha | Oct 9, 2025 | — |
| $200B | “two hundred billion dollars” | Botha: VC industry currently invests $150B-$200B per year | Roelof Botha | Oct 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Botha: Only ~20 companies per decade reach real $1B+ exits | Roelof Botha | Oct 9, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1B | “a billion” | Botha: Only ~20 companies per decade reach real $1B+ exits | Roelof Botha | Oct 9, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 30% | “30%” | Botha: Sequoia-backed companies account for over 30% of NASDAQ value | Roelof Botha | Oct 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 6.7B | “6.7 billion” | Sequoia Capital Fund gained $6.7B by holding post-IPO stock | Roelof Botha | Oct 9, 2025 | — |
| $70B | “seventy billion dollars” | YouTube paid over $70 billion to creators in past three years | Neal Mohan | Oct 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 3M | “three million” | YouTube Partner Program has over 3 million revenue-earning creators | Neal Mohan | Oct 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | YouTube receives two billion visitors every single day, says CEO Neal Mohan | Neal Mohan | Oct 8, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 14% | “14%” | YouTube accounts for 13 to 14 percent of US TV viewership | Neal Mohan | Oct 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | YouTube Premium has approximately 125 million subscribers, says CEO Neal Mohan | Neal Mohan | Oct 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 4× | “four X” | Joe Tsai: WNBA business metrics grew nearly 4x with Caitlin Clark | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $80B | “eighty billion dollars” | Joe Tsai: Tech hyperscalers are investing roughly $80B each annually in AI | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.7B | “1.7 billion” | Tsai: Alibaba launched 1.7B, 4B, and 8B parameter models for edge devices | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | — |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Tsai: Alibaba launched 1.7B, 4B, and 8B parameter models for edge devices | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | — |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Joe Tsai: AI adoption among Chinese firms rose from 8% to near 50% | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Joe Tsai: AI adoption among Chinese firms rose from 8% to near 50% | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Joe Tsai estimates AI writes roughly 30% of Alibaba's code | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Tsai: China targets 90% AI penetration by 2030 via AI Plus policy | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 18% | “18%” | Tsai: Youth unemployment in China stands at 18% | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Joe Tsai: Average home prices in China are down roughly 30% | Joe Tsai | Oct 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 100B | “hundred billion” | Palihapitiya: Electronic Arts will become a multi-hundred billion dollar asset | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 3, 2025 | — |
| 36B | “thirty-six billion” | Palihapitiya: Jamie Dimon underwrote $20B debt for EA LBO in one day | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 3, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Palihapitiya: Jamie Dimon underwrote $20B debt for EA LBO in one day | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 3, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Chamath: SPAC 2.0 sponsor compensation requires at least 50% stock price gain | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 3, 2025 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Chamath: SPAC 2.0 sponsor compensation requires at least 50% stock price gain | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 3, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Chamath: SPAC 2.0 sponsor compensation requires at least 50% stock price gain | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 3, 2025 | — |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Chamath: 8090 is run-rating nine figures with zero revenue from PE firms | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 3, 2025 | — |
| 1.5B | “1.5 billion” | Calacanis claims Anthropic settled book copyright lawsuit for $1.5 billion | Jason Calacanis | Oct 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Calacanis: DeepSeek V3.2 EXP API pricing is 10x to 35x cheaper than Claude | Jason Calacanis | Oct 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 35× | “35 times” | Calacanis: DeepSeek V3.2 EXP API pricing is 10x to 35x cheaper than Claude | Jason Calacanis | Oct 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Calacanis: 40% of energy in Virginia goes to data centers | Jason Calacanis | Oct 3, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Sacks: All 50 states have introduced over 1,000 AI bills in 2025 | David Sacks | Oct 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Khanna: China has a 20% youth unemployment rate | Ro Khanna | Oct 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Khanna: 90% of healthcare tax credits do not go to undocumented immigrants | Ro Khanna | Oct 2, 2025 | Supported |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Ro Khanna supported California ballot measure targeting repeat retail theft | Ro Khanna | Oct 2, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Samani: Solana can process over one billion daily transactions under a penny each | Kyle Samani | Oct 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Caruso: 90% of lost homes burned from the inside out | Rick Caruso | Oct 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Chamath: Trade deals will bring nearly $2T in capital to US | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 6× | “six times” | Filippenko: JWST has six times the light-collecting area of Hubble | Alex Filippenko | Sep 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Filippenko: JWST reveals galaxies formed earlier than astrophysics models predicted | Alex Filippenko | Sep 30, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Filippenko: JWST reveals galaxies formed earlier than astrophysics models predicted | Alex Filippenko | Sep 30, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Filippenko: JWST reveals galaxies formed earlier than astrophysics models predicted | Alex Filippenko | Sep 30, 2025 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Filippenko: JWST cost US taxpayers roughly six dollars per year | Alex Filippenko | Sep 30, 2025 | — |
| 51% | “51%” | Cliffton: Zipline's drone delivery reduced hospital maternal mortality by 51 percent | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Cliffton: Zipline deliveries reduced under-five childhood mortality by 60 percent | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Cliffton: Zipline passed 115 million autonomous miles with zero safety incidents | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.6M | “1.6 million” | Cliffton: Zipline passed 115 million autonomous miles with zero safety incidents | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Cliffton: Zipline is more than doubling its flight volume every month | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | — |
| 4× | “four times” | Cliffton: Zipline customers order 3-4 times weekly with a 94 NPS | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Cliffton: Most Rwandan blood transfusions address postpartum hemorrhaging and malaria | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 30% | “30%” | Cliffton: Most Rwandan blood transfusions address postpartum hemorrhaging and malaria | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 3× | “three times” | Cliffton: Black US maternal mortality is triple the national average | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Cliffton: 5.5 billion instant deliveries take place annually in the US | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Cliffton: Packages under eight pounds comprise 95 percent of Amazon deliveries | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 100B | “hundred billion” | Cliffton: A multi-hundred-billion-dollar automated logistics company will emerge soon | Keller Rinaudo Clifton | Sep 30, 2025 | Open |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Dave Ricks estimates 20M people globally take prescription GLP-1 drugs | Dave Ricks | Sep 29, 2025 | — |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Eli Lilly reduced out-of-pocket GLP-1 medication costs to $499 | Dave Ricks | Sep 29, 2025 | Supported |
| $14.2B | “14.2 billion dollars” | Eli Lilly spends $14.2 billion on R&D, equal to 25% of sales | Dave Ricks | Sep 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Eli Lilly spends $14.2 billion on R&D, equal to 25% of sales | Dave Ricks | Sep 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Dave Ricks: Annual biotech venture funding collapsed from $20B to $5B | Dave Ricks | Sep 29, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 93% | “93%” | Eli Lilly's Mounjaro demonstrated a 93% reduction in pre-diabetes conversion | Dave Ricks | Sep 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Dave Ricks: Brain diseases account for 40% of global human suffering | Dave Ricks | Sep 29, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Chamath: Annual H-1B visa issuances reach 10 times official 85,000 limit | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 27, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Calacanis: Autism rates rose from 1 in 10,000 to 1 in 32 | Jason Calacanis | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Friedberg: Study showed over 70% of severe autism cases had folate autoantibodies | David Friedberg | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Calacanis: Polymarket odds for Kimmel cancellation dropped from 80% to 1% | Jason Calacanis | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: Polymarket odds for Kimmel cancellation dropped from 80% to 1% | Jason Calacanis | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Calacanis: Polymarket odds for Kimmel cancellation dropped from 80% to 1% | Jason Calacanis | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Sacks: Data shows 3x more people on left endorse political violence | David Sacks | Sep 27, 2025 | Open |
| 94% | “94%” | Friedberg: MIT-Microsoft framework achieves 94% planning accuracy on LLM benchmarks | David Friedberg | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 66% | “66%” | Friedberg: MIT-Microsoft framework achieves 94% planning accuracy on LLM benchmarks | David Friedberg | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 7,000× | “7000 X” | Friedberg: German research paper shows 70,000x energy reduction over NVIDIA H100 | David Friedberg | Sep 27, 2025 | — |
| 300× | “300 X” | Friedberg: German research paper shows 70,000x energy reduction over NVIDIA H100 | David Friedberg | Sep 27, 2025 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Friedberg: German research paper shows 70,000x energy reduction over NVIDIA H100 | David Friedberg | Sep 27, 2025 | — |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Schmidt: Chinese AI firms lack capital markets to fund $100M+ AGI data centers | Eric Schmidt | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| $30M | “thirty million dollars” | Schmidt: $5K drones render $30M military tanks obsolete | Eric Schmidt | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Sacks: Rutgers poll shows 50% of left-of-center respondents justify Trump or Musk murder | David Sacks | Sep 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 14% | “14%” | Sacks: Rutgers poll shows 50% of left-of-center respondents justify Trump or Musk murder | David Sacks | Sep 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Sacks: Rutgers study shows 60% of left-of-center respondents justify destroying Tesla dealerships | David Sacks | Sep 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 23% | “23%” | Sacks: Rutgers study shows 60% of left-of-center respondents justify destroying Tesla dealerships | David Sacks | Sep 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: Upwards of 20% of American kids are on SSRIs, Adderall, or stimulants | Jason Calacanis | Sep 19, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10× | “10 X” | Friedberg: YouTube's audience is over 10X larger than Netflix's | David Friedberg | Sep 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Friedberg: TikTok US represents only 5% to 8% of overall business | David Friedberg | Sep 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Friedberg: TikTok US represents only 5% to 8% of overall business | David Friedberg | Sep 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Yakovenko: Initial Solana calculations showed 1,000x speed vs Ethereum | Anatoly Yakovenko | Sep 18, 2025 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Yakovenko: Solana spent $2M of $14M raised on US legal fees | Anatoly Yakovenko | Sep 18, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Yakovenko: Solana spent $2M of $14M raised on US legal fees | Anatoly Yakovenko | Sep 18, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Yakovenko: Banks are more disruptible than Visa and MasterCard | Anatoly Yakovenko | Sep 18, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Ridesharing currently accounts for only 1% to 2% of global rides | Dara Khosrowshahi | Sep 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Uber generated over $8.5 billion in cash flow over the last year | Dara Khosrowshahi | Sep 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 3T | “three trillion” | Chamath claims CBO revised Trump bill score to $300B surplus | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 17, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Chamath claims CBO revised Trump bill score to $300B surplus | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 17, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 200% | “200%” | Trump claims threatening 200% tariffs would have stopped semiconductor offshoring | Donald J. Trump | Sep 17, 2025 | — |
| 35% | “35%” | Chamath claims Trump called exact stock market bottom on Truth Social | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 20× | “20 X” | Calacanis: Robinhood has 20x upside remaining | Jason Calacanis | Sep 15, 2025 | — |
| 21M | “a twenty million” | Calacanis: Invested in Robinhood at a $20M valuation before launch | Jason Calacanis | Sep 15, 2025 | — |
| 1.3T | “a quarter trillion” | Tenev: Robinhood holds over $250 billion in assets on platform | Vlad Tenev | Sep 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Hassabis: Google DeepMind has 5,000 staff, 80%+ engineers and PhDs | Demis Hassabis | Sep 12, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Hassabis says AI model serving efficiency improved 10x-100x over two years | Demis Hassabis | Sep 12, 2025 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Hassabis says AI model serving efficiency improved 10x-100x over two years | Demis Hassabis | Sep 12, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Musk: Optimus production cost will be ~$20k at 1M units annually | Elon Musk | Sep 10, 2025 | — |
| 40× | “40 times” | Musk: Tesla AI5 silicon will improve 40x over AI4 | Elon Musk | Sep 10, 2025 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Musk: Existing Tesla AI4 hardware will reach 2-3x human safety | Elon Musk | Sep 10, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Musk: Multi-planetary life opportunity exists for first time in Earth's history | Elon Musk | Sep 10, 2025 | — |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Adena Friedman: Nasdaq grew from $2.5B revenue to over $2.5B EBITDA | Adena Friedman | Sep 9, 2025 | Supported |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Adena Friedman: Nasdaq grew from $2.5B revenue to over $2.5B EBITDA | Adena Friedman | Sep 9, 2025 | Supported |
| $700B | “seven hundred billion dollars” | Friedman: Nasdaq's index business has $700B in tracking assets | Adena Friedman | Sep 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 95B | “ninety-five billion” | Nasdaq processed 95 billion daily messages with 20-microsecond latency | Adena Friedman | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
| 14.25% | “14.25%” | Friedman: Nasdaq 100 has averaged a 14.25% annual return over 40 years | Adena Friedman | Sep 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Friedman: US options markets feature 1.5 million strike prices today | Adena Friedman | Sep 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Chamath: Unchecked hedge fund leverage threatens U.S. financial infrastructure | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Chamath: Unchecked hedge fund leverage threatens U.S. financial infrastructure | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
| 180M | “a hundred eighty million” | Cuban: PBMs threaten drugmakers over Cost Plus Drugs partnerships | Mark Cuban | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Carlson: Trump told him 50 million uncounted people live in US | Tucker Carlson | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
| 4M | “four million” | Friedberg: A gigawatt nuclear plant generates $4M daily on $12k fuel | David Friedberg | Sep 8, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 85% | “85%” | Wright: Hydrocarbons provided 85% of global energy in both 1973 and 2024 | Chris Wright | Sep 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2B | “Two billion” | Wright: Two billion people burn wood indoors for cooking and heat | Chris Wright | Sep 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Calacanis: China installed 2-3x more solar per capita than US in 2024 | Jason Calacanis | Sep 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Wright: Solar will never reach 10 percent of global energy | Chris Wright | Sep 8, 2025 | Open |
| 20% | “20%” | Wright: Electricity accounts for only 20% of total global energy usage | Chris Wright | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Chris Wright: IPCC projects only a 0.2% to 4% income drop by 2100 | Chris Wright | Sep 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
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