| 25% | “25%” | Wright: U.S. retail electricity prices rose 25% under Biden administration | Chris Wright | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Wright: U.S. retail electricity prices rose 25% under Biden administration | Chris Wright | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Calacanis: 70% of top 50 global companies by market cap are American | Jason Calacanis | Sep 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $150B | “a hundred fifty billion dollars” | Calacanis: Trump tariffs generated over $150 billion in revenue in months | Jason Calacanis | Sep 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 4T | “four trillion” | Sacks: CBO projects $4 trillion in tariff revenue over next decade | David Sacks | Sep 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.5T | “half a trillion” | Palihapitiya predicts US will book $500 billion in incremental tariff revenue | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 7, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| $2T | “two trillion dollars” | Friedberg: US will add $2 trillion in federal debt this fiscal year | David Friedberg | Sep 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 55% | “55%” | Sacks: Trump reached a record 55% approval rating due to reduced crime | David Sacks | Sep 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 3.7% | “3.7%” | Sacks: Blue-collar real wages are rising at second-fastest pace in history | David Sacks | Sep 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2.7% | “2.7%” | Sacks: Blue-collar real wages are rising at second-fastest pace in history | David Sacks | Sep 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Sacks: Blue-collar real wages are rising at second-fastest pace in history | David Sacks | Sep 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Sacks estimates OpenAI currently captures roughly 90% of consumer AI revenue | David Sacks | Sep 7, 2025 | — |
| 54% | “54%” | Paul: The US middle and lower classes shrank because people got richer | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 37% | “37%” | Paul: The US middle and lower classes shrank because people got richer | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 33% | “33%” | Paul: The US middle and lower classes shrank because people got richer | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $15T | “15 trillion dollars” | Rand Paul projects US will borrow $15 trillion over next decade | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | Open |
| 20% | “20%” | Paul: I would support a 20% tariff to eliminate the income tax | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | — |
| $5T | “five trillion dollars” | Paul: The new spending bill raises the debt ceiling by $5 trillion | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Rand Paul: U.S. annual deficit is currently 6% of GDP | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Chamath: U.S. national debt interest expense will likely reach $2 trillion annually | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 5, 2025 | Open |
| 88B | “eighty eight billion” | Paul: The Fed paid $188B in interest to banks not to lend | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Paul: The Fed paid $188B in interest to banks not to lend | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Chamath: Global central bank dollar reserves fell from 60% to 40% | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Chamath: Global central bank dollar reserves fell from 60% to 40% | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Chamath: Global central bank dollar reserves fell from 60% to 40% | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Chamath: Up to 50% of working-age Americans earn income from the government | Chamath Palihapitiya | Sep 5, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $1.2T | “1.2 trillion dollars” | Paul: An NIH foundation holds $1.2 trillion in Big Pharma vaccine revenue | Rand Paul | Sep 5, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 2.2T | “2.2 trillion” | Sacks: $2.2T in commercial real estate debt matures before 2028 | David Sacks | Sep 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 9% | “nine percent” | Sacks: Powell's delayed rate hikes caused 2021 bubble, 2022 crash | David Sacks | Aug 29, 2025 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Chamath: Foreign capital commitments from US tariff deals exceed $1 trillion | Chamath Palihapitiya | Aug 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.2T | “2.2 trillion” | Sacks: $2.2T in commercial real estate debt matures before 2028 | David Sacks | Aug 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 50× | “50 times” | Friedberg: OpenAI and Retro Biosciences created 50x more effective rejuvenation proteins | David Friedberg | Aug 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Sacks: Gallup poll shows Ukrainian support for fighting war fell to 24% | David Sacks | Aug 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 24% | “24%” | Sacks: Gallup poll shows Ukrainian support for fighting war fell to 24% | David Sacks | Aug 28, 2025 | Supported |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Sacks: Ukraine's $100B 2023 counteroffensive was an abysmal failure | David Sacks | Aug 28, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 45% | “45%” | Eliminating flat or down rounds would double VC fund IRRs, says Friedberg | David Friedberg | Aug 27, 2025 | — |
| 24× | “24 X” | Friedberg: Holding the top 10 NASDAQ stocks for 24 years yielded 24x | David Friedberg | Aug 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Calacanis: MIT study shows 95% of GenAI pilots fail to reach production | Jason Calacanis | Aug 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Calacanis: AI makes sales development reps 10 times more effective | Jason Calacanis | Aug 22, 2025 | — |
| $40M | “forty million dollars” | Palihapitiya says his AI firm 8090 will hit $40M in bookings | Chamath Palihapitiya | Aug 22, 2025 | — |
| 2B | “two billion” | Chamath: OpenAI could reach a $1.5T valuation within four years | Chamath Palihapitiya | Aug 22, 2025 | Open |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Chamath: OpenAI could reach a $1.5T valuation within four years | Chamath Palihapitiya | Aug 22, 2025 | Open |
| 76B | “a seventy five billion” | Sacks: Newsom turned a $75 billion surplus into a $20 billion deficit | David Sacks | Aug 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 21B | “a twenty billion” | Sacks: Newsom turned a $75 billion surplus into a $20 billion deficit | David Sacks | Aug 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Sacks: Ukrainian support for continuing war dropped to 24% | David Sacks | Aug 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 24% | “24%” | Sacks: Ukrainian support for continuing war dropped to 24% | David Sacks | Aug 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Calacanis: 80% to 95% of social media employees are Democrats | Jason Calacanis | Aug 21, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Calacanis: Zuckerberg would have fully backed Harris had she won | Jason Calacanis | Aug 21, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Senator Schmitt: Tech platforms suppressing viewpoints should lose Section 230 protections | Senator Eric Schmitt | Aug 21, 2025 | — |
| 24% | “24%” | Sacks: Gallup poll shows Ukrainian support for continuing war collapsed to 24% | David Sacks | Aug 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 5× | “five times” | Senator Schmitt: Russia has five times Ukraine's population and triple the munitions | Senator Eric Schmitt | Aug 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Senator Schmitt: Russia has five times Ukraine's population and triple the munitions | Senator Eric Schmitt | Aug 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Palihapitiya: Over 50% of 12-year-old boys watch porn | Chamath Palihapitiya | Aug 17, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Chamath: Making $400k with no debt is probably better than making $1M as a doctor | Chamath Palihapitiya | Aug 17, 2025 | — |
| 12% | “12%” | Calacanis: Only 12% of 30-year-olds are married homeowners today vs 50% in 1950s | Jason Calacanis | Aug 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Chamath: Average age of porn viewers dropped to 16 with over 50% of 12-year-olds watching | Chamath Palihapitiya | Aug 15, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Friedberg: Ending federal student loans is the only path forward for higher ed | David Friedberg | Aug 15, 2025 | — |
| 4M | “a three million” | Friedberg: Harvard takes a 60% administrative cut on federal research grants | David Friedberg | Aug 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $1.8M | “1.8 million dollars” | Friedberg: Harvard takes a 60% administrative cut on federal research grants | David Friedberg | Aug 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Friedberg: Harvard takes a 60% administrative cut on federal research grants | David Friedberg | Aug 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 24× | “24 X” | Friedberg: Holding NASDAQ's top 10 companies yielded a 24x return over 24 years | David Friedberg | Aug 15, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Sacks says OpenAI could reach a $1T valuation in a couple of years | David Sacks | Aug 15, 2025 | — |
| 44.4% | “44.4%” | Baker: Grok 4 scored 44.4% on Humanity's Last Exam versus GPT-5's 42% | Gavin Baker | Aug 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Shapiro: Magnificent Seven drive 60-70% of S&P 500 gains | Ben Shapiro | Aug 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Calacanis: $1T-$2T will be deployed into data centers in 5 years | Jason Calacanis | Aug 9, 2025 | Open |
| 3% | “three percent” | Phil Deutsch: US electricity demand growth has risen to two to three percent | Phil Deutsch | Aug 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Friedberg: China adds 1 terawatt of power capacity every 18 months | David Friedberg | Aug 9, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 80% | “80%” | Deutsch: Solar and wind account for around 80% of new U.S. energy additions | Phil Deutsch | Aug 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Baker: 2% privatized Soviet farmland produced majority of nation's food | Gavin Baker | Aug 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Baker: $1B in smuggled Nvidia chips won't alter US-China AI race | Gavin Baker | Aug 9, 2025 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Baker: $1B in smuggled Nvidia chips won't alter US-China AI race | Gavin Baker | Aug 9, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Friedberg: Solar energy accounts for roughly 5% of generation in Texas | David Friedberg | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Friedberg: AI outputs reproducing copyrighted material violate copyright law | David Friedberg | Aug 1, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Friedberg: Non-public content used for AI training must be licensed | David Friedberg | Aug 1, 2025 | — |
| $20M | “twenty million dollars” | Calacanis: Amazon's $20M deal equals 1% of New York Times revenue | Jason Calacanis | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Calacanis: Amazon's $20M deal equals 1% of New York Times revenue | Jason Calacanis | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.2% | “1.2%” | Powell: US GDP grew at 1.2% in H1 2025, down from 2.5% last year | Jerome Powell | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2.5% | “2.5%” | Powell: US GDP grew at 1.2% in H1 2025, down from 2.5% last year | Jerome Powell | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 600B | “six hundred billion” | Sacks: US-EU trade deal includes zero tariffs and $600B US investment | David Sacks | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 750B | “seven hundred fifty billion” | Sacks: US-EU trade deal includes zero tariffs and $600B US investment | David Sacks | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Sacks: US-EU trade deal includes zero tariffs and $600B US investment | David Sacks | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Sachs: U.S. tariffs generate $300B annually in revenue | David Sacks | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3T | “three trillion” | Sachs: U.S. tariffs generate $300B annually in revenue | David Sacks | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50 Percent” | Trump claims US will impose 15% to 50% standard tariffs globally | Donald J. Trump | Jul 24, 2025 | — |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | Trump claims Big Tech is investing $320 billion in AI infrastructure | Donald J. Trump | Jul 24, 2025 | Supported |
| $500B | “five hundred billion dollars” | Trump claims NVIDIA committed to a $500 billion investment over four years | Donald J. Trump | Jul 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 6.7% | “6.7%” | Bessent: Biden-era deficit hit 6.7% of GDP, a peacetime record | Scott Bessent | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $300B | “three hundred billion dollars” | Bessent: AI CapEx spending is roughly 1% of US GDP or $300B yearly | Scott Bessent | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Bessent: AI CapEx spending is roughly 1% of US GDP or $300B yearly | Scott Bessent | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Bessent: Tariffs and tax incentives could spark U.S. construction boom | Scott Bessent | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $300B | “three hundred billion dollars” | Bessent predicts US will collect at least $300B in tariff revenue over 12 months | Scott Bessent | Jul 23, 2025 | Open |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Bessent: TSMC's Arizona fab system could supply 7% of US chips | Scott Bessent | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 97% | “97%” | Wright: Wind, solar, and batteries provided 3% of PJM peak demand | Chris Wright | Jul 23, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 3% | “three percent” | Wright: Wind, solar, and batteries provided 3% of PJM peak demand | Chris Wright | Jul 23, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 35% | “35%” | Wright: Texas wind and solar supplied 8% of power at peak demand | Chris Wright | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Wright: Texas wind and solar supplied 8% of power at peak demand | Chris Wright | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Chris Wright: Climate change is not among the top five global problems | Chris Wright | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Chris Wright: Climate change is not among the top five global problems | Chris Wright | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $25B | “twenty-five billion dollars” | Chamath reveals his $25B, one-gigawatt Arizona data center project | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Burgum: $1T to $1.5T in capital is delayed by federal permitting | Doug Burgum | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Lutnick: Japan committed $550 billion to finance U.S. infrastructure | Howard Lutnick | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Lutnick: U.S.-Japan infrastructure deal splits project profits 90% to 10% | Howard Lutnick | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Lutnick: U.S.-Japan infrastructure deal splits project profits 90% to 10% | Howard Lutnick | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Lutnick: Unsettled trade negotiations will trigger higher tariffs on August 1st | Howard Lutnick | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Litinsky: MP Materials is 100% of the US rare earth industry | James Litinsky | Jul 23, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Litinsky: MP Materials building 10x capacity facility for DoD and Apple | James Litinsky | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 85B | “eighty-five billion” | Lisa Su: AMD's MI355 chip has 185B transistors and takes nine months | Dr. Lisa Su | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Su: US-fabricated chips will carry a low double-digit cost premium | Dr. Lisa Su | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Su: US-fabricated chips will carry a low double-digit cost premium | Dr. Lisa Su | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Su: US-fabricated chips will carry a low double-digit cost premium | Dr. Lisa Su | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $500B | “five hundred billion dollars” | Su: AI accelerator market will exceed $500B within a couple of years | Dr. Lisa Su | Jul 23, 2025 | Open |
| 20% | “20%” | Lochmiller: Data centers will drive 20% of US power demand growth | Chase Lochmiller | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Lochmiller: Data centers will grow to consume 10% of total US power | Chase Lochmiller | Jul 23, 2025 | Open |
| 10% | “10%” | Lochmiller: Data centers will grow to consume 10% of total US power | Chase Lochmiller | Jul 23, 2025 | Open |
| $15B | “fifteen billion dollars” | Lochmiller: Crusoe raised $15 billion to build its flagship AI data center | Chase Lochmiller | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Huang: 100% of Nvidia software engineers and chip designers use AI | Jensen Huang | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Huang: NVIDIA Hopper GPUs retain up to 80% value after one year | Jensen Huang | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 65% | “65%” | Huang: NVIDIA Hopper GPUs retain up to 80% value after one year | Jensen Huang | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Huang: NVIDIA Hopper GPUs retain up to 80% value after one year | Jensen Huang | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| $100B | “hundred billion dollars” | Huang: AI infrastructure buildout will reach multi-trillion dollar scale | Jensen Huang | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $1.5T | “half a trillion dollars” | Huang: US will produce $500B in AI supercomputers over next four years | Jensen Huang | Jul 23, 2025 | Open |
| $1.5T | “half a trillion dollars” | Huang: $500B in AI supercomputers will drive trillions in AI industry | Jensen Huang | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 8% | “8%” | Vance: Zillow data shows US housing costs rose 0.8% over past year | JD Vance | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Power: Most US manufacturing factories operate at only 20% uptime | Chris Power | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 3M | “three million” | Friedberg: China has 3M factories compared to 250k in US | David Friedberg | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Power: Energy comprises 90% of aluminum and steel manufacturing costs | Chris Power | Jul 23, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 3× | “three x” | Sankar: China on pace to 3x US energy generation by 2030 | Shyam Sankar | Jul 23, 2025 | Open |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Sankar: US will see 100x more blackouts by 2030 without intervention | Shyam Sankar | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Buchheit: AI will 10x total global intelligence and wealth | Paul Buchheit | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Buchheit: Generative video will enable indie movies with zero budget | Paul Buchheit | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Buchheit: Astronomical capital costs will limit foundation model competitors | Paul Buchheit | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 98% | “98%” | Loeffler: US lost bicycle manufacturing, resulting in 98% imports | Kelly Loeffler | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Loeffler: 85% of current jobs stem from technological advances | Kelly Loeffler | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Loeffler: 85% of current jobs stem from technological advances | Kelly Loeffler | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 21B | “twenty one billion” | Loeffler: 60% of SBA lending went to businesses with 1-5 employees | Kelly Loeffler | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Loeffler: 60% of SBA lending went to businesses with 1-5 employees | Kelly Loeffler | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $400M | “four hundred million dollars” | Loeffler: Previous SBA underwriting policies caused $400M increase in loan losses | Kelly Loeffler | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: A 10% Tesla equity stake would have funded 100 Solyndras | Jason Calacanis | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 3.3% | “3.3%” | Friedberg: U.S. total debt is $36 trillion at 3.3% average interest | David Friedberg | Jul 19, 2025 | Supported |
| $1.2T | “1.2 trillion dollars” | Friedberg: U.S. annual interest expense on debt is $1.2 trillion | David Friedberg | Jul 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 3.3% | “3.3%” | Friedberg: U.S. annual interest expense on debt is $1.2 trillion | David Friedberg | Jul 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 19% | “19%” | Baker: U.S. tax receipts topped out at 18-19% GDP under Obama | Gavin Baker | Jul 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Calacanis: AI productivity market will reach $1T in revenue and $10T market cap | Jason Calacanis | Jul 19, 2025 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Calacanis: AI productivity market will reach $1T in revenue and $10T market cap | Jason Calacanis | Jul 19, 2025 | — |
| $10T | “10 trillion dollars” | Calacanis: AI productivity market will reach $1T in revenue and $10T market cap | Jason Calacanis | Jul 19, 2025 | — |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Friedberg: Google alone is spending $70 billion in CapEx this year | David Friedberg | Jul 19, 2025 | Supported |
| $9B | “nine billion dollars” | Hagerty: Senate passed a $9B+ spending rescissions package | Senator Bill Hagerty | Jul 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Kalanick: Lab37 robotic assembly cuts kitchen labor costs to 7-10% of revenue | Travis Kalanick | Jul 11, 2025 | — |
| 1.8% | “1.8%” | Kalanick: Uber Eats and DoorDash represent only 2% of US meals | Travis Kalanick | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Kalanick: Uber Eats and DoorDash represent only 2% of US meals | Travis Kalanick | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 15B | “fifteen billion” | Chamath: Meta spent $15B to buy 49% of Scale AI | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 49% | “49%” | Chamath: Meta spent $15B to buy 49% of Scale AI | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| $250M | “two hundred fifty million dollars” | Calacanis: Elon Musk put $250M and massive effort into Trump's campaign | Jason Calacanis | Jul 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Friedberg: Current US deficit-to-GDP is 6% with 1.4% GDP growth | David Friedberg | Jul 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.4% | “2.4%” | Friedberg: Current US deficit-to-GDP is 6% with 1.4% GDP growth | David Friedberg | Jul 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.4% | “1.4%” | Friedberg: Current US deficit-to-GDP is 6% with 1.4% GDP growth | David Friedberg | Jul 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Friedberg: Over 70 state AI laws have passed in the US | David Friedberg | Jul 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Chamath: PG&E's California grid is only 45% to 50% utilized on average | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: Dollar had worst start to a year in 50 years | Jason Calacanis | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 34% | “34%” | Friedberg: Foreign holdings of US Treasuries dropped from 34% over ten years | David Friedberg | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Chamath: Harvard's PE allocation doubled to 40% between 2019 and 2025 | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Chamath: Harvard recently sold $1B of private equity at a 7% discount | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Chamath: Harvard recently sold $1B of private equity at a 7% discount | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Chamath: Buyers will demand 20%-40% discounts on Harvard's PE assets | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 4, 2025 | — |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Calacanis: Superhuman reached $825M valuation and $35M annual revenue | Jason Calacanis | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| $35M | “thirty-five million dollars” | Calacanis: Superhuman reached $825M valuation and $35M annual revenue | Jason Calacanis | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 28M | “twenty eight million” | Calacanis cites Figma's S-1 metrics: $228M Q1 revenue, $1.5B cash, zero debt | Jason Calacanis | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Calacanis cites Figma's S-1 metrics: $228M Q1 revenue, $1.5B cash, zero debt | Jason Calacanis | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Calacanis: Figma CEO Dylan Field retains 75% voting power | Jason Calacanis | Jul 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “1.5 billion” | Calacanis: Figma aims to raise $1.5 billion in its IPO | Jason Calacanis | Jul 4, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Chamath: Meta offers $300M-$500M compensation packages to top AI talent | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 4, 2025 | — |
| 25B | “twenty five billion” | Chamath: OpenAI leaks show $13B revenue in 2025, $125B by 2029 | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| $95M | “ninety-five million dollars” | Friedberg: Figma generated $95M free cash flow in Q1 with 130% NRR | David Friedberg | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 43% | “43%” | Friedberg: Figma generated $95M free cash flow in Q1 with 130% NRR | David Friedberg | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 130% | “130%” | Friedberg: Figma generated $95M free cash flow in Q1 with 130% NRR | David Friedberg | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 93% | “93%” | Calacanis: Cuomo held 93% Polymarket odds versus Mamdani's 6% last month | Jason Calacanis | Jun 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Calacanis: Cuomo held 93% Polymarket odds versus Mamdani's 6% last month | Jason Calacanis | Jun 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Friedberg: US student loan debt grew from $500B to $2T in 20 years | David Friedberg | Jun 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Friedberg: US student loan debt grew from $500B to $2T in 20 years | David Friedberg | Jun 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Calacanis: College degree costs outpaced entry-level wage growth 10x over 20 years | Jason Calacanis | Jun 30, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: Top 10% of earners pay two-thirds of New York's tax base | Jason Calacanis | Jun 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $60B | “sixty billion dollars” | Friedberg: Iran exports $60B annually, with $55B going to China | David Friedberg | Jun 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 55B | “fifty-five billion” | Friedberg: Iran exports $60B annually, with $55B going to China | David Friedberg | Jun 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Friedberg states US student loan debt rose from $500B to $2T | David Friedberg | Jun 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Friedberg states US student loan debt rose from $500B to $2T | David Friedberg | Jun 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Calacanis: College cost growth outpaced entry-level salary growth 10x over 20 years | Jason Calacanis | Jun 28, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 41B | “a forty billion” | Friedberg: China is investing $40B in full-stack semiconductor manufacturing | David Friedberg | Jun 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Lafont: LA restaurant recovery lags national average by 50% | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10× | “10 times” | Lafont: One-third of U.S. physicians use Open Evidence daily for diagnoses | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Altman: Meta offered OpenAI staff $100M signing bonuses, but none left | Sam Altman | Jun 21, 2025 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Lafont: Apple's AirPod business revenue is triple OpenAI's total revenue | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Thomas Lafont claims Apple reduced iPhone share of gross profit from 90% to 40% | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 12% | “12%” | Palihapitiya: S&P 493 average profit margin is 12% with single-digit growth | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Lafont: Median SaaS revenue growth dropped from 17% in 2021 to 9% | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Lafont: Median SaaS revenue growth dropped from 17% in 2021 to 9% | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 9% | “nine percent” | Lafont: Median SaaS revenue growth dropped from 17% in 2021 to 9% | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Lafont: Median SaaS revenue growth dropped from 17% in 2021 to 9% | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Lafont: Anthropic captured 70% of public SaaS net new ARR in Q1 | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Lafont: 2021 IPO cohort is down 50% after five years | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Lafont: 2021 IPO cohort is down 50% after five years | Thomas Laffont | Jun 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
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