Jerome Powell

0 appearances on the record.

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1statements → 1claims → 0claims resolved → average certainty → average debate potential → 286said about them ↓

how the 1 claim stands · each chip opens the sources

1 assertion · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertion are the 1 claim: statements the public record can support or contradict. 1 is resolved. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

Everything Jerome Powell said on All-In that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Partly supported
Powell: US GDP grew at 1.2% in H1 2025, down from 2.5% last year
“GDP rose at a 1.2% pace in the first half of this year, down from 2.5% last year.”
Jerome Powell Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 1:04:05 Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns No Privacy

The other half of the tape: Jerome Powell's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 274 times in 63 episodes on All-In. 12 statements on the record name them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Jason Calacanis 81Chamath Palihapitiya 79David Sacks 72David Friedberg 33Brad Gerstner 6Tim Dillon 1Ben Shapiro 1Andrew Ross Sorkin 1

Statements about Jerome Powell, by other people (12)

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Powell's delayed rate hikes caused 2021 bubble, 2022 crash
“And it caused an asset bubble in twenty-twenty-one, it caused the nine percent inflation that we had the following year, and it caused the crash that we saw in twenty-twenty-two and 23.”
David Sacks Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 25:05 Trump Takes On the Fed, US-Intel Deal, Why Bankruptcies Are Up, OpenAI's Longevity Breakthrough
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Powell maintained transitory inflation narrative to secure his Biden renomination
“So in other words, he went along with this whole transitory narrative to get renominated by Biden. And then a week later on November 30th, he said it was time to retire the word transitory.”
David Sacks Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 23:19 Trump Takes On the Fed, US-Intel Deal, Why Bankruptcies Are Up, OpenAI's Longevity Breakthrough
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Jerome Powell will cut rates for Democrats but not for Trump
“He'll cut for Biden. He'll cut for Yellen. He'll cut for Kamala. He will not cut for Trump.”
David Sacks Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 1:27:08 Trump Takes On the Fed, US-Intel Deal, Why Bankruptcies Are Up, OpenAI's Longevity Breakthrough
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: Stock market would drop significantly if Trump fires Fed Chair Powell
“I do think the market would go down quite a bit more if Trump did fire Powell.”
Gavin Baker Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 7:48 Trump vs Powell, Solving the Debt Crisis, The $10T AGI Prize, GENIUS Act Becomes Law
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: S&P 500 could hit 7,000 quickly if Powell aggressively cuts rates
“I think that if Powell starts an aggressive cutting program, either because he has to, or because he's trying to keep his job. I mean, man, you could see the S&P at 7000. Very quickly.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 28, 2025 ▶ 1:24:05 12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner
Opinion
Sacks: Biden and Powell will be remembered as worst President and Fed chair
“Biden and Powell are going to go down as the worst President and Fed chair of all time.”
David Sacks May 13, 2022 ▶ 1:35:11 E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Fed and Western leaders may restart money printing to counter sanction risks
“And I think that we have proven a willingness to print capital and money. And so if you put those two things together, I think there could be a real possibility that Powell becomes very accommodative. And, you know, he and Biden and the entire administration c…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 5, 2022 ▶ 1:11:28 E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Powell will prioritize tamping down inflation over economic growth
“So I think he's going to be more concerned about erring on the side of tamping down inflation than erring on the side of the economy not doing as well.”
David Sacks Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 1:21:42 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
Opinion
Calacanis: Fed Chair Jerome Powell may have already achieved a soft landing
“My position is I think he might have already stuck the landing.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 1:21:55 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
Prediction Held up
Chamath: Jerome Powell will not be reappointed as Fed Chair
“He's not going to get reappointed.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 1:17:37 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
Opinion
Sacks: Powell made a political mistake framing wage cooling as necessary
“So I think this is certainly a political mistake for Powell to say that his objective here is to hurt the wages of the American people and to basically cause a recession.”
David Sacks Apr 28, 2023 ▶ 14:11 E126: Big Tech blow-out, Powell’s recession warning, lab-grown meat, RFK Jr shakes up race & more
Assertion Contradicted
Palihapitiya: Markets pushed back expected Fed rate cut timeline by one year
“So I think what happened this week is actually pretty important because I think the markets were really trying to force Jerome Powell to start the cutting cycle, and now they had to move the date at which they could expect cuts out by a year.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 1:15:11 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more

Every mention by year

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005010100202020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
010202020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
004108202020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 10 mentions in 2 episodes 5 per episode
2025 96 mentions in 15 episodes 6 per episode
2024 49 mentions in 9 episodes 5 per episode
2023 46 mentions in 11 episodes 4 per episode
2022 58 mentions in 18 episodes 3 per episode
2021 10 mentions in 5 episodes 2 per episode
2020 5 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode

Played on the show (1)

Episodes where a recording of Jerome Powell was played rather than Jerome taking part, or where the tape carries an address with nobody putting questions to them. Listed because the words are on the record, kept out of every score on this page because they were not said on this show. We read this off the tape: who was spoken to, who was asked something, who answered whom.

EpisodeDateOn tapeWhat it is
Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns N Aug 1, 2025 22s clip played
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