| 3.6M | “3.6 million” | Calacanis: AppLovin revenue per employee grew to $7.6M as headcount fell | Jason Calacanis | Jun 21, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 7.6M | “7.6 million” | Calacanis: AppLovin revenue per employee grew to $7.6M as headcount fell | Jason Calacanis | Jun 21, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Calacanis: AppLovin revenue per employee grew to $7.6M as headcount fell | Jason Calacanis | Jun 21, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 3% | “three percent” | Calacanis: Microsoft laid off 3% of staff and plans massive sales cuts | Jason Calacanis | Jun 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis predicts Microsoft's headcount will stay flat near 225,000 to 250,000 | Jason Calacanis | Jun 21, 2025 | Open |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis predicts Microsoft's headcount will stay flat near 225,000 to 250,000 | Jason Calacanis | Jun 21, 2025 | Open |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Sacks: United States has around 50 million crypto wallet holders | David Sacks | Jun 21, 2025 | — |
| $9B | “nine billion dollars” | Tony Robbins says his 114 companies generate over $9B in revenue | Tony Robbins | Jun 19, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Robbins: 60% of people using drugs or therapy for depression see zero improvement | Tony Robbins | Jun 19, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 53% | “53%” | Robbins: Johns Hopkins psilocybin study rendered 53% symptom-free after six weeks | Tony Robbins | Jun 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 97% | “97%” | Robbins: Stanford study found 97% became depression symptom-free post-seminar | Tony Robbins | Jun 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 7% | “Seven percent” | Robbins: Stanford study found 97% became depression symptom-free post-seminar | Tony Robbins | Jun 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Robbins: Stanford study found 97% became depression symptom-free post-seminar | Tony Robbins | Jun 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 96% | “96%” | Tony Robbins says 96% of guided psychedelic users rate it a top three life event | Tony Robbins | Jun 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | Robbins: 100 Billion Meals Challenge secured 30 billion meals in 18 months | Tony Robbins | Jun 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Carlson: Nearly 50 million undocumented immigrants live in the US | Tucker Carlson | Jun 13, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Carlson: Nearly 50 million undocumented immigrants live in the US | Tucker Carlson | Jun 13, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 90% | “90%” | Calacanis: 80% to 90% of LA rioters are not immigrants | Jason Calacanis | Jun 13, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 21% | “21%” | Sacks: Democratic Party approval rating sits at an all-time low of net -49 | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Sacks: Democratic Party approval rating sits at an all-time low of net -49 | David Sacks | Jun 13, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10M | “ten million” | Calacanis: Trump's 3M net immigration was lowest since Reagan | Jason Calacanis | Jun 13, 2025 | Supported |
| 3M | “three million” | Calacanis: Trump's 3M net immigration was lowest since Reagan | Jason Calacanis | Jun 13, 2025 | Supported |
| $400B | “four hundred billion dollars” | Chamath: Tariffs will generate $300B-$400B extra annual revenue | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 13, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Chamath: US balance sheet will improve by $600B within 60 days | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 13, 2025 | — |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Chamath: A 100 bps Fed rate cut would save $300B in debt interest | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jun 13, 2025 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Jared Isaacman: Inspiration4 raised $250M for St. Jude | Jared Isaacman | Jun 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 600% | “600%” | Isaacman: NASA Mobile Launcher 2 has 500% to 600% cost overrun | Jared Isaacman | Jun 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Isaacman: US spent over $100B over 35 years planning Moon return | Jared Isaacman | Jun 4, 2025 | Supported |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Isaacman: NASA's SLS rocket costs $4.5B per launch and faces an expiration date | Jared Isaacman | Jun 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 140% | “140%” | Suarez: Miami has lowest unemployment and highest wage growth in US | Francis Suarez | Jun 3, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 600M | “a five hundred million” | Suarez: Miami lowered taxes while tripling city budget to $1.5B | Francis Suarez | Jun 3, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Suarez: Miami lowered taxes while tripling city budget to $1.5B | Francis Suarez | Jun 3, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Suarez: Miami leverages public housing dollars at a 15:1 to 20:1 ratio | Francis Suarez | Jun 3, 2025 | — |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Suarez: Miami leverages public housing dollars at a 15:1 to 20:1 ratio | Francis Suarez | Jun 3, 2025 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Calacanis: Startups are regularly achieving $1 million in revenue per employee | Jason Calacanis | May 31, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Sacks: AI will not cause 20% unemployment in two years | David Sacks | May 31, 2025 | Open |
| 10× | “10 X” | Palihapitiya: AI developer tools will increase total software developers by 10x | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 31, 2025 | Open |
| 3% | “three percent” | Calacanis: Microsoft cut 6,000 jobs despite record corporate profits | Jason Calacanis | May 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Sacks: Winning the AI race means US retaining 80-90% market share | David Sacks | May 31, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Sacks: Winning the AI race means US retaining 80-90% market share | David Sacks | May 31, 2025 | — |
| $15B | “fifteen billion dollars” | Friedberg: $15B of $120B annual US food stamp spending buys soda | David Friedberg | May 31, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10% | “10%” | F1 drivers faced a 10% annual mortality rate in Keke Rosberg's era | Nico Rosberg | May 29, 2025 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | F1's US fan base grew from 20M to 50M in six years | Nico Rosberg | May 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | F1's US fan base grew from 20M to 50M in six years | Nico Rosberg | May 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Nico Rosberg: 40% of Formula One fans in America are women | Nico Rosberg | May 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Top F1 teams jumped from $150M valuations to $5B in ten years | Nico Rosberg | May 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Top F1 teams jumped from $150M valuations to $5B in ten years | Nico Rosberg | May 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $6B | “six billion dollars” | Top F1 teams jumped from $150M valuations to $5B in ten years | Nico Rosberg | May 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Mercedes calculates a $2 billion annual brand ROI from Formula One | Nico Rosberg | May 29, 2025 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Sen. Ron Johnson: Discretionary spending is 25% of U.S. budget | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Sen. Ron Johnson: 'Other mandatory' spending will stay above $1T | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | — |
| $2.2T | “2.2 trillion dollars” | Sen. Johnson notes CBO projects a $22 trillion ten-year deficit | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Supported |
| $4T | “four trillion dollars” | Sen. Johnson projects U.S. national debt will reach $62 to $63 trillion | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Open |
| 4.4T | “4.4 trillion” | Sen. Johnson: U.S. federal spending grew from $4.4T to $6.5T since 2018 | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 81% | “81%” | Chamath Palihapitiya: 81% of new US energy is backed by tax credits | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 25, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $6.5T | “6.5 trillion dollars” | Sen. Johnson: Enough senators demand $6.5T spending cap to block budget bill | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 7.3T | “7.3 trillion” | Sen. Johnson: U.S. federal spending is projected at $7.3 trillion next year | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $900B | “nine hundred billion dollars” | Sen. Johnson: Biden averaged $1.9T annual deficits, doubling Obama and Trump | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 800B | “eight hundred billion” | Sen. Johnson: Biden averaged $1.9T annual deficits, doubling Obama and Trump | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Sen. Johnson: Biden averaged $1.9T annual deficits, doubling Obama and Trump | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Supported |
| $1.9T | “1.9 trillion dollars” | Sen. Johnson: Biden averaged $1.9T annual deficits, doubling Obama and Trump | Senator Ron Johnson | May 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 4T | “four trillion” | House-passed tax bill estimated to add $3T-$5T to national debt over 10 years | Jason Calacanis | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 5T | “five trillion” | House-passed tax bill estimated to add $3T-$5T to national debt over 10 years | Jason Calacanis | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 3.6% | “3.6%” | CBO baseline budget models assume U.S. interest rates of 3.6% | David Friedberg | May 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Friedberg: Each 1% rate rise above 3.6% adds $350B to US interest | David Friedberg | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Friedberg: Each 1% rate rise above 3.6% adds $350B to US interest | David Friedberg | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Chamath predicts 10-year Treasury yield will exceed 5% by end of 2025 | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 24, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Chamath predicts 10-year Treasury yield will exceed 5% by end of 2025 | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 24, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| 81% | “81%” | Chamath: 81% of new US power came from tax-credit-backed private investment | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Chamath: Yen carry trade unwind will prompt $1T+ US Treasury selloff, pushing yields higher | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 24, 2025 | — |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Sacks: DOGE identified $160B in annual administrative federal budget cuts | David Sacks | May 24, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Friedberg: Returning US spending to 2019 levels yields budget surplus and 2% bond yields | David Friedberg | May 24, 2025 | — |
| 880B | “eight hundred eighty billion” | Sacks: House bill cuts $880B from Medicaid over 10 years with work requirements | David Sacks | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 6.5B | “6.5 billion” | Calacanis: OpenAI bought Jony Ive's IO for $6.5B in stock | Jason Calacanis | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Calacanis: Apple stole 90% of its product designs from Dieter Rams | Jason Calacanis | May 24, 2025 | — |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Chamath: OpenAI funding rounds prior to $300B round included put options | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 24, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Sacks: Jony Ive will either double OpenAI's value or add zero value | David Sacks | May 24, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Sacks: Middle East AI deal mandates 80% US cloud provider ownership | David Sacks | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Gracias: US can cut spending 15% without touching core entitlements | Antonio Gracias | May 21, 2025 | — |
| 88% | “88%” | Gracias: 88% of departing federal workers took voluntary severance packages | Antonio Gracias | May 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Calacanis: Google has 5 or 6 products with over 2B users each | Jason Calacanis | May 20, 2025 | Supported |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Shapiro: Qatar gave Hamas $2B and U.S. universities $6.3B recently | Ben Shapiro | May 17, 2025 | Supported |
| $7.3B | “a 6.3 billion dollars” | Shapiro: Qatar gave Hamas $2B and U.S. universities $6.3B recently | Ben Shapiro | May 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.6M | “2.6 million” | Shapiro: Qatar gave Hamas $2B and U.S. universities $6.3B recently | Ben Shapiro | May 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Chamath: A 1,000-mile radius around Saudi Arabia reaches 4 billion people | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 17, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 4B | “four billion” | Chamath: A 1,000-mile radius around Saudi Arabia reaches 4 billion people | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 17, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $2.5T | “a half a trillion dollars” | Friedberg: Qatar's sovereign wealth fund has $50B invested in US funds | David Friedberg | May 17, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Friedberg: Qatar's sovereign wealth fund has $50B invested in US funds | David Friedberg | May 17, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $2.5T | “2.5 trillion dollars” | Friedberg: GOP reconciliation bill could drive U.S. deficit to $2.5T annually | David Friedberg | May 17, 2025 | — |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Friedberg: SNAP program spending doubled from $60B in 2019 to $120B today | David Friedberg | May 17, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Friedberg: SNAP program spending doubled from $60B in 2019 to $120B today | David Friedberg | May 17, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Friedberg: US government owns 500 million acres and controls 3.2 billion subsea acres | David Friedberg | May 17, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3.2B | “3.2 billion” | Friedberg: US government owns 500 million acres and controls 3.2 billion subsea acres | David Friedberg | May 17, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.5% | “1.5%” | Chamath: Average pharma return on investment fell to 1.5% in 2022 | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 17, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Palihapitiya: Average clinical trial costs exploded from $250M to $2.3B since 1990 | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 17, 2025 | Supported |
| $2.3B | “2.3 billion dollars” | Palihapitiya: Average clinical trial costs exploded from $250M to $2.3B since 1990 | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 17, 2025 | Supported |
| $7.3B | “7.3 billion dollars” | Friedberg: FTC estimates PBMs extracted $7.3B in excess specialty drug markups | David Friedberg | May 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Pichai: Google AI Overviews reaches over 1.5 billion users globally | Sundar Pichai | May 16, 2025 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Google's AI search queries are 2-3x longer than traditional searches | Sundar Pichai | May 16, 2025 | — |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | Pichai: YouTube and Google Cloud reached $110B run rate last year | Sundar Pichai | May 16, 2025 | Supported |
| $75B | “seventy-five billion dollars” | Alphabet's $75B 2025 CapEx is primarily for servers and data centers | Sundar Pichai | May 16, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Laffont: Retailers pass only 50% of tariff costs to consumers | Philippe Laffont | May 9, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Laffont: Retailers pass only 50% of tariff costs to consumers | Philippe Laffont | May 9, 2025 | — |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Chamath: US-UK trade deal cuts tech tax and adds $10B Boeing order | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Chamath: US-UK trade deal cuts tech tax and adds $10B Boeing order | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Laffont: Concentrating 80% of portfolio in five stocks is excessive risk | Philippe Laffont | May 9, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Chamath: Personal LP target is 10% net annual return | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 9, 2025 | — |
| 16% | “16%” | Offshore drilling provides roughly 16% of US oil supply | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 800M | “eight hundred million” | Up to 800 million people globally lack electricity access | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Up to 800 million people globally lack electricity access | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Supported |
| $2.5T | “a half a trillion dollars” | Germany spent $500B on renewables, yielding less power at triple cost | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $500B | “five hundred billion dollars” | Germany spent $500B on renewables, yielding less power at triple cost | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.5T | “Half a trillion” | Germany spent $500B on renewables, yielding less power at triple cost | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Germany spent $500B on renewables, yielding less power at triple cost | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Germany spent $500B on renewables, yielding less power at triple cost | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Tech industry historically used under 1% of US electricity | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $300B | “three hundred billion dollars” | Top five US tech firms brought $300B capex to CERAWeek | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | US will have 100 million electrified robots | David Friedberg | May 6, 2025 | — |
| $8T | “eight trillion dollars” | US public lands hold an estimated $8 trillion in coal | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Supported |
| $1.2B | “1.2 billion dollars” | Small offshore oil company paid $1.2B to US Treasury | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | — |
| 22B | “twenty two billion” | Interior Department generated $22 billion in revenue last year | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 20% | “20%” | Private sector software could eliminate 20% of federal administrative work | Doug Burgum | May 6, 2025 | — |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Friedberg: USDA operates 29 sub-agencies with $200B+ budget and 100k employees | David Friedberg | May 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 91M | “a ninety million” | AFPI grew to $90M and prepared 300 executive orders for Trump's second term | Brooke Rollins | May 4, 2025 | — |
| $6B | “six billion dollars” | USDA has canceled nearly $6 billion in contracts, says Brooke Rollins | Brooke Rollins | May 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 74% | “74%” | Rollins: 74% of US teenagers cannot pass military readiness test | Brooke Rollins | May 4, 2025 | Supported |
| $70M | “seventy million dollars” | Rollins: USDA spends $370M daily on federal nutrition programs | Brooke Rollins | May 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Rollins: US went from zero to $50B ag trade deficit under Biden | Brooke Rollins | May 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 51B | “a fifty billion” | Rollins: US went from zero to $50B ag trade deficit under Biden | Brooke Rollins | May 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Rollins: SNAP program budget grew 40% during Biden administration | Brooke Rollins | May 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Rollins: Food stamps account for 85% of Farm Bill, farmers get 15% | Brooke Rollins | May 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Rollins: Food stamps account for 85% of Farm Bill, farmers get 15% | Brooke Rollins | May 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Chamath: Foreign direct investment into the US under Trump exceeds $1T | Chamath Palihapitiya | May 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Petersen: Ocean freight bookings from China to US dropped 60% | Ryan Petersen | May 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Petersen: 60% of Amazon third-party sellers are Chinese companies | Ryan Petersen | May 3, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Sacks predicts AI advances will yield a 1,000,000x increase in capability | David Sacks | May 3, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Levie: Best AI models reach 90% accuracy on Box's single-pass document benchmark | Aaron Levie | May 3, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Petersen: Flexport's AI customs classification reached high 90s accuracy | Ryan Petersen | May 3, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Sacks: China controls over 90% of global rare earth processing | David Sacks | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 51% | “51%” | Friedberg: Foreign businesses in China must yield 51% equity to local partners | David Friedberg | Apr 26, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Chamath: Citadel founder Ken Griffin owns $1B in American real estate | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Sacks: Over 80% of Crimeans poll in favor of being part of Russia | David Sacks | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Chamath: Alphabet owns a 10% stake in SpaceX | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 26, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 47% | “47%” | Chamath: Nvidia SEC filings show 47% of revenue in China, Singapore, Taiwan | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Sacks: Musk says DOGE has identified $160B in annual federal spending cuts | David Sacks | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Friedberg: Polymarket shows 84% chance DOGE cuts under $50B in 2025 | David Friedberg | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 84% | “84%” | Friedberg: Polymarket shows 84% chance DOGE cuts under $50B in 2025 | David Friedberg | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Chamath: Uber would become a trillion-dollar company if Travis Kalanick returned as CEO | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 24, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Sacks: Nvidia H20 chip has 20% more memory bandwidth than H100 | David Sacks | Apr 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 38B | “a thirty seven billion” | Friedberg: China launched a $37 billion investment in 3nm chip technology | David Friedberg | Apr 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 47% | “47%” | Palihapitiya: 47% of Nvidia's revenue comes from China and related regions | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 3M | “three million” | Sacks: TSMC produced three million chips for Huawei Ascend 910C processors | David Sacks | Apr 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.2B | “2.2 billion” | Calacanis: The White House froze $2.2 billion in grants to Harvard | Jason Calacanis | Apr 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 60M | “sixty million” | Calacanis: The White House froze $2.2 billion in grants to Harvard | Jason Calacanis | Apr 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 53B | “fifty three billion” | Friedberg: Universities should pay income taxes on their multi-billion dollar endowments | David Friedberg | Apr 19, 2025 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Friedberg: Universities should pay income taxes on their multi-billion dollar endowments | David Friedberg | Apr 19, 2025 | — |
| $1.5T | “half a trillion dollars” | Palihapitiya: China matches US scientific research spending at $500B annually | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 69% | “69%” | Friedberg: Harvard charged 69% administrative overhead on federal research grants | David Friedberg | Apr 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Friedberg: Average university research overhead fee is around 30% | David Friedberg | Apr 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 9% | “nine percent” | Calacanis: S&P fell about 9% after Trump's tariff announcements | Jason Calacanis | Apr 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 9.5% | “9.5%” | Calacanis: Wednesday stock market rebound was third-largest in history | Jason Calacanis | Apr 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $5T | “five trillion dollars” | Summers: Targeted tariffs would not have caused a $5 trillion stock drop | Larry Summers | Apr 11, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Summers: Broad tariffs fail to link to sector resilience goals | Larry Summers | Apr 11, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Sacks: Stan Druckenmiller expressed support for tariffs up to 10% | David Sacks | Apr 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 2× | “two X” | Klein: Subsidized housing in California costs 4.4x Texas rates | Ezra Klein | Apr 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 4.4× | “4.4 X” | Klein: Subsidized housing in California costs 4.4x Texas rates | Ezra Klein | Apr 11, 2025 | Supported |
| $10M | “ten million dollars” | Larry Summers: Less than 25% of people earning over $10M are audited | Larry Summers | Apr 11, 2025 | Supported |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Chamath: Stacey Abrams received $2 billion in federal funding in 30 days | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 5.4M | “5.4 million” | Gracias: DOGE found 2.4M questionable non-citizen Social Security entries | Antonio Gracias | Apr 4, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1.2M | “1.2 million” | Gracias: DOGE found 2.4M questionable non-citizen Social Security entries | Antonio Gracias | Apr 4, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 4× | “four times” | Gracias: January 1st was the most common birthdate in border data | Antonio Gracias | Apr 4, 2025 | Open |
| 23% | “23%” | Gracias: 23% of analyzed border records lacked fingerprint biometrics | Antonio Gracias | Apr 4, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1.3M | “1.3 million” | Gracias: 1.3M non-citizens with flagged Social Security numbers receive Medicaid | Antonio Gracias | Apr 4, 2025 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Shapiro: Trump does not realistically expect to deport 20 million people | Ben Shapiro | Apr 4, 2025 | — |
| $15B | “fifteen billion dollars” | Gracias: US policy funneled $13B to $15B annually to human traffickers | Antonio Gracias | Apr 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Gracias: DOGE found thousands of non-citizens on voter rolls in four states | Antonio Gracias | Apr 4, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 33% | “33%” | Shapiro: Israel removed US tariffs before Trump levied 17% tariff | Ben Shapiro | Apr 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Shapiro: Israel removed US tariffs before Trump levied 17% tariff | Ben Shapiro | Apr 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Chamath: Trump tariffs represent a $750B to $1T economic impact | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 4, 2025 | — |
| $16T | “16 trillion dollars” | Friedberg: There is $12T-$16T of private corporate debt in America | David Friedberg | Apr 4, 2025 | Supported |
| $28B | “twenty eight billion dollars” | Friedberg: Trump administration paid $28B in farmer bailouts during 2018-2019 trade war | David Friedberg | Apr 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 200% | “200%” | Chamath: U.S. stablecoins create structural demand for U.S. Treasuries | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 4, 2025 | — |
| 56% | “56%” | Chamath: 56% of US utility workers have under a decade experience | Chamath Palihapitiya | Apr 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Friedberg: Created a Polymarket bet on Q3 US GDP falling below -5% | David Friedberg | Apr 4, 2025 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Calacanis: Everyone should allocate a low single-digit percentage to Bitcoin | Jason Calacanis | Apr 3, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Rosenblum: 50% of Colin and Samir watch time is on connected TVs | Colin Rosenblum | Apr 3, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Chaudry: Top YouTube creators get ~70% of views from non-subscribers | Samir Chaudry | Apr 3, 2025 | — |
| 11% | “11%” | Samir Chaudry: YouTube leads connected TV usage with 11% Nielsen share | Samir Chaudry | Apr 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Williamson: Modern Wisdom reached 900 episodes and over one billion downloads | Chris Williamson | Apr 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Williamson: Modern Wisdom newsletter has 300K subs, 50% open rate | Chris Williamson | Apr 3, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Williamson earned more on Spotify than YouTube AdSense in early 2025 | Chris Williamson | Apr 3, 2025 | — |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Bryan Johnson: Blueprint will surpass $100M revenue in under 12 months | Bryan Johnson | Apr 3, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Johnson: Don't Die Certified aims to test 20% of top US foods | Bryan Johnson | Apr 3, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Johnson: Don't Die Certified aims to test 20% of top US foods | Bryan Johnson | Apr 3, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Bryan Johnson: I achieved eight months of 100% perfect sleep scores | Bryan Johnson | Apr 3, 2025 | — |
| $65B | “sixty five billion dollars” | Chamath: U.S. government pays $65B to consulting firms via time-and-materials contracts | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Calacanis: Trump administration considering 8% annual cuts to military spending | Jason Calacanis | Mar 29, 2025 | — |
| 3% | “Three percent” | Gavin Baker: 3% of US trade and 40% of European trade uses Suez Canal | Gavin Baker | Mar 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Gavin Baker: 3% of US trade and 40% of European trade uses Suez Canal | Gavin Baker | Mar 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $32B | “30 two billion dollars” | Calacanis: Google acquired Wiz for $32 billion in cash | Jason Calacanis | Mar 22, 2025 | Supported |
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