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Francis Suarez

President, Alpha Wave Global · 2 appearances on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

politicianexecutiveinvestorother@FrancisSuarez ↗LinkedIn ↗itstimewegetstarted.com ↗Wikipedia ↗

Francis Suarez served as the 43rd Mayor of Miami from 2017 to 2025 and President of the U.S. Conference of Mayors, gaining national prominence for courting tech firms and venture capitalists to South Florida. He also ran as a candidate in the 2024 Republican presidential primary before entering private investment and legal advisory roles.

18statements → 15claims → 13claims resolved → 31%fully supported → 3.94/5average certainty → 2.22/5average debate potential → 21said about them ↓

4 supported 7 partly supported 2 contradicted 2 not checkable as stated how the 15 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 13 assertions · 1 insight · 2 disclosures · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 15 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 13 are resolved, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Francis argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Suarez: Miami unsheltered homelessness dropped to 11-year low of 546
“So, in homeless specifically, we are at an eleven-year low. We did our census, we do two census a year. We do one in January, one in the summer, and our January census had us at an eleven-year low at 546 homeless, unsheltered homeless in the entire city of Mia…”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 1:01 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live

Their most notable contradicted claim

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Suarez: Miami on track for record-low homicides under 24 in 2025
“Last year we had 27. OK, we had 220 in 1980. This year we're trending below the 24. So we may this may be the safest year in the history recorded history of Miami.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 4:46 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
0% certainty 2
0% certainty 3
64% certainty 4
75% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: speaking style how? →

285 words/min while actually speaking · 28.1 um and uh per 1k words

No argument clarity score for Francis Suarez: only 1 usable question→answer exchange on raw tape (a fair score needs 8+). We do not score a sample that small. Roundtable and news formats yield far fewer direct exchanges than interviews.

Measured by listening to the audio itself: 5,518 words across 2 episodes of raw-level tape, transcribed verbatim with every um and uh kept, each one attributed only where the alignment onto our timed stream is unambiguous. These are measurements of speaking style. We do not rank them: across this corpus, fluency and argument quality are nearly uncorrelated (ρ≈0.2), and smooth talking does not signal clear thinking. How it's measured →

Everything Francis Suarez said on All-In that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Suarez: Miami can become first major US city with zero homelessness
“We want to be the first major American city to have zero homeless, and we think we can get there.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 1:28 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Assertion Partly supported
Suarez: Miami has lowest unemployment and highest wage growth in US
“We have the lowest unemployment in America. We have the highest median wage growth in America. We, I lowered taxes to the lowest level in history, and we've seen a 140% growth in nine years.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 1:43 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Assertion Partly supported
Suarez: Miami lowered taxes while tripling city budget to $1.5B
“I lowered taxes to the lowest level in history, and I took the city in 2009 as a councilman out of bankruptcy. So I got it in bankruptcy. We decided this is sort of the doge before doge. We decided not to raise taxes. We cut costs. We cut, you know, we didn't …”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 6:11 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Assertion Partly supported
Miami ranks first nationally in wage growth and tech job migration
“We have 1.4% unemployment. We have, we're number one in the nation in wage growth. We're number one in the nation in tech jobs. We're number one in tech job migration. I think we've moved two trillion AUM in the last 18 months. And our VC pipeline grew by 200%…”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2022 ▶ 13:58 #AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez
Assertion Partly supported
Miami reduced homelessness by 90% using a decentralized treatment network
“We reduce homelessness by about 90% with that network.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2022 ▶ 23:09 #AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez
Assertion Supported
Suarez: Miami unsheltered homelessness dropped to 11-year low of 546
“So, in homeless specifically, we are at an eleven-year low. We did our census, we do two census a year. We do one in January, one in the summer, and our January census had us at an eleven-year low at 546 homeless, unsheltered homeless in the entire city of Mia…”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 1:01 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Suarez: Miami on track for record-low homicides under 24 in 2025
“Last year we had 27. OK, we had 220 in 1980. This year we're trending below the 24. So we may this may be the safest year in the history recorded history of Miami.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 4:46 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Disclosure
Suarez: Miami leverages public housing dollars at a 15:1 to 20:1 ratio
“Housing costs have certainly gone up significantly, and we do everything we can to leverage public dollars and public assets like land to try to build projects at a 15 to one or 20 to one leverage rate. So for a hundred million dollars invested, we'll get two …”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 9:01 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Insight
Suarez: Building permits could be processed instantly with current technology
“It should be done instantly, and it could literally be done instantly with a technology that we already have available to us today.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 14:25 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Assertion Partly supported
Miami's budget doubled while keeping tax rates at 1960s lows
“We keep taxes as low as humanly possible. And shocker, our budget has doubled in size. Since we have kept taxes to the 19 sixties lows”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2022 ▶ 12:40 #AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez
Assertion Supported
Miami's homicide rate dropped 23% last year, and 40% this year
“Our homicide rate went down by 23% last year, this year it's down by 40% from the 23% of last year.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2022 ▶ 13:33 #AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez
Assertion Supported
The City of Miami currently has exactly 510 homeless individuals
“In Miami, in the city, which is one of 34 cities in the county, we have 510. Homeless right now in the city.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2022 ▶ 23:18 #AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez
Assertion Supported
Suarez: Miami is ranked happiest and healthiest city in America
“We're ranked the happiest city in America, the healthiest city in America.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 0:13 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Suarez: Getting a building permit takes up to 18 months in most US cities
“It takes to get a permit on a home in most places in America, or on a building in most places in America, you know, six months, nine months, a year and a half.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 14:13 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Disclosure
Suarez would strongly consider serving as a US ambassador
“If the president called me and said, you know, I want you to be the US ambassador to, you know, a country that I have a passion to help. You know, in terms of the United States, in terms of their relationship and world peace and things of that nature which I t…”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 20:48 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Assertion Partly supported
Suarez: FC Barcelona moved its Americas headquarters from New York to Miami
“Two days ago, we announced that FC Barcelona moved their headquarters from New York to Miami, right?”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 7:57 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Assertion Partly supported
Suarez: Brightline rail was entirely private and owned its right-of-way
“No, they had the right of way. So it was totally private.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 10:13 The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live
Assertion Contradicted
Miami's tourist bed tax generates $50M annually for homelessness facilities
“It generates about fifty million dollars a year, which you can bond out, and we've created a decentralized set of facilities all across the MSA.”
Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2022 ▶ 23:02 #AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez

The other half of the tape: Francis Suarez's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 20 times in 9 episodes on All-In. 1 statement on the record names them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Chamath Palihapitiya 10Jason Calacanis 5David Sacks 3Claire Cormier Thielke 2

Statements about Francis Suarez, by other people (1)

Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Miami under Mayor Suarez achieved high GDP growth and fiscal surpluses
“The GDP growth is like Chinese GDP growth, 10%, eight percent, six and a half percent. He's running fiscal surpluses. You know, crime is down, down, down.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 23, 2021 ▶ 21:04 E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
008315520212022202320242025episodesmentions
03520212022202320242025episodes it came up in
001.52.53520212022202320242025episodesmentions per episode
2025 2 mentions in 1 episode
2023 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2022 2 mentions in 1 episode
2021 13 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode

Appearances (2)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
The Formula for Building America's Happiest City: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez | All-In Live Jun 3, 2025 13m
#AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez Jun 3, 2022 10m
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